D1100 Ch 02 Methods, slides notes
D1100 Ch 02 Methods, slides notes
Review Questions
• Empirical
evidence:
Information from
observation (and
the other physical
senses) Eadweard Muybridge/Corbis
• Scientific
Method: Set of
rules/procedures
for using empirical Frames 2 and 3 of this historic photo
by Eadweard Muybridge (1830–
evidence 1904) show that horses can indeed
fly, albeit briefly.
Earliest elements of scientific method
• 1) Explain observations
without mentioning God or
miracles (even though many
of these scientists were very
religious)
• 2) Form a community
– A) That agrees on what counts
as empirical evidence
– B) In which people are allowed
to present evidence opposing
cherished ideas
Scientific method terminology
• Scientific Method
• Handling Data
• Correlational Studies vs
Experiments
• Samples
• Critical Thinking
• Ethics
• Variable: Property whose value can vary across
individuals or over time
– E.g., hours of sleep
– E.g., number of symptoms of anxiety
– E.g., score on test of how many Canadian prime-
ministers you can name
Frequency Distribution
# of times it
x
happened
x x
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6
Number of heads in six coin-tosses
Frequency distribution with smoothed lines
Test scores are listed along the horizontal axis, and the frequency with
which each score was obtained is represented along the vertical axis.
Frequency distribution for 15 people on test
with maximum score of 7
Some Descriptive
Statistics
This frequency
distribution shows
the scores of 15
individuals on a 7-
point test.
Descriptive statistics
include measures
of central tendency
(such as the mean,
median, and mode)
and measures of
variability (such as
the range and the
standard deviation).
• Normal distribution: Mathematically defined
frequency distribution in which most measurements
are concentrated around the middle
Descriptive Statistics
• Statistical significance
– Finding is big enough that the odds of finding it by
chance were less than 5% (p < .05)
– E.g., Group receiving therapy scores lower on anxiety
test than control group. E.g., People who exercise live
longer on average.
– Part of inferential statistics
Overview
• Scientific Method
• Handling Data
• Correlational Studies vs
Experiments
• Samples
• Critical Thinking
• Ethics
Correlational Study Procedure
• 1) Measure two variables in a sample of
participants.
• 2) Calculate whether those two variables tend to
be associated (i.e., correlated)
• Scientific Method
• Handling Data
• Correlational Studies vs
Experiments
• Samples
• Critical Thinking
• Ethics
Samples
AP Photo/Sony,Bill Phelps
possible, and 2) what
might or might not be
typical
• E.g., video Cases like the study of a child
prodigy are interesting in their own
documentaries right, but they also provide
important insights into how the rest
of us work.
• Ideal Sample
– Representative sample: Very similar to population
about whom you want to make conclusions
• One strategy for getting ideal sample
– Random selection: Ensuring every member of a
population has an equal chance of being included in
the sample
• Make sample more representative
• Usually unethical
Non-random
sampling can
lead to errors.
REUTERS/Jim Young
• In the presidential election of 1948, the Chicago Tribune
mistakenly reported that Thomas Dewey would beat
Harry Truman based on a telephone survey of voters.
Why did their study fail? (Hint: Think about life in 1948.
Study done by telephone.)
• What is the difference between a population
and a sample?
• What’s the difference between random
selection and random assignment?
• Why is the failure to sample randomly not
always a problem?
Overview
• Scientific Method
• Handling Data
• Correlational Studies vs
Experiments
• Samples
• Critical Thinking
• Ethics
Thinking Critically of
Evidence
• Critical thinking:
Involves carefully
assessing ideas. Must
consider ideas of smart
Younger
teens
Children
Mature
0%
100%
Confidence
Confidence
= Definitely
= Definitely
false
true
How to think like a Bayesian scientist
0%
100%
Confidence
Confidence
= Definitely
= Definitely
false
true
Overview
• Scientific Method
• Handling Data
• Correlational Studies vs
Experiments
• Samples
• Critical Thinking
• Ethics
The Ethics of Science: First, Do No Harm