Understanding Public Policy
Understanding Public Policy
democratic—public policies have been formulated and implemented across almost all systems of
governance. Since the primary objective of politics and administration is to achieve good governance
and the good life, the study and analysis of public policy becomes especially significant. Marshall
DeMonk defines policy as a consciously accepted code of conduct that guides administrative
decisions. It is noteworthy that the policy-making process has always been an essential element of
political and administrative activities. From this perspective, public policies are as old as
governments themselves.
Thomas R. Dye, in his seminal workUnderstanding Public Policy(1975), defines public policy as those
decisions and actions taken—or not taken—by the government. Paul H. Appleby, recognizing the
interrelation between administration and policy, asserted that “the essence of public administration
is policy-making.” Public policies are primarily developed by governmental structures and officials,
although non-governmental organizations and institutions also exert both direct and indirect
influence on the policy-making process. In essence, public policies are government decisions arising
from actions undertaken to achieve specific goals and objectives. Understanding the nature of public
policy requires highlighting some of its key characteristics, as contextualized by Sushant Jha (2015).
In India, developmental work and schemes have historically been executed according to the
five-year plans formulated by the Planning Commission, which was established on 15 March 1950.
However, with changing economic and social dynamics, the Planning Commission was replaced by a
new institution, the NITI Aayog, which was constituted on 1 January 2015 through a resolution of the
Union Cabinet. NITI Aayog serves as the principal policy-oriented think tank of the Government of
India, offering policy direction and guidance. In addition to formulating long-term strategies and
programs for the government, NITI Aayog provides strategic and technical advice to the Centre as
well as to the States and Union Territories.
NITI Aayog serves as a crucial platform for cooperative federalism by bringing states together to
work in the national interest. As per the NITI Aayog Report (2022), the Honorable Prime Minister
Narendra Modi currently serves as the Chairman, while Mr. Suman Berry holds the position of Vice
Chairman (NITI Aayog Report, 2022–2023). The formal conclusion of the Planning Commission's role
in governance was announced by Prime Minister Modi during his Independence Day address from
the historic Red Fort on 15 August 2014—India’s 67th Independence Anniversary. In January 2015,
with the establishment of NITI Aayog, India laid the foundation for a new indigenous ideological
revolution by forming the National Institution for Transforming India.
It is important to note that industrialized countries have demonstrated that capitalism is not
inconsistent with planning. In India (and elsewhere), the association of central planning with
socialism is understandable, especially given that Jawaharlal Nehru, India's first Prime Minister, was
a Fabian Socialist who was significantly influenced by the achievements of the Soviet Union in the
decades following its 1917 revolution. This socialist influence was also visible in the tenure of Indira
Gandhi—Nehru’s daughter and India’s third Prime Minister (1967–1977 and again from
1980–1984)—who amended the Indian Constitution to include the term “socialist republic” in its
Preamble. It now reads: “We, the People of India, having solemnly resolved to constitute India into a
sovereign socialist secular democratic republic…” (emphasis added).
However, there was little substantive evidence of socialism in her policies. Indira Gandhi equated an
increase in public sector enterprises and the nationalization of private banks in 1969 with socialism.
Yet, state intervention or ownership alone does not constitute socialism. India was essentially a
mixed economy—marked by a growing public sector in industry during the first three decades of
planned development, and a blend of semi-feudalism and capitalism in the organization of agrarian
relations (Bhaduri 1973; Bharadwaj 1974).
India’s economy performed reasonably well under the state-driven model during its first fifteen
years. Between 1951 and 1965, during the first three five-year plans, industry grew faster than
during the colonial era, primarily due to an import-substitution industrialization (ISI) strategy. This
was widely considered an appropriate development approach at the time and was adopted by many
developing countries. However, problems arose when this ISI strategy was retained well beyond its
effective period—largely due to early socialist-leaning influences and strong anti-colonial sentiment
(Bhagwati and Panagariya 2012). This prolonged adherence to ISI contributed to the failure of India's
economic strategy, but it should not be mistaken for a failure of planning per se.
Many East and Southeast Asian countries also implemented five-year plans, combining ISI with
export-oriented, labor-intensive industrial strategies. Planning played a vital role in their economic
"miracles," largely because they ensured the productive use of their most abundant
resource—labor—through export-driven manufacturing. India, by contrast, neglected this strategy. It
failed to produce for international markets during a time when the global economy (especially
Europe, North America, and Japan) was expanding rapidly. Instead, it focused inwardly on its
domestic market, a strategy that faltered because it was not accompanied by adequate investment
in agriculture, which would have increased consumer demand for manufactured goods (Chakravarty
1987).
The prevailing belief was that institutional agrarian reforms—such as the abolition of the zamindari
system, imposition of land ceiling laws, and land consolidation—would be sufficient to foster
equitable growth. However, this proved illusory. The real failure lay in the policy strategy itself, which
did not correctly identify or address the economy's key constraints—especially the lack of consumer
demand. Poor strategy and the use of crude policy instruments should not be mistaken for the
failure of planning as a concept.
Another serious shortcoming of India’s development model was the neglect of school education and
public/preventive healthcare. These were not failures of planning itself, but rather catastrophic
failures of the strategies employed within the planning framework. Nonetheless, one of the clear
successes of early planning in India was the growth of heavy industry and capital goods sectors
under state ownership—similar to developments in the Soviet Union and China. These initiatives led
to the establishment of various industries in which private investors had shown little interest.
Although the Planning Commission had been in decline well before the current government’s
resounding electoral victory, its formal end was marked by the Prime Minister’s Independence Day
speech from the Red Fort. The creation of NITI Aayog in January 2015 signaled the beginning of a
new era in India’s policy-making, grounded in indigenous thinking and strategic planning.
Here is a refined version of your text. All details and facts have been preserved while improving
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In the popular imagination, national planning in India is closely associated with the names of
Jawaharlal Nehru and P.C. Mahalanobis, often evoking images of Soviet-style centralization.
However, from a historical perspective, the roots of planning in India are deeply indigenous, dating
back to 19th-century nationalist thinkers like Dadabhai Naoroji, R.C. Dutt, and Mahadeo Govind
Ranade. These early intellectuals emphasized state-led industrialization as essential for eradicating
national poverty. They argued that private initiative alone was insufficient to generate the scale of
economic stimulus required and highlighted the state's role in mobilizing savings, expanding
banking infrastructure, and promoting higher education.
Socialist ideas gained traction within the Indian National Congress after the Russian Revolution. At
its 1931 Karachi session, the Congress officially adopted the goal of a “socialist pattern of
development” for India. Nehru and Subhas Chandra Bose, both rising young leaders, were
particularly committed to this vision. After becoming Congress president at the Haripura session in
1938, Bose established the National Planning Committee on December 17, 1938, appointing Nehru
as its chairman.
As the first Prime Minister of independent India, Nehru sought to design an economic future that
would ensure prosperity, internal stability, and national security. To him, the Soviet Union’s rapid
industrialization from 1928 to 1952 appeared far more promising than the slower, centuries-long
Industrial Revolution of Western Europe. Thus, Indian planning in the 1950s was undeniably
influenced by the Soviet model, though it was not limited to this.
1. The Soviet planning experiment, particularly the first Five-Year Plan (1928–1933);
2. Western development economics, which gained prominence in the 1950s and focused on
market imperfections, surplus labor, increasing returns, and fixed investments;
3. Elements of Gandhian thought, particularly in areas where Nehru and Gandhi shared
views on national welfare, despite ideological differences; and
4. Indigenous economic thinkers and early Indian economists, who shaped his
understanding of India's specific challenges.
Planning, in its broadest sense, is a universal activity practiced by both the public and private
sectors. Private firms create strategic plans for growth, while states engage in planning
infrastructure, towns, and economic development. John Hackett (2011) defines economic planning
as “the process by which key economic decisions are made or influenced by central governments,”
contrasting it with laissez-faire economics that relies on market forces.
Economic planning varies by degree of state intervention. Taruna Rajora distinguishes between
forms such asplanning by direction,planning by inducement,perspective planning,indicative planning,
democratic planning,fixed planning,centralized, anddecentralized planning. The form depends on the
political-economic system—capitalist, socialist, or mixed.
From the 1920s onward, the Soviet Union embraced centralized planning. After World War II, most
developing and even some Western countries adopted explicit planning mechanisms. By the late
1960s, a majority of nations operated under some form of national economic plan. However, the
rise of neo-liberal ideology in the 1980s, marked by structural adjustment programs imposed by the
World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led to a decline in planning institutions. In
many over-indebted countries of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, the role of state planning
diminished drastically. With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, planning fell into further
disrepute globally, often seen as partly responsible for that regime's failure.
Nevertheless, every East Asian “miracle” economy—from Japan and South Korea to Taiwan and
China—has consistently employed Five-Year Plans. China, despite its market reforms beginning in
1979, has maintained a strong planning apparatus. Its State Planning Commission, renamed the
National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) in 2003, remains central to economic and
social strategy. It not only formulates Five-Year Plans and annual plans but also plays a pivotal role in
implementation and acts as the key policymaking think tank for both the Communist Party of China
(CPC) and the State Council.
In Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, governments played a crucial role in addressing “coordination
failures” in the economy by facilitating private sector development. These nations demonstrated
that successful planning could coexist with a vibrant market economy.
India adopted a mixed economy model where public and private sectors coexisted, but the
state—through the Planning Commission (PC)—played the leading role in allocating resources
across sectors. However, by the late 1980s, the PC was increasingly seen as irrelevant, relegated to
approving public investments and vetting major projects. Its strategic vision had largely vanished.
This began to shift in the 2000s. The Eleventh and Twelfth Five-Year Plans renewed focus on
inclusive growth, environmental sustainability, and industrial policy. Despite a change in institutional
nomenclature, the need for planning persisted. As Pronab Sen observed, even though the term
“plan” was avoided, the newly formed NITI Aayog was tasked with developing a 15-year vision, a
7-year strategy, and a 3-year action plan. Only the latter was prepared in 2017; the other two
documents did not materialize. Nevertheless, as of late 2019, a new 15-year vision to 2035 was
reportedly under development.
The overarching goal remained economic and social development, but the approach evolved.
Planning was evaluated by its success in improving living standards, building a productive base, and
advancing public health, sanitation, and education.
Living standards had stagnated in colonial India, but the GDP growth rate achieved during the first
five plans (1951–52 to 1979–80), including three Annual Plans (1966–1969 and 1979–80), averaged
3.5% per annum. This figure—coined the “Hindu rate of growth” by economist Raj Krishna—was
modest compared to East Asia, but comparable to China at the time. However, poverty reduction
remained minimal during this period. The population rose steadily while GDP growth lagged, leading
to a significant increase in the absolute number of poor, as defined by the Planning Commission’s
Lakdawala poverty line.
It was only during the 10th and 11th Plans (2003–2014) that significant poverty reduction occurred.
GDP growth averaged an unprecedented 8% annually from 2004–05 to 2013–14. For the first time,
the number of people living below the poverty line dropped sharply—from 406 million in 2004–05 to
268 million in 2011–12, based on the Tendulkar poverty line.
Regarding the objective of “building the productive machine,” success in industrial diversification
was notable. As T.N. Ahluwalia (1997) observed, the share of consumer goods in industrial output
fell from 50% in 1956 to 30% by 1980–81, while capital goods rose from under 5% to 15% in the
same period. Another major achievement was resource mobilization. According to World Bank data
from the early 1980s, India ranked high among low-income countries in savings rates—behind only
China and Indonesia—although this was primarily driven by private, not public, savings.
However, there were multiple failures in planning when it came to "building a productive machine."
The Mahalanobis model, which formed the basis of the import substitution industrialization (ISI)
strategy in the Second Five-Year Plan (1956–1961), notably neglected the role of foreign trade. As
Ahluwalia rightly points out, the ISI strategy made no reference to relative costs. Moreover, the
model assumed that the government would have total control over consumption. Another key
assumption was that the capital goods sector would generate surpluses and contribute “increasingly
towards resource mobilisation for further development in fresh fields,” as stated in the Industrial
Policy Resolution of 1956. These assumptions collectively formed the Indian planning strategy for
industrialization. In hindsight, they proved to be costly—especially the neglect of foreign trade.
The import intensity of industrialization was severely underestimated, leading to a chronic shortage
of foreign exchange. With exports remaining low, India could not finance industrialization through
imported equipment. Just when East Asian countries were capitalizing on growing post-war
international demand, India’s policymakers clung to a mindset of export pessimism. This, along with
an over-reliance on import substitution—despite unfavorable relative costs—undermined India's
industrial strategy. This export pessimism was rooted in the Prebisch-Singer thesis, which warned of
declining terms of trade for developing countries.
This approach also had other drawbacks. It limited labor absorption and led to a slow increase in the
supply of consumer goods in the short and medium term. As Ahluwalia (1997: 260) noted, by the
mid-1960s it was becoming increasingly clear that the premise of export pessimism was flawed.
Many developing economies changed course during this period—but India, along with several Latin
American countries, continued to hold onto this pessimism, making it a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Ahluwalia also highlighted the disregard for the infant industry argument, which advocates for
time-bound and calibrated protection of new industries. Instead, protection was granted
indiscriminately to any industry that established domestic capacity, with no consideration of
comparative advantage or performance.
From the First Five-Year Plan onwards, planning emphasized the role of small-scale industries (SSIs)
in industrialization. The Planning Commission justified this focus for three main reasons: (a) SSIs,
especially cottage and village industries like handlooms and handicrafts, would generate
employment; (b) they would prevent concentration of economic power; and (c) they would ensure
regional dispersal of industry. The state promoted small enterprises while restricting the growth of
large ones through production licensing.
Initially, the first three Plans focused on promoting SSIs. However, starting in 1967, the focus shifted
to protecting them from competition by reserving specific products for SSIs. By the Fourth Plan
(1969–1974), this approach was firmly in place, and by 1991, 836 products were reserved for SSIs.
Financial incentives and protective measures, while well-intentioned, discouraged SSIs from scaling
up, leading to the emergence of a “missing middle” in Indian industry (Mehrotra et al., 2014). This
contributed to the growing informality in both industry and services. Instead of evolving into
medium-sized enterprises, millions of micro-enterprises remained small, informal, and outside the
tax net. These enterprises relied on low technology, offered low wages, and were trapped in a cycle
of low productivity and low growth.
A better strategy would have been an integrated approach that simultaneously encouraged both
small- and large-scale industries, as suggested in the Second and Third Plans and reaffirmed in the
Sixth and Seventh Plans. This dual-track strategy, successfully employed in Japan, was never truly
implemented in India.
Efforts to achieve regional dispersal of industry through planning were also largely ineffective due to
inappropriate instruments. Ahluwalia (1997) observed that the early Plans rightly emphasized
infrastructure development as the basis for dispersing industry. However, this approach was later
replaced with industrial licensing and, worse, with financial incentives during the Fourth Plan to
attract industry to backward regions. Without adequate infrastructure, these incentives failed to
produce meaningful results.
Planning was particularly weak in the social sectors—health, sanitation, and education. Drèze and
Sen (2013) have chronicled India's poor performance in these areas. In contrast, another planned
economy—China—achieved far superior social indicators over its first three decades of planning
(1949–1979). In India, weak strategies and poorly chosen instruments led to severe deficiencies.
Sanitation, for instance, was seriously neglected. By 2014, half of India’s population defecated in the
open, accounting for 60% of the global population doing so—despite India comprising only 17% of
the world’s population. This led to rampant oral–faecal contamination, contributing to some of the
world's worst rates of malnutrition, worse even than Sub-Saharan Africa.
As of 2015–2016, India’s child malnutrition rate was 36%, and stunting was at 39%, with India
accounting for half of the world’s undernourished children. Adult malnutrition was also high at 21%.
Yet, government spending on health remained just 1.15% of GDP in 2017. Human capital formation
was similarly neglected: by 2011, India had nearly 310 million illiterate people—almost equal to its
total population in 1947.
While these failures cannot be blamed solely on the Planning Commission, it did become more
involved in social policy after 1991. Economic growth post-liberalization led to increased tax
revenues, allowing for higher spending on centrally sponsored schemes (CSSs). These included the
National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme and targeted health and education programs.
Designed in consultation with central ministries, these schemes were a hallmark of the PC’s social
role. However, their “one-size-fits-all” design ignored growing disparities among states in social
outcomes.
This expanded role of the Planning Commission came after the 1991 economic reforms. But
ironically, as social planning gained importance, the more powerful economic ministries—especially
the Ministry of Finance—came to dominate policymaking. This was unfortunate, as effective human
development depends on coordinated interventions across health, nutrition, education, sanitation,
and family planning (Mehrotra and Delamonica 2007; Mehrotra and Jolly 1997; Mehrotra 2016). The
absence of such coordination has undermined India’s human development outcomes. A revitalized
Planning Commission—or its successor, NITI Aayog—must take up this coordinating role.
Despite its limitations, the Planning Commission had two periods of significant influence: the early
years of industrialization, and the post-1991 period of social policy expansion. It is understandable
that a government with a new mandate would wish to leave its mark on the country’s institutional
framework. The creation of NITI Aayog (National Institution for Transforming India) marked both a
break from the past and the culmination of a gradual shift already underway.
Critics had long seen the Planning Commission as a rigid, bureaucratic body. The most dramatic
challenge to the planning regime came with the 1991 economic liberalization, which sought to
replace the state-dominated system with a market-driven one. Planning, once seen as central to
India’s economic strategy, now appeared incompatible with the opening up of the economy to
private enterprise and the removal of licensing controls. Yet, despite the radical shift in policy, the
institutional transformation from PC to NITI Aayog took nearly 25 years to materialize.
Emanating from the 1950 Planning Commission Resolution (PCR), the Planning Commission (PC)
gradually assumed three core functions over time:
(a) formulating Five-Year Plans (Function 2),
(b) allocating financial resources for the Plans (Function 3), and
(c) determining policies and programs, in coordination with Union ministries, consistent with the
Plan (Function 7), including appraisal of programs (Function 6).
For nearly 65 years, these remained the PC's central responsibilities—until it was abruptly disbanded
at the end of 2014. The PC typically allocated around 26% of the Union budget. This budgetary
allocation comprised three components: central sector schemes, centrally sponsored schemes, and
block grants. The remaining 75% of the Union budget—classified as the non-Plan component (e.g.,
subsidies, interest payments, and other committed expenditures)—was managed by the Ministry of
Finance.
Importantly, there was also consensus that the PC should refrain from short-term forecasts (e.g.,
quarterly revisions of growth or inflation). Instead, its focus should be on medium-term structural
issues. This structural focus aligns with the vision of the PC (and its successor) as the body
responsible for outlining the contours of industrial strategy, while implementation remains the
domain of line ministries such as the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, Department of
Commerce, Ministry of MSMEs, and the Department of Heavy Industries.
Hence, any future planning institution must prioritize industrial development, with its modelling
activities serving this strategic goal.
For over six decades, the Planning Commission held a venerable position in India’s economic and
political architecture—largely due to its foundation and early leadership under Jawaharlal Nehru. Its
prominence was rooted in a time when the state dominated the economy and a single political party
held sway across both the Centre and the states.
Over time, however, these foundational advantages eroded. Though the PC played a central role in
the initial industrial "big push," its prolonged emphasis on state-led heavy industry, in the Soviet
mold, led to relatively sluggish industrial and economic growth—especially when compared to the
rapid progress of East Asian nations.
Eventually, demands grew for a greater role for the market and private sector, culminating in the
landmark economic liberalization of 1991. This policy shift reduced the prominence of public
investment and the role of the PC. Simultaneously, India’s states began asserting themselves more
forcefully in economic governance, further diminishing the PC’s influence.
Despite these challenges, the PC made a concerted effort to adapt. Four major shifts characterized
its transformation over the 25 years following liberalization:
3. From planning for aproducer stateto that of aquasi-welfare state, and
However, these adaptations did not satisfy growing criticisms. Ultimately, the PC was abolished in
2014 and replaced in 2015 by theNITI Aayog, envisioned as a think-tank rather than a
resource-allocating authority. This institutional overhaul followed a historic electoral victory that
brought a new government to power—one with a stronger orientation toward federalism and a
commitment to empowering states.
Crucially, the real driver behind this transformation was not any irremediable flaw within the PC, but
thecumulative rise in state power. This shift was most clearly reflected in theFourteenth
Finance Commission’srecommendation to increase the states’ share in national tax revenues from
32% to 42%—a landmark move that significantly enhanced state autonomy.
While this decentralization is politically popular, it is worth noting a paradox: many states—often
governed by political dynasties or plagued by corruption—have shownreluctance to devolve
power further, especially to local bodies. In this context, theGoods and Services Tax (GST)holds
promise. By fostering a unified national market, the GST may promote greater integration and
coordination within India’s federal structure.
In recent years, there has been a tendency to view India’s development strategy as a continuous,
undifferentiated process, with little substantive variation from one plan to another. Nothing could
be further from the truth. Indian development strategies have evolved significantly across different
Five-Year Plans, shaped by the prevailing economic conditions and the challenges of the time. While
some of these changes were bold and innovative, others were more modest—but change was a
constant.
The First Five-Year Plan was more an agenda for national reconstruction than a true economic plan.
Emerging from the trauma of Partition, it focused on stabilizing a damaged economy. The Second
Five-Year Plan, however, marked the beginning of structured economic planning. Its primary
objective, set by political mandate, was to maximize the GDP growth rate within the limits of
available resources. At the time, the main constraint was the low domestic savings rate.
Conventional growth theories offered little optimism for rapid improvement.
The decision to treat the savings rate not merely as a constraint but also as an explicit objective was
influenced by Professor P.C. Mahalanobis—a technocrat rather than a politician. The emphasis on
building heavy industries through public investment served the dual purpose of industrialization and
increasing the economy’s savings rate. This approach was innovative and reflected the political
leadership’s confidence—especially that of Prime Minister Nehru—in the analytical capabilities of
technocrats. Planning began to be conceived over multiple time horizons: a 15-year perspective
plan, a five-year operative plan, and annual plans for detailed resource allocation.
By the time of the Third Plan, India faced growing balance of payments issues and a decline in global
primary product prices, prompting a strategic shift. A new constraint—foreign exchange—emerged,
alongside the existing savings constraint. Two approaches were considered: increasing exports or
reducing imports through domestic production. Boosting exports risked undermining the long-term
goal of raising the savings rate. Thus, the plan adoptedimport substitutionas a strategy for
industrial growth. This aligned with both political aspirations for self-reliance and prevailing
economic theories skeptical of export-led growth. Despite its mixed legacy, this strategy garnered
considerable attention and was emulated by many developing countries.
Two key institutional developments also occurred during this period. First, the federal nature of
India’s Constitution necessitated decentralized planning. States were expected to prepare their own
plans within the framework of the national plan, supported technically by the Centre. Second,
import substitution required greater government intervention in industrial planning, leading to
detailed sectoral blueprints based on input–output models—even for private sector capacity
creation.
The Fourth Plan followed a period of economic hardship. Between 1965 and 1967, India experienced
severe droughts and food shortages. Simultaneously, foreign aid, including food assistance, was
withdrawn following the 1965 Indo-Pakistan War. These events broughtfood securityto the
forefront of planning. The need to ensure adequate wage goods introduced a third constraint into
growth theory—thewage-goods constraint. Consequently, the Centre took a more active role in
agricultural development, a domain traditionally reserved for states. The Fourth Plan also
introduced early concepts ofenvironmental sustainability, a theme that would only gain global
traction decades later.
The Fifth Plan was pivotal in recognizing that economic growth and industrialization alone would not
improve living standards for the poor. This led to a political shift in strategy, exemplified by Indira
Gandhi’s powerful slogan:"Garibi Hatao" (Remove Poverty). The plan introduced the concepts of
minimum needsand targetedanti-poverty programmes. It also marked a departure from the
Mahalanobis model, reverting to theHarrod–Domar model, suggesting that savings had ceased to
be the dominant constraint and could once again be treated as a constraint rather than an objective.
The Sixth Plan explicitly acknowledged that the previous strategy had successfully raised the
national savings rate, making it no longer a binding constraint. Signs ofexcess industrial capacity
began to appear, prompting a strategic shift toward infrastructure and reduced focus on heavy
industries. This plan initiated a moretechnocraticapproach, emphasizing realistic, rather than
visionary, targets—a trend that continued over the next three plans. During this time, political
enthusiasm for planning began to wane.
The Seventh Plan consolidated this shift and is often referred to as the"infrastructure plan". It also
marked the beginning of apolicy re-evaluation, with gradual movement toward a moreliberal
trade regimeand away from import substitution. Unlike earlier strategies, this change was
politically driven—spearheaded by Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi—though technocrats were
responsible for translating it into an operational framework. In retrospect, the associated risks were
not fully appreciated.
The Eighth Plan was disrupted by the1991 foreign exchange crisis, intensified by the Gulf War,
which led to wide-rangingeconomic reformsduring a two-year plan holiday. This plan was India’s
first attempt at planning in amarket-oriented economy. While the transition was incomplete, the
economy performed unexpectedly well, achieving an average annual growth of6.7%.
TheEleventh Planbuilt on the Tenth Plan’s emphasis on employment and infrastructure, and
introduced the idea ofinclusive growth. It prioritizedhuman development, especially in health
and skills. This foresight proved crucial, as skill shortages became widespread with the economy
growing at 9% annually. Despite rising incomes in rural areas, underemployment of unskilled and
semi-skilled workers remained a problem, prompting the plan to focus on expandingalternative
employment in rural areas. However, the Centre’s deeper involvement in areas traditionally
reserved for states became increasingly apparent. The plan’s trajectory was disrupted by theglobal
financial crisis of 2008–09and asevere drought in 2009, which hampered growth momentum.
Rising rural incomes led to greater demand for non-cereal foods, but inadequate supply caused
persistent food inflation.
TheTwelfth Planwas formulated in an unfavourable environment. The global recovery was slow,
and India's growth had decelerated.Corporate investment—which had previously driven
growth—was weakening due to tight monetary policy and regulatory hurdles. By now, India’s
economy was deeply integrated with the global economy, and its fortunes could not be shaped in
isolation. Thus, this plan focused less on new initiatives and more oncoherence in development
policy. Its basic priorities—such as employment, infrastructure, and human
development—remained largely unchanged from the Eleventh Plan.
The Lessons
The main learning from this experience is that the NITI Aayog needs to devote as careful
thought to the planning process as to formulating the strategic plan itself. This is not a
technical exercise, and involves a deep understanding of people and of organizational
behaviour. Some of the features of this process can be summarized as follows:
1. The prime minister should articulate the broad vision for the country, and not merely
endorse a suggestion put up by the bureaucracy.
2. The NITI Aayog should work out the components of this vision in terms of the objectives
and targets, and obtain full support of the prime minister. It may also be desirable to place
these before the Governing Council of the NITI Aayog for its endorsement.
3. The broad strategy for attaining the expanded vision should be worked out within the
NITI Aayog, keeping in mind the interrelationships and synergies that may exist among the
various objectives. This strategic plan should confine itself to strategy and not extend itself
to detailed design, which should be left to the lower tiers. This involves laying out the
objectives, the targets, the time path, and the resources. All else is detail, which is best
done by others.
4. In framing the implementation or action plan, the NITI Aayog should clearly specify which
interventions should be designed and controlled by the central ministries and which should
be left to the state governments with only financial support from the centre.
5. In the course of formulating the strategic plan, there will inevitably be serious differences
of opinion between the NITI Aayog and the ministries/ state governments. These
differences need to be resolved before the strategic plan is finalized. The resolution can
only be done at a level higher than that of the Aayog, and this role has to be played by the
chief executive officer (CEO).
6. Last, but not least, the NITI Aayog should consciously guard against developing hubris,
which inevitably leads to micro-prescriptions – the bane of the erstwhile Planning
Commission.
The originalPlanning Commission Report (1950)did not envision the Planning Commission (PC)
evolving into aknowledge hub. Yet this was a natural role that should have emerged over
time—but didn’t. In 1950, most Indian states were at comparable levels of income and development.
Over time, however, some states progressed rapidly while others lagged. These divergent
experiences made Indian states alaboratory of development practice, rich with lessons that could
have been shared.
No institution was better positioned than the PC to collect and disseminate successful policies and
programmes. Doing so would have required domain expertise to identify best practices and engage
effectively with states. Unfortunately, this role was never embraced—partly because its value went
unrecognized, and partly due to thedecline of domain expertisewithin the Commission's senior
bureaucracy. As a result—and likely for additional unstated reasons—the Planning Commission was
ultimatelysuperseded in 2014
When the Planning Commission (PC) was dismantled, the government offered no substantial
justification—only simplistic claims. Chief among them was that India, as an open economy in a
globalized world, no longer needed a centralized, "Soviet-style" planning institution. This argument is
flawed for several reasons.
First, the Planning Commission never practiced Soviet-style centralized planning, even during the
Mahalanobis era. A significant portion of India’s economy has always been privately driven. More
importantly, the nature of Five-Year Plans evolved significantly over time—from prescriptive to
indicative planning, as several contributors to this volume have noted.
Second, while markets are undeniably important, they also fail. Traditional arguments for state
intervention to correct market failures remain valid. In India's context, a large segment of the
population cannot meaningfully participate in the market economy. Addressing their needs cannot
be achieved through fragmented "schemes"; it demands a cohesive and integrated plan. A planning
institution must work alongside markets—strengthening them where they are weak and
supplementing them where they fall short. This remains a compelling rationale for planning,
regardless of the prevailing enthusiasm for market-based solutions—ironically championed by many
senior bureaucrats themselves.
Planning is also essential for inclusive development and for realizing the full potential of India’s
demographic dividend. This window of opportunity willremain open for only two more decades. A
well-crafted national plan is necessary to guide investments in health, education, and employment
to harness this demographic shift effectively.
A second compelling reason for maintaining a strong central planning institution is the need to
sustainhigh GDP growthover a prolonged period. Between2003–04 and 2011–12, India achieved
an average growth rate of 8.4% (at factor cost, 2004–05 base year). Since then, growth has been
volatile and generally below potential, rarely exceeding 7% annually (at 2011–12 market prices).
Sustained, high growth is critical to capitalize on India’s demographic advantage and avoid the fate
of many middle-income countries.
East Asian economies, notably South Korea and Taiwan,sustained rapid growth for 15–20 years;
Chinadid so for over three decades—an achievementunparalleled in economic history. Their
success in navigating the so-calledmiddle-incometrapwas due in large part to active, adaptive
industrial policies driven by strong planning institutions, such as China’s State Planning Commission.
The middle-income trap, as described in the 2018 Economic Survey, is akin to a pair of scissors. On
one blade, rising wages push countries out of low-cost manufacturing sectors, which are taken over
by poorer, cheaper economies like Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Cambodia. On the other blade, these
middle-income countries often lack the institutional, technological, and human capital to transition
into higher-value sectors. Squeezed from both above and below, they struggle to progress beyond
middle-income status.
The global context post-2008 presents additional challenges. Global growth rates have
declined—from 4.3% in the decade preceding the financial crisis to 2.9% in the decade following it.
For late industrializers like India, four key post-crisis trends may further undermine long-term
growth prospects:
1. Retreat from globalization: India must maintain export and GDP growth despite rising
protectionism and a slowdown in global trade integration. Earlier convergers, such as Japan,
South Korea, and China, benefited from a surge in world trade, enabling them to grow
exports at over 15% annually during their convergence phases. Since 2011, however, the
world trade-to-GDP ratio has fallen, limiting India's ability to replicate this model.
Nonetheless, India's low service-sector wages and the fragmentation of global value chains
present some ongoing opportunities for export-led growth.
3. Low human capital: Unlike early industrializers, Indiafailed to provide widespread basic
education early in its development journey. This failure now hinders structural
transformation, especially in an era wheretechnologyincreasingly favors skilled labor.
The convergence of educated but relatively unskilled labor with manufacturing—central to
East Asia’s growth—is missing in India. As the Economic Survey rightly notes, building a
learning society(Stiglitz, 2014) is essential, requiringadaptable and continuously upskilled
human capital.
After gaining independence from colonial rule in 1947 AD, a serious challenge before
India was what type of governance system it should adopt to ensure the development
of India. In such a situation, India considered it inappropriate to adopt a purely socialist
model and also did not consider a completely capitalist form of governance appropriate.
Therefore, according to its needs, even in this mixed form of governance, India was
more inclined towards socialism rather than capitalism.
During this period, India had kept its socialist inclination towards the then, Soviet
Union and India had adopted the format of five-year plans on the basis of the governance
system of the, then Soviet Union and had dreamed of the development of the country
on this basis. To fulfill this dream related to the development of India, the then
Government of India formed an executive body named - “Planning Commission, it
was formed on 15 March 1950 under the leadership of the first Prime Minister of
India, Jawaharlal Nehru, by the then Government of India was done through executive
order. Thus, the Planning Commission was an executive institution.
The Planning Commission was given the main task of preparing five-year plans
related to the development of the country. Apart from this, the Planning Commission
also recommended to the government how much financial assistance should be given
by the Center to the states for the implementation of those five-year plans. On this
basis, it can be said that the Planning Commission was an important institution to
ensure the development of the country.
In the year 2014, the NDA government formed under the leadership of Prime
Minister Modi, through a new executive order in January 2015, abolished the already
existing Planning Commission and formed NITI Aayog in its place.
Structure of NITI Aayog: Through a resolution of the Council of Ministers on 1 January 2015,
the Government of India constituted NITI Aayog. The Prime Minister is the Chairman of NITI
Aayog. The Governing Council will include the Chief Ministers
of all the states and the Lieutenant Governors of all the Union Territories. Regional
Councils (State will be established to deal with area specific problems. They will be
convened by the Prime Minister and will include the Chief Ministers and Lieutenant
Governors of all Union Territories in that region, and will be chaired by the Chairman
of NITI Aayog or his nominee. The Prime Minister can call experts and special invitees
through nomination.
In terms of governance structures, the changing needs of our country point to
the need to establish an institution that will act as a think tank of the government – a
directional and policy dynamos.
Development:- In Sanskrit, the word ‘Niti’ means morality, behavior, guidance etc.
But in the present context it means policy and policy means “National Institute for
Transforming India”. This is the main policy making body of the country which is
expected to promote the economic growth of the country. Its goal is to build a strong
state which will help in building a dynamic and strong nation. This helps India to emerge
as a major economy of the world. The formation of NITI Aayog has two centers which are
called “Team India Hub” and “Knowledge and Innovation Hub”.
1. Team India Hub: Through this, Indian states is partner with the central
government. Promotes cooperative federalism and designs policy and program
framework. It provides the required coordination and support framework to
NITI Aayog in its engagement with states.
2. Knowledge & Innovation Hub: This builds the think tank capabilities of the
institute. It ensures to fulfill the mandate of maintaining a state-of-the-art resource
centre, creating a repository of research on good governance and best practices
in sustainable and equitable development as well as helping in their dissemination
to stakeholders. To provide advice and encourage partnerships between key
stakeholders and national, international like-minded think tanks as well as
academic and policy research institutions. Both the hubs are headed by the
Chief Executive Officer of NITI Aayog (NITI Aayog Report, 2016)
Subsidiary bodies or work areas of NITI Aayog help in smoothly running the work
required by the organization, work areas are:-
1. Administration and supporting units
2. Agriculture and allied sector
3. Aspirational District Program Cell
4. Communication and Social Media Cell
5. Data Management and Analytics and Frontier Technologies
6. Economics and Finance Room
7. Education
8. Governance and Research
9. Governing Council Secretariat and Coordination
10. Infrastructure-Energy
11. Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises
12. Natural Resources and Environment and Island Development
13. Project Appraisal and Management Division
14. Rural Development
15. Science and Technology
16. Social Sector-I (Skill Development, Capability and Employment and Urban
Development)
17. Social Sector-II (Health and Nutrition and Women and Child Development)
18. State Finance and Coordination
19. Sustainable Development Goals
20. Water and land resources
1. Pro-People: It fulfills the aspirations of the society as well as the individuals.
2. Pro-active: Proactivity in anticipation and response to citizen needs.
3. Participation: Inclusion of Citizenship.
4. Empowerment: Especially to include women by empowering them in all aspects.
5. Inclusion of all: Inclusion of all people irrespective of caste, creed and gender.
6. Equality: Providing equal opportunities to everyone, especially the youth.
7. Transparency: Making government visible and accountable (Sources,
PIB.NIC.IN)
The primary objective of NITI Aayog is to promote economic growth and development
in India by providing strategic and technical advice to the Central and State
Governments. This includes national and international imports on economic fronts,
dissemination of best practices from within the country as well as other countries,
assimilation of new policy ideas and specific issue-based support.
NITI Aayog formulated its objectives keeping in mind the national objectives as well
as through the approach of national development along with the active participation of
the states. Following are the main functions of NITI Aayog:-
1. Cooperative Federalism:- It will promote cooperative federalism through
structured support initiatives and mechanisms on an ongoing basis with the states,
recognizing that strong states make a strong nation.
2. Credible Plans:- It will develop mechanisms to make credible plans at the village
level and disseminate them to higher levels of the government.
3. National Security:- National security issues will be considered and coordinated
with any specific issues in economic strategy and policy.
4. The Weaker Section:- NITI Aayog will give special emphasis on the weaker
sections of the society.
5. Policy & Strategy Formulation and Their Monitoring:- Policy and strategy will
be formulated by the Commission and monitoring and feedback will be provided
to encourage innovations and necessary midcourse reforms.
6. Partnerships:- It will make provisions to provide advice and promote partnerships
Academic and policy research institutions will be encouraged to work together to come up
with new ideas.
7. Experts:- It will have this support system which will initiate creativity and
entrepreneurship by uniting national and international experts from different fields.
8. Resolution Platform:- A platform will be set up to resolve inter-regional and
inter-departmental disputes to enhance the level of execution of developmental
projects and activities.
9. Resource Centre:- A state-of-the-art resource center will be set up which will
be a repository of research on good governance and best practices in sustainable
development across all sectors and departments and will help stakeholders access
information.
10. Assessment & Evaluation:- Timely monitoring and evaluation of programs is
necessary for effective and timely implementation of policies. Along with this, it
is also helpful in estimating the required money and other resources.
11. Technical Upgradation:- Special attention should be given to upgrading
technology in all sectors, so that projects can be better implemented.
NITI Aayog will aim to consolidate the vast pool of scientific and highly intelligent
resources by adopting the approach of helping the tribal Indian community. To become
a major power on the global economic stage, it will have to register its presence by
participating in all such summits. Use of modern technology in all sections of the society
has to be made a goal. The centre-to-state one-way flow of policy that characterized
the Planning Commission era has been replaced by increased participation of Indian
states, and a genuine and sustained partnership between them. ‘Public policy’ is mainly
a means of directing social actions according to some clearly defined goals. Thus,
public policy is “a directional means of achieving ideology-driven goals that usually
arise from dialectical interactions between governments and the governed” (Pandey,
A., Shukla, S.P. 2022).
On January 1, 2015, the Cabinet passed a resolution to establish the National
Institution for Transforming India (NITI Aayog). This marked the end of the erstwhile
Planning Commission, which had played an important role in the country’s economy
from very low initial conditions to a high growth path for more than six and a half
decades. What prompted the NDA government to replace Planning Commission with
NITI Aayog? What are its initiatives in the last four years? Was it inevitable to dissolve
the Planning Commission and create a new institution to do what NITI Aayog is doing?
MAJOR INITIATIVES
1) Atal Innovation Mission:- Atal Innovation Mission (AIM) is a major initiative of
the Government of India with the aim of promoting the culture of innovation and
entrepreneurship in the country. Since its inception in 2016, AIM has established
more than 10,000 Atal Tinkering Labs, 69 Atal Incubation Centres, 14 Atal
Community Innovation Centers and launched 24 Atal New India Challenges
across sectors (Niti Aayog Report, 2023). Atal Community Innovation Centers
are a means to drive innovation towards achieving Sustainable Development
Goals through new solutions in deprived areas of the country. Atal Community
Innovation Center (ACIC) program was launched on 31 July 2019 under Atal
Innovation Mission, a program of NITI Aayog to promote innovation in India.
2) Aspirational Districts Programme:- The objective of this program started in the
year 2018 is to identify the socially and economically backward districts of the
country and help in their overall development. Under this program, the progress
of the districts is evaluated by NITI Aayog and they are given ranking. Since its
inception, the program has studied ways to enable convergence of its three
approaches: district, state and central level initiatives; To facilitate collaboration
between civil society organizations, communities and district administration
towards a common goal and preparing strategy to promote a healthy spirit of
competition by releasing monthly ranks based on the performance of the districts
etc. to reduce conflict with the districts (NITI Aayog Report, 2022)
3) Nutrition Campaign Program:- Nutrition Campaign was implemented in March
2018. The objective of that campaign is to reduce the problems like malnutrition,
anemia in women and low birth weight of children in the country. This mission is
under women and child development. NITI Aayog has played an important
role in conceptualizing and organizing National Nutrition Month and Nutrition
Fortnight across the country in the months of March and September 2019. The
objective of celebrating Nutrition Month is to spread the message of nutrition to
every corner of the country. Poshan Maah 2019 had five components: Child’s
First 1,000 Days, Diarrhea-Free India, Diarrhea Prevention, WASH (or
Washing, Sanitation and Hygiene) and Nutritious India (NITI Aayog, 2020).
4) Zero Campaign:- NITI Aayog in collaboration with Rocky Mountain Institute
launched Zero Campaign in September 2021, which is an initiative to promote
zero pollution vehicles by working with consumers and industry. The campaign
aims to accelerate the adoption of electronic vehicles in the urban delivery
segment and sensitize consumers about the benefits of leaving zero pollution
(NITI Aayog Annual Report, 2022).
5) Women Entrepreneurship Platform:- The Women Entrepreneurship Platform
(WEP) is the first of its kind integrated-access portal to enable women of India
to realize their entrepreneurial aspirations. The idea of such a platform was first
mooted by NITI Aayog CEO Abitabh Kant, who announced its establishment
at the conclusion of the eighth Global Entrepreneurship Summit held in
Hyderabad in 2017, the theme of which was ‘Women First, Prosperity for All’
(NITI Aayog Report, 2020)