Eme 2013
Eme 2013
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Abstract
History matching and subsequent forecasting work becomes a challenging task if limited supporting
production data is available and the reservoir is severely depleted. For an offshore, volatile-oil reservoir,
added to this challenge was an uncertainty in fluid PVT, where the data clearly suggested presence of
condensate, but with black-oil properties. The permeability distribution from logs was counterintuitive
to the production data from the wells. The reservoir had a structural relief in excess of 1000 ft., most
likely having API gradient, but both the API and the GOR data indicated that there were possible errors
in measurement. There was uncertainty associated with original oil-water contact also. The production
data showed the reservoir to follow primarily a classical solution gas-drive response, but simple material
balance analysis proved a weak aquifer effect as well.
The approach followed in simulation was the process of elimination. Pressure match was first achieved,
but questions remained about its robustness around the main sealing fault. GOR was targeted next and
several different condensates and one full compositional fluid model of a nearby reservoir were
unsuccessfully tested. For matching the historical gas production, a new high condensate yield fluid
PVT was used. The idea of another oil-water contact (OWC) was tested in the saddle of the reservoir to
account for most likely early water breakthrough in a well there. The secondary gas cap formation and
its effects were crucial in achieving satisfactory history match.
The confidence in the history match, as having captured the physics of the flow, led to forecasting
scenarios which were not possible with a black-oil model. Most of the data was found not to be
erroneous. What was needed was judicious data interpretation to achieve satisfactory history match. To
produce these kinds of depleted, faulted reservoirs further, a strategy to better manage the evolution of
secondary gas cap was of utmost importance.
Introduction
Reservoir M is the deeper producing reservoir of a field in offshore Nigeria which has been continuously
on production since Oct. 1980 (~33 yrs). The field is a complexly faulted, collapsed rollover anticline
and is saddle separated from one of the biggest fields in Chevron’s portfolio in Nigeria. Its proximity to
that big reservoir has resulted in the pressure effects being felt in shallow sands suggesting that the
regional aquifer is common to both the reservoirs. The structure of this reservoir is having a dip of
around 1000 ft. from crest to the spill point. The crestal well of this reservoir has produced for the
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largest period in the life of the reservoir. In all, nine fault blocks have been identified and developed.
Some faults are known to be leaky, resulting in fluid communication.
Around the end of 2011, the asset decided to evaluate waterflood (WF) opportunity for all mature fields.
Based on decline curve analysis, Reservoir M was identified as a possible WF candidate. The reservoir
was already pressure depleted by 67% from initial pressure and initially seemed to have no upside. As
per good reservoir management strategy, majority of fields are further developed, beyond primary
depletion, by waterflooding. Earth model was constructed and a history match undertaken to ascertain if
there was a value in further producing the reservoir under repressurization (WF).
At a high level, the objective of history-matching exercise is to better understand the reservoir behavior.
This is usually associated with taking a closer look at the drive mechanisms of a given reservoir.
Conventional wisdom does require performing a classical material balance (MBAL) study, as shown by
Dake1, Kabir et al.2, Pletcher3, Esor4, etc. which gives a quick insight into the drive energies of the
reservoir, but such course is seldom taken. Part of the problem is the number of wells, which then
becomes large, makeing the MBAL model itself unwieldy. Coupled with this is the large data
management problem which discourages the practitioner to use this method. For these huge cases
(multi-million cell models), there are large number of papers in literature highlighting the various
approaches and techniques that can be used to solve the problem such as that by Williams et al.5,
Ambastha et al.6, etc. to name a few. But the underlying basis of all these deterministic approaches is
that the simulation engineer is provided with very reliable data inputs. A detailed model then captures
the reservoir performance.
Also since history matching has a non-unique solution; stochastic approaches like Experimental Design
together with Assisted History Matching (AHM) techniques have been found to be very powerful tools.
A few prominent papers which show the application of these techniques are Hoffmann et al.7, Emanuel
and Milliken8, King et al.9, etc. These approaches try to capture complex reservoir performance by
changing input parameter ranges and going ahead with a suite of reservoir models to get to most
probable reservoir performance.
Majority of above history-matching techniques are centered on the modification of static parameters
such as porosity, permeability, transmissibilities, compartmentalization, etc. Challenge and complexity
in history matching comes from understanding complex reservoir behaviors which are not easily
apparent based on the available data. As a result, various possible reservoir behaviors may not get
investigated within the current normal practice of using available softwares and therefore, associated
drives may or may not make it under the microscope of the simulation engineer. Bartlett et al.10
describe the challenges associated with Atlantis, a reservoir in Gulf of Mexico, which started with being
simple but after development drilling and initial production performance showed extensive faulting,
baffles and presence of perched water. Availability of drilling, seismic and other additional reliable data
helped in a better reservoir development plan. The restricted aquifer support was supplemented by water
injection for better reservoir management. An improved understanding of reservoir connectivities was
also achieved. Although the reservoir was geologically more complex, there was no surprise in
identifying the reservoir drive mechanisms which determined the performance.
Surprises are often associated when there is interaction of multiple reservoir drive mechanisms in a
complex reservoir architecture aided by gravity. One of these one-off approaches is modeling gravity
segregation drive. Although it is possible to demonstrate it with the MBAL method, as done by
Ambastha and Aziz11, it can elude the engineer if sufficient attention is not paid. A full-field
compositional simulation study by Ypma12 was performed on Statfjord reservoir to know the role of
compositional effects during secondary, gravity-stable nitrogen injection. The overall conclusions are
similar to this study as gas condensates formed near the top of the reservoir and volatile oils got
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accumulated downdip of the structure. But what sets this work apart from Statfjord study is the critical
thinking associated with arriving at this gravity-segregation scenario, without the aid of any commercial
history-match tool or extensive phase-behavior experiments performed before simulation. We did not
have any fluid characterization report to begin with. Alternatively, commercial material balance
software, like MBAL™13 model, may help in identifying these complex drive interactions, but would
require advanced model setup using equation of state option and/or pore volume variation with depth.
Also, initially we did not make a concerted effort to identify this drive as all PVT models did not
generate a big enough secondary gas cap, the driving force behind gravity segregation drive in our
model. Instead, water from the main aquifer broke through in the wells producing a strong water drive.
The identification of three reservoir drives, which were present in this reservoir, became apparent in the
simulation model after improved PVT model was used. This is not to suggest that we did not realize the
huge dip making an impact, but all the initial results were either inherently inconsistent or did not go
along with what MBAL model was predicting.
Earth Model
This reservoir represents reworked shoreface deposits located within the clastic nearshore depositional
environment. The stratigraphic section of the field is shown in Figure 1a with all the five penetrations.
To put this in a better perspective, the gross thickness map, Figure 1b, is also shown. It shows that
thickness is increasing from southwest, where it is the lowest, to northeast, where it is the highest. The
other main features of this earth model are highlighted in the following:
Reservoir M is a reworked shoreface deposit formed via the winnowing of deltaic deposit by
wave and current action.
Reworking is more prominent in NW as evidenced by serrated log character.
It consists of two stratigraphic lobes separated by ~5ft thick, shale interval.
Lower lobe is a thicker, overall coarsening upwards progradational sequence.
Upper Lobe is a thinner, overall fining upwards retrogradational sequence.
Taking into account relevant G&G uncertainties, low, mid and high static models were constructed. The
original oil-in-place was an uncertainty and gave a wide range to probabilistic volumetric estimates. The
original static fluid contacts were by far the biggest uncertainty. The final contact ranges are given in the
Table 1. The main points which need to be highlighted are:
-6859’ss -7480’ss
OOWC (LKO in MAL-28) (Max. Closing Contour)
Well#1
Well#5
Well#3 Well#2
Well#4
structure has the least impact and hence it was taken out of dynamic uncertainty analysis to reduce
scenarios for dynamic modeling.
Dynamic Model
Before upscaling, the fine-scale static model had cell size dimensions of 50 ft 50 ft 2 ft with total
grid blocks of 100 100 72 having 373,104 active cells. It was upscaled in X and Y directions only
to cell size of 100 ft 100 ft 2 ft with total blocks of 50 50 72 having 89,568 active cells.
For the purpose of identifying unique features of this reservoir, for discussion purposes and from CPU
run time stand point, the upscaled grid was divided into 5 different regions as per the following:
Region 4 and Region 5 were deactivated to speed up the run time. The coarse scale model with OWCs is
shown in Figure 2 and region numbers are shown in Figure 3.
Well#5 Well#1
Well#4
The model has an aquifer which is common to Region2 and Region3. Region1 (saddle region) is in
pressure communication with Region3 through the oil zone. The motivation for having an oil-water
contact in saddle was based on water cut production data for Well#5 which showed a value greater than
50% from first month of production. Also water showed up in Well#1 after Well#5 was shut down.
Completions in Well#5 also came to be of questionable integrity, adding to the list of uncertainties in the
reservoir.
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Another uncertainty was difference in pressures between Region1, Region2 with that of Region3. If the
single well test value for Region 3 was to be believed, then there was a pressure differential of ~600 psi.
A lot of conclusions cannot be derived from a single data point, but the fact remained that the fault was
sealing in hydrocarbon area. If the fault remained fully communicable, the gas movement became
uncontrollable between Region1 and Region 3. The data did not suggest pressure equalization and in the
presence of gas, sealing had to be present. Figure 3 also shows the possible fault communication
scenarios which were considered.
Well#5
Region 1 Well#1
Well#4
Region 2
Region 3
Figure 3: Upscaled Simulation Model showing Equilibrium Regions & Possible Communication
between Fault Blocks
have been of early 1980 era was the only justification which seemed plausible. This resulted in two
scenarios where, more than likely, either the logging tools were unable to pick up correct porosity or the
tool may have had a calibration problem. In conclusion, the production data overrode the information
that was provided by the logs. Figure 4 shows the changes to the values of porosity incorporated to the
earth model as represented through the Kh sum maps (keeping the same porosity-permeability
transform).
Well#1 Well#1
Well#4 Well#1
This reinforced the idea of fault being sealing in the hydrocarbon area. Initially, this motivated us to try
black-oil as the reservoir fluid. A similar parallel can be drawn when API data was analyzed and shown
in Figure 6. The API of the crestal well, Well#1, has remained constant at 42o API (volatile oil range),
whereas the other two wells have varying API. This is especially true for Well#4 which was brought into
production after ~20 years and produces at 32o API for the first 2 years and API data for Well#5 had a
range from 28o API to 46o API. The reservoir was clearly having volatile oil, but at the same time
exhibiting black-oil properties. As would have been customary under the circumstances, there were two
distinct lines of opinion; one which suggested that there were huge measurement errors in API data and
the other suggesting caution so as not to miss any vital information which the reservoir data was trying
to suggest.
Well#4 Well#1
API (Degree)
API (Degree)
Well#5
API (Degree)
being ever increasing once breakthrough is achieved in the reservoir. This is a sign of a weak water
drive. Campbell15 plot also supported this hypothesis. Also, the best fit Havlena-Odeh16 plot, given the
error in the fit, suggested no upward revision in the original oil-in-place.
Apart from the fact that there was a dip of around ~1000 ft from the crest to the spill point in the
reservoir, impact of a weak water drive was not very clear at this point in time of the history-matching
exercise.
1. Black Oil with single bubble point (no variation with depth)
2. Black Oil with variable bubble point with depth
3. Black Oil with single bubble point and Kv/Kh Ratio = 0.3
4. Condensate (Analog Data) Option and Full Compositional Model
5. Final Condensate Model
For brevity, this paper carries detailed discussions about scenarios #1, #4 and #5 only. The most
important point to be noted was that for all the three black oil models, the historical oil production
constraint was only honored with OOIP which were more than 20% higher than that proposed by
MBAL model. Also, all these black oil models had to have three OWCs to match water breakthrough
at the wells and were repeatedly giving strong water drive signature. In-house program was used to
generate the relevant black-oil PVT data. The base PVT with which simulation was attempted, to begin
with, is shown in Table 2.
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Oil Properties
Oil API Gravity 42 Degree
Initial Solution GOR 770 scf/STB
Bubble Point Pressure 2,500 psia
Black Oil with Single Bubble Point (No Variation with Depth)
This was the first attempt in history matching. Initial GOR of 770 scf/STB was chosen in fault block of
Well#1. The simulation result of this attempt is shown in Figure 8. The GOR match for the whole
history period, especially 1996-2002, for Well#1 was very poor. The gas production, as shown, tracks
historical values early in the life of the well, but once the pressure goes below the bubble point, gas
production is unable to keep up and follows a flat profile. This is also seen in the GOR figure. The
pressure match is shown in Figure 9.
Well#1 Well#4
Figure 9: Single Bubble Point Static Pressure Match for Well#1 and Well#4
Well#1
Full Compositional (4 Comp.)
History
Condensate Option
Figure 10: Condensate Option and Full Compositional Static Pressure Match for Well#1
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To understand what was happening in the reservoir, it is important to turn to the basics of PVT analysis.
Figure 12 shows the phase envelope of various reservoir fluids. Theoretically, volatile oils have the
largest phase envelope. What this means is that a condensate model may fit into a volatile oil envelope,
but the possibility of black oil fitting into volatile oil envelope was very slim. This is because the
envelope for black oil is very constricted in comparison to volatile oil. This was the major reason why
black-oil models were failing to produce the required gas rate or match GOR.
SPE 166452 13
CPCP® Manual
17 is dictated by its composition
The character of a fluid type
7000
Reservoir Temperature Critical Points
6000
Volatile I
5000
Condensate Volatile II
Pressure (psia)
4000
3000
Dry Gas
0
-200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Reservoir Temperature o
F
What made the modified condensate model (extrapolated envelope) to work was the gradient of the
liquid lines which would have been similar to the actual volatile oil envelope, had a fluid
characterization report been available. This is depicted in Figure 13.
Actual Extrapolated
Envelope if Envelope
PVT data Critical
Point
were
available Volatile
Oil
Pressure
%
Liquid
50%
30%
10%
Temperature
As a result of this, the history-match results obtained were very satisfactory as shown in Figure 14. The
key message which needs highlighting is that all this was achieved without the use of any permeability
or PV multiplier.
Figure 14: History Match Simulation Results using Modified PVT Data for Well#1
Well#5 Well#1
The saddle was the place where all the action was taking place as shown in Figure 15. The crestal well,
Well#1, was continuously stripping the reservoir of all the lighter components. This resulted in the
formation of secondary gas cap, formed in the structurally higher parts of the reservoir and acted as a
piston drive (similar to gravity-stable gas injection). This drove both the oil and water closer to Well#1.
But the water underrode the oil in the saddle and the gas overrode that same oil. This led to a churning
effect of the entire three-phase system in the saddle area. As a result, the API gravity went from being a
very light oil of 47o API to heavy fraction oil of 28o API (see Figure 6 for API data). This gave us
confidence in the history-match model as having captured the physics of fluid flow. This scenario was
not possible with the black-oil or analog condensate PVT. Again, for both black-oil and condensate
models, the main aquifer was active instead of the aquifer in the saddle, resulting in a very strong water
drive and producing inadequate history match.
Well#5 Well#1
Well#4
Nomenclature
Acknowledgement
The authors wish to thank Chevron Nigeria Limited for permission to publish this paper. They also
recognize the valuable contributions by Ricardo Combellas, Aigul Tyshkanbayeva and Aluba Oragwu
during revamping the static model and providing quality reservoir performance data.
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