Economic Growth and Economic Development-1-1
Economic Growth and Economic Development-1-1
Economic growth: This refers to the persistent quantitative increase in the volume of goods and
services produced in a country over given period of time
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discourages production because producers are scared of losing their lives and property thus
low rate of economic growth
• The market size: Large market size encourages investors to increase production of goods
and services in order to earn more profits thus high rate of economic growth, while small
market size discourages investors from producing on large scale due to low profit levels
thus leading to low rate of economic growth
• The level of monetisation of the economy/size of subsistence sector; A large
subsistence sector limits production because producers just produce a little for their needs
thus low rate of economic growth, while a small subsistence sector encourages
production because producers are keen to put more output on the market and increase
profit levels thus high rate of economic growth
• The entrepreneurial ability/level of entrepreneurship; High level of entrepreneurial
ability encourages innovations and inventions which leads to high level of production and
thus high rate of economic growth, while low level of entrepreneurial skills limit
innovations and inventions among producers which leads to low levels of production and
thus low rate of economic growth.
• The level of infrastructural development; High level of infrastructural development
encourages production because it lowers the costs of production thus high rate of
economic growth, while underdeveloped infrastructure discourages production because it
increases costs of production thus low rate of economic growth.
• The price levels/Rate of inflation. Low rate of inflation encourages production due to the
low cost of acquiring factor inputs thus high rate of economic growth, while high rate of
inflation discourages production because of high cost of acquiring factor inputs thus low
rate of economic growth.
• The population growth rate; High population growth rate leads to high dependence
burden which limits savings leading to low levels of investment and therefore low rate of
economic growth, while low population growth rate leads to a low dependence burden
which encourages savings thus high levels of investment leading to high rate of economic
growth.
• Level of savings; High level of savings leads to increased investment because it avails
more funds to the investors which increase production of goods and services thus high rate
of economic growth, while low levels of savings leads to low levels of investment because
of limited investment funds which limits production and thus low rate of economic growth.
• The level of accountability; High level of accountability attracts more investors because
they easily acquire licences and sect up economic activities which leads to increased
production thus high rate of economic growth, while low levels of accountability
discourages investors because they find it hard to acquire licences which limits setting up
economic activities leading to low production and thus low rate economic growth
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• The degree or level of conservatism; High degree of conservatism limits production of
goods because many people stick to the traditional methods of production which are low
yielding and thus low rate of economic growth, while low level of conservatism
encourages production of goods because many people embrace modern methods of
production which are high yielding and thus high rate of economic growth rate.
• The attitude towards work; Positive attitude towards work leads to high volume of output
produced because workers put in more effort in doing economic activities thus high rate of
economic growth, while negative attitude toward work limits production because people
are lazy and not willing to put in extra effort to do economic activities and thus low rate of
economic growth..
• Availability of investment incentives; High level of investment incentives to investors in
form of tax holidays, subsidies reduce the cost of production and thus motivates producers
to produce more goods and services in order to earn more profits hence high rate of
economic growth, on the other hand limited investment incentives increases the cost of
production and thus discourage producers from increasing output leading to low rate of
economic growth.
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FACTORS THAT PROMOTE ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE:
• High level of exploitation of natural resources
• High rate of existing capital stock
• Existence of highly skilled labour
• High level of technological development/progress
• Favourable political climate
• High levels of entrepreneurial ability/skills
• Presence of investment incentives
• High levels of infrastructural development
• High rate of monetisation of the economy
• High levels of savings
• High levels of accountability in the country
• Low degree of conservatism
• Positive attitude towards work
• Low rate of inflation
• Low population growth rates
• Favourable land tenure system
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FACTORS THAT LIMIT ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE:
• Low level of exploitation of natural resources
• Low rate of existing capital stock
• Limited skilled labour
• Low level of technological development/progress
• Unfavourable political climate/ Political instability
• Low levels of entrepreneurial ability/skills
• Limited investment incentives
• Low levels of infrastructural development
• Low rate of monetisation of the economy
• Low levels of savings
• Low levels of accountability in the country
• High degree of conservatism
• Negative attitude towards work
• High rate of inflation
• High population growth rates
• Poor land tenure system
COSTS AND BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH:
• Provides revenue to the government through taxation. The government taxes the
output produced the profits earned by the various production units.
• It widens consumers’ choice. This is so because a variety of goods and services
are produced,
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• Promotes infrastructural development. The government is compelled to construct
better roads in order to ease movement of raw materials to the production units and the
products to the market.
• Enhances/promotes technological development. The investors carry out innovations
and inventions in order to improve technology and produce more output to earn more profits,
• Facilitates development of labour skills. People train to acquire the skills so as to be
able get jobs in the various production units.
• Breaks /reduces conservatism/cultural rigities/backwardness. Economic growth
involves adoption of modern values by the nationals due to interaction with the foreign
investors, this helps to reduce conservatism.
• Reduces dependence on other economies. This is due to increased domestic
production which makes the economy to reduce importation.
• Promotes economic diversification/ promote industrialisation. This due to
increased economic activities in the country.
• Reduces/controls inflation. This is due to increased output which reduces shortage
of essential goods and thus controlling structural inflation.
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• It leads to profit repatriation/ capital outflow. This is because some of the enterprises are
foreign owned and thus earned profits are repatriated.
• Leads to increased or high dependence on external resources/leads to debt burden. This
is because the country borrows externally to increase investment and production.
• It leads to low quality of output. This is because more emphasis is put on
increasing output by the investors.
• Leisure time is scarified. This is because more hours are spent at work to increase output.
• Leads to foregoing current consumption/ Leads to sacrifice of present
consumption. This is because people and the nation save more of their disposable
income to accumulate funds for investment.
Economic development. This refers to the persistent quantitative and qualitative increase in the
volume of goods and services produced in a country over a given period of time, (usually a long
time like 15-30 years).
OR: It is the persistent quantitative and qualitative increase in GDP over a long period of time.
It includes qualitative changes in the variables that improve the lives of citizens such as freedom
of choice, self-esteem and others.
DEVELOPMENT GOALS/OBJECTIVES;
OR: It is the intended growth and development objectives a country aims at achieving in a given
period of time.
OBJECTIVES OF DEVELOPMENT:
• To attain high and stable economic growth rate. This will involve investment in many
sectors to increase production levels..
• To achieve price stability This will involve use of fiscal and monetary policies.
• To attain full employment/to reduce the level of unemployment. This will involve use of
investment incentives to attract investors to set up more businesses.
• To improve the balance of position. This will involve increasing domestic production an d
minimise importation of goods to minimise import expenditure.
• To attain equitable distribution of income. This will involve use of progressive taxation so
as to take away more from the rich and less from the poor.
• To control population growth rate. This will involve encouraging people to use family
planning methods so as to produce fewer children.
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• To reduce illiteracy /to improve labour skills/ to improve the education system. This may
involve making basic education free and therefore affordable by the majority.
• To reduce economic dependence/ to attain self sufficiency. This will involve increasing
domestic production to reduce dependence on imported goods.
• To provide security to people and their properties/To improve political climate.
This will involve strengthening the army and the police to make them more professional
and vigilant.
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Professor WW Rostow, a classical economist in 1956 in his book. “The stages of Economic
Growth” explained the process of economic growth in a historical perspective.
According to WW Rostow, all countries normally pass through these stages in order to attain
development i.e. from transition to development.
He described his transition in terms of a series of stages/path through which an economy moves
towards full development. Rostow identified five successive stages of economic growth as follows;
1. The traditional society stage.
2. The pre-condition to take off stage.
3. The take off stage.
4. The drive to maturity.
5. The high mass consumption stage.
Society begins to transform itself from a purely traditional society to a modern one. The society
gets in contact with the external world and the forces of growth that comes with it.
Economic progress begins to take place and subsistence sector begins to gradually reduce, giving
way to a modern sector.
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• Investment increases to 5% of GNP/GDP/NY.
• The economy becomes dualistic in nature
• Illiteracy rate reduces
• Emergence of foreign trade/ the economy becomes open/ the economy opens
to international trade where exports are dominated by primary products.
• There is high dependence on other countries especially for capital, skilled labour, technology,
military hardware etc.
• Adoption of better and efficient methods of production/ Improvement in technology.
• Emergence of entrepreneurs in the economy.
• Industrialisation starts to take root/ Emergence of industrialisation.
At this stage economic dependence reduces significantly and obstacles to economic growth
are removed
At this stage the economy realises self-sustained economic growth. The means of production
and ways of living are guided by science and technology.
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• High employment opportunities in the country
• The economy becomes self-sustaining and self-reliant.
• High levels of monetisation.
• High levels of skills of workers
Uganda’s economy is at the pre-condition to take-off stage because of the following reasons;
• Increased agricultural productivity or commercialization of agriculture.
• Emergence of entrepreneurial class.
• Emergence of industries to process agricultural commodities.
• Increased employment creation
• Dualistic tendencies emerge
• Increased emergence of foreign trade.
• Breaking through conservatism.
• Reduction of illiteracy rates.
• Development of social and economic infrastructure.
• Improved technology.
• Growth of manufacturing sector as a leading sector.
• Improved formal education.
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• It is difficult to demarcate one stage growth from the other especially the fourth and fifth stage.
There is over lapping in the stages, this disapproves Rostow’s suggestion that these stages
follow each other systematically.
• A large percentage of the countries in the developing world have already achieved high
levels of savings i.e. above 10% of the GNP but they have never taken off. In other wards
high level of savings may not necessarily lead to economic growth but other factors such as
availability of natural resources, political stability.
• Rostow emphasised industrialization and capital accumulation as the only determinates of
economic growth. This is not true because there are other determinants of economic growth
such as the level of exploitation of natural resources, political climate, the market size, the
state of technology etc.
• Not all countries go through all these stages of economic growth as argued by Rostow e.g.
U.S.A and Japan are believed to have started from the second stage of the pre-condition to take
off.
• Some countries have grown to the 4th stage through agriculture but not industrialisation as
suggested by Rostow.
• Rostow assumed the continuous and systematic economic growth. This is not true because in
any trend of growth there are periods of boom and recession i.e. ups and downs in the economy.
In other wards in the road to development there could be discontinuity/delays or decline in
economic growth.
• It does not consider external factors which affect the economic performance of the economy
such as the role of foreign Aid.
• Resources are not homogeneous in all countries.
This theory was advanced by Ragner Nurkes and it advocates for harmonious and simultaneous
investment in all the sectors of the economy so that they complement each other and grow more
or less at the same pace.
Since investment is in all fronts, a certain minimum investment effort termed as the critical
minimum effort is required to ensure that all sectors are developed simultaneously.
NB: Critical minimum effort: This refers to the minimum investment/sacrifice required to attain
massive capital stock necessary for an economy to take off.
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• It leads to inflationary tendencies in the short run. This is due to putting much
emphasis on the development of social overhead and producing at high costs.
• It leads to dependence on external resources. This is because the country relies
heavily on imported technology, externally borrowed capital and skilled labour so as to
facilitate development in all sectors of the economy.
• It strains government planning machinery. This is because government officials have
to plan for all the sectors of the economy.
• Limited capital. This limits acquisition of the input such as raw materials and skilled labour
which limits investment in all sectors of the economy
• Limited skilled labour; This limits investment in all the sectors of the economy due to
low labour efficiency and productivity.
• Limited entrepreneurial skills; This limits inventions and innovations and the number
of people who are ready to take risks in the various sectors of the economy.
• Inadequate market. This discourages investment in the various sectors of the economy for
fear of making losses.
• Poor/underdeveloped infrastructure. This leads to high cost of production
which discourages investment in the various sectors of the economy due to low profit levels.
• Poor or un- coordinated planning; this reduces the complementarily of all sectors
and therefore reduces the rate of economic growth.
• Weak inter-sectoral linkages. This reduces the rate of economic growth because the sectors
fail to aid one another.
• Limited investment incentives. High rate of taxation discourages investment in all
sectors due to low profit levels.
• Limited government control over the economy. This makes it hard for the government
to coordinate and control the different economic activities in the economy.
This theory was advanced by Professor Albert Hirschman and it states that “the leading sector
with strategic importance be selected first and expanded so that it pulls up or develops other
sectors through linkages.
A sector with the largest number of linkages both forward and backward is described as
the leading sector or the growing point.
NB: i) Forward linkage; this refers to the establishment of a firm to use the products of
an already existing industry as inputs/raw materials. It encourages investment in
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the subsequent stages e.g. the construction of a shoe making factory due to existing
leather turning factory.
ii) Backward linkage; This is where an establishment of firm provides demand for the
inputs from a firm not yet in existence and such a firm will established to supply the required
inputs to the already existing firm,
• It is suitable for the limited resources. This makes it easy to implement it since is easy to
purchase the required inputs and carry out production.
• It encourages specialisation. This is because it advocates for investment in the key leading
sector, this enables to enjoy merits of specialisation.
• It leads to induced investment in other sectors. This is because development of the leading
enables other sectors to develop through linkages.
• It leads to limited wastage. This is because relatively low output is produced which is suitable
for the small market in developing countries.
• Leads to development in a defined order. This is because investment is done according to needs
of the country.
• It leads to limited employment creation. This is because the theory advocates for
the development of the leading sector where other sectors are left out and thus
limiting employment creation.
• It leads to sectoral imbalance in development. This is because it advocates for the development
of the leading sector.
• It leads to economic dependence. This is because development of one sector creates shortage
of goods in the economy which necessitates importing goods from other countries.
THE BIG PUSH THEORY:
This theory states that “For a backward economy i.e. developing country to take off into self-
sustained growth, a massive investment programme in industries and economic infrastructure is
required.”
The theory discourages bit by bit investment; however for such the theory be to successful, the
following must be in place;
• Adequate capital
• Large market size
• Adequate supply of skilled labour
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• Presence of good entrepreneurial skills
• Presence of investment incentives.
• Presence of good infrastructure.i.e.
• Favourable land tenure system
• Presence of proper accountability.
• There must be political stability in the economy.
• It expensive to undertake. This is because it requires a lot of capital to purchase machines and
raw materials needed by the industries.
• It leads to a big debt burden. This is because it requires external borrowing in order to invest
massively in industries and infrastructure.
• It leads to wastage due to limited market. This is because it results into overproduction of
industrial gods yet the market for such goods is inadequate in developing countries.
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• It leads to quick depletion of resources. This due to over exploitation as a result of
high demand or raw materials
Factors that limit the adoption of the Big push theory in developing countries:
• Inadequate capital. This limits purchase of machinery, raw materials and land for the
establishment of economic infrastructure and industries.
• Limited labour skills. This leads to low labour productivity and efficiency which hinders
industrial development.
• Inadequate market. This discourages production in the industrial sector for fear of making
losses.
• Limited entrepreneurial skills. This limits innovations and inventions which discourages
industrial development.
• Limited investment incentives. This leads to high cost of production which discourages
investment in the industrial sector due to low profit levels.
• Underdeveloped infrastructure. This leads to high cost of production which discourages
investment in the industrial sector due to low profit levels.
• Political instability. This discourages investment in the industrial sector due to fear losing
lives and property by the potential investors.
• Poor land tenure system. This limits accessibility to land by potential investors which limits
industrial development.
• Poor accountability. This makes it hard for the potential investors to acquire licences because
they are asked for bribes by government officials.
• Conservatism. People refuse to embrace change which limits industrial development.
• Weak policy implementation machinery. This machinery cannot adequately plan and
coordinate the development of industries.
Forms of poverty
1. Absolute poverty; this is a situation where people are able to meet only their bare subsistence
essentials of life e.g. food, clothing, shelter and water in order to maintain minimum standards of
living.
2. Relative poverty, this is a situation where a given social way of living of an individual or a
household is too low compared to a set value of others. For example Ugandans are relatively
poorer than Americans.
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• Inadequate supply of food which causes malnutrition.
• Shortage of clean and safe water especially in rural areas.
• Poor housing conditions.
• Shortage of fuel in form of wood for cooking.
• Shortage of essential commodities such as sugar, salt and soap.
• Underdeveloped infrastructure
• High level of illiteracy
• High degree of conservatism
• Predominance of subsistence production.
• Low life expectancy
• Low self esteem
• Heavy debt burden to individuals.
• High prevalence of curable and preventable diseases such as malaria
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• It increases the crime rate
• Leads low levels of literacy
• Leads to brain drain
• Leads to low tax revenue
• Accelerates rural urban migration and its associated evils.
• Worsens income inequality
• It leads to social unrests and instabilities in families.
• Leads to excessive government expenditure on provision of social services
THE VISCOUS CYCLE OF POVERTY; It describes a series of unfortunate trends that intensify one
another by feeding each other.E.g the viscous cycle of poverty in developing countries where
low productivity leads to low incomes, which leads to low savings and investment, which in turn
leads to low capital accumulation and further low productivity and poverty.
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• High population growth rates. This increases per capita consumption and reduces the level
of savings thereby reducing the level of investment..
• Low level of technology/ Poor state of technology. This leads to low productivity of labour
and thus low output levels of poor quality.
• Low levels of income/ Limited capital stock. This leads to low levels of savings which
limits investment thus low production levels.
• High level of conservatism. This limits adoption of better methods of production which
leads to low yields..
• Dominance of subsistence sector. Many people produce for own consumption hence low
volume of output of goods produced thus underdevelopment.
• High debt burden and the problem of debt servicing. The country loses a lot of foreign
exchange due to debt repayment obligations which limits the amount of capital for
investment.
• Limited entrepreneurial abilities. This leads to limited innovations and inventions which
limits expansion of firms.
• Over reliance on foreign aid which kills the local initiative. Sometimes it delays; it is not
sufficient which limits investment leading to low production.
• High level of corruption/ Low levels of accountability. This leads to resource diversion
thereby failing important projects.
• Unfavourable terms of trade. This limits earnings from international trade which leads to
shortage of foreign exchange thus limited investment leading to low production.
• Limited market. This discourages producers since they fear to lose their lives and property.
• Limited skilled labour. This lead to low labour productivity and efficiency hence low output
produced.
• High rates of capital outflow. This limits capital for investment leading to low production.
• Political instabilities/ Political unrest. This discourages investment since investors fear to
lose their lives and property.
• Poor infrastructure. This discourages production due to high cost of production thus low
output.
• Heavy dependence on agriculture. Prices of agricultural products fluctuate which leads to
unstable incomes of the producers which discourages them from carrying out further
production.
• Poor land tenure systems. This limits accessibility to land thus discouraging investment and
low output.
• Limited investment incentives. This discourages potential investors due to high cost of
production leading tom low output.
• Reduce/control population growth rates. This helps to reduce the high dependence burden
and encourage savings which are turned into investment funds which promotes the level of
investment in the country and thus promoting development.
• Improve labour skills. This leads to increased labour productivity and efficiency hence
production of more goods and services leading to economic development
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• Improve the terms of trade. The increase in export prices over import prices encourages the
country to produce more for the export market which leads to increased output of goods and
services thus leading to economic development.
• Fight corruption/ ensure high levels of accountability. The funds allocated for
infrastructural development are well utilised which promotes investment leading to production
of more goods and services in an economy, thus leading to economic development.
• Increase capital inflow/reduce capital outflow. This avails funds necessary for investment
leading to production of more goods and services and thus leading to economic development.
• Improve the political climate. This instills confidence among the potential investors which
promotes investments in the country, leading to production of more goods and services and
thus leading to economic development.
• Widen market both domestic and foreign. This motivates investors to increase economic
activities due to the high profit levels, this leads to increased output and thus leading to
economic development.
• Improve infrastructure. This promotes investment due to the easy transportation of raw
materials to the firms and finished products to the market thus leading to economic
development.
• Reduce dependence on agriculture. This helps to diversify the economy which leads to
production in other sectors of the economy thus leading to economic development.
• Improve entrepreneurial skills/ability. This leads to number of economic activities being
initiated and sustained, this leads to increased volume of goods and services produced thus
leading to economic development.
• Provide investment incentives. This attracts more investors both local and foreign to invest
in different sectors of the economy due to reduced production costs, this leads to increased
production of goods and services in the economy leading to economic development.
• Improve the land tenure system. This allows investors to have easy access to land which
increases economic activities in the economy thus leading to economic development.
• Improve the state of technology. This quickens the production produces and also reduces the
cost of production which motivates many people to engage in different economic activities
leading to production of more goods and services leading to economic development.
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