1.2 Succeeding With Forex Trading
1.2 Succeeding With Forex Trading
This e-book was created by traders and for traders with the aim of equipping
traders with the right skills of earning big returns from trading forex online.
With the help of this comprehensive and easy-to-follow e-book, you will soon
be equipped with enough knowledge to start a fulfilling career in the foreign
exchange market.
LESSON 1: THE BASICS OF FOREX
TRADING
Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable
for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before
you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment
objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance.
You could lose some or all of your initial investment; do not invest money that
you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with
foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial or
tax advisor if you have any questions.
ADVISORY WARNING:
We expressly disclaim any liability for any lost principal or profits without
limitation which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on
such information. As with all such advisory services, past results are never a
guarantee of future results.
Apparently, buy low and sell high is the trick here! The prices of currencies in
the foreign exchange market often fluctuate; that is, rise and fall. As such, the
profit potential comes from these changes in currency prices.
Online trading cuts out the need for intermediaries (such as banks). And, yes,
it can be a very rewarding experience. But like any other business, you must
be properly prepared. The most important preparation you must do for your
trading business is get the proper training.
If you wish to commence a career in Forex trading, you will have to register
with a Forex brokerage firm and then deposit the amount you want to use in
your trading account. Once you have completed the depositing process, you
are ready to begin trading.
Since there are many trading arenas a person can choose to start trading in,
making a proper choice through careful evaluation is necessary.
Advantages of online Forex trading
Simplicity
Online Forex trading has low barriers to entry, making it easily accessible to
all traders with internet access. Traders can access the market 24 hours a
day, from their desktop and mobile device.
Flexibility
With online trading, you are not limited to one market. You can trade Forex,
indices and commodities. It’s all available to you within the style of trading you
choose to adopt.
Transparency
With online trading, there are no surprises. Since you have full control to
monitor your trading status, you know how much you can lose and how much
you can make. This let’s you trade with ease and in a relaxed mode, which is
the way you should always be when trading money.
Thus, the quote currency is what gives your profits or losses for each
transaction you engage in while trading in the foreign exchange market.
Pips are the units of calculation used by Forex traders to calculate the profit or
loss from the trades they make. If you look at any currency quote starting from
the left and count 4 places, then the 4th place is the pips value in a quote. For
example, when a currency pair moves from a value of 1.4022 to 1.4026, then
it has moved by 4 pips. And, when a pip has a value of $10, then the profit is
$40. To calculate the value of pips, traders usually use the following pips
formula:
The asking price for the currency trade
Divided by 1 pip
Multiplied by the value of the trade
The result of this gives the value of the number of pips gained or lost in a
trade.
In the foreign exchange market, there are always two currencies being traded.
One currency is bought while the other is simultaneously being sold. For one
currency to rise in value, then the other currency must fall in value. As a
result, either the base currency or the quote currency will always be rising in
value, which means there is always the possibility to profit.
If the base currency is falling in value, then it means that the quote currency is
strengthening. Thus, bidirectional trading in the Forex market enables you to
place trades regardless of the direction of the market.
Leverage
Because leverage can have such a dramatic impact on your trading, it is very
important to set clear limits and targets for your trades in order to reduce the
risk of a meltdown in your account.
Trade model
Let’s say you want to open a trade on EUR/USD. You think the market will
rise, and the EUR will strengthen, so you decide to buy the EUR/USD. The
rate is 1.4000 and you are willing to invest $100 from your account.
You decide on a leverage of 100 times. Thus, the amount of the trade will be
$10,000. Your margin is 1%, that means that if the value of the pair drops by
1% then you will lose your trade margin and your trade will be closed.
There are two main ways of undertaking market analysis: technical analysis
and fundamental analysis, you will learn about both of them in the next lesson
LESSON 2:
MARKET ANALYSIS
Welcome to the Market Analysis course! In this course, you will learn simply,
quickly and interactively about using fundamental and technical analysis when
trading. Remember that you can watch each individual lesson as often as you
would like. Let’s start whenever you are ready…
Technical Analysis
Technical analysts hold that the rise and fall of currency prices in the
foreign exchange market occurs in an orderly manner, which is both
systematic and easy to forecast. The three major types of trends are
upwards, downwards or sideways.
Fundamental Analysis
o Growth indicators
o Inflation rates
A country with a high rate of inflation has a low purchasing power and
thus a poorly performing currency. To increase the strength of such a
currency, the government may decide to raise the country’s interest
rates.
o Employment indicators
Employment reports provide a sign of how the economy of a country is
performing. If the number of individuals getting jobs in a country is
increasing on a regular basis, then it means that the economy is
expanding. Conversely, if there is no remarkable growth in a country’s
employment rate, then it indicates that its economy is not performing as
expected and can cause its currency to also weaken.
Balance of Trade (BOT) means the difference between the imports and
the exports of a country. If a country has more exports than imports,
then this usually translates to it having a strong currency. The opposite
is also true.
Fundamental traders watch for surprising news that differs from the market
expectations and can result in substantial price changes. It is of essence to
note that news results can have a surprising impact on the market, so
fundamental traders need to beware of this. Worth mentioning, key economic
news releases from the world’s largest economies often trigger price
movements in the currency market. And, following the most important news
releases with the greatest market impact is one fundamental strategy for
trading the Forex market.
Therefore, you should learn which releases to look out for, when they are due
out, and how to trade based on the observed results. This trading style
requires considerable research, but allows well-informed traders to reap
significant rewards. It is important to remember that market movements based
on news events can only last for a few minutes, so watching news as it occurs
is crucial to this strategy’s success. And, you should beware of a contrary
market impact when trading key events in the marketplace.
Fear is what often gets in the way of successful trading. That’s why
understanding and controlling your fears is so important. So, how do you stop
your fears from controlling your trading? The answer lies in developing a
trading plan. As the old adage goes “Failing to plan is planning to fail”, your
plan is what will help you in navigating the Forex waters with profit. As such,
your plan should clearly set your trading goals and identify the price levels
and strategies you’ll focus on. If you don’t yet feel like you know enough to
plan in this way, then you might want to focus on practice trading for some
time or seek out more traders’ education before starting to trade on a real
account.
Most traders know what it feels like to hold on to a trade for too long, and see
significant profits go down the drain due to this. When this happens, it’s often
the trader’s greed that’s to blame. Greed changes the way you think and act,
and can cause you to make mistakes in the market, which can cost you
dearly.
A lot of new traders imagine that it’s possible to earn returns of 100 or 1000
times their initial investments from just a few days of trading. Add a high
leverage rate into the mix and you have a sure fire recipe for disaster –
courtesy of greed. It is important to note that success in Forex trading requires
determination, hard work, and discipline.
However, greedy traders always think that this business is not based on any
rules and they end up placing trades without proper analysis. The result?
Massive devastations on their trading accounts.
o Since trading is not gambling, you should never treat it like it.
o Remember that there are a lot of opportunities in the markets, but you’ll
only be able to exploit them if you can learn to control emotions like
greed.
o After all, when you think you’ve spotted an opportunity, shouldn’t you
go all in? Actually, the answer is NO.
o Don’t risk your account in a single trade – it’s the classic mistake of an
inexperienced trader and it means letting your greed control you.
o Always remember that the market can go against you.
o Dance to the tune of the market, do not dance at your own tunes
Position management (page 18)
Your money management strategy should answer these two key questions:
As a trader, your first goal should be to preserve your capital. If you can stay
in the market long enough to achieve some big wins, then it should cover the
costs of your losing trades and deliver you some good returns on your
investment.
And, you can only achieve this through having a good money management
strategy. Most experienced traders never risk more than 2% of their trading
capital on any single trade. Thus, with a $10,000 account, that means your
maximum potential loss should be $200 dollars on any single trade.
Risk management (page 19)
It’s no secret that you can’t control the direction of the market, or the extent of
its swings and movements. But there is one way in which every trader can
achieve real control over their trading – and that’s through proper money
management.
Effective money management asks, then answers these three key questions:
These questions sound simple, but getting them right is the key to your
success as a trader. With the right money management strategy in place, you
can be wrong 50% of the time when you trade and still profit overall.
The risk-reward ratio helps traders determine the level of risk in a trade. It
shows how much a trader is risking versus the potential reward they can
make if the trade becomes a success. So, how do you calculate the risk-
reward ratio?
It’s simple:
The “Stop Loss” displays your risk, and the “Take Profit” displays your
potential reward. So, if on a specific trade your stop loss is set at $100 and
your take profit is set at $200, then the risk-reward ratio is 100:200 or 1:2. The
larger your risk-reward ratio, the more easily you’ll be able to absorb losses
through time. An acceptable risk-reward ratio for beginning traders is 1:3. Any
number below 1:2 is too risky and the trade should be avoided.
LESSON 4: FOREX TRADING
STRATEGIES
o Day trading
Day trading strategies encompass all trading styles that involve closing
out all trading positions before the end of the trading day. Day traders
usually have a very short term time horizon and take only intraday
positions aiming for a fast profit. Day trading allows Forex traders to
avoid taking overnight risk where their portfolio is exposed to
unmonitored exchange rate movements that occur when they are
asleep or inattentive to the market. Scalping is an example of a day
trading strategy whereby a Forex trader might attempt to buy on or
near the market bid and then quickly sell out the position at or near the
offer side to gain a few pips.
o News trading
o Swing trading
Swing trading strategies typically attempt to profit from both trends and
counter-trend corrections by taking positions that follow the momentum
of the market. Swing trading can be performed in all time frames,
although it is most commonly used as a short to medium term trading
strategy that may involve taking overnight positions. Swing traders
usually employ a combination of technical indicators that asses the
market’s momentum and trend to help them trade and provide trading
signals for taking and then reversing their trading positions. Popular
swing trading momentum indicators include the Relative Strength Index
or RSI. Popular trend indicators include moving averages and Wilder’s
Average Directional Movement Indicator (ADX).
o Trend trading
o Carry trading
Carry trading involves buying a higher interest rate currency and selling
a lower interest rate currency to capture the interest rate differential
existing between them. Carry traders typically take leveraged positions
that they hold over a long term time frame. Ideally, a carry trader would
expect the higher interest rate currency to appreciate relative to the
lower interest rate currency over the trade’s projected time frame to
generate even more profits. An example of carry trading might involve
buying the Australian Dollar and simultaneously selling the Japanese
Yen for a period of six months or more in order to capture the positive
interest rate differential.
Classic chart pattern trading involves perusing exchange rate charts for
chart patterns that have reliable outcomes and then trading the
appropriate range or breakout signals as they arise. Classic reversal
chart patterns that indicate the market may be changing direction
include Head and Shoulder Tops and Bottoms, Double and Triple Tops
and Bottoms, and Saucer Tops and Bottoms. Classic continuation
chart patterns include Flags and Pennants, where the market pauses
briefly after a substantial move before breaking out to make another
move in the same direction. Classic consolidation patterns include
triangles, wedges and ranges where the market trades between
established converging or flat parallel lines before breaking out. The
primary classic trending pattern is the Channel, which consists of a set
of sloping parallel trend lines between which the market trades as it
moves in either an upwards or downwards direction.
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Reading progress
Overview
This e-book was created by traders and for traders with the aim of equipping traders
with the right skills of earning big returns from trading forex online. With the help of
this comprehensive and easy-to-follow e-book, you will soon be equipped with
enough knowledge to start a fulfilling career in the foreign exchange market.
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