SLR2
SLR2
80 55
80 60 Regression Statistics
80 65 Multiple R 0.951435858
100 65 R Square 0.905230192
80 70 Adjusted R Square 0.903596229
100 70 Standard Error 11.31980261 11.31980261
100 74 Observations 60
80 75
120 79 ANOVA
100 80 df SS MS
140 80 Regression 1 70989.6 70989.6
120 84 Residual 58 7432 128.137931
100 85 Total 59 78421.6
100 88
120 90 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
140 93 Intercept 17 4.66196662984 3.646529748
120 94 X_Income 0.6 0.02549134434 23.53740124
140 95
120 98
160 102
140 103
160 107
140 108
160 110
180 110
140 113
140 115
180 115
160 116
160 118
180 120
200 120
160 125
180 130
180 135
220 135
200 136
220 137
240 137
180 140
200 140
220 140
200 144
200 145
240 145
260 150
220 152
260 152
240 155
220 157
220 160
220 162
240 165
240 175
260 175
260 178
260 180
260 185
240 189
260 191
F Significance F
554.0092573 2.30489E-31
Multiple R
R Square
Ajusted R Square
Standard Error
ANOVA TABLE
Mean Sum of
Square due to
Regression (MSR)
Mean Sum of
Square of Errors
(MSE)
F Value
Explanation
It simply means correlation coefficient which is obtained by dividing the covariance by the Standard d
Standardard deviation of Y. It tells about the direction in which the two variables moves, whether they
relationship or a negative relationship. A value closer to 1 denotes a strong relationship and positive v
positive relationship between the variables.
R square is obtained by dividing the Sum of Squares due to Regression (SSR) by the Total Sum of Squ
indicates how much of the total variation is explained by the independent variable out of total variatio
occurred.
Adjusted R square panelizes the data for adding new independent variables that don't improve the mo
multiple regression especially, adding new predictors can improve the R Square by reducing the sum
This may create the problem of overfitting. Thus, if adjusted r square is taken into account, the value
decreases with addition of each predictor that does not improve the model.
It is basically the standard deviation of residuals (Errors). On average, how far are our predicted value
value. Square Root (Sum of Square of Residual/ n-k-1). It is the error of the model.
The variation which is explained by the independent variable. (Y forecast - Y mean) square
It is the mean of variation explained by independent variables. How much variation does one indepen
explains? In case of Simple Linear Regression, the SSR is equal to MSR but in case of multiple regress
divided by number of predictors (independent variables).
Mean Sum of Squares of Errors (MSE) represents the average of the squared residuals i.e., the part of
in the dependent variable that the model could not explain. In our case, we have 60 observations. On
freedom is used for estimating the regression coefficient (predictor), and another for the intercept.
The value of F
n) Square.
X_Income Y_Consumption X - X mean (a) Y-Ymean (b) a*b a^2 y forecast
80 55 -93.66666667 -66.2 6200.733 8773.444 65
80 60 -93.66666667 -61.2 5732.4 8773.444 65
80 65 -93.66666667 -56.2 5264.067 8773.444 65
100 65 -73.66666667 -56.2 4140.067 5426.778 77
80 70 -93.66666667 -51.2 4795.733 8773.444 65
100 70 -73.66666667 -51.2 3771.733 5426.778 77
100 74 -73.66666667 -47.2 3477.067 5426.778 77
80 75 -93.66666667 -46.2 4327.4 8773.444 65
120 79 -53.66666667 -42.2 2264.733 2880.111 89
100 80 -73.66666667 -41.2 3035.067 5426.778 77
140 80 -33.66666667 -41.2 1387.067 1133.444 101
120 84 -53.66666667 -37.2 1996.4 2880.111 89
100 85 -73.66666667 -36.2 2666.733 5426.778 77
100 88 -73.66666667 -33.2 2445.733 5426.778 77
120 90 -53.66666667 -31.2 1674.4 2880.111 89
140 93 -33.66666667 -28.2 949.4 1133.444 101
120 94 -53.66666667 -27.2 1459.733 2880.111 89
140 95 -33.66666667 -26.2 882.0667 1133.444 101
120 98 -53.66666667 -23.2 1245.067 2880.111 89
160 102 -13.66666667 -19.2 262.4 186.7778 113
140 103 -33.66666667 -18.2 612.7333 1133.444 101
160 107 -13.66666667 -14.2 194.0667 186.7778 113
140 108 -33.66666667 -13.2 444.4 1133.444 101
160 110 -13.66666667 -11.2 153.0667 186.7778 113
180 110 6.3333333333 -11.2 -70.93333 40.11111 125
140 113 -33.66666667 -8.2 276.0667 1133.444 101
140 115 -33.66666667 -6.2 208.7333 1133.444 101
180 115 6.3333333333 -6.2 -39.26667 40.11111 125
160 116 -13.66666667 -5.2 71.06667 186.7778 113
160 118 -13.66666667 -3.2 43.73333 186.7778 113
180 120 6.3333333333 -1.2 -7.6 40.11111 125
200 120 26.333333333 -1.2 -31.6 693.4444 137
160 125 -13.66666667 3.8 -51.93333 186.7778 113
180 130 6.3333333333 8.8 55.73333 40.11111 125
180 135 6.3333333333 13.8 87.4 40.11111 125
220 135 46.333333333 13.8 639.4 2146.778 149
200 136 26.333333333 14.8 389.7333 693.4444 137
220 137 46.333333333 15.8 732.0667 2146.778 149
240 137 66.333333333 15.8 1048.067 4400.111 161
180 140 6.3333333333 18.8 119.0667 40.11111 125
200 140 26.333333333 18.8 495.0667 693.4444 137
220 140 46.333333333 18.8 871.0667 2146.778 149
200 144 26.333333333 22.8 600.4 693.4444 137
200 145 26.333333333 23.8 626.7333 693.4444 137
240 145 66.333333333 23.8 1578.733 4400.111 161
260 150 86.333333333 28.8 2486.4 7453.444 173
220 152 46.333333333 30.8 1427.067 2146.778 149
260 152 86.333333333 30.8 2659.067 7453.444 173
240 155 66.333333333 33.8 2242.067 4400.111 161
220 157 46.333333333 35.8 1658.733 2146.778 149
220 160 46.333333333 38.8 1797.733 2146.778 149
220 162 46.333333333 40.8 1890.4 2146.778 149
240 165 66.333333333 43.8 2905.4 4400.111 161
240 175 66.333333333 53.8 3568.733 4400.111 161
260 175 86.333333333 53.8 4644.733 7453.444 173
260 178 86.333333333 56.8 4903.733 7453.444 173
260 180 86.333333333 58.8 5076.4 7453.444 173
260 185 86.333333333 63.8 5508.067 7453.444 173
240 189 66.333333333 67.8 4497.4 4400.111 161
260 191 86.333333333 69.8 6026.067 7453.444 173
-1.591616E-12 -1.733724E-12 118316 197193.3
X mean 173.6666666667
Y mean 121.2
B1 0.6
B0 17
Total Error (SST) 78421.6
Unexplained Error (SSE) 7432
Explained Error (SSR) 70989.6
R square 0.905230191682
Coefficient 0.6
Intercept 17
Error Error
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 50 100 150 200 250
-10 -10
-20 -20
-30 -30
-40 -40
ERROR
l.
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
68.7789560701 -1.25152218 0.21576824 -223.75442785 51.59765 -223.754428 51.59765
0.54592319123 3.17301034 0.00241342 0.6394359339 2.82500393 0.63943593 2.82500393
73.4840934447 200
31.9108151053
100
-38.302545725
352.124175936 0
50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190
-43.089184895 -100
16.697454275
73.697454275 -200
-67.089184895 -300
-24.875824064
X Variable 1
-43.089184895
-52.875824064
12.9108151053
11.3375367659
-84.875824064
-73.662463234
-39.875824064
-100.66246323
94.5508975963
55.1241759356
107.124175936
-30.449102404
-100.66246323
-84.662463234
-105.4491024
137.764258427
34.3375367659
-105.4491024
-30.449102404
23.9776192569
-150.23574157
-28.022380743
383.190980087
94.5508975963
-142.23574157
-91.022380743
-102.23574157
-87.235741573
63.1909800872
315.404340918
-163.02238074
227.404340918
-156.80901991
-108.02238074
-51.022380743
-3.0223807431
-176.80901991
3.19098008722
-209.59565908
-188.59565908
-164.59565908
-69.595659082
591.190980087
110.404340918
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
170 190
-100
-200
-300
X_Income Y_Consumption Ln_Y Y_hat Error Sq. Error
80 55 4.00733319 65 -10 100
80 60 4.09434456 65 -5 25
80 65 4.17438727 65 0 0
100 65 4.17438727 77 -12 144
80 70 4.24849524 65 5 25
100 70 4.24849524 77 -7 49
100 74 4.30406509 77 -3 9
80 75 4.31748811 65 10 100
120 79 4.36944785 89 -10 100
100 80 4.38202663 77 3 9
140 80 4.38202663 101 -21 441
120 84 4.4308168 89 -5 25
100 85 4.44265126 77 8 64
100 88 4.47733681 77 11 121
120 90 4.49980967 89 1 1
140 93 4.53259949 101 -8 64
120 94 4.54329478 89 5 25
140 95 4.55387689 101 -6 36
120 98 4.58496748 89 9 81
160 102 4.62497281 113 -11 121
140 103 4.63472899 101 2 4
160 107 4.67282883 113 -6 36
140 108 4.68213123 101 7 49
160 110 4.70048037 113 -3 9
180 110 4.70048037 125 -15 225
140 113 4.72738782 101 12 144
140 115 4.74493213 101 14 196
180 115 4.74493213 125 -10 100
160 116 4.75359019 113 3 9
160 118 4.77068462 113 5 25
180 120 4.78749174 125 -5 25
200 120 4.78749174 137 -17 289
160 125 4.82831374 113 12 144
180 130 4.86753445 125 5 25
180 135 4.90527478 125 10 100
220 135 4.90527478 149 -14 196
200 136 4.91265489 137 -1 1
220 137 4.91998093 149 -12 144
240 137 4.91998093 161 -24 576
180 140 4.94164242 125 15 225
200 140 4.94164242 137 3 9
220 140 4.94164242 149 -9 81
200 144 4.9698133 137 7 49
200 145 4.97673374 137 8 64
240 145 4.97673374 161 -16 256
260 150 5.01063529 173 -23 529
220 152 5.02388052 149 3 9
260 152 5.02388052 173 -21 441
240 155 5.04342512 161 -6 36
220 157 5.05624581 149 8 64
220 160 5.07517382 149 11 121
220 162 5.08759634 149 13 169
240 165 5.10594547 161 4 16
240 175 5.16478597 161 14 196
260 175 5.16478597 173 2 4
260 178 5.18178355 173 5 25
260 180 5.19295685 173 7 49
260 185 5.22035583 173 12 144
240 189 5.24174702 161 28 784
260 191 5.25227343 173 18 324
Coefficient 0.6
Intercept 17
SUMMARY OUTPUT
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 5.466032445467 5.46603244547 511.49748091 1.866426E-30
Residual 58 0.6198073180639 0.01068633307
Total 59 6.0858397635309
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Residuals
0
-0.05 50 100 150 200
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% -0.1
-0.15
3.9200951062 3.7496527857 3.92009511 -0.2
0.0057308823 0.0047989143 0.00573088 -0.25
-0.3
X Variable 1
Residuals
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0 0.06
4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4
-0.05
-0.1 0.05
-0.15
-0.2 0.04
-0.25
-0.3 0.03
Residuals
0.02
0.01
MMARY OUTPUT
0
-0.01
R
0.01
Regression Statistics
-0.01
0.1460355663 P value 0.2579765471
0.0213263866 Chi Square 1.279583197
-0.02
0.0044527036
0.0124902632
60
df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.0001971744 0.00019717 1.2638845135 0.26554848
58 0.0090483871 0.00015601
59 0.0092455615
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
0.0388541381 0.0254233207 1.5282873 0.1318769542 -0.01203617 0.08974444 -0.01203617 0.08974444
-0.0060060533 0.0053423887 -1.12422618 0.2655484846 -0.01670001 0.0046879 -0.01670001 0.0046879
SIDUAL OUTPUT
Predicted Y Residuals
0.01329198 0.0485759396
0.01329198 0.0128617826
0.01329198 -0.0066205958
0.0126595548 0.0223006599
0.01329198 -0.0132346665
0.0126595548 7.9751697E-05
0.0126595548 -0.0093764155
0.01329198 -0.0095192808
0.0120271296 -0.0025765887
0.0126595548 -0.0122326012
0.0113947044 0.0246798692
0.0120271296 -0.0107422694
0.0126595548 -0.0060519007
0.0126595548 0.0007901903
0.0120271296 -0.0109283446
0.0113947044 -0.0098454776
0.0120271296 -0.0061545072
0.0113947044 -0.011067716
0.0120271296 0.0019691171
0.0107622792 -0.0080285721
0.0113947044 -0.0074547223
0.0107622792 -0.0107426645
0.0113947044 0.0007430585
0.0107622792 -0.0102229859
0.010129854 -0.0033935027
0.0113947044 0.0127631922
0.0113947044 0.0185247527
0.010129854 -0.008714325
0.0107622792 -0.0049356266
0.0107622792 -0.0020336848
0.010129854 -0.0101054889
0.0094974288 0.0005750757
0.0107622792 0.0120556539
0.010129854 -0.0029084565
0.010129854 0.0049301319
0.0088650036 -0.0011426718
0.0094974288 -0.0088823255
0.0088650036 -0.0035110594
0.0082325784 0.0236184692
0.010129854 0.0151787491
0.0094974288 -0.0066041925
0.0088650036 -0.0062118106
0.0094974288 -0.0027800382
0.0094974288 -0.001597751
0.0082325784 0.0065821579
0.0076001532 0.0296921748
0.0088650036 -0.0079207356
0.0076001532 0.0247519806
0.0082325784 -0.0052048909
0.0088650036 -0.004884122
0.0088650036 -0.0021373561
0.0088650036 5.4808732E-05
0.0082325784 -0.0081763894
0.0082325784 -0.0038320564
0.0076001532 -0.0060821519
0.0076001532 -0.0071177377
0.0076001532 -0.0074837149
0.0076001532 -0.0073243171
0.0082325784 0.0123015869
0.0076001532 -0.0052453885
Residual Plot
X Variable 1
0.05
0.04
0.03
Residuals
0.02
0.01
0
4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4
-0.01
R
0.01
0
4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4
-0.01
-0.02
X Variable 1
pper 95.0%
5.4
5.4
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.1460355663 Chi Square 1.2795832
R Square 0.0213263866 P - Value 0.25797655
Adjusted R Square 0.0044527036
Standard Error 0.0124902632
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.00019717442 0.00019717 1.26388451 0.2655484846
Residual 58 0.00904838707 0.00015601
Total 59 0.00924556149
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Residuals
0.02
0
50 100 150 200 250 300
-0.02
X Variable 1
Predicted Y (ŷ) reflects the combined effect of all Xs. If variance changes with the s
Regressing on original X variables gives a more detailed view of where heteroskedasticity might be coming from.
es, then the model has heteroskedast
ce changes with the size of the predicted value, it's a clue that errors are not constant acro
ticity might be coming from. It gives exactly same value of p-value and chi square as shown in the earlier sheets.