Blog 1
Blog 1
Forex /
Milan Cutkovic
Forex
Trading
Guide
What is forex?
Forex, short for ‘foreign exchange,’ refers to the global market where currencies are
bought and sold. In simple terms, forex means changing one currency for another.
For example, if you have ever taken an overseas holiday and swapped the currency
you normally use for the local currency of the place you are visiting, that’s a forex
transaction in action!
Of course, forex (also known as ‘FX’) is much more than just holiday money. In fact,
the forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, with
trillions of dollars flowing through it every day. From international business payments
to individuals ordering online goods from overseas, foreign exchange is one of the
keys to global commerce and investment across every country and currency, from
the Baht to the Yuan.
What is the forex market?
Forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week. The official hours are
from 5 p.m. EST on Sunday until 4 p.m. EST on Friday. EST refers to the time zone
that is occupied by cities including New York, Boston, Atlanta, and Orlando in the
US, and Ottawa in Canada.
You will also see the ‘UTC’ time zone mentioned whenever forex is discussed. This
stands for “Coordinated Universal Time,” and it is aligned with what used to be GMT
or Greenwich Mean Time. London, UK, is on UTC.
Since there is no ‘lead’ market, forex trading hours are based on when trading is
open in a participating country. The London and New York trading sessions have
some overlap, so there is often a lot of trading volume during that time of day.
Foreign exchange rates are determined for the next 24-hour period at 4 p.m.
London/UTC time.
How is the forex market regulated?
The most well-known and most traded currency pairs are the 'majors'. This is a
combination of the US dollar (USD) being traded against one of seven other major
currencies: the Euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Swiss franc (CHF), Japanese yen
(JPY), Canadian dollar (CAD), Australian dollar (AUD), or New Zealand dollar (NZD).
The four most popular currency pairs by volume are EUR/USD, USD/JPY,
GBP/USD, and USD/CHF.
Currency pairs outside that group – mainly those that do not involve the US dollar –
are considered 'minors' or 'exotics'. These pairs can still have high value and
significant trading volume, but it is typically less when compared with the majors.
Note that there is no right or wrong currency pair to trade. While the majors are
characterised by having the highest liquidity, the markets fluctuate in many ways,
often because of economic news that is specific to a country or currency. As a result,
this will be reflected in market pricing. Traders should therefore be in the habit of
monitoring overall market conditions to find an opportunity that is best for them and
their trading style and strategy.
Additionally, traders should be aware that not all currencies are traded nonstop
despite markets being open seven days a week. Allowances should also be made
for local public holidays that can put a pause on trading. An economic calendar is
useful for helping prepare for scheduled market closures, while live spread tables
provide a concise rundown of current market pricing.
Forex currency pairs comparison: Majors vs. Minors vs. Exotics
Major currency pairs Minor currency pairs Exotic currency pairs
EUR/USD EUR/GBP EUR/TRY
USD/JPY EUR/JPY USD/HKD
GBP/USD GBP/JPY USD/ZAR
USD/CHF GBP/CAD JPY/NOK
USD/CAD CHF/JPY NZD/SGD
AUD/USD EUR/AUD GBP/ZAR
NZD/USD NZD/JPY AUD/MXN
What is forex trading?
Forex trading is the act of buying and selling currencies. Just as you exchange
physical money using a forex transaction on an overseas holiday, forex trading
involves buying one currency while simultaneously selling another. A key difference
is that forex trading is done specifically to try to generate profit from the exchange.
All forex trades involve two currencies. As the prices of currencies fluctuate in the
open market, for example, due to supply and demand factors, traders will
speculate that the value of one currency will appreciate or depreciate relative to
another. If the trader anticipates the market direction correctly, they can make a
profit. If not, they will take a loss. Fundamentally, generating a profit by trading FX is
as simple as buying low and selling high, or vice versa.
This multi-directional profit-taking is possible because, unlike traditional investing,
forex trading does not involve the purchase or ownership of the underlying
currencies. Instead, traders only speculate on price changes using a type of
derivative called a Contract for Difference (CFD). The major advantage of CFD
trading is that traders can potentially generate a profit by speculating on a falling
price, unlike stocks or physical assets, where it is only possible to profit if a price
increases above the level you paid for it.
How does forex trading work?
Buying forex: This usually refers to exchanging one physical currency for
another. This could be in cash or digital form (e.g., currency or credit card),
but buying forex usually happens when you need to use a foreign currency
immediately, such as when taking an overseas holiday where you need to pay
for expenses like food or accommodation by using the local currency.
Trading forex: This involves speculating on the price movements of currency
pairs with the intention of profiting from price fluctuations. Forex trading is
done through intermediaries, such as online brokers, using derivative
products (i.e., CFDs). When trading forex, traders do not physically own the
currencies but instead enter into contracts that reflect the price movements of
the underlying currency pairs. The aim is to buy a currency pair at a lower
price and sell it at a higher price (or vice versa) to generate a profit. Forex
trading is conducted electronically on trading platforms, and positions can be
opened and closed within seconds or held for longer periods, depending on
the trading strategy.
Why trade forex?
The main reason to trade forex is the potential to generate profits by trading currency
pairs.
Forex trading is a popular way to start investing with relatively small amounts of
capital and combined with the use of leverage, gain exposure to trades of larger
value. Additionally, because forex trading is done as a CFD product, traders don’t
have to worry about the costs involved in taking ownership of an underlying asset;
with FX trades, all you are doing is trading the real-time price movements of the
underlying asset in the open market. Note that while leveraged trading offers the
potential for higher returns, it can also amplify losses.
The 24-hour FX markets also offer a lot of convenience and flexibility, allowing you to
trade during various hours of the day. This can be particularly beneficial for anyone
already in full- or part-time employment, as trading can be done outside of normal
work hours.
There are two main types of analysis used in trading: technical and fundamental.
Technical analysis: This is the use of a collection of methods that look for
chart patterns that may predict future behaviour. Technical analysis assumes
that all the information related to a currency pair is already “priced in.”
Therefore, the theory is that if a particular pattern has been repeated in the
past, recognising that pattern can help the trader predict the immediate future.
Fundamental analysis: FX traders use fundamental analysis to consider
the underlying economic or policy reasons for a currency’s price fluctuations.
The main idea behind the analysis is that if the currency’s underlying
economy is predicted to do better compared to other countries, the value of
that currency will go up, and vice versa.
There are several types of charts that can be used when analysing the forex
market, so deciding which chart to use usually depends on the trading style or type
of analysis required. Here are three of the most popular chart types used by forex
traders:
Line charts: Line charts give a clear, simplified view of the current market
situation and work best for people who want a quick glimpse of where the
market is heading. They simply show the close price at a given period,
typically represented by a continuous curved line that connects dots that
represent the changes in price over certain intervals of time.
Bar charts: Bar charts are an upgraded version of the line chart. They offer
information on the Open, High, Low and Close prices, so they are also known
by the abbreviation ‘OHLC’ chart.
Candlestick charts: Although candlestick charts look complicated at first,
they are actually quite simple to read. Candlesticks represent four main price
points within a particular period. This period can usually be set to 1 minute, 5
minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, daily, weekly, monthly, etc. The main body of the
candle will be coloured green (or it will be empty) if the closing price is higher
than the opening price of that period (i.e., the price has increased). If the body
is coloured red (or filled in black), the price has decreased within the period.
The ability to read candlestick charts and understand candlestick patterns is
the first step before using more advanced analysis tools.
Forex trading offers key advantages when viewed against other forms of investment,
like stocks. These include:
24-hour trading: The forex market operates around the clock, meaning you
can jump in and out of the markets when it suits you. This can be especially
helpful for those looking to generate a side income while working another job,
particularly with help from trading robots (also known as Expert Advisors, or
EAs) which can run trades automatically and reduce the need for manual
intervention.
Leverage: With forex trading, you can take advantage of leverage to control
larger value positions with a relatively small amount of capital. However, you
must remember that leverage increases both potential profits and losses, so it
should be used with caution.
High liquidity: The forex market’s large size and liquidity ensure you can
enter and exit trades quickly at current market prices with a reduced risk of
slippage.
Diversification: There are a lot of different global currency pairs to pick from,
which means the forex market provides a wide range of trading opportunities.
Whatever the trend and whatever market events are taking place, there is
always a currency in play.
Find opportunities in any market direction: Because forex trading is done
through CFDs and you only trade price movements rather than invest in the
underlying product, you can trade when the price of a currency pair is going
up or down.
Accessibility: If you have a computer or mobile device and an internet
connection, it is likely you can access what you need to start trading forex.
Online brokers offer user-friendly trading platforms, educational resources,
and demo accounts.
Learning and development: Learning to trade forex can be a mentally
stimulating and rewarding activity. From analysis techniques to market
dynamics, the effects of geopolitics on prices, and algorithmic coding, there is
always something to learn.
As well as advantages, there are also some potential disadvantages to forex trading,
including:
Volatility: While many forex traders enjoy high volatility due to the potential
for fast profits, the downside is that the market can turn against you very
quickly. To mitigate this, try using a stop-loss order to limit any losses to a
manageable size.
Leveraged trading: The key thing to remember about leverage is that it
amplifies both profits AND losses. Any time you apply leverage, you must
consider what would happen if the trade were to go against you.
Complexity: Although the principles of forex trading are simple, improving
your skills requires the use of economic indicators, technical analysis tools,
trading platforms, and an understanding of geopolitical events that influence
currency prices. This all takes time and effort to learn.
Emotional challenges: Because there is money at stake, forex trading can
evoke strong emotions, especially fear and greed. This can lead to impulsive
and irrational decisions, which means emotional discipline is an essential
requirement for long-term success.
Remember, forex trading involves risks, and it is crucial to approach it with a
disciplined mindset, proper risk management, and continuous learning. Start with
small trade sizes, gradually increase your exposure as you gain experience, and
only trade what you can afford to lose.
There are many different forex strategies to follow, each with a different
methodology, level of risk, and timeline. Picking the best strategy for forex traders
often depends on the individual trader’s goals and abilities.
As traders gain more knowledge of how forex trading works and a greater
understanding of the markets, several overarching strategies can be used
concurrently across multiple trading products to build a more comprehensive trading
profile that is responsive to market conditions and specific objectives.
While no one strategy is guaranteed to work every time, here are some
popular forex trading strategies:
Short-term trading: Short-term trading involves making multiple trades
throughout the day to capitalise on short-term price fluctuations. Traders who
employ this strategy typically use technical analysis and rely on charts,
indicators, and patterns to identify potential entry and exit points.
Day trading: Day trading is a trading strategy that involves buying and selling
financial instruments within the same trading day. Unlike short-term trading,
day traders may hold positions for longer periods of time, ranging from a few
minutes to several hours.
Swing trading: Swing trading is a longer-term strategy where a trader may
hold positions open for days, weeks, or longer. It is less affected by daily price
fluctuations and more concerned with overall trends.
News trading: This is a strategy in which the trader tries to profit from a
market move that has been triggered by a major news event. This could be
anything from a scheduled event like a central bank meeting or economic data
release, to an unexpected event like a natural disaster or escalating
geopolitical tensions.
Price action trading: Price action trading is a strategy that focuses on
making decisions based on the price movements of a certain instrument
instead of incorporating technical indicators, which become only a
supporting tool.
Trend trading: These strategies involve identifying trade opportunities in the
direction of the trend with the anticipation that the trading instrument will
continue to move in its current direction (up or down).
Range trading: Range traders look for trading instruments that are not
trending but are consolidating in a certain range – anything from 20 pips to
several hundred pips – where prices are holding within support and resistance
lines.
Position trading: The aim of position trading is to find opportunities from
long-term trend moves while ignoring the short-term noise occurring day to
day. Traders utilising this type of trading style might hold positions open for
weeks, months, and, in rare cases, years!
Many professionals and successful traders around the world believe that risk
management is one of the principal factors in their trading success. Here are some
key considerations for a forex risk management strategy aimed at improving the
long-term success of your forex trading.
Know your risk profile: Are you a big risk-taker? Or do you want to take
smaller, more calculated risks? Knowing your own risk profile, or “appetite for
risk,” is vital to managing forex trades. Depending on your level of risk-taking,
you can adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Position sizing: How much you allocate to each trade can have a significant
impact on your risk exposure. The bigger your position size, the bigger the
potential wins AND losses. The reverse is also true. The smaller the position
size, the more manageable the trade is, though it may mean a smaller
potential for wins and losses. Understanding appropriate position sizing
techniques can go a long way, ensuring you can preserve your trading
capital for the long term.
Stop loss: One of the benefits of modern trading platforms is that they give
you the ability to set stop-loss levels. This is a predetermined price at which
your trade will automatically close to prevent further losses. Setting a stop
loss for each of your trades is one of the simplest and most effective ways of
managing trading risks, so use a stop loss to your advantage.
Leverage: Like a stop loss, you can pre-set or change the level of leverage
you want to apply to your forex trades. Leverage allows you to extend a small
amount of capital to gain exposure to larger trade positions and magnify
profits, but you must be aware that it will also magnify losses.
Trading psychology: Like knowing your own risk profile, it is also important
to know your own trading psychology. This means being honest with yourself
when faced with big profits or losses in the markets. Did you suffer a loss,
then overtrade trying to make your money back? Did you have a winning
streak and then make a bad trade because you got overconfident? If you
know your own psychology and understand how you deal with different
market conditions, you will be in a great position to prepare for various
situations.
The 1% rule: Some experienced traders use a rule of thumb where they
never risk more than 1% of their trading capital. This can be particularly
helpful as it means an unforeseen loss will not wipe out your account and you
will be able to continue trading.
FAQ
Milan Cutkovic
Milan Cutkovic has over eight years of experience in trading and market analysis across
forex, indices, commodities, and stocks. He was one of the first traders accepted into the Axi
Select programme which identifies highly talented traders and assists them with professional
development.
As well as being a trader, Milan writes daily analysis for the Axi community, using his
extensive knowledge of financial markets to provide unique insights and commentary. He is
passionate about helping others become more successful in their trading and shares his skills
by contributing to comprehensive trading eBooks and regularly publishing educational
articles on the Axi blog, His work is frequently quoted in leading international newspapers
and media portals.
Milan is frequently quoted and mentioned in many financial publications, including Yahoo
Finance, Business Insider, Barrons, CNN, Reuters, New York Post, and MarketWatch.
Find him on: LinkedIn
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