2020 12 07 Bloomberg Businessweek
2020 12 07 Bloomberg Businessweek
att.com/remotelearning
Kelly Steckelberg
CFO, Zoom Video Communications
Wells Fargo customer since 2011
Powering the
WFH Revolution
How businesses are responding
to the pandemic
bloomberg.com/thewayahead
ADVERTISEMENT
Do you Zoom?
Business surges
Henry Li
Director, Technology Banking
Wells Fargo Commercial Banking
Corporate &
Investment Banking
December 7, 2020
THE BLOOMBERG 50 41 From politics and finance to tech and entertainment, the people who
defined this trying year
◼ IN BRIEF 9 DoorDash IPO ● Bitcoin soars ● A super Cyber Monday ◼ COVER TRAIL
◼ OPINION 10 Biden’s opportunity to remake U.S. diplomacy How the cover
◼ AGENDA 10 EU leaders meet ● Chewy earnings ● ECB sets rates gets made
①
“So, this week it’s
◼ REMARKS 12 World leaders can agree on one thing: Big Tech is too big the fourth annual
Bloomberg 50, our list
of people who made
BUSINESS 15 A collision course for Elon Musk and German labor
1 17 Chinese brands make inroads at home
significant and—this
part is important!—
quantifiable
18 Vaccine distribution will rely on Covid-battered airlines contributions in 2020.”
19 A maker of synthetic psilocybin on treating depression “Did I finally make it?!”
“Alas, no employees.”
TECHNOLOGY 20 Airbnb’s successful pandemic pivot
2 22 EU antitrust enforcers and Amazon try to play nice “So you just pick 50
people, and that’s that?”
23 Salesforce’s Slack deal ups the pressure on Microsoft
“The Bloomberg 75 just
wasn’t as sexy.”
FINANCE 25 A new team of small, cheap stocks keeps the bull running
3 27 ▼ The pandemic takes a toll on microloan borrowers
“Well, last year we had
all 50 people on the
cover. Maybe we do one
person this year?”
GHANA: PHOTOGRAPH BY NICHOLAS SENU ADATSI FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK. SWIZZ BEATZ: PHOTOGRAPH BY TRACY NGUYEN FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK
“But it’s Bloomberg 50.
We need all 50.”
“No, 25 people.”
“OK, 12.”
from
0.75% to 1.59%
ibkr.com/lowrates
1.5m
people have died. The
American natural
gas fields by up to
$11b
13,000 employees. Brands include surgery to remove a blood clot from his
Topshop, Dorothy Perkins, and Burton. brain. He was 60.
diplomats. He should reduce ambassadorships awarded to ▶ Goldman Sachs’s ▶ New York’s school ▶ Online pet-food
U.S. Financial Services system is set to resume retailer Chewy reports
loyalists and fundraisers. Shrinking the size of the National Conference on Dec. 8 in-person classes earnings on Dec. 8. With
Security Council staff would also help restore the role of the features JPMorgan CEO beginning on Dec. 7, dog and cat parents
Jamie Dimon, KKR co- with students in 3-K avoiding walk-in stores
State Department in carrying out foreign policy. President Scott Nuttal, and pre-K programs and animal adoptions
The experience of Biden’s team also gives it credibility and Citigroup CFO Mark among those being soaring, its business
Mason as speakers. allowed to return. has boomed.
to carry out much-needed reforms of the diplomatic corps.
“We share a client-focused philosophy with First Republic.
They understand what we need to grow.”
BLEND
Nima Ghamsari, Founder and CEO
S
to attract investment. On Nov. 30, the Tesla chief
● The Tesla boss has won
executive officer swooped into the German capital
over many Germans, but labor for the third time in as many months to accept an
senses a growing threat award for his entrepreneurial achievements from
the publisher of the influential Bild tabloid.
But there’s one corner of the German economy
As Tesla Inc. builds its first European car factory, where the lovefest feels more like a standoff: the
in a patch of forest outside Berlin, Elon Musk has 2.3 million-member IG Metall labor union. The
been on a relentless charm offensive. He’s pledged group is on a collision course with the billionaire
to create thousands of jobs; he tweets in surprisingly that threatens to either undermine Musk’s ambi-
good German; and at a September event he donned tions or diminish the power of an organization that’s
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY 731
a heavy cord vest and wide-brimmed black felt hat long had an outsize role in the country’s auto indus-
like those traditionally worn by local craftspeople. try with its demands for better wages and shifts in
The message has been warmly received, with pol- strategy, backed up by the very real threat of strikes.
Edited by
iticians fast-tracking approvals for the factory and The conflict centers on Tesla’s refusal to sign James E. Ellis and
locals clamoring for jobs in a region that struggles the kind of collective wage agreements that are David Rocks
◼ BUSINESS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
standard in Germany. After the company ignored its warehouse workers. Musk wants to run his plant
a letter from IG Metall seeking a dialogue, things like a Silicon Valley startup—luring workers with
started getting testy. At a protest in Berlin, hun- unregulated salaries, stock options, and perks such
dreds of workers decried Tesla’s poaching of a key as a “mega rave cave” party space. If he succeeds,
manager from Daimler AG. And a local union leader he might well threaten IG Metall’s ability to get
released a statement admonishing Musk not to view what it wants from other automakers, who could
wage accords as “the work of the devil,” but rather point to lower costs at Tesla as they negotiate tough
as an essential component of peaceful labor rela- cutbacks to pay for investments in electric mobility.
tions. “It’s not good for an automobile manufac- Already, Musk has helped set a more con-
turer to be in permanent conflict with IG Metall,” frontational tone for German executives who’ve
says Christian Bäumler, deputy leader of a labor- long felt restrained by unions. VW CEO Herbert
affiliated faction of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party. Diess, a big fan of the Tesla boss, has repeatedly
“The union has organizational power, it has money, clashed with IG Metall and bemoans what he
it has experience. It can endure a long fight.” calls the “old, encrusted” structure of the world’s
Musk, too, has plenty of power, experience, and best-selling carmaker. Suppliers Continental AG
especially money—in November he surpassed Bill and Schaeffler AG have vowed to cut thousands
Gates as the world’s second-richest person—and he of jobs and close or sell factories despite heavy
rarely backs away from a fight. With his factory rap-
idly rising from the sandy plot adjacent to Berlin’s
beltway Autobahn, he’s managed to neutralize the
bureaucratic resistance that can slow big projects
in Germany, courting top officials such as Economy
Minister Peter Altmaier, who promised whatever
is needed to get the plant operating by mid-2021.
Musk’s pressure to go electric has started a “success-
16 ful revolution” in the car industry, Altmaier said at
a conference on Nov. 24. “Without him, we would
have never ever achieved this.”
The Tesla factory, Germany’s first new auto
plant in two decades, promises to create as many
as 40,000 jobs in eastern Germany, a region that lost
most of its heavy industry during World War II and
atrophied during the country’s decades of separa-
tion. It’s being built as domestic manufacturers and
suppliers lay off tens of thousands of employees in
anticipation of the shift to battery-powered vehicles, criticism from unions. And Daimler CEO Ola ▲ An IG Metall
protest in Berlin over
which require fewer parts assembled by fewer work- Kallenius has drawn labor’s ire by culling some Tesla’s poaching of a
ers. The site is central to Tesla’s European growth unlimited employment contracts in favor of more Daimler executive
Musk is no friend of organized labor. When an place of the combustion engine may ultimately
employee at Tesla’s plant in California in 2017 sought prove a blessing for an industry that can be slow
assistance from the United Auto Workers to unionize to change, says Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, director of
the site, Musk fired off an email suggesting the man automotive research at the University of Duisburg-
was seeking to undermine the company and later Essen. For unions, by contrast, there’s little upside
hinted that organizing the factory would mean no as Musk’s arrival represents growing peril for a
more stock options. A judge last year reprimanded model that may have run its course. “Our corpo-
Tesla for repeatedly violating the National Labor rate culture tends to keep things the way they’ve
Relations Act, a ruling the company has appealed, always been,” Dudenhöffer says. “Musk is some-
saying it was the result of a “smear campaign” by the one who can break that open.” �Stefan Nicola and
union and unsupported by the facts. Christoph Rauwald
For IG Metall, the concern is that Tesla will
follow in the footsteps of Amazon.com Inc., which THE BOTTOM LINE A Tesla factory is being built even as German
manufacturers cut thousands of jobs to adapt to making electric
has expanded in Germany without wage deals for vehicles, which require fewer parts assembled by fewer workers.
◼ BUSINESS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
In 2008 at least six babies died and 300,000 fell ill Local names account for seven of the top 10
after drinking made-in-China infant formula tainted cosmetics brands, up from just three in 2017,
with toxic chemicals. In response, many Chinese according to market researcher Daxue Consulting.
parents embraced foreign brands, catapulting the L’Oréal SA’s Maybelline makeup line has seen
likes of Danone SA’s Aptamil and Nestlé SA’s Illuma its share in China plunge, to 9.1% last year from
to the top of the market. Yet for the past two years, more than 20% in 2010, according to Euromonitor
the leading formula brand in China has been made International. In the skin care and lotion category,
by China Feihe Ltd., a Beijing company that empha- the share of L’Oréal Paris dropped, to 4.5% last
sizes its local roots rather than seeking to obscure year from 5.6% in 2014, putting it neck and neck
them. “More suitable for Chinese babies,” the com- with local brand Pechoin. The growing strength of
pany’s advertising boasts. Chinese cosmetics makers can be traced to their
In categories ranging from baby food and bottled smart online strategy, according to Derek Deng,
water to sportswear and skin cream, Chinese brands a partner in Shanghai with Bain & Co. “Insurgent
are putting pressure on global rivals that depend on Chinese brands are more likely to be digital from
the country for much of their growth. While increas- Day One,” he says, while multinationals tend to
ing nationalism has boosted the momentum of favor physical stores. 17
domestic products for the past couple of years, the Perfect Diary, launched in 2017, now stands
Covid-19 pandemic is hastening the shift. With prices just behind several European-owned brands, with
typically lower than foreign brands’, domestic prod- 4% of the crowded market for so-called color cos-
ucts have increasing appeal in times of constrained metics such as lipstick and mascara, Euromonitor
household budgets, and the growth of online sales estimates. Its advertising stresses that its prod-
has weakened the multinationals’ advantages in ucts come from the same manufacturers as Dior,
distribution and marketing. “Chinese shoppers are Lancôme, and Armani but sell for less than
showing stronger confidence in local brands,” says one-third the price. It’s teamed with Mondelez
Helen Wong of Qiming Venture Partners, which has International’s Oreos for a skin foundation cream
backed local startups such as lingerie maker Neiwai (no, it doesn’t contain ground-up cookies; the box ▼ Top-selling brands in
China by percentage-
and cafe chain Coffee Box. “The coronavirus is accel- looks like an Oreo). On Singles Day, the Nov. 11 point change in market
erating the trend as people stay home, watch lives- shopping palooza organized by Alibaba Group share, 2010 to 2019
treaming, and shop.” Holding Ltd., Perfect Diary’s online store included ◼ Domestic brand
Investors have piled into domestic companies livestreams of influencers pitching products such
that are overtaking multinational rivals, doubling as animal-themed eye shadow (co-branded with the Skin care
the combined value of China’s 500 top brands in Discovery Channel) featuring colors and packaging ① L’Oréal Paris -1.2
the past four years to about $3.8 trillion, according inspired by rabbits, deer, and fish. “We’ve proven ② Pechoin
to marketing consultancy World Brand Lab. Clothing we can stand out in a highly competitive market,” ③ Lancôme
and shoe manufacturer Anta Sports Products, which says David Huang, chief executive officer of Yatsen.
in 2018 passed Nike to become China’s No. 2 sports Foreign brands aren’t finished in China, of Baby formula
apparel brand behind Adidas, is up more than 50% course. They dominate categories such as high-end ① Feihe 8.3
this year even as the benchmark Hang Seng index handbags and luxury cars. Estée Lauder Cos. sold ② Aptamil
has fallen 6%. Shares of China’s biggest bottled more than 2 billion yuan ($300 million) of products ③ Illuma
water brand, Nongfu Spring, have more than dou- on Singles Day with a livestreaming campaign, two-
bled since its September Hong Kong trading debut. for-one discounts, and installment payment plans. Sports apparel
Yatsen Holding, owner of cosmetics house Perfect And KFC—still the biggest fast-food chain in China—is ① Adidas 12.9
Diary, a growing threat to the likes of L’Oréal and supplementing its fried chicken with products such ② Anta
Estée Lauder, has jumped 75% since its U.S. initial as fast-cooking stinky sour snail noodles to cater ③ Nike
VACCINE: ALEX KRAUS/BLOOMBERG. GOLDSMITH: COURTESY COMPASS PATHWAYS. *FOR A SIX-MONTH SHELF LIFE. DATA: COMPANY STATEMENTS
Air Transport Association, the industry’s chief lobby.
Deliver Vaccines “The world is counting on us.”
IATA estimates that the equivalent of 8,000 loads ▼ Vaccine storage
temperature*
in a 110-ton-capacity Boeing 747 freighter will be
● The pandemic has vastly reduced airlines’ needed for the airlift, which will take two years AstraZeneca
capacity to haul freight to supply some 14 billion doses, or almost two for 2C to 8C 0C
every man, woman, and child on Earth. It’s a tall
order, given about one-third of the global passenger
The coronavirus has left Deutsche Lufthansa AG’s fleet is still in storage, based on data from travel
passenger fleet flying at just 25% capacity. But analytics provider Cirium. Moderna
in a set of cooled warehouses on the fringes of One of the biggest challenges will be finding -20C
Frankfurt’s airport, a 20-member task force is hard enough planes. There are some 2,000 dedicated
at work figuring out how the carrier can manage freighters in use, carrying about half of all goods
the coming boom in a different part of its business: moved by air. The remainder of the freight typically
airlifting millions of doses of the vaccines meant to goes in the bellies of the world’s 22,000 passenger
end the global pandemic. jetliners. Air cargo volume has tumbled this year,
Lufthansa, one of the world’s biggest cargo not for lack of demand, but because so many pas-
carriers, began planning in April in anticipation of senger planes are sitting idle. Airlines have drafted
the shots that AstraZeneca, Moderna, Pfizer, and about 2,500 passenger planes into cargo-only roles,
others are developing in record time. Now that the but distributing the vaccine would be easier if fleets Pfizer
drugmakers are starting to apply for authorization, were flying their usual schedules. -70C
Lufthansa’s task force is rushing to devise ways to At the start, space will be limited because of
fit more of the crucial payload onto the airline’s 15 competing demand from merchants seeking to
Boeing 777 and MD-11 freighters, along with hold deliver goods bought online during the Christmas
space in its passenger jets. “The question is how season. Then the sheer volume of vials from
BUSINESS
H and may have saved its IPO But its relative resilience in an historically bad year
for the travel industry is also a result of a flexible
business model that allowed the company to meet
Jeff Iloulian braced for his business to crash when customers in the places they wanted to go.
N the Covid-19 pandemic set in this spring. Iloulian Airbnb filed to go public on Nov. 16 and is seek-
runs HostGPO, a company that helps owners who ing to raise $2.6 billion in an offering that could
rent property through Airbnb and similar platforms value the company at almost $35 billion. That’s
negotiate discounts on household products and fur- up from a 2017 funding deal that valued Airbnb
L
20
This would have been a disaster for HostGPO, much different than it did a year ago. Gross book-
except that those same property managers were ings in Airbnb’s top 20 cities fell by half in September
doing big business in rural markets, and they compared with the year before, while bookings out-
began hunting for real estate in places not known side those major markets was down 19%, the com-
G
demand moved around, it didn’t vanish.”
The shifting geography of Iloulian’s business
helped save his year. It also saved Airbnb, the
short-term rental platform that most of his cli-
by roughly two-thirds, and travelers taking lodgings Airbnb Nights and Experiences Booked
less than 50 miles from their homes constituted the By travel distance, in miles By trip length
fastest-growing part of the business. Fewer than 50 50 to 500 1 to 27 nights 28 nights or more
Airbnb has never fit into existing categories. More than 500
Silicon Valley claims it as a tech startup, one of the
shining stars of a sector once referred to as the shar-
ing economy. Hotel chains see it as a threat while 24m
alternative to hotels that either seemed too boring 10/2019 9/2020 10/2019 9/2020
or were too expensive. For customers, it’s an alter-
PHOTOGRAPH BY DAMON CASAREZ FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK. DATA: AIRBNB
DATA: AIRBNB
native to Marriott, not Priceline.com.
The company is outshining OTAs and hotel com- resembles right now may be budget hotels. Choice
panies during the pandemic, both of which it listed Hotels International Inc., which franchises brands
as competitors in its IPO filing. Unlike other OTAs, such as Comfort Inn and Econo Lodge, has also ben-
Airbnb doesn’t book flights, and it doesn’t need busi- efited as families canceled flights and took road trips
ness travel or big conventions as much as traditional instead. Many motels let guests enter rooms from
hotels do. All this left it less exposed to the specific the parking lot, bypassing common areas. Choice’s
shape of pandemic-era weakness in travel. When revenue fell 31% for the first nine months of the
Covid-19 turned hotel (and apartment building) lob- year, right in line with Airbnb over the same period. 21
bies and elevators into worrisome zones of potential The company also shares one of the primary
infection, the company played up its ability to offer problems cheap hotels face: crime. Roadside motels
isolated destinations and prodded hosts to offer dis- have persistent issues with drug dealing and pros-
counts to customers booking longer-term stays. titution; Airbnb’s “party house” problem has led to
The part of the travel industry Airbnb most lawsuits blaming it for its role in shootings, other
◀ Iloulian says that “The
crimes, and the spread of Covid-19. The company demand moved around,
declined to comment but has recently highlighted it didn’t vanish”
Amazon faced the prospect of an escalating con- Jay Modrall, a Brussels-based lawyer for Norton
flict with the European Union in November when Rose Fulbright, because the EU is considering
Margrethe Vestager, the EU’s competition chief, proposals that could set clear guidelines for how
laid out evidence that the company may have large tech companies operate. The new rules, set
unfairly used sales data from smaller retailers on its to be published in December, could weaken the
platform. The specter of Amazon using such data desire to pursue enforcement actions; the EU
to identify emerging trends has been a major con- has closed a number of antitrust probes based on
cern for regulators worldwide, and interest from pledges to change behavior with no fines, includ-
Vestager—perhaps the world’s most feared anti- ing two this year.
trust enforcer—was an ominous sign. The EU also The shadow of the fight with Google also hangs
recently started a second probe into how the com- over any future EU enforcement action against
pany picks products for a highlighted “buy box.” U.S. tech companies. For the EU, the Google probe
But while Vestager laid the groundwork for served as a test of strength, showing the regulator ○ Vestager
what could be a repeat of the bruising fight the EU could finalize a complex case under intense pres-
22 has waged against Alphabet Inc.’s Google, result- sure. Vestager’s predecessor, Joaquín Almunia,
ing in fines of about $9 billion, she has also struck was forced to pull back on his planned settlement
a surprisingly conciliatory note, hinting that
Amazon.com Inc. might not have to head down
the same track.
The difference may be Amazon’s willingness to
address enforcers’ concerns before the legal pro-
cess goes too far. Amazon settled a 2017 EU probe
into e-books, says Vestager, and has worked with
other regulators, such as Germany’s Federal Cartel
Office. “Amazon has been very forthcoming to solve
the issues at stake” in other cases, Vestager told
reporters on Nov. 10. While Google did try to set-
tle three investigations the EU waged over the past
decade, its offers either came too late to be taken
seriously or didn’t go far enough to soothe angry
rivals and their political supporters.
Both Amazon and Vestager’s office declined to
comment. Amazon said in November that it dis-
agrees with the antitrust charges, and that it sup-
ports small businesses while facing significant with Google after publishers and politicians said An Amazon
sorting facility in
competition from them. it didn’t go far enough. Schoenefeld, Germany
Amazon may have scored some points with Vestager pursued three separate actions against
Vestager by remaining “open throughout to making Google and ended up imposing record fines on
changes in its business practices, rather than start- the company related to its advertising contracts,
ing out by saying its conduct is unassailable and shopping, and Android. Still, critics slam the EU
it has nothing to concede,” says William Kovacic, for taking too long and not imposing behavioral
a law professor at George Washington University changes on Google that would make it easier for
and a former Federal Trade Commission chairman. smaller companies to compete. EU officials say
Timing might be on Amazon’s side, says their job was merely to stop the bad behavior—and
◼ TECHNOLOGY Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
not necessarily to give small companies a boost. Salesforce will inherit the rivalry, potentially compli-
Vestager has said she wishes she’d been bolder. cating its own turbulent relationship with Microsoft.
But her campaign against Google has changed the Both Salesforce and Slack have tried to get regu-
atmosphere around antitrust enforcement enough lators to scrutinize Microsoft in recent years, with
to open up other avenues to force change. She no Salesforce unsuccessfully urging European nations
longer needs to score a win against Silicon Valley. to block Microsoft’s 2016 acquisition of LinkedIn,
Amazon also isn’t facing one key factor that the professional networking service. Microsoft
kept the pressure on Google. While dozens of considered buying Slack before deciding in 2017 to
companies filed complaints against the search build Teams instead. In July, Slack asked European
giant, Amazon sellers—the purported victims of Union antitrust regulators to investigate Microsoft,
its anticompetitive behavior—have been relatively claiming it unfairly foists Teams software on mil-
quiet. Agustin Reyna, legal director of consumer lions of users by distributing it for free with its
advocacy group BEUC, says he would support an Office cloud product suite.
Amazon offer to make sure consumers get the best Microsoft’s Dynamics 365 already competes with
choice of sellers and the lowest prices. One thing Salesforce in the market for software that salespeo-
he says wouldn’t be good either for sellers or cus- ple use to manage their deal pipelines. The two
tomers: “Endless litigation.” �Aoife White also vie for clients trying to improve productivity
with Microsoft’s Office 365 and Salesforce’s Quip,
THE BOTTOM LINE Amazon appears to be taking a cooperative
approach with European antitrust enforcers, who have their own
an acquired product that is a market laggard. But
reasons to play nice. Microsoft may see Slack as a bigger threat than the
company that purchased it, says Gregg Johnson, a
former Salesforce executive. “Slack’s use case hits
at the heart of Microsoft’s information worker’s
productivity suite,” he says. “That’s like the jewels
Salesforce Aims in the crown of Microsoft.” ▼ Slack revenue
Salesforce’s largest deal before this, buying
At Microsoft Tableau for about $15 billion last year, was an $800m
23
chief executive officer, is making his most aggres- But Benioff still seemed far off from his long- FY ’17 FY ’21
sive move yet to take on Microsoft. running goal for Salesforce to play a big role in
ESTIMATE
Benioff sees the deal as a chance for Salesforce, a office communications. The company introduced a
maker of cloud-based apps for managing customer Slack-like tool called Chatter at its annual user con-
relationships, to elevate itself to the very top of the ference in 2009, the same year Slack was founded.
software industry. Marketers and account represen- Salesforce included Chatter with its other products
tatives already log on to Salesforce’s programs every and even bought a 2011 Super Bowl ad featuring
day, but buying Slack, an existing partner with less a cartoon version of recording artist Will.i.am to
than $1 billion in annual revenue, gets it onto the promote it, but it didn’t spark much conversation.
desktops and smartphones of a broad new swath Slack gives Salesforce another chance, and it’s
of corporate employees. “We’re going to help them starting from a position of strength. The two com-
to just redefine the entire industry,” Benioff said of panies said their vision is to “create the operating
Slack during a conference call with analysts. “When system for the new way to work.” It was hard to
the moment and the opportunity arises, you have miss how much that sounded like a veiled reference
to look and ask yourself, are you strong? Can you to Microsoft, maker of the most popular operat-
do something like this? Or are you weak? Or is it a ing system for personal computers. �Nico Grant,
moment where you just don’t have the swagger?” with Dina Bass
Microsoft Corp.’s Teams product, which hosts
THE BOTTOM LINE Salesforce has been cultivating a rivalry with
videoconferences, offers a workplace chatroom, and Microsoft for years, and its purchase of Slack is a major escalation
provides automation tools, is a top rival to Slack. that will expand its reach to corporate employees.
from equities margin?
When you trade futures, you often wind up with a lot of questions. That’s why, at TD Ameritrade, we have
on-demand education, futures specialists ready to talk day and night, and an intuitive trading platform.
So whatever the question, you’ll have all the answers you need.
Learn more at tdameritrade.com/tradefutures
Futures trading is speculative, and is not suitable for all investors. Futures trading services provided by TD Ameritrade Futures and Forex LLC. Trading
privileges subject to review and approval. Not all clients will qualify. Futures accounts are not protected by SIPC. All investments involve risk, including
risk of loss. TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. © 2019 TD Ameritrade.
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
3
of Vail Resorts Inc. “There’s a lot of pent-up
demand for leisure travel.”
Edite
ed by
egnier
Pat Re
◼ FINANCE Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
2016, while those tracking industrials received doesn’t come up with additional economic stimulus
the most since January 2018, and energy ETFs took and aid for laid-off workers.
in the most new cash since March as oil rebounded So how long might this shift actually last?
to a more than eight-month high on Nov. 25. “Everyone has been trying to time the growth-to-
At its heart, the rotation is based on the idea that value trade for years now,” says Dave Wagner, port-
there’s a lot of money in the economy waiting to be folio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors.
spent on things besides video streaming and online This time, he thinks the turnaround brought about
shopping. The U.S. personal savings rate was 7.2% at by a vaccine could be enough to make a rotation
the end of 2019. By April it had surged to 33.7%, and stick. “Unlike the past few times we’ve seen, there’s
it was still 13.6% in October—almost double where it a better backdrop for value,” he says. “You have a
started the year. Deposits at U.S. commercial banks longer runway that can continue to drive value for-
swelled to almost $16 trillion in November, up from ward in the future, more so than growth.”
$13.2 trillion at the end of last year. If consumers Rob Arnott, the founder of investment adviser
revert to their pre-pandemic ways, that could set Research Affiliates, has for years been a steadfast
off what Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist for advocate for stocks with low valuations and a skep-
the Leuthold Group, has called “a growth bomb,” tic of the growth-stock boom. “I’ve been called a
as companies gear up to replace lean inventories. perma-bear,” he says. “But I love stocks when
Fund managers with a value bias say there are they’re cheap.” Until pretty recently, that’s been
still opportunities to take advantage of the change in a tough stance to hold: Over the past decade, the
investors’ tastes. Chris Davis of Davis Funds points Russell index of value stocks has lagged growth
to the banks Wells Fargo & Co. and Capital One stocks by an annualized 6.7 percentage points. But
Financial Corp., whose prices were hammered when Arnott says when value is in style, it can dominate ▼ Change since Oct. 1
in Russell 1000 indexes
the lockdowns began in March and still haven’t fully for a long time. After the tech bubble burst 20 years
Value
recovered. Davis thinks investors have overlooked ago, the Russell 1000 Value Index did better than
Growth
how banking regulations enacted after the global the Russell 1000 Growth Index from March 2000
26 financial crisis have made these lenders better able until August 2006. “The original tech bubble in
to handle recessions. “When you look at their valu- 2000—how many of the 10 largest market-cap tech 15%
ations, the amount of cash they produce, the capital stocks beat the market over the next 10 years?” he
ratios that they have, the reserves they’ve been able asks. “Zero. Not one.”
to put up—they really have this characteristic of resil- One big difference from 2000: Growth and tech
ience and durability and yet are priced at this sort of stocks aren’t exactly on the ropes—they just haven’t
YUNUS: J. COUNTESS/GETTY IMAGES. ACCRA: PHOTOGRAPH BY NICHOLAS SENU ADATSI FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK. DATA: BLOOMBERG
shockingly low level,” he says. been the fastest risers in recent weeks. Still, Arnott
The star money managers of the growth-stock says that, much as in 2000, investors may finally 0
world, who rode the outperformance of tech to be starting to see growth stocks as overpriced and
dazzling returns, have also taken notice of the value stocks as the better deal. “I do think we’re -5
shifting mood. Cathie Wood, whose firm, ARK going to see somewhere between impressive and 10/1/20 12/1/20
Investment Management, runs three of the top 10 stupendous outperformance for value over the
best-performing ETFs this year, said in a recent next three to five years,” he says.
webinar that an economic recovery “may bene- The technology bulls remain unflustered. Vance
fit many value sectors in the short term.” But she Howard of Howard Capital Management, which has
argues that even without a pandemic, many tradi- bet big on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index, says
tional industries are still vulnerable to being dis- tech stocks are still doing well enough in compari-
placed by new technology. “The value world will son to value to suggest that market sentiment hasn’t
be a little bit of a minefield,” she said. switched yet. He thinks some of the hype around
Wall Street has heard the rotation song before. the rotation is a result of value fund managers who
What looked for a moment like some durable rota- missed out on most of this year’s rally and need a
tions from growth to value in recent years ended up story to tell clients. “A lot of managers want to start
fizzling out. And rotations don’t typically occur in preaching their book because they’ve got to make up
a perfectly orderly way—on some days the changes a reason why they’re down,” he says. But for now, at
in market leadership make it appear that investors least, investors who’ve taken the road less traveled
are once again more worried about the virus than have some good numbers to brag about. �Michael
they are optimistic about vaccines. There’s still a P. Regan, Vildana Hajric, and Claire Ballentine
difficult winter and a U.S. presidential transition
THE BOTTOM LINE With a vaccine on the horizon, investors are
ahead, and the economy could sustain more dam- betting there’s a lot of pent-up demand that will start to flow to
age than investors are counting on if Washington companies beyond the usual tech winners.
FINANCE Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
Peter Manu was a microlending success story. For tend to be for-profit firms, which often borrow from
a dozen years, by borrowing a few hundred dollars bigger institutions to make loans. “Covid-19 has
at a time, he’d been able to buy children’s shoes to really created a problem in many countries, because
sell in the central bus terminal in Accra, Ghana’s obviously people can’t afford to repay their loans,”
capital. With the proceeds, he paid his debts and Bateman says. “That means the microfinance insti-
had enough left over to provide for his two chil- tutions can’t afford to repay the banks.”
dren. Then Accra’s schools closed in response to Some governments have tried to intervene. India
the coronavirus pandemic. Foot traffic in the bus put a moratorium on collections for six months
terminal dried up, and so did Manu’s sales. He’s through the end of August. In Nigeria, where 4 mil-
switched to handbags, but things are still difficult. lion people owe on average $110, the central bank
“I can’t even take care of my kids,” he says. Nor can gave microlenders approval to extend repayment or
he make payments on his 2,000 cedis ($343) loan. suspend interest or principal payments. But getting ○ Yunus
The microlending movement, which envisions customers to respond and agree to the new terms
small loans as a lever to raise millions of people out isn’t easy. “We deal with very low-income earners,
of poverty, has drawn broad support from govern- those at the bottom of the pyramid. Their businesses
ments and sizable investments from foreign finan- are very fragile,” says Shikir Caleb, executive secre-
cial institutions. The small loans can help the poor tary of the National Association of Microfinance
buy what they need to make a living, and they come Banks. “If we send a message to them to come and 27
from an array of lenders including specialized banks, discuss, they think we’re inviting them to come and
local credit unions, and partnerships between banks pay the loans, so they don’t come.”
and nongovernmental organizations. In the 15 years In Ghana, where about 22% of people carry small
since Muhammad Yunus won the Nobel Peace Prize loans, tailors’ business has slowed down because
for his work on the concept, the number of micro- of restrictions on public gatherings, and taxi driv-
loan borrowers has ballooned to 140 million, with ers aren’t earning commissions. “We’re talking
$124 billion in loans outstanding. about a class of people who only make income by
But the economic fallout from the pandemic has going out on a day-to-day basis,” says Tweneboah
decimated small borrowers’ ability to pay. The cur- Kodua Boakye, executive secretary of the Ghana
rent crisis compounds reports of abuse and aggres- Association of Savings and Loans Cos. Some borrow-
sive collection tactics in some countries, including ers who lenders believed were safe are defaulting. A salesman at Accra’s
Cambodia, India, and Nigeria. “When a microloan That doesn’t bode well for inclusion of the poor Tema bus station
client misses a payment, they are almost always
contacted by a credit officer within a couple of
days,” says Naly Pilorge, a human-rights advocate
in Cambodia, where 2 million borrowers owe micro-
lenders about $4,000 on average. “The pressure var-
ies, ranging from reminders to repay, to abusive or
threatening language, to direct threats of involving
local authorities or police, to threats of selling the cli-
ent’s land without their consent,” Pilorge says. Kea
Borann, chairman of the Cambodia Microfinance
Association, says such accusations are “obviously
overstated” though there are “isolated cases.”
Part of the problem is that the promise of micro-
credit relied on local, purpose-driven lenders who’d
be forgiving of delinquent borrowers, says Milford
Bateman, a visiting professor of economics at Juraj
Dobrila University of Pula, in Croatia. Today, lenders
◼ FINANCE Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
28
into formal financial institutions, another goal of defined then as those who lived on less than $1.90 ▲ Manu sells his wares
microlending. In Asia about 90% of the 180 million per day, “even small debts—most frequently used
poor households lack access to banks, while most to meet immediate consumption needs—can eas-
formal financial institutions deny the poor their ily become a significant burden that push a family
services because of perceived risk, according to the deeper into poverty,” the report said.
Asian Development Bank. About a third of microfinance companies say they
In an interview, Yunus defends microlending anticipate “a solvency issue” by early 2021, accord-
as practiced by the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh. ing to a report from Washington-based Consultative “We have to
There, borrowers don’t put up collateral. The bank Group to Assist the Poor. If the deterioration con- distinguish
also has rules to protect borrowers during disasters, tinues, the group warns, the sector “could get into between
such as issuing fresh loans to compensate for lost global crisis territory soon,” leaving strapped gov- the right
capital, suspending repayment, or extending a loan ernments to bail out lenders. microcredit
period. Many other lenders, he says, are not guided In India, which instituted microlending reforms and the wrong
PHOTOGRAPH BY NICHOLAS SENU ADATSI FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK
by social principles, and may ask for collateral or almost a decade ago following allegations of aggres- microcredit”
push loans for consumer goods. “We have to distin- sive collection practices, the central bank projects
guish between the right microcredit and the wrong that the share of loans in default will jump from 8.5%
microcredit,” Yunus says. “Microcredit lenders who to 12.5% by March. Lenders are now focused on col-
follow the social business principle of zero personal lections and reluctant to renew loans. That’s a big
profit—and the others who want to make profit for problem for Anil Kumar Gupta, a carpenter in Uttar
the owners, supported by big investors, and banks, Pradesh who’s subsisted on microloans to feed his
saying, ‘We’re doing microcredit.’” family of nine. “No bank wants to lend money with-
Signs of trouble for the microcredit indus- out security,” he says. �Philip Heijmans, Emele Onu,
try were there long before Covid. After years sup- Moses Mozart Dzawu, and Suvashree Ghosh
porting microfinance institutions, the U.S. Agency
THE BOTTOM LINE Microfinance can provide low-income people
for International Development in a 2018 report to with the money they need to run a small busines, but the pandemic
Congress cast doubt on the loans. For the very poor, is making the loans riskier for them—and their lenders.
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
E Lost on
C
O Main Street
N The Fed’s program to save midsize businesses
isn’t working, and it isn’t clear there’s an easy fix
O
M
I
30
C
S
ILLUSTRATION BY KLAUS KREMMERZ. *AS OF NOV. 25, 2020. DATA: FEDERAL RESERVE, U.S. SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
Edited by
Cristina Lindblad
◼ ECONOMICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
It sounded like a great idea back in April. With The central bank’s purchases amounted to tiny
the economy getting hammered by Covid-19, the slivers of these vast markets, but its reassuring
Federal Reserve hatched a bold plan to rescue presence caused private investors to flood back
thousands of midsize companies that were fall- in, knowing they wouldn’t get trapped with illiq-
ing into a gap between government aid programs. uid holdings if panic returned.
Using its magic printing press, the U.S. cen- While the Fed was tending to the needs of
tral bank would take $75 billion appropriated by larger companies, the Treasury Department was
Congress and turn it into as much as $600 billion teeing up a rescue for small businesses. Despite a
in loans to companies damaged by the pandemic. messy launch, the Paycheck Protection Program
The effort now appears to have been doomed ended up ladling out about $525 billion in loans,
from the start, squeezed between legal restric- most of which morphed into grants when borrow-
tions on the Fed’s emergency powers and the risk ers used the funds to keep workers on their pay-
aversion of the banks that the program relied on roll and to pay bills. ▼ Value of loans issued
to make loans. Eight months in, the Main Street Slipping between these safety nets was a whole
Paycheck Protection
Lending Program has pushed less than $6 billion layer of businesses—estimated to encompass 40% of Program
out the door. the U.S. economy—that were too big for PPP and too
“There’s been bipartisan acknowledgment small to access the bond market. So on April 9 the
that Main Street isn’t working,” says Bharat Fed unveiled a plan that looked like a win for every-
Ramamurti, who sits on the congressional com- one: Midsize companies would be thrown a lifeline, $525.0b
mission charged with supervising the spending preserving jobs and helping to sustain the economy,
authorized by the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and and the Fed would show it cared about Main Street.
Economic Security Act. “I don’t think anybody Vincent Reinhart, a former senior economist
is under the illusion this program is solving the at the Fed, says the central bank took a lot of Main Street Lending
problems that exist.” heat in the last financial crisis for going all-out to Program*
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced help big banks while appearing not to lift a finger
$5.8b
on Nov. 19 that he wouldn’t approve an extension for the average American. “It was Wall Street vs. 31
of the program, along with four other emergency Main Street, and going into this it was evident Jay
lending facilities, past Dec. 31, but Democrats Powell wasn’t going to make that mistake again,”
might be able to revive it. Some, including Virginia says Reinhart, referring to the Fed chair. “I’m not
Senator Mark Warner, clearly want to. “As we’re saying it was insincere, but I am saying it was stra-
looking at the virus actually accelerating at this tegic, as well.”
point, and the potential for businesses even Despite the good intentions, the Main Street
going into more duress, the idea that we’d end Lending Program’s effectiveness has been ham-
the program arbitrarily on Dec. 31—I just think pered by crucial design flaws. Unlike with its
makes no sense,” Warner says. “We think we other emergency programs, the Fed must rely on
need to make adjustments on both program eligi- banks to process the loans, as it lacks the capa-
bility, loans terms, and weight, so this works for bility to do its own underwriting. To come up
more firms.” with a set of terms that would entice lenders—as
It’s difficult to see how a few tweaks would well as borrowers—to participate, Fed staff con-
suddenly resolve the real issues that afflict the sulted extensively with banks and companies.
program. Those start with the limits on the Fed’s The upshot: Funds didn’t begin trickling out until
emergency powers. The central bank can lend July, almost three months after the first of the
almost infinite amounts of money, but it can’t PPP money.
give it away. That means the Fed must reasonably Since then, the Fed has continued to fiddle with
expect repayment on loans and must charge rates the Main Street rules, and it’s lowered the mini-
that won’t end up undercutting private lenders. mum loan size, but the changes haven’t worked:
The institution hasn’t run into those issues As of Nov. 25, the program had purchased just
in the other programs it unfurled this spring to $5.8 billion in loans from banks.
prevent capital markets from seizing as they did In a survey released in September, loan offi-
during the 2008 financial crisis. The Fed used cers told the Fed that “overly restrictive” terms
two facilities to buy ultrashort-term securities for borrowers and “unattractive” terms for lend-
from money-market funds and from banks that ers were preventing the program from taking off.
act as market makers for all investors. It also lubri- When a company was deemed worthy of credit,
cated longer-term credit markets by announcing it banks preferred to make loans without the Fed’s
would buy corporate and municipal bonds. participation, the respondents said. And when
ECONOMICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
“For businesses in this category that are strug- national standards. Momentum on reforms has
gling right now, a loan is not going to be the right accelerated this year, with several papal edicts,
solution for most of them,” he says. “We need to including one establishing a new code for public
provide direct support.” tenders to ward against corruption and conflicts
Asked if Congress could have done more good of interest.
by simply giving away $75 billion to midsize com- Francis, who once called money “the devil’s
panies in March, Warner agreed. “With the bene- dung” and whose latest papal encyclical contains
fit of hindsight? A smaller amount, straight grant a fiery criticism of neoliberalism as a system that
program? Yeah.” —Christopher Condon and resorts to “magic theories of ‘spillover’ or ‘trickle’ ”
Catarina Saraiva to solve societal problems, wants the Vatican
to lead by example. “We have to walk the talk,”
THE BOTTOM LINE The Fed’s Main Street Lending Program
doesn’t provide sufficient incentives for banks, which have pushed
says Father Augusto Zampini, a papal compatriot
out less than $6 billion in loans so far. who is adjunct secretary at the Vatican’s human
◼ ECONOMICS
Bitcoin is an investable store of value asset that operates independent of the traditional financial system.
Investors who worry about today’s fiscal profligacy should recognize the value in bitcoin’s inherent
scarcity—its hard-coded fixed supply makes it a compelling hedge against inflation. Moreover, bitcoin
has outperformed all major asset classes over 1-, 5-, and 10-year periods, and it still has room to run.1
Galaxy Bitcoin Funds are low management fee, institutional grade vehicles for bitcoin exposure.
We provide streamlined execution, secure third-party custody, familiar reporting, and dedicated
client service for a more seamless and transparent investing experience.
1
Source: Galaxy Digital Research as of 9/30/20. Past performance of bitcoin is not indicative of future results. Performance of bitcoin varies depending
on the length of time period analyzed, which could result in returns that are greater or less than the performance shown above. The performance of the
Galaxy Bitcoin Funds may vary from the performance of bitcoin.
Securities transactions are effected through Galaxy Digital Partners LLC, a member of FINRA and SIPC. If any offer and sale of securities is made, it will
be pursuant to the confidential offering memorandum of the Galaxy Bitcoin Fund (the Offering Memorandum). Any decision to make an investment in
the Galaxy Bitcoin Fund should be made after reviewing such Offering Memorandum, conducting such investigations as the investor deems necessary,
and consulting the investor’s own investment, legal, accounting, and tax advisors in order to make an independent determination of the suitability and
consequences of an investment. Management fees do not include expenses. For important disclosures, please visit galaxyfundmanagement.com/disclaimers
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
P
O
L
I
T
I
C
35
Edited by
Amanda Kolson Hurley
and Paula Dwyer
POLITICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
Marijuana isn’t technically on the ballot in Senate side is Vice President-elect Kamala Harris.
Georgia’s Jan. 5 Senate runoff elections. But it might But it will go nowhere if the Republicans win
as well be: Cannabis advocates and trade groups the Senate seats in Georgia and McConnell remains
are zeroing in on the state in hopes of ousting—or majority leader. Even if the Democrats prevail,
converting to their cause—its two Republican sen- the bill—known as the Marijuana Opportunity
ators, Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue, who’ll face Reinvestment and Expungement (MORE) Act—
Democratic opponents Raphael Warnock and Jon would still face a 60-vote hurdle to passage. But
Ossoff, respectively. How the races go will deter- Democratic control of the Senate would mean it
mine which party controls the U.S. Senate, and that could come to the floor, and serious negotiations
○ Kuipers Blake
could be pivotal for the future of the $17 billion U.S. on decriminalization and regulation could begin.
cannabis industry. The MORE Act is not the only pot reform with
Sam D’Arcangelo, the project manager for the prospects. Senator Pat Toomey, a Pennsylvania
Cannabis Voter Project, has immersed himself Republican, is set to take over the banking commit-
in voter registration data in Georgia and says he tee and has said he’s receptive to a measure called
hopes his group’s corporate partners will convey to the Secure and Fair Enforcement (SAFE) Banking
customers and suppliers how critical the contests Act, which would allow banks to serve the industry
there are. The national Drug Policy Alliance is look- even if marijuana remains illegal federally.
ing to support Warnock and Ossoff with donations The American Bankers Association “has made
from its political action committee. this a priority,” says Melissa Kuipers Blake, who
Just a month ago the industry got a boost when co-chairs the cannabis practice at Brownstein Hyatt
five states passed ballot measures approving can- Farber Schreck and who lobbies for the Cannabis
nabis use. Arizona and New Jersey joined deep-red Trade Federation. An ABA spokesperson says the
Montana and South Dakota in allowing the sale of group is “optimistic that this Congress or the next
recreational pot; Mississippi approved it for medi- will give this commonsense measure final approval.”
cal use. Altogether, 15 states—making up more than “We’re going to get SAFE Banking,” Boris Jordan,
36 one-third of the U.S. population—now have legal rec- executive chairman of cannabis giant Curaleaf, told
reational weed, and 35 allow it for medical purposes. investors in a recent call, adding that it was the first
At the federal level, it’s a different story. In time he’s been this optimistic.
the Senate, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of However, Jodi Avergun, a former Drug Members of
Congress by the legal
Kentucky and other Republicans don’t favor legal- Enforcement Administration chief of staff and status of cannabis in
ization. As long as the chamber remains in their grip, federal prosecutor who now leads Cadwalader, their state
they can block measures the Democratic-led House Wickersham & Taft’s white-collar defense and Recreational use
of Representatives has approved to ease restrictions investigations group, is less sanguine. A lot of con- Medical use only
on pot. But if Georgia elects two Democrats, that servative senators “don’t want to deal with a can- Illicit
would flip Senate control, making possible the end nabis issue at all,” she says. “It would have to be
Senate
(or at least a significant de-escalation) of the almost significantly narrowed to get passed.”
50-year war on cannabis. The industry says it’s about The House in May and October added the bank-
time, with 68% of Americans registering support in ing measure to coronavirus relief packages, but
opinion polls for making it legal nationally. they languished in the Senate. Other liberaliza-
The federal prohibition on weed is handicap- tion measures have been offered in both cham- House
ping the young industry, which research group bers. “Any of these passing becomes the Berlin
Euromonitor International estimates will reach Wall moment, where everything starts to tumble,”
$53 billion in sales by 2025. Growers and sellers says Erik Huey, president of Platinum Advisors, a
can’t legally ship products or raw materials across lobbying firm that counts Canopy Growth Corp., a
state lines. Companies are mostly shut off from the Canadian industry heavyweight, as a client.
capital markets. Banks risk prosecution and the loss The incoming Biden administration could use
of charters if they accept cash, process credit card its executive authority to help the industry. The
payments, clear checks, make loans, or underwrite president-elect, who had a long career as a tough-
stocks and bonds for marijuana businesses. on-crime legislator, has embraced moderate steps,
The House was set to approve a measure in early including expunging federal records of those con-
December that would remove pot from the 1970 victed of marijuana offenses and removing pot
Controlled Substances Act. Doing so would end from Schedule I—the category used for the most
criminal prosecutions for possession, permit banks dangerous substances. But he hasn’t indicated how
to do business with the industry, and establish a 5% or how fast he’d move. “We just don’t know which
federal excise tax on sales. The bill’s sponsor on the way Biden will go,” says Curaleaf’s Jordan.
◼ POLITICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
John Hudak, a senior fellow at the Brookings Americans. Black people face arrest for possession
Institution, says Biden is likely to make good on his at almost four times the rate as White people,
campaign’s commitment to criminal justice reform. despite similar levels of use.
This could include moving Justice Department pri- Amber Littlejohn, executive director of the
orities away from enforcing federal laws that con- Minority Cannabis Business Association, says civil
flict with state marijuana laws, which would be a rights groups already are urging Biden to address
return to the Obama administration’s position. the inequitable legacy of the war on drugs. “We
“I don’t think we’re going to see Joe Biden six are hoping that an administration that owes its
months from now come out for full national legaliza- existence at this point to many of the communi-
tion, but I do think you’re going to see him thinking ties” that were hurt the most by federal marijuana
more critically and more carefully” about the inter- policies will listen to their concerns, she says.
section of race and law enforcement, Hudak says. �Tiffany Kary and Ben Brody
The Black Lives Matter movement has pro-
THE BOTTOM LINE The Biden administration will have several
moted the idea of decriminalizing cannabis as a options to liberalize federal pot policy, which would boost an
way to reduce the number of incarcerated Black industry that has one hand tied behind its back.
After more than two weeks of sometimes that’s generally frowned upon by fiscal watchdogs.
contentious hearings, on Nov. 24 the Chicago City Lightfoot secured the votes she needed for her
Council narrowly passed a 2021 “pandemic budget” budget by nixing her original plan to lay off 350 city
to close a $1.2 billion deficit. It’s a victory for first- workers and, instead of cutting the funding of the
KUIPERS BLAKE: PHOTOGRAPH BY MATT NAGER FOR BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK; LIGHTFOOT: PAT NABONG/CHICAGO SUN-TIMES/AP PHOTO.
term Mayor Lori Lightfoot. But the turbulent pro- Chicago Police Department as some aldermen
cess revealed the difficulty of reconciling a liberal demanded, added funds for violence prevention
policy agenda with the economic fallout of Covid-19, and a pilot program that pairs police and mental-
even in a deep-blue city. And it’s mostly a short-term health workers on responding to 911 calls.
fix for the long-standing fiscal problems of Chicago,
America’s third-largest city.
“This was a really hard year,” says Lightfoot, a
Democrat. “Unlike anything in our city’s history.”
About 65% of the budget gap resulted from losses
connected to the coronavirus, as business in the
tourism, convention, hotel, restaurant, and other ◀ Lightfoot
sectors plummeted.
Lightfoot, the city’s first Black female mayor
and first openly gay mayor, ran as an outsider in
2019, promising a commitment to social justice
and equity as well as vowing to reform Chicago’s
notorious political machine. Her $12.8 billion bud- Critics on the council say the budget relies
get includes a $94 million property tax hike, a on regressive taxes and fees that hurt the disad-
3¢-per-gallon increase to the gas tax, a $30 million vantaged. Alderman Carlos Ramirez-Rosa, a self-
draw from reserves, and more funds raised from described democratic socialist, voted against it.
DATA: NEW FRONTIER DATA
speed cameras, parking meters, and other fines “I’ve heard from so many people in my commu-
and fees. The city is also refinancing and restruc- nity that are just so angry that at a moment when
turing $1.7 billion in debt for a half-billion dollars families have less, they are being asked to pay
in savings, a tactic referred to as “scoop and toss” more,” Ramirez-Rosa says. In a recent survey
◼ POLITICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
additional federal stimulus may erase the neces- that First Minister Nicola Sturgeon described as
sity for scoop and toss. groundbreaking. It caps a four-year campaign
The mayor needed a simple majority of the led by Monica Lennon, a member of the Scottish
council’s 50 aldermen to pass budget measures. Parliament, that was backed by a wide coalition of
Her budget ordinance got 29 yeas and 21 nays, trade unions, women’s groups, and charities.
◼ POLITICS Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
The aim, Lennon says, is to eradicate “period 2020 tax rate on sanitary products was 27% in
poverty”—the cost of the products can be prohibi- Hungary, 25% in Sweden, and 16% in Mexico. In the
tive—and end the stigma around menstruation. U.S., 30 states levy a sales tax on tampons and pads,
Under the Period Products (Free Provision) according to the advocacy group Period Equity, and
(Scotland) Act, approved unanimously in the they can’t be purchased with food stamps.
Scottish Parliament, local governments will be A handful of countries have scrapped the tax.
required to make free supplies available in pub- The first was Kenya in 2004, and others that followed
lic buildings to anyone who wants them. (Schools, include Australia, Canada, Ireland, and, beginning in
colleges, and universities in Scotland have offered January, the U.K., where “the tampon tax” became
free products since 2018, and the legislation so controversial that major supermarkets started
compels them to keep doing so.) The Scottish covering the cost of it themselves in 2017.
39
government estimates that about 13% of people The women surveyed in the Scottish report ▲ Activists rallying
outside the Scottish
who have periods will take part in the program said they felt isolated and ashamed by their inabil- Parliament in Edinburgh
in its first year. That would put costs, which it will ity to afford sanitary products, and some said
cover, at about £8.7 million ($11.7 million) for 2022- they missed work, school, or social events as a
23. Full implementation of the program will take result. The country’s new legislation comes after
two years. 20 years of efforts by activists across the globe to
Limited access to sanitary products is a problem chip away at the taboo that’s surrounded menstru-
often associated with poorer countries, but women ation for centuries.
in wealthier nations also struggle to buy them. A “Scotland has provided a blueprint and shown
survey of more than 1,000 women in Scotland, how it can be done,” Lennon says. “With determi-
which helped galvanize support for the bill, found nation from lawmakers and activists in other coun-
that a fifth had experienced period poverty at some tries, there’s no reason why other countries can’t
point in their lives. One in 10 said they had priori- follow.” �Caroline Alexander
tized buying food over period supplies.
THE BOTTOM LINE A new law requires public facilities to provide
Globally, menstrual products are also often free tampons and pads in an aim to reduce “period poverty” among
taxed at higher rates than other essentials. The low-income women and to destigmatize menstruation.
LOOK
AT ETFs
THROUGH
A DIFFERENT
LENS.
BUSINESS
BAIJU BHATT & LINDA KIRKPATRICK
VLADIMIR TENEV
AYA KYOGOKU &
MOHAMMED BIN HISAHI NOGAMI
ZAYED AL NAHYAN
LUIS LACALLE POU
THE BLACK LIVES MATTER
CO-FOUNDERS DONNA LANGLEY
ENTERTAINMENT
There was a joke on Twitter TIM BRAY STRIVE MASIYIWA
this fall: Decades from now,
Ph.D. candidates in history will MADISON CAWTHORN RENEE MONTGOMERY
specialize in a particular day
from 2020. Which is to say
SARAH COOPER MARCUS RASHFORD
this year was, uh, big. Covid, a
reckoning on race, and a U.S.
election made compiling the
THE COVID BYJU RAVEENDRAN
fourth annual Bloomberg 50 TRACKING PROJECT
easier in ways (many people MARIA RESSA
are doing notable things) and BILLIE EILISH
harder in others (many people KELLER RINAUDO
are doing notable things). ODUNAYO EWENIYI &
DAMILOLA ODUFUWA JOHN ROBERTS
FINANCE
Here are a few rising
above 2020’s high bar in
our look at the people in ANTHONY FAUCI GWYNNE SHOTWELL
business, entertainment,
finance, politics, and science
GUY FIERI SUMIT SINGH
and technology whose
accomplishments merit
recognition: Aurora James
JOHN FOLEY SPECIAL PURPOSE
(page 44) got retailers to ACQUISITION
pledge 15% of their shelf JANE FRASER COMPANIES
space to Black-owned brands
in the wake of George Floyd’s THE FRONT-LINE WORKERS SWIZZ BEATZ &
death, and Tim Bray (page 63) TIMBALAND
POLITICS
quit his executive job at KRISTALINA GEORGIEVA
Amazon.com to protest the TSAI ING-WEN
firing of workers who’d raised JAMES GORMAN
concerns about Covid. The SVIATLANA
president of Taiwan (page 74)
ABDALLA HAMDOK TSIKHANOUSKAYA
kept the pandemic under
control, and when Australian
wildfires raged, comedian
REED HASTINGS THE VACCINE CHASERS
Celeste Barber (page 50)
raised millions in relief. JASON HEHIR VIYA
Check out page 75 for
TECHNOLOGY
DANIA BEACH, FLA. ○ As the retailer They continue to see gains from
came to dominate the online pet consumers who like Chewy’s pets-
supply business, its stock price only focus and easy returns policy.
more than doubled, driving up its Singh, who joined Chewy from
market value by almost $15 billion, Amazon.com Inc. in 2017, has been
to $26 billion. CEO since 2018 and led the com-
pany to a successful initial pub-
Chewy, which sells everything from lic offering last year. Prior to joining
dog toys to equine joint supple- Amazon, he spent a decade at Dell
ments, added millions of customers Technologies Inc. His next test at
in the wake of lockdowns and a spike Chewy will be retaining custom-
in pet adoptions. At times, surging ers and winning over new ones who
orders stripped its virtual shelves shop at supermarkets, warehouse
bare of popular dog and cat foods. clubs, and neighborhood pet stores.
Now that inventories are under con- Wall Street is also waiting for the
trol, Singh and his team are touting a company to expand internationally.
recession-resistant business model: —Bailey Lipschultz
SUMIT
42
SINGH
CEO, CHEWY
BILLIE
INC.
EILISH
○ Eilish won the “big four”
SINGER-SONGWRITER
Grammys in January—best record,
best song, best album, best new
artist—which nobody had done in
a single year since Christopher deliberate outrageousness, Eilish is Grammy-winning song, Bad Guy,
Cross in 1981. a fairly normal 18-year-old. She lives is a pulsating track on which she
with her parents, who dutifully ride razzes people who act tough, and in
She sings in a smoky soprano along with their daughter on tours. August, she performed a new track
about suicide fantasies and heart- Her older brother, Finneas, is her called My Future at the Democratic
ache (“Take me to the rooftop / I musical collaborator, and they work National Convention: “You don’t need
wanna see the world when I stop out of a recording studio in the fam- me to tell you things are a mess,”
breathing, turnin’ blue,” she begins ily’s Los Angeles home. she said by way of introduction.
on Listen Before I Go). And with Eilish has been embraced by Eilish also co-wrote and sang the
green-streaked hair and oversize an industry that’s often celebrated theme for the James Bond film that’s
outfits, she looks straight out of a young female stars for their confor- scheduled to be released next year.
Nickelodeon cartoon. Yet for all her mity, not their rebelliousness. Her —Devin Leonard
JANE PRESIDENT AND CEO,
GLOBAL CONSUMER BANKING,
FRASER CITIGROUP INC.
JOHN ROBERTS 43
EILISH: JEAN-BAPTISTE LACROIX /AFP/GETTY IMAGES. FRASER: RODRIGO CAPOTE/BLOOMBERG. ROBERTS: CHIP SOMODEVILLA/GETTY IMAGES
○ He was in the majority 97% of the
time in the term ended in July, his
highest percentage in 15 years.
For the first time, Roberts stood firmly at the court’s
ideological center, casting the pivotal vote in almost
every divisive case. He sided with the conservative
wing to bolster religious rights in cases involving tax-
payer subsidies for private schools and contraceptive
insurance coverage. But the appointee of President
George W. Bush joined the liberals to deliver narrow
victories for abortion rights and the Deferred Action for
Childhood Arrivals program. He did the same in a big
win for LGBTQ workers fighting to sue for job discrimi-
nation. And when right-leaning critics of the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau sought to topple the reg-
ulator by arguing that its director had an unconstitu-
tional level of independence, Roberts wrote an opinion
allowing a president to fire the director while leaving
the agency intact.
Things are about to change. Associate Justice Amy
Coney Barrett’s arrival shifts the court further to the right
and decreases the chance that Roberts’s vote will decide
rulings. Whether his influence endures depends less on
his vote than on his ability to persuade what could be the
most conservative court in generations. —Greg Stohr
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
AURORA
B Photograph by
Lelanie Foster
JAMES
● Nine retailers in the U.S. and Canada, including
Macy’s Inc., Sephora USA Inc., and West Elm, have
signed on to her pledge, which
asks that they dedicate 15% of
shelf space to products made
by Black-owned businesses.
FOUNDER, neighborhood in 2018.
After the police killing of George
Floyd in late May, James
FIFTEEN PERCENT The retailers that joined her
pledge aren’t tied to a timeline.
watched her inbox fill with emails PLEDGE But James works with them to
and her Instagram feed flood find smaller, Black-owned com-
with posts from brands decry- panies that fit their needs. None
ing racism. She wanted more has hit the 15% threshold, but
than platitudes. “I needed to reconcile the hurt I was feel- Black entrepreneurs have told her that Sephora and West
ing as a Black woman and also the fact that I’m a business Elm touched base directly about orders, she says.
44 owner,” says James, creative director and founder of shoe Sephora and MedMen are the only original targets that
and handbag line Brother Vellies in Brooklyn, N.Y. “These two signed on. In addition to West Elm, the others are Indigo
sides of me needed to converge.” Books & Music in Toronto, Rent the Runway, Yelp, the U.S. edi-
Days later she’d made it happen. She used Instagram to tion of Condé Nast’s Vogue—and as of late November, InStyle
spread the idea of the pledge—15% because it’s roughly the US and Macy’s, the largest retailer to sign on. Yelp will try to
share of Black people among the U.S. population—and tagged have 15% of its lists focus on or include Black-owned busi-
nine companies in her post to get their attention. Her targets nesses. On Instagram, James said of Vogue’s pledge, “Thank
were Barnes & Noble, Home Depot, marijuana dispensary you to Vogue for committing to hiring more Black freelance
MedMen, Net-a-Porter, Saks Fifth Avenue, Sephora, Target, photographers, writers, stylists, beauty teams, and models.”
Walmart, and Whole Foods, businesses she said were “built She says one day she’d like to see a Black-owned business
on Black spending power.” that benefited from the pledge reach a $100 million valuation.
For most companies, only 2% of merchandise on store Analysts say it could appeal to shoppers who say they’re
shelves is from Black-owned businesses, according to more likely to spend with companies that share their values
research from the Fifteen Percent Pledge Foundation, the on racial justice. “That potentially could be the catalyst to
nonprofit James founded shortly after announcing her cam- help that retailer recover faster” from pandemic losses, says
paign. Many of them have had a disproportionately diffi- Chadwick Roberson, vice president for investment manage-
cult time during the coronavirus pandemic, because such ment and research at retail and consumer analyst Momentum
businesses didn’t get loans from the Paycheck Protection Advisors LLC.
Program—a $350 billion government effort to keep workers James’s idea isn’t without critics. Some of the companies
on payrolls—at the same rate as White-owned ones. Goldman that have signed on aren’t brick-and-mortar retailers with
Sachs Group Inc. says 58% of Black business owners have shelf space to give. And some have noted that Black-owned
dipped into personal savings to stay operational, compared small businesses need financial resources to scale up before
with 33% of business owners overall. they can fulfill orders for major retailers. James says the foun-
James was raised in Jamaica and Guelph, an hour’s dation is working with its partners on a solution.
drive from Toronto, and worked in mall retail, at a modeling In the future, James wants venture capital firms to agree
agency, and for Fashion Television. She studied journalism to have pledge-compliant portfolios. But for now she’ll con-
at Ryerson University, then moved to the U.S. right before tinue to run her business while hopping on Zoom calls with
Barack Obama’s first term began. Since 2013, James CEOs who are interested in joining her cause. “In a year that’s
has run Brother Vellies, which she started with $3,500 in been so tough for so many people, having that opportunity
savings. She opened her store in Brooklyn’s Greenpoint to have positivity is so worth it,” she says. �Jordyn Holman
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
James in Brooklyn
December 7, 2020
Os c a
t the
CHAIRMAN AND FOUNDER,
out a
ECONET WIRELESS
beat
INTERNATIONAL LTD.
B ong
whom Scorsese,
BONG
$ZW50,000 for permanent disability
other assistance to more or death. His program ran through July,
than 1,700 health-care and since its expiration some workers
have gone back on strike.
workers in Zimbabwe to Masiyiwa, whose telecommuni-
HO
Runaway inflation in Zimbabwe has suing policies detrimental to his wire-
rendered its currency almost worth- less business. More than 90% of the
less. With $8 billion in unpaid debt, the country’s commerce is conducted via
country can barely afford services for mobile-money transactions because
its citizens, and the deterioration is of cash shortages. The government
epitomized by the woeful state of the accuses Econet, which dominates
FILMMAKER health-care system. Medicine short-
ages and recurring strikes over pay
the industry, of fueling black-market
currency trading and money launder-
and working conditions were com- ing, accusations the company denies.
mon even before the coronavirus pan- Masiyiwa sees his donations as giv-
demic. Masiyiwa, a billionaire who’s ing back to his home country, even
originally from outside of Zimbabwe’s though he lives in self-imposed exile,
capital, Harare, paid monthly stipends mostly in Johannesburg and London.
○ At the Oscars in February, from ZW$5,000 to ZW$10,000 ($62 to —Godfrey Marawanyika
his movie Parasite, a dark
comedy exploring class
differences in Seoul, became
the first non-English film to
win best picture, and Bong
became the first South Korean
to win best director.
BONG: JEAN-BAPTISTE LACROIX/AFP/GETTY IMAGES. GEORGIEVA: CHESNOT/GETTY IMAGES. MASIYIWA: JUSTIN CHIN/BLOOMBERG
SWIZZ
watched Verzuz performances on
Instagram Live since they started
in March.
BEATZ
home drinking wine when he decided
to entice (perhaps taunt) his producer
friend Swizz Beatz. He posted three
videos of himself making music—or
B Photograph playing it while talking about how great
by Tracy Nguyen it made him feel—to his Instagram
feed and tagged his buddy.
Before the coronavirus pandemic,
the two had discussed going on tour,
playing hits from their catalogs and
bringing on collaborators at each stop.
Now that Covid-19 had stranded them
at home, Timbaland wanted to revive
the idea as a virtual concert: “I said, ‘I
think we should just do it now.’ ”
An hour later, the two were live on
Instagram, taking turns playing clips
of songs they’d produced for big-
name artists such as Jay-Z, Beyoncé,
48 and Missy Elliott. At the peak of their
performance, about 20,000 people
watched Timbaland prance around his
studio while Swizz played tunes on his
car stereo. “No promo, no nothing. We
just popped up on Live and went for
about five hours,” Swizz says.
Within days, the stream had
morphed into something they called
Verzuz—part performance, part com-
petition, part history lesson, with each
one- to three-hour-long episode fea-
turing two legends playing their hits
and telling stories. (There’s no offi-
cial winner, but Instagram Live lets
viewers comment in real time.) At
first, Swizz and Timbaland recruited
fellow producers before expand-
ing to recording artists such as neo-
soul singer-songwriters Erykah Badu
and Jill Scott. There have been hic-
cups: R&B producers Teddy Riley and
Babyface had some technical issues,
so the stream was cut short and
delayed a day. “The numbers tripled”
when people tuned in for the second
try, Swizz says. “People seeing us fight
Swizz Beatz and keep it moving and not fold under
in Los Angeles
pressure—that was a very important
Verzuz for us.”
Bloomberg Businessweek
B Photograph by
The audience grew this summer Andy Ryan Flores
when the duo signed up pairs includ-
ing rappers Snoop Dogg and DMX and
soul singers Gladys Knight and Patti
LaBelle. An Aug. 31 stream featuring
Brandy and Monica, rival R&B singers
in the late 1990s, peaked at 1.2 million
viewers—a number on par with what
some of the most-watched U.S. cable
networks attract in prime time.
The show’s popularity has been a
boon for Instagram Live, a feature of
the social network that hadn’t gener-
ated much enthusiasm in the music
world before the pandemic. Prior to
quarantine, musicians generally used
it to offer up a behind-the-scenes
look at a tour or recording session.
The first one to harness Live’s power
was D-Nice, a DJ in Los Angeles who
hosted marathon sets early on in the
lockdown that lured Michelle Obama,
Rihanna, and Mark Zuckerberg to
his feed. Verzuz took the idea to the
next level, giving music fans some-
thing closer to a concert experience. 49
& TIMBALAND
CO-
“They’ve changed the way stream-
ing happens,” says Fadia Kader,
CREATORS,
who works on music partnerships
for Instagram.
VERZUZ Timbaland in Miami
Swizz and Timbaland say
they’ve had offers to give Verzuz
a new home on TV or on streaming services, but services including Spotify and Apple Music—what Swizz
they decided to stay with Instagram and its 1 bil- calls the “Verzuz effect.”
lion users. (Fans who want to watch on TV can do so The second season started on Nov. 19, with rappers
through Apple Music; Instagram can only be used on Gucci Mane and Jeezy. “We’re still hands on,” Swizz says.
a phone, computer, or tablet.) Liquor brand Cîroc has “We don’t have a big, huge staff. It’s very rare we speak
sponsored the show in a multimillion-dollar deal. Artists to managers. We speak to the artists, and then manage-
who endorse sponsors with a shoutout during the broad- ment comes in.” And sometimes even two of the most
cast get a cut of the proceeds, and though Instagram successful producers of this century get a no, such as
doesn’t allow ads during streams, that could change, when 50 Cent declined to perform. “Some people will say,
Kader says. Almost every musician who’s appeared on ‘I ain’t doing it,’ ” Timbaland says. “We don’t force nobody.”
Verzuz has seen a major spike in plays on streaming �Lucas Shaw
Bloomberg Businessweek
REED
HASTINGS
CO-CEO, NETFLIX INC.
world in a century.
HAMDOCK: ASHRAF SHAZLY/AFP/GETTY IMAGES. HASTINGS: ERNESTO S. RUSCIO/GETTY IMAGES. BARBER: DANIEL POCKETT/GETTY IMAGES.
LETITIA JAMES
NEW YORK STATE ATTORNEY GENERAL
V
ever to longtime dictator ised to release political prisoners and to step down within
Alexander Lukashenko. six months after overseeing free elections. Although her
message clearly resonated, when the results of the Aug. 9
Until last spring, Tsikhanouskaya election were tallied, Lukashenko claimed to have received
led the life of a typical Belorussian 80% of the votes in a contest the U.S. and the European
I
homemaker, focused largely on car- Union say was neither free nor fair.
ing for her two children and coping Lukashenko’s response triggered unprecedented
with the inevitable challenges of demonstrations, with crowds swelling to more than
getting by in a post-Soviet republic 100,000 but remaining mostly peaceful in the face of bru-
where the average monthly salary tal police crackdowns, mass arrests, and allegations that
A
is about $500. But for the past six detained activists were being tortured. When Tsikhanouskaya
months, she’s spent her days speak- filed a fraud complaint with the election commission on the
ing at international conferences, day after the vote, she was detained for seven hours in the
chatting with the likes of Angela capital, Minsk. That night she fled to neighboring Lithuania,
Merkel and Emmanuel Macron, and where her children had been living with friends since June.
T
spearheading the biggest demo- Becoming a public figure wasn’t easy. Tsikhanouskaya
cratic movement in the history of recalls fearing she would forget what she intended to say
the troubled country sandwiched during early interviews and speeches. But with time she
between Poland and Russia. became energized by the crowds. “I just started to talk
Tsikhanouskaya became the face from my heart,” she says. She rejects the notion that she
L
of democracy in Belarus almost by heads the opposition in Belarus, saying the movement is
accident. In May police detained her self-organizing. More important, she insists that the people
52 husband, Siarhei, a political blog- who speak out against Lukashenko’s tactics aren’t the
ger, as he prepared to challenge opposition at all: “We are the majority.”
Lukashenko for the presidency. Key to Tsikhanouskaya’s appeal, says Artyom Shraibman,
After the arrest ,
A
Tsikhanouskaya, 38,
TSIKHANO
decided to run in
Siarhei’s place and
began gathering the
signatures needed
N
to register her can-
didacy. The former
English teacher soon
received telephone
threats, prompting her to send founder of political consulting firm Sense Analytics in Minsk,
A
her children abroad—but steeling is that she’s a “reluctant politician.” Other than achieving
her resolve to run. “People began her goal of new elections, “she doesn’t want any power,”
calling me, telling me, ‘So many says Shraibman, who runs a popular Belarus politics blog
people were collecting these sig- on the Telegram messaging service, which is difficult for
natures, standing up for you,’ ” authorities to block. “She’s demonstrated a level of cour-
Tsikhanouskaya says via Zoom in age no male politician has shown.”
lightly accented English. “I realized Tsikhanouskaya’s days in exile are filled by strategy meet-
that I can’t betray those hopes.” ings with groups back in Belarus—where she yearns to
Lukashenko, who has routinely jailed political oppo- return, though she says she can’t while Lukashenko remains
nents and deployed security forces to maintain his grip on in power. She says she has few regrets about her current
power for 26 years, barred most opposition figures from position, beyond the toll it’s taken on her family; with Siarhei
running. But in July the authorities accepted the applica- in a Minsk jail, the couple’s daughter “cries every evening,
tions of Tsikhanouskaya and three nominally independent ‘I want my dad’ ”—which keeps Tsikhanouskaya focused on
candidates with no prospect of winning. As the opposition doing the work that will let her reunite the family back home.
united behind Tsikhanouskaya, she began drawing huge “I don’t have a right to cry, to panic,” she says. “I just main-
crowds, culminating in a rally on July 30 attended by some tain a cold mind and do what I have to do.” �Tony Halpin
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
B Photograph by
Andrew Miksys
53
OUSKAYA
OPPOSITION LEADER
Tsikhanouskaya in Lithuania
Kirkpatrick in
December 7, 2020
Westchester
County in
New York
JEONG I Jeong likes writing short stories, some of which have been
LUIS
55
LACALLE
SARAH POU
PRESIDENT,
COOPER URUGUAY
COMEDIAN
○ Uruguay has the lowest Covid-19
infection and mortality rates in South
America despite sharing borders with
○ Her TikTok video with a tremendous—whether it’s ultraviolet pandemic hot spots Argentina and Brazil.
or just very powerful light—and I think you
How to Medical, which said that hasn’t been checked, but you’re
gonna test it,” she began. Then she Lacalle Pou, the son of a former president and heir to one
spoofed President Trump’s of Uruguay’s oldest political dynasties, might have assumed
shared the video on Instagram, Twitter,
suggestion that ultraviolet and YouTube. Soon Cooper—eyes wide, he’d get a honeymoon period after taking office on March 1.
brow furrowed, hair unkempt—was add- But within two weeks of starting, his government detected
light and disinfectant the first Covid-19 cases in the country of 3.5 million people,
ing more under-a-minute lip syncs with
JEONG: AHN YOUNG-JOON/AP PHOTO. COOPER: MINDY TUCKER.
injections could cure titles such as How to Mask and How to and he declared a national emergency. His decision to
LACALLE POU: FOCOUY/ANADOLU AGENCY/GETTY IMAGES
Immigration Policy, creating a new kind quickly close borders and institute widespread testing and
Covid-19, drew 25 million contact tracing is credited with preventing a major outbreak.
of political commentary by highlight-
views on social media. ing Trump’s logorrhea through her facial Rather than impose a lockdown, Lacalle Pou appealed to
expressions. The videos force audiences Uruguayans’ “responsible exercise of liberty,” as he calls
to confront whether they would tolerate his promotion of voluntary social distancing and hygiene.
Before this year, Cooper was known
anyone else saying what he says, and Economists expect Uruguay will suffer its deepest
for her office humor. She wrote cartoon
they double as cultural commentary, with recession in two decades, with gross domestic product
books titled 100 Tricks to Appear Smart
Cooper making the subtle point that a contracting 4% in 2020. But Latin America’s economy
in Meetings and How to Be Successful
Black woman could never get away with could shrink 7%. Investors have taken note, with Uruguay’s
Without Hurting Men’s Feelings. In April,
Trumpian rhetoric. Now Cooper is try- bonds returning more than 14% year-to-date through mid-
wearing a blue blazer, she lip-synced
ing to prove that she has range. Her first November compared with -0.93% for the region. Even so,
Trump addressing medical professionals
comedy sketch show, Everything’s Fine, Lacalle Pou faces the challenge of containing Covid-19 and
at a news conference: “We hit the body
hit Netflix in late October. —Sarah Frier reviving an economy that’s had slow growth. —Ken Parks
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
RIZZI: It was tiring. It was sad, 100 ICU beds of patients all
because many people were intubated at the same time
dead. But we had our mecha- and 500 patients in the rest of
nisms. One was to take a walk the hospital.
through the emergency room. I’m sure we’ll have a vac-
When you saw the explosive cine and return to a world
situation in the emergency that’s pretty normal—until the
room, the motivation came. next pandemic.
DIRECTOR
COLIN
KAEPERNICK
ACTIVIST
KAEPERNICK: CARMEN MANDATO/GETTY IMAGES. YUQUN: QILAI SHEN/BLOOMBERG. SHOTWELL: ANDREW HARRER/BLOOMBERG. EWENIYI: COURTESY EWENIYI. ODUFUWA: COURTESY ODUFUWA
The decision in 2016 to kneel Matter protesters.
during the national anthem The Netflix series, Colin in
at the start of NFL games—a Black & White, a collaboration
58 protest against police brutality with Emmy award-winning
and racial inequality—cost director Ava DuVernay, will
I In fo Kaepernick his job as a focus on how Kaepernick’s
urth
gra
de quarterback. In the years since, adolescence shaped his
, Ka
ep he’s become a civil rights icon, activism. (A release date
advocating for causes that hasn’t been announced.) The
er
nic
correctly predicting that his height would be 6'4" and that he would play for the San Francisco 49ers
NINGDE, CHINA ○ than any other company, Covid-19, and Musk’s main
makes one car there: the interest: cheaper batteries
A February deal to
ZENG supply batteries to
Tesla Inc. helped
Model 3. And unlike in other
countries, more and more of
the cars in China are running
and cars. “He’s a fun guy,”
Zeng said. Batteries are
Zeng’s obsession, too. His
on CATL’s lithium-ion phos- glass and steel headquar-
YUQUN cut the price of
the automaker’s
phate batteries, which are
cheap enough to let Tesla
trim 10% off the price, a
ters in southeastern China is
even built to resemble one,
and batteries have made
CHAIRMAN AND CEO, Model 3 to about big step toward solidifying him an estimated $21 bil-
a hold on the mass market. lion fortune. They could
$37,000 in China, Zeng, who has a doc- make him more money yet.
CONTEMPORARY cheaper than torate in physics, has known Both companies are open-
Tesla CEO and co-founder ing plants in Germany,
AMPEREX anywhere else. Elon Musk for some time; in though neither side is say-
an interview with Bloomberg ing that they’re working
TECHNOLOGY CO. Tesla, which sells more News this year, Zeng said together. —John Liu and
electric vehicles in China they text about technology, Chunying Zhang
ecember 7, 2020
RELAX! WE DIDN’T EMMANUEL
FORGET ABOUT ... MACRON
President of France
THE USUAL
SUSPECTS MITCH
MCCONNELL
Yes, we’re aware of Tesla, and Majority leader of
no, we didn’t overlook Trump.
(How could we?) We just
figured that putting certain
the U.S. Senate
GWYNNE SHOTWELL
names on the Bloomberg 50 ANGELA MERKEL
wouldn’t surprise anyone, so
we gave the most predictably Chancellor of PRESIDENT AND COO,
notable people their own list. Germany
SPACEX
WILLIAM BARR NARENDRA MODI
U.S. attorney general Prime minister of
India
AMY CONEY HAWTHORNE, CALIF. ○ In May, SpaceX became
BARRETT RUPERT MURDOCH the first private company to send American astronauts
Associate justice of Co-chairman, Fox into space.
the U.S. Supreme Corp.
Elon Musk founded Space Exploration Technologies Corp. in 2002 with the goal
Court of revolutionizing space travel and making life multiplanetary; Shotwell, who
ELON MUSK oversees day-to-day operations and growth, was one of his earliest employees.
Before being introduced to Musk, she spent a decade at Aerospace Corp., a
JEFF BEZOS CEO, Tesla Inc. large defense contractor, then a few years at Microcosm Inc., a private space
CEO, Amazon.com and SpaceX startup that designs and builds low-cost rockets and rocket parts.
In 2012, SpaceX became the first private company to deliver cargo to and
Inc. from the International Space Station. Then, this May 30, after years of working
ALEXANDRIA with NASA and learning from cargo runs and countless safety tests, SpaceX
made history: Its Falcon 9 rocket carrying its Crew Dragon capsule with Bob
JOE BIDEN OCASIO-CORTEZ Behnken and Doug Hurley aboard blasted off from the Kennedy Space Center
President-elect of the Member of the U.S. in Florida at 3:22 p.m., bound for the space station. The astronauts returned
on Aug. 2, splashing down safely in the Gulf of Mexico. “This is really just the
U.S. House of beginning,” Shotwell said at a news conference afterward. “We’re starting
the journey of bringing people regularly to and from low Earth orbit and on
59
Representatives
to the moon and then ultimately on to Mars.” —Dana Hull
JAIR BOLSONARO
President of Brazil LARRY PAGE
Co-director, Alphabet
SERGEY BRIN
Co-director, Alphabet NANCY PELOSI
Inc. Speaker of the U.S. ODUNAYO
House of
WARREN BUFFETT Representatives EWENIYI &
Chairman and CEO,
Berkshire Hathaway VLADIMIR PUTIN DAMILOLA
Inc. President of Russia
ODUFUWA Eweniyi and Odufuwa are
friends who work in finan-
cial tech. After starting
TIM COOK MASAYOSHI SON an organization in 2018
CEO, Apple Inc. CEO, SoftBank CO-FOUNDERS, to bring women together
to socialize, they formed
Group Corp. THE FEMINIST the Feminist Coalition in
July to champion equal-
POPE FRANCIS
DONALD TRUMP
COALITION ity in Nigeria. By October
the 13-member group,
which includes journalists,
LEBRON JAMES President of the U.S. activists, lawyers, and cre-
Forward, atives, had thrown its sup-
port behind a long-running
Los Angeles Lakers XI JINPING call to disband a national police unit,
President of the LAGOS, NIGERIA ○ the Special Anti-Robbery Squad,
BORIS JOHNSON People’s Republic of The tech-savvy Nigerians with a history of abuse. SARS was
disbanded, but peaceful protests
Prime minister of the China raised almost 148 million demanding reforms were met with
U.K. naira ($388,000) in two government crackdowns that left
more than 50 dead. As the protests
MARK weeks to support protests gained steam, the coalition used
KIM JONG UN ZUCKERBERG against police brutality social media to mobilize 600 law-
yers to give legal aid to the hundreds
Supreme leader Chairman and CEO, and corruption. arrested. —Yinka Ibukun
of North Korea Facebook Inc.
● As many as 26 million people participated in Black Lives Floyd’s killing had the impact it did?
Matter protests in the weeks after the police killing of Tometi: The fact that a Black man could be quite liter-
George Floyd in Minneapolis in late May, making it one of ally choked to death in broad daylight without any mean-
the largest movements in U.S. history. ingful intervention was traumatic. People were confronted
with the reality that anti-Black racism is deadly—and that
Cullors, Garza, and Tometi started BLM in 2013 after it continued to persist despite all that was going on [with
George Zimmerman was acquitted of killing Trayvon Martin, Covid-19]. They didn’t have a job to go to or other respon-
an unarmed Black teenager visiting family in Florida. For sibilities that would normally have kept them preoccupied.
seven years, BLM has helped organize protests against They could not look away.
police brutality, culminat- How involved was BLM in
ing on June 6 when more organizing protests?
BLACK
than a half-million people Cullors: We supported
gathered in 500-plus loca- protests that happened
tions around the world. In across the country.
the months that followed, In Minneapolis, I worked
the U.S. has had its big- directly with the Black
gest collective reckoning Visions Collective, which
on racism since the civil was a former BLM chapter.
rights era. Companies have Garza: I wasn’t on the
pledged to hire more Black people to positions of power; ground. Protests are the most difficult part of our move-
grocery staples and Washington, D.C.’s football team nixed ment but not what encompasses all the work that we do.
their racist branding; and police budgets have been reviewed We were also gearing up for a massive election cycle. The
for cuts. A majority of Americans now say they support organizations that I started, the Black Futures Lab and the
BLM, up from 43% in 2016, according to the Pew Research Black to the Future Action Fund, were busy trying to get
Center. Edited excerpts from the co-founders’ conversation people to take their protests to
on Nov. 17 with Bloomberg’s Rebecca Greenfield: the polls. We spent our time reg-
LIV
istering voters and have partner-
Bloomberg Businessweek: Why do you think George ships with 15 Black-led grassroots
60
Tometi (left)
and Cullors in
Los Angeles
B Photograph by
Djeneba Aduayom
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
B Photograph by
Bethany Mollenkof
Cullors: My view is White supremacists were showing up to about electoral politics and electoral organizing. Everything
protest and committing acts of violence and damaging prop- we leave on the table, we leave for someone else to eat. Too
erty. So why blame it on Black Lives Matter? Unless you’re often our communities are engaged symbolically, but when
using it as a tool to try to win elections. Unfortunately we had it comes to the substance of what it means to change rules
to spend a lot of and move money,
our time talking to all of a sudden
MATTER
the media about people ghost.
rioting and loot- Patrisse, you
ing instead of hav- sent a letter to
ing a conversation the president-
around what really elect and vice
is happening. president-
How did BLM elect. What do
come to push PATRISSE CULLORS, ALICIA GARZA & you hope to
for defunding discuss?
the police? OPAL TOMETI, CO-FOUNDERS Cullors: I’m hope-
Cullors: ful that we’ll be
Everybody’s able to sit down
obsessed with the defund slogan. They’re not actually paying with them to talk about every single issue that Black folks
attention to the heart of the ask. We’re calling for a reinvest- are dealing with but specifically about police violence and
ment into our communities or a reimagining of public safety. mass incarceration. Our organizations talked to over a
Black people need more resources. You can simply walk into million Black voters in this election cycle. It’s time for this
a Black neighborhood and see that with your own eyes. We administration to be accountable to the forces that helped
need to lessen our obsession with a slogan and show up for push them over the finish line.
Bloomberg Businessweek
DONNA LANGLEY
WANG CHAIRMAN, UNIVERSAL FILMED
ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
MEITUAN INC.
Bourne, Minions, and The Fast and the Furious. This year she created a new
category of film, “premium video on demand,” when she put the Trolls movie
and The King of Staten Island, starring Saturday Night Live’s Pete Davidson,
online for a $20 streaming fee when almost all U.S. theaters were closed. The
chains wanted Universal to delay the releases; they didn’t like the precedent
of new films with potentially big box offices going straight to video. Industry
leader AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. even said it would boycott future
releases from the studio. Langley eventually struck a deal with AMC that
reduces how long Universal has to wait to make films available to at-home
BEIJING ○ The delivery company, audiences after they’re in theaters. (Other studios are seeking similar
arrangements.) Langley intends to make premium video on demand Universal’s
which became a lifeline when lockdown new release model. —Kelly Gilblom
restrictions were imposed across China, has
seen its share price surge more than 180%
62
since the beginning of the year, swelling
Wang’s fortune to over $20 billion.
activists who’d criticized ing and that dismissed workers violated policy
lub
or endangered colleagues.)
tc
warehouse conditions as
gh
JOHN FOLEY got the bike and a digital spin instructor at home?
Indeed, Covid has made converts of tons
of people who swore they’d never spring for a
CEO AND CO-FOUNDER, Peloton, leaving the company’s widely mocked ad
campaign from the 2019 holiday shopping season
PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC. a distant memory. Peloton expects to reach close
to $4 billion in annual revenue by the end of the
fiscal year in June. As for whether this is the peak,
he says, “I could see us with 20 or 30 million sub-
NEW YORK ○ Revenue from Peloton’s exercise bikes, scribers in the not-too-distant future.”
treadmills, and services grew to $757.9 million through Fitness brands like NordicTrack and Echelon have added
September, an increase of 232% from the same period a guided video instruction to their hardware and are eager to
year earlier. carve off some of Peloton’s success. So is Apple Inc., which h
has said it will introduce an app with remote fitness classe es
Foley would like to stress that he’s rooting for an end to the by yearend and charge $3 a month less than Peloton. Apple e’s
coronavirus pandemic, just like everyone else. That said, most relevant hardware, though, is its health-monitoring
his business has more than tripled in a year, so he’s trying smartwatch. And Peloton’s early branding lead is formidable.
to figure out how to keep its hot streak going once gyms The more Peloton customers use their bikes, the more likely
are a thing again. it is that they’ll buy one of the company’s treadmills and con n-
For the uninitiated, a Peloton stationary exercise bike vert friends, says Laura Martin, an analyst for Needham & Co o.,
comes with a high-resolution touchscreen monitor that an investment bank and financial adviser. “Thanks to Covid d,”
can simulate city streets or mountain paths. What really she says, “Peloton has an eight-month lead.” —Mark Gurma an
Bloomber
BYJU RAVEENDRAN
FOUNDER AND CEO,
THINK & LEARN PVT LTD.
CELEBRITY CHEF
physics for high school seniors. Raveendran
introduced it in 2015 to connect teachers in
India with students just as affordable smart-
phones and cheap wireless data gave many
of the country’s 250 million school-age chil-
dren access to technology.
The son of schoolteachers, Raveendran
○ He raised more than $21.5 million got his start as a star tutor who jetted
around India, teaching high school math at
in seven weeks to assist unemployed
restaurant workers.
65
On March 27, as businesses across the U.S. were
starting to feel the devastating effects of pandemic-
related closures, Fieri started the Restaurant Employee
Relief Fund. The vast majority of the money he raised
came after personal pleas to the likes of Moët
Hennessy USA, PepsiCo, and Uber Eats, whose spon-
THE VACCINE
FIERI: FRAZER HARRISON/GETTY IMAGES. RAVEENDRAN: PAUL YEUNG/BLOOMBERG. VACCINE CHASERS: COURTESY BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS
sorship has collectively helped roughly 43,000 people
receive $500 grants.
CHASERS
MEDICAL CENTER, FELIX SCHMITT/CONTACT PRESS IMAGES, JOHN CAIRNS, XIE HUANCHI/ZUMA PRESS, TIMOTHY NWACHUKWU/REDUX
The host of Diners, Drive-Ins, and Dives has also
produced a documentary, Restaurant Hustle 2020,
spotlighting the challenges the industry continues to
face. It airs on the Food Network in December, which DAN BAROUCH CHEN WEI KIZZMEKIA Institute of Allergy Institute at the
is also when the self-appointed mayor of Flavortown Director, Center Major general, CORBETT and Infectious Nuffield Department
for Virology & People’s Liberation Research fellow and Diseases, of Medicine,
opens his delivery-only chain, Guy Fieri’s Flavortown Vaccine Research, Army, and team lead Bethesda, Md. University of Oxford
Kitchen, in almost 200 locations, including Los Angeles Beth Israel researcher, for coronavirus
and Minneapolis. Dishes include the Real Cheezy Deaconess Academy of Military research, SARAH GILBERT UGUR SAHIN
Medical Center, Medical Sciences, Vaccine Research Professor of CEO, BioNTech SE,
burger, which comes with Fieri’s signature donkey Boston Beijing Center, National vaccinology, Jenner Mainz, Germany
sauce. —Kate Krader
PURPOSE don’t have a business yet. a scary time to try to sell new stock. SPACs
offer businesses a surer deal—just take
this money we’ve already raised. But why
They came out of nowhere to dominate the would someone buy shares in a company
MADISON CAWTHORN
REPRESENTATIVE-ELECT, NORTH CAROLINA
HEHIR: ILYA S. SAVENOK/GETTY IMAGES. CAWTHORN: COURTESY OF THE COMMITTEE ON ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE 2020 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE. VIYA: IMAGINECHINA.
Donald Trump lost the election, but his message resonated with more than 73 million
66 people, and Republicans gained seats in the House. The telegenic Cawthorn, who
won North Carolina’s 11th District, supported the president and appears game to carry
on his spirit under the Biden administration. During the election, Cawthorn dealt with
controversies around sexual misconduct and racism (he denied the accusations),
as well as an Instagram post that seemed to glorify Hitler. (Cawthorn said that a
trip to Hitler’s vacation house in Germany had been on his “bucket list” and “did not
disappoint.”) After his race was called, he continued channeling Trump’s bombastic
JASON style, tweeting, “Cry more, lib.” Cawthorn has been using a wheelchair since a 2014
COVID TRACKING PROJECT: KENT HERNANDEZ, COURTESY ROBINSON MEYER, COURTESY ERIN KISSANE, COURTESY JEFF HAMMERBACHER
car accident and says he wants to make health care his signature issue.
The election of someone his age was one of many political firsts in the U.S. in
November. Notable others include the first Korean-American women to serve in the
House: Republican Michelle Steel of California and Democrat Marilyn Strickland
HEHIR
of Washington state. Democrat Cori Bush is the first Black woman to represent
Missouri, and Cynthia Lummis is the first female senator from Wyoming. In New
York, Ritchie Torres and Mondaire Jones will be sworn in as the first openly gay
Black representatives. And in Delaware, new state Senator Sarah McBride becomes
the highest-ranking transgender lawmaker in the country. —Erik Wasson
DOCUMENTARIAN
I Hehir played baseball at Williams College
○ Hehir’s The Last Dance, a 10-part The first episode of The Last Dance Jordan appeared a little overweight
docuseries about Michael Jordan’s aired when most of the U.S. had been and glassy-eyed for interviews; he sat
final season with the Chicago Bulls in lockdown for a month and live alone, a cigar and drink sometimes
in 1998, drew 6.3 million viewers sports were almost totally on hiatus. at hand. Hehir, who made the ESPN
the night it premiered on ESPN ESPN moved up the release by two docs Andre the Giant and The Fab
and ESPN2 in April, a record for months to give sports-starved fans Five, about the University of Michigan
a documentary on the network, something to get excited about—and basketball team of the early ’90s,
and an average of 5.6 million something to justify the $8 a month used the access to Jordan and the
over the following month, making cable subscribers were spending. previously unseen footage to tap
it the most-watched doc in the Hehir wove decades-old, behind- into nostalgia, distract viewers, and
network’s history. the-scenes video with modern-day complicate the picture of one of the
interviews and commentary into most famous athletes of all time.
a rumination on the price of glory. —Ira Boudway
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
67
○ Since early March the compiling a spreadsheet
that became the backbone
Covid Tracking Project
THE COVID has cataloged more than
170 million tests, becoming
of something more compre-
hensive: a full-scale public-health
reporting initiative that’s now run by
300 volunteers and a core group of paid
● She gave a boost to Morris Brown College’s of about $100,000. But her move helped set off a wave of
$5 million fundraising campaign, which helped it apply activism in the league. Two more WNBA players, including
for reaccreditation. the Dream’s leading scorer, Tiffany Hayes, subsequently
opted out to join BLM protests instead of playing.
When the WNBA announced it was restarting its season, Then in August, after police in Kenosha, Wis., shot Jacob
Montgomery had a choice to make. She could report to the Blake, players for the NBA’s Milwaukee Bucks refused to
league’s “wubble”—its Covid-free bubble—or she could skip take the court for their playoff game, leading to cancella-
the season and devote herself to Atlanta’s reeling Black tions across all the major leagues. “When Jacob Blake got
community. On June 18 she tweeted that she’d sit it out. shot, the whole NBA stopped, the WNBA stopped, MLB,”
The next day, Juneteenth, she threw a party to feed Black Montgomery says. “While, yes, it was disappointing and,
Lives Matter protesters and homeless people in the city’s yes, we still have a long way to go, that’s progress. A whole
Centennial Olympic Park. “My mom was telling me when league stopping because of police brutality? That’s never
people don’t feel that their voices are heard, they have to happened before.”
make it felt,” she says. “I started to think about what ‘make During the bubble season, the NBA and WNBA both
it felt’ meant to me. It doesn’t mean just raising your voice had Black Lives Matter painted on their courts and allowed
but having action behind it.” players to swap social justice messages in place of their
Montgomery used her season off to work on a voter names on jerseys. Next season, though, the NBA will be
registration campaign in Georgia and to give speeches back to normal because, as
about activism to student-athletes at her Commissioner Adam Silver
E
alma mater, the University of has said, people just “want
E
Connecticut, as well as to watch a basketball game.”
N
Morehouse College A WNBA spokesperson says
E
and Georgia Tech. the league hasn’t made a
R
And she focused decision about on-court dis-
hard on saving a plays yet.
68 lesser-known Montgomery, who plans to
school, Morris return next season, says that
Brown. Founded in whatever happens, her activism
1881, it was the first will continue. She notes that 13 owners of
college in Georgia major U.S. sports teams contributed to the
established by mem-
bers of the Black community. But in 2002
MONTGO
prosecutors charged its then-president with
defrauding the government and students,
and the school lost accreditation. The pres-
ident pleaded guilty to embezzlement in
2006 and got probation.
Morris Brown survived, but only barely.
Its enrollment plummeted from a high of
2,700 students to fewer than 50. At one
point the water was turned off because of an unpaid bill. Trump campaign, making rules against athlete protests
Montgomery brought attention to the school’s plight and seem hypocritical. Earlier this year she criticized Dream
encouraged her fans to donate to its fundraising drive. co-owner (and U.S. Senator) Kelly Loeffler for saying that
She’s now planning to raise funds for tuition assistance Black Lives Matter protesters wanted to “destroy American
and a gaming center for a new e-sports program. “She’s principles.” “There are a lot of people that just want to
put out the word that Morris Brown is still open,” says Kevin turn on the TV, and they want sports to entertain them,”
James, the school’s current president. Montgomery says. “A lot of athletes are saying we can’t just
Originally from St. Albans, W.Va., Montgomery was an do that. I’m still a part of the Black community, and I am still
All-American at UConn and won a national championship going to be that when I leave the court.”
in 2009. She’s been more of a role player than a super- She’s also going to keep working on behalf of Morris
star since, though she was an All-Star in 2011 and won Brown and other historically Black colleges. “It’s our
championships with the Minnesota Lynx in 2015 and 2017. history,” she says. “Every time a school is underfunded
She’d been the Dream’s starting point guard for the past and loses its accreditation or has to shut down, a lit-
two seasons. tle part of our history dies with it.” �Dina Bass and
By sitting out, Montgomery had to give up her salary Brandon Kochkodin
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
B Photograph by
Braylen Dion
69
OMERY GUARD,
ATLANTA
DREAM
Montgomery in Atlanta
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
MARIA RESSA
CEO, RAPPLER INC.
FORREST LI
FOUNDER, CHAIRMAN,
AND GROUP CEO,
PASIG CITY, PHILIPPINES ○ critics of President Rodrigo Duterte say SEA LTD.
is an example of political persecution.
She faces up to six years in He’s denied any role in the case, with his
prison after being found guilty spokesman calling it the result of “bad
journalism” and “bad lawyering.”
of “cyber libel” in a landmark Ressa has won wide international
SINGAPORE ○ Sea, now worth
case for press freedom. praise for investigations of alleged about $83 billion, is the most valuable
police abuses in the president’s anti-
drug efforts. She’s carried on despite
company in Southeast Asia.
In June a judge ruled on the charge,
which can be initiated when a party who what journalism advocates say is a
believes he’s been defamed requests campaign of official intimidation, includ- Born in China, Li adopted the English name “Forrest”
a prosecution. The ask had come from ing a tax evasion case and a claim by after watching Forrest Gump; the warmth, persistence,
businessman Wilfredo Keng, who said regulators that financial support Rappler and courage of the title character appealed to him. In
Rappler defamed him when the online received violated a ban on foreign owner- June 2005, while he was getting his master’s degree at
news site cited a report about his alleged ship of media. Free on bail, she’s fighting Stanford, he attended his girlfriend’s graduation ceremony
links to drug smuggling in a story. all those allegations—and still publishing. at the school—the famous one at which Steve Jobs told
Ressa is appealing the verdict, which —Matthew Campbell graduates that life’s dots can be connected only by look-
ing backward, not forward. Inspired, Li, who’d spent his
undergraduate days in Shanghai playing video games until
dawn, founded his online gaming company in Singapore in
2009. He took it public in New York in 2017, by which point
70 it had added an e-commerce platform, Shopee.
Sea’s initial stock rally was fueled by the success of
the mobile game Free Fire, a battle-royal-style title that
KELLER
had more than 100 million peak daily active users in the
second quarter. That success, combined with Shopee’s
emergence as a top online shopping site in Southeast
Asia, has swelled investor optimism that the unprofitable
company could one day become a mashup of gaming
CO-FOUNDER
AND CEO, ZIPLINE
RESSA: AARON FAVILA/AP PHOTO. RINAUDO: DAVID PAUL MORRIS/BLOOMBERG. LI: WEI LENG TAY/BLOOMBERG.
& HISASHI
NOGAMI
PRODUCER,
BAIJU ENTERTAINMENT
PLANNING
BHATT & & DEVELOPMENT,
VLADIMIR NINTENDO CO.
TENEV
KYOTO, JAPAN ○ Animal Crossing: New
CO-FOUNDERS, Horizons has sold more than 26 million
ROBINHOOD copies since its March release, making
it the most popular version of the
series in its almost 20-year history.
MENLO PARK, CALIF. ○ The
brokerage added 3 million Imagine inhabiting an idyllic island where
accounts in the first four you can garden, fish, decorate your
months of 2020 as millennials home, go to a concert or museum, or
and Zoomers stuck at home try your hand at a stock market where
flocked to the stock market. trades are conducted in turnips. Want to
see what your friends are up to? Just hop
Since the Stanford pals founded it in 2013, over to their islands. If this sounds to you
Robinhood has been about lowering barri-
ers to investing. It offered free trades before
like a lovely respite from the hellscape
that was industry standard, along with no min- that was 2020, you’re not alone: The
imum balances and an app-focused approach
that made buying shares as easy as order-
virtual-life simulation was so popular it
ing a burger on Seamless. So it was perhaps caused a run on Nintendo’s Switch con-
no surprise that as equity markets collapsed
and then recovered, millions of newly minted
soles, leading to a global supply shortage
traders—many with $1,200 stimulus checks— that wasn’t resolved until the fall.
logged on. Their Jim Cramer was Dave
Portnoy, founder of the irreverent Barstool
Kyogoku, one of the only female game
Sports Inc., who livestreamed his profani- directors in Japan, has long credited
ty-laced trading sessions and rooted that
“stocks only go up!” (Portnoy has no formal
the success of the series to the diverse
relationship with Robinhood.) team behind it; they’ve broadened
A September funding round lifted
Robinhood’s valuation to $11.7 billion. It had
the game’s appeal beyond the typical
more than 13 million accounts as of then and teenage-male demographic. Part of the
expanded from about 600 employees in late
2019 to more than 1,000 this fall. Although
draw is making fun aesthetic choices,
the trading frenzy was good for business, whether they’re the statues decorat-
Robinhood ran into trouble, too. Consumer
protection agencies got roughly four times
ing your house or your clothing. That’s
the number of complaints about the broker- thanks to Nogami, who’s earned cred-
age as some of its peers in the first half of
the year. The company also drew regulatory
its on other major titles including 2006’s
scrutiny for its handling of an outage in March Wii Sports. The massive hit Nogami and
and over whether it properly informed clients
about how it completed customer orders. “We
Kyogoku created has helped Nintendo
strive to maintain constructive relationships shares climb about 35% this year.
with our regulators and to cooperate fully with
them,” a Robinhood spokesperson said in a
—Takashi Mochizuki
statement in September. —Annie Massa
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
● Sixty-four percent of Americans have said his handling of that essentially threatens everyone on the planet. We’ve
the coronavirus outbreak is “good” or “excellent,” according seen it literally shut down everything, causing economic
to an October Morning Consult/Politico poll; politicians on destruction and devastation. It’s the worst outbreak of a
both sides of the aisle have failed to break 50%. respiratory-borne illness in 102 years. Great strides of sci-
ence have already given us two safe and highly effective
Fauci, the top infectious disease doctor in the U.S. since vaccines. Ultimately we will get control of this virus.
1984, has practically reached rock-star status for his role in Early in the HIV outbreak, you took heavy criticism. Did
educating the country on Covid-19; he’s spoken bluntly, or you ever imagine you would be beloved?
as bluntly as possible, even in the face of President Trump’s That’s just part of society’s thirsting for clarity, for facts, for
criticism. Edited excerpts from Fauci’s conversation on information that’s based on sound science and evidence.
Nov. 17 with Bloomberg’s Michelle Fay Cortez: I’ve become a symbol of that.
What’s your advice to Americans about end-of-the-year
Bloomberg Businessweek: When did you know this year holidays?
was going to be one for the record books? Is it worth the risk of bringing a lot of people together, or
Fauci: When should you say,
N H N
New York got hit “We’re going to
A T O Y
as badly as it got pull back a little
hit in the spring, bit on the holi-
then I knew it day season until
was going to be we get it under
a really, really better control”?
bad year. When It could be
FAUC I
you have a virus worse at the
that is that highly transmissible— end of the year. We already
that makes enough people hear that planes are fully
72 sick that you almost overrun booked, airports are going to
the system in a city as sophisti- be crowded. That’s going to
cated as New York—then I knew lead to an upsurge in cases.
we were in for a hard time. Did you have to pull
What’s gone well? any punches because of
Things certainly went well politics?
with regard to the science. We
would not even be close to this
DIRECTOR, I haven’t pulled back. That’s
the reason I’ve been threat-
10 years ago without the tech- NATIONAL INSTITUTE ened, both my life and my
nology of the new vaccine plat-
forms [the first to use a genetic OF ALLERGY safety. My family has been
harassed because I have not
blueprint of the virus to prompt
an immune response], which
AND INFECTIOUS pulled back. That is a ridicu-
lous situation, where some-
are the result of basic and DISEASES one who is trying to give a
applied clinical research, plus public-health message actu-
the network of clinical trial ally has their life threatened.
sites that I originally set up to I’ve chosen this life. I am not
test for prevention and treatment of HIV. This is the fruit worried about myself, but I am angry that my family is also
of investment that long antedated Covid-19. being harassed. That is the sign of cowards, who harass
Do you see HIV/AIDS and Covid-19 as bookends to somebody’s family because the person is trying to give a
your career? public-health message.
I still want to attack malaria and tuberculosis, so I’m not Has the politically charged environment, particularly
through yet. But, yes, let’s say it is. HIV was an outbreak with stemming from the Trump administration, damaged our
devastating consequences for society. We’re now almost country’s response?
40 years into the HIV epidemic, and it’s still a lingering, smol- Parts of the country have paid no attention to public-health
dering global outbreak. We’ve had spectacular success with measures and pushed back on them. That’s really a prob-
HIV in the realm of therapy, not so much in the realm of vac- lem. I’m not going to comment on the Trump administration.
cines. The situation is similar with Covid to the extent that What about the Biden administration?
it’s a brand-new infection that has thrust itself on society. I’ve served six administrations. I look forward to serving
But it ends there, because this is an explosive outbreak a seventh.
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
B Photograph by
Jeremy Liebman
73
ING- basic sign language to judge a poetry competition for deaf children
I Rashford once learned
WEN
PRESIDENT, CHANGPENG
TAIWAN
74
ZHAO
○ Taiwan went more than 200 days CO-FOUNDER, BINANCE
without a locally transmitted Covid-19 HOLDINGS LTD.
case after Tsai’s administration instituted
one of the world’s most effective
pandemic-response protocols.
○ Zhao says he expects his private
RASHFORD: DANIEL LEAL OLIVAS/GETTY IMAGES. TSAI: TYRONE SIU/REUTERS. ZHAO: ANTHONY KWAN/BLOOMBERG
Tsai, a former law professor and Taiwan’s first female
president, started the year by securing a second term in
cryptocurrency exchange to have profits
an overwhelming victory on Jan. 11. But even in the runup to of $800 million to $1 billion this year, up
the election, her government was busy preparing to close
borders, impose travel restrictions, and set up rigorous
from about $570 million last year, as market
contact-tracing and quarantine protocols. (Those who vio- uncertainty pushes traders into digital coins.
late lockdown measures face fines of as much as NT$1 mil-
lion, or $35,000.) Taiwan, with a population of 23 million Zhao, who goes by CZ, started his business in 2017. By that point,
people, has had just over 600 coronavirus cases the world was littered with failed exchanges—see Mt. Gox, 2014.
and seven deaths, numbers kept low by wide- But Zhao had experience engineering high-frequency trading
spread adoption of face masks after the systems and working for other crypto startups. (From 2002 to
island’s deadly experience with SARS. 2005, he worked at Bloomberg LP.) Binance offered lower trad-
Taiwan will likely be among the few ing fees and rolled out a coin, BNB, that doubles as a loyalty pro-
economies to experience growth gram: If you hold it in your digital wallet, you pay lower fees, no
this year, with officials in August matter what coins you trade.
forecasting gross domestic The company has come to dominate the market for crypto
product to expand 1.56%. derivatives—Bitcoin futures, for example—thanks partly to
Still, Tsai will have to issues at competitors. In April it acquired CoinMarketCap, the
remain vigilant: This fall No. 1 place for crypto investors to check thousands of coin
the government recorded prices and see which exchanges have the highest trading vol-
more than 20 imported ume. (The terms of the deal weren’t disclosed.) To prove his
Covid-19 cases in a two- company’s staying power, Zhao must now remain on the right
week period. Other side of regulators. In July the U.S. Securities and Exchange
countries that fought Commission hired the same company Binance uses to glean
the virus well initially, insights from its blockchain, on which BNB runs, to keep its own
such as Singapore and tabs on the blockchain and to deter bad actors. “We’re always
Japan, later saw spikes. working closely with regulators and law enforcement world-
—Samson Ellis wide,” Zhao says. —Olga Kharif
December 7, 2020
HOW ABOUT
MARY BARRA JEROME
A ROUND OF CHAIRMAN AND CEO,
POWELL
APPLAUSE FOR GENERAL MOTORS CO.,
DETROIT (2017)
CHAIRMAN, U.S. FEDERAL
SOME ALUMS?
RESERVE (2018)
● To fulfill a $490 million
● Powell oversaw two
U.S. government contract,
March cuts that took
Barra directed GM
the Fed’s key interest
engineers to transform
rate to almost zero and
an automotive electronics
Since the first Bloomberg 50 Google, and private equity unveiled a program of
plant in Kokomo, Ind.,
in 2017, we’ve had a rule: funds to inject more bond purchasing and
into an assembly line for
no repeats. But a few past than $20 billion into Jio other measures that
ventilators. By September
honorees could’ve made Platforms, the technology topped an estimated
the company had used
the list this year, so we gave arm of his conglomerate, $3 trillion. It all added up
previously furloughed
them one of their own. making him one of the to the most aggressive
workers to produce and
10 wealthiest people in the stimulus package in Federal
deliver 30,000 machines.
world—and setting the stage Reserve history.
for a clash with Amazon
STACEY .com for dominance of KENNETH
ABRAMS India’s e-commerce market.
CATHIE WOOD
FRAZIER
CEO, ARK INVESTMENT
FOUNDER, FAIR FIGHT,
FAIR FIGHT ACTION, AND
JOSÉ ANDRÉS CEO, MERCK & CO., MANAGEMENT LLC,
KENILWORTH, N.J. (2017) NEW YORK (2018) 75
FAIR COUNT, ATLANTA
FOUNDER, WORLD
(BLOOMBERG 50, 2019)
CENTRAL KITCHEN, ● Frazier is guiding ● Tech companies led
WASHINGTON (2018) scientists as they test the post-March stock
● Her network of
candidates for a one-shot rally, and Wood’s bullish
organizations highlighting
● Throughout the coronavirus vaccine. He bets on the ones shaping
voter suppression and
pandemic, World Central’s also drew attention to the the future—Tesla, Crispr
promoting fair elections
#ChefsForAmerica opportunity gap facing Therapeutics, and Slack,
is credited with helping
initiative has provided minorities. “I don’t think I for example—saw her
inspire about 800,000
people in need with more have a choice” but to act as ARK Innovation exchange-
registrations in Georgia.
than 30 million meals in a role model, Frazier, one traded fund double in
Joe Biden became the first
400-plus cities. of only four Black CEOs at value this year. Her Ark
Democratic presidential
Fortune 500 companies, Genomic Revolution ETF is
candidate to win the state
told Bloomberg TV in July. performing even better.
since 1992. (Donors to JACINDA
Abrams’s organizations
include Michael Bloomberg,
ARDERN TOBIAS LÜTKE ERIC YUAN
owner of Bloomberg LP,
PRIME MINISTER, NEW
Bloomberg Businessweek’s CEO, SHOPIFY INC., CEO, ZOOM VIDEO
ZEALAND (2019)
parent company.) OTTAWA (2019) COMMUNICATIONS INC.,
SAN JOSE (2019)
● Life is back to something
● Shopify became
MUKESH AMBANI like normal for the country’s
Canada’s most valuable ● The videoconferencing
5 million people, which helps
company in 2020, its platform became critical
CHAIRMAN, RELIANCE explain her overwhelming
systems underpinning the infrastructure as offices
INDUSTRIES LTD., reelection on Oct. 17. Ardern
explosive growth of online went remote. Zoom’s stock
MUMBAI (2018) locked down New Zealand
retail for non-Amazon price is up more than
early, keeping infections
transactions as much of 500%, swelling Yuan’s
● Asia’s richest man below 2,000 and deaths to
America sheltered at home. fortune to $20 billion.
persuaded Facebook, just over two dozen.
�Adam Blenford
Bloomberg Businessweek December 7, 2020
Bloomberg Businessweek (USPS 080 900) December 7, 2020 (ISSN 0007-7135) H Issue no. 4680 Published weekly, except one week in January, February, March, May, July, August, September, October, November and December by
address changes to Bloomberg Businessweek, P.O. Box 37528, Boone, IA 50037-0528. Canada Post Publication Mail Agreement Number 41989020. Return undeliverable Canadian addresses to DHL Global Mail, 355 Admiral Blvd., Unit 4,
Mississauga, ON L5T 2N1. Email: contactus@bloombergsupport.com. QST#1008327064. Registered for GST as Bloomberg L .P. GST #12829 9898 RT0001. Copyright 2020 Bloomberg L .P. All rights reserved. Title registered in
the U.S. Patent Office. Single Copy Sales: Call 800 298-9867 or email: busweek@nrmsinc.com. Educational Permissions: Copyright Clearance Center at info@copyright.com. Printed in the U.S.A. CPPAP NUMBER 0414N68830
Bloomberg L.P. Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and at additional mailing offices. Executive, Editorial, Circulation, and Advertising Offices: Bloomberg Businessweek, 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022. POSTMASTER: Send
FROM TOP TO BOTTOM, LEFT TO RIGHT: COURTESY KIIRA MOTORS. CORBIN CHASE. PRZEMYSLAW STEFANIAK/AP IMAGES. COURTESY INDIGO AG. DEB LINDSEY/GETTY IMAGES. VACHIRA VACHIRA/GETTY IMAGES. COURTESY DEEPMIND. COURTESY SOJIN LEE. VIVIEN KILLILEA/GETTY IMAGES. VACHIRA VACHIRA/GETTY IMAGES.
ONES TO WATCH
Check back in a year, and you may see these people on the previous pages
Schwab Order Execution Advantage™: Schwab regularly and rigorously monitors execution quality among competing market venues and looks for opportunities to
adjust order routing based on performance trends, technological advances, and other competitive developments.
Price improvement and savings per order based on performance for market orders in S&P 500 stocks with order size between 500 – 1,999 shares as of Q3 2020.
Price improvement is not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
If you are not completely satisfied for any reason, at your request Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (“Schwab”), Charles Schwab Bank (“Schwab Bank”), or another Schwab
affiliate, as applicable, will refund any eligible fee related to your concern within the required time frames. Schwab reserves the right to change or terminate the guarantee
at any time. Go to schwab.com/satisfaction to learn what’s included and how it works.
© 2020 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. Member SIPC. (1020-0FGS) ADP112284-00