Ilovepdf Merged
Ilovepdf Merged
• The first letter can be printed in 26 different ways, the second letter in 25
different ways (since the letter printed first cannot be chosen for the second
letter), the first digit in 9 ways and each of the other two digits in 10 ways.
Hence,
𝟐𝟔 × 𝟐𝟓 × 𝟗 × 𝟏𝟎 × 𝟏𝟎 = 𝟓𝟖𝟓, 𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒘𝒂𝒚𝒔
different plates can be printed.
Example:
• Suppose a car number plate contains three distinct English letters followed
by three non-repeated digits. How many different car number plates can be
printed?
• Note that there are 26 letters in the English alphabet and there are 10 digits in
out number system, so the first box could be filled in 26 different ways, and
since the 3 letters used are distinct, hence the succeeding 2 boxes could be
filled in 25 and 24 different ways, respectively. Then the 4th box could be filled
in 10 different ways and again, sine the digits should not be repeated, then the
succeeding boxes could be filled in 9and 8 different ways, respectively.
Therefore, the total number of car number plates that could be printed in this
set-up is, (according to the Fundamental Principle of Counting)
Examples:
𝟐! = 𝟏 ∙ 𝟐 = 𝟐 𝟓! = 𝟏 ∙ 𝟐 ∙ 𝟑 ∙ 𝟒 ∙ 𝟓 = 𝟒! ∙ 𝟓 = 𝟏𝟐𝟎
𝟑! = 𝟏 ∙ 𝟐 ∙ 𝟑 = 𝟔 𝟔! = 𝟔 ∙ 𝟓! = 𝟔 ∙ 𝟏𝟐𝟎 = 𝟕𝟐𝟎
𝟒! = 𝟏 ∙ 𝟐 ∙ 𝟑 ∙ 𝟒 = 𝟐𝟒 𝟖! 𝟖 ∙ 𝟕 ∙ 𝟔!
= = 𝟖 ∙ 𝟕 = 𝟓𝟔
𝟔! 𝟔!
𝟏𝟐 ∙ 𝟏𝟏 ∙ 𝟏𝟎 ∙ 𝟗! 𝟏𝟐!
𝟏𝟐 ∙ 𝟏𝟏 ∙ 𝟏𝟎 = =
𝟗! 𝟗!
Permutation
• An arrangement of a set of 𝑛 objects in a given order is called a
𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑢𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 of the objects (taken all at a time). An arrangement of any 𝒓 ≤
𝒏 of these objects in a given order is called an 𝑟 − 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑢𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 or a
permutation of the n objects taken 𝒓 at a 𝒕𝒊𝒎𝒆.
Examples: Consider the set of letters a, b, c, and d. Then:
a. bdca, dcba, and acdb are permutation of the 4 letters (taken all
at a time);
b. bad, adb, cbd, and bca are permutations of the 4 letters taken 3
at a time;
c. ad, cb, da, and bd ate permutations of the 4 letters taken 2 at
a time.
• The number of permutations of n objects taken r at a time will be denoted
by
𝑛 𝑛!
𝑃 𝑛, 𝑟 = 𝑃 =
𝑟 𝑛−𝑟 !
Example:
• Find the number of permutations of 6 objects, say a, b, c, d, e, f, taken
three at a time.
Example:
• How many permutations are there of 3 objects, say, a, b, and c?
Permutations with Repetitions
• The number of permutations of n objects of which n1, are alike, n2 are
alike,…, nr are alike is
𝑛!
𝑛1 ! × 𝑛2 ! × ⋯ × 𝑛𝑟 !
𝑛 𝑃(𝑛, 𝑟) 𝑛!
𝐶 𝑛, 𝑟 = 𝐶 = =
𝑟 𝑟! 𝑟! 𝑛 − 𝑟 !
Example:
• Find the number of combination of 6 objects, say a, b, c, d, e, f, taken
three at a time.
1. If 15 people won prizes in a lottery 2. How many ways are there to select 3
(assuming that there are no ties), how many candidates from 8 equally qualified recent
ways can these 15 people win first, second, graduates for opening in an accounting
third, fourth, and fifth place? firm?
3. A teacher forms a committee whose 4. A developer of a new subdivision offers a
members come from her class consisting of prospective home buyer a choice of 5
18 boys and 15 girls. How many committees designs, 3 different air conditioning
are formed consisting of 5 members of systems, a garage or a carport, and a patio
which 3 members are girls and 2 members or screened porch. How many plans are
are boys? available to this buyer?
Thank You
ENGINEERING DATA ANALYSIS
(Probability)
• Engr. Miguel Albert D. Calizar
Learning Objective:
• Define probability, sample space, and
events.
• Applying the additive laws of
probability.
Introduction
• Probability describes the likelihood of an
event to happen. When probabilities are used
to describe the occurrence on a particular
event, then you are projecting the likelihood
of that event to happen.
• For example, when a classmate states “I think
the probability of a seatwork tomorrow is
about 40%” they are describing what they
think is the chance of a seatwork tomorrow.
Introduction
• Probability is also a measure of certainty of
a certain outcome.
• For instance, if we toss a coin, we expect it
to end up heads half the time.
• When we roll a die with 6 numbers, we expect
to get a 6 one times out of six throws.
• The probability of a coin coming up heads is
0.5 and the probability of a die coming up 3
is 1/6.
• Something that is certain has a probability
of 1, whereas something that is impossible
has a probability of 0.
Sample Space
• The set S of all possible outcomes of a
statistical experiment is called a sample
space, (designated by the symbol S). Each
outcomes in a sample space is called an
element or a member of the sample space S,
simply a sample point or a sample.
𝑨 = {𝟑, 𝟔}.
Probability
• If an experiment can result in any one of N
different equally likely outcomes, and if
exactly n of these outcomes correspond to
event A, then the probability of event A is
𝒏
𝑷 𝑨 =
𝑵
Example:
Calculate the probability of getting a Jack
from 1 draw of a well shuffled deck of cards.
Properties of Probability
• P(A) = the probability of the event A
• P(S) = the probability of the sample space
𝑃 A ∪ B = 𝑃 𝐴 + 𝑃 𝐵 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
𝑃 A ∪ B = 𝑃 𝐴 + 𝑃 𝐵 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
𝑃 A ∪ B = 𝑃 𝐴 + 𝑃 𝐵 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
𝑃 A∪B =𝑃 𝐴 +𝑃 𝐵
𝑃 A∪B =𝑃 𝐴 +𝑃 𝐵
𝑃 A∪B =𝑃 𝐴 +𝑃 𝐵
𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑬) 𝒏𝒐. 𝒐𝒇 𝒆𝒍𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒔 𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒔𝒆𝒕 𝑨 ∩ 𝑬 𝒏𝒐. 𝒐𝒇 𝒘𝒂𝒚𝒔 𝑨 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝑬 𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝒐𝒄𝒄𝒖𝒓
𝑷 𝑨|𝑬 = = =
𝑷(𝑬) 𝒏𝒐. 𝒐𝒇 𝒆𝒍𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒔 𝒊𝒏 𝒔𝒆𝒕 𝑬 𝒏𝒐. 𝒐𝒇 𝒘𝒂𝒚𝒔 𝑬 𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝒐𝒄𝒄𝒖𝒓
Conditional Probability
• Example: Find the probability of drawing a 4
from a shuffled deck of cards given that you
have already drawn a 7 from the deck.
Multiplication Theorem for Conditional Probability
If events 𝐴 and 𝐵 can both occur, then
𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝐴|𝐵 ∙ 𝑃 𝐵
since
𝑃 𝐴∩𝐵 =𝑃 𝐵∩𝐴
then
𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝑃 B|𝐴 ∙ 𝑃 𝐴
Similarly,
𝑵
𝒏=
𝟏 + 𝑵𝒆𝟐
Where: 𝒏 = sample size
𝑵 = total of population
𝒆 = tolerance error, can use 𝑒 = 0.01 or 𝑒 = 0.05
Several Samples Taken From the Target Population
Sample
Population
Sample
Sample
Sampling Methods
SAMPLING METHODS
MULTISTAGE SAMPLING
Example: Probability Sampling – Simple Random
• For example in your study, you want to know the average weight of
the second year engineering students of your school, and you know
that the total number of students in this study is 𝑵 = 𝟏𝟓𝟎 .
Considering that you are to conduct the data collection in one
day only, so you may represent the average weight from samples
coming from the population, and then let us say, your sample size
is 𝒏 = 𝟑𝟎 . Then how will you choose your sample using the
different methods of sampling.
❑ Measures of Variability
- Range, the difference between the highest and lowest value in
the data set;
- Variance, 𝒔𝟐 , the average on the difference between each value
and the mean of the data set;
- Standard Deviation, s, the square root of the variance.
Example: A tire manufacturer tested the life,
in months, of six (6) randomly chosen tire
samples. The test recorded below:
48 53 45 61 57 61
Thank You