MMSS-04 Rev.

1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25F

Severe Tropical Storm CARINA (GAEMI)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 25 July 2024

“CARINA” WEAKENS INTO SEVERE TROPICAL STORM OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA

Location of Center (10:00 PM)

The center of Severe Tropical Storm CARINA was estimated

based on all available data at 630 km North Northwest of
Itbayat, Batanes (25.8°N, 119.0°E)

Intensity

Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center,

gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa

Present Movement

Northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 600 km
from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW dir. and
Location Cat. speed (km/h)
(°N) (°E) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
745 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or in
8:00 AM 26.6 118.2 95 STS NW 10
the vicinity of Fujian, China (OUTSIDE PAR)
26 July 2024
24-Hour Forecast 940 km North Northwest of Extreme Northern
8:00 PM 28.1 117.2 Luzon or in the vicinity of Jiangxi, China 65 TS NNW 15
26 July 2024 (OUTSIDE PAR)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

No Wind Signal hoisted at this time.

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Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RBB

“tracking the sky…helping the country.”

Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
 MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 25F

Severe Tropical Storm CARINA (GAEMI)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 25 July 2024

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

CARINA is now less likely to directly bring heavy rainfall over any portion of the country. However, the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by
CARINA will bring moderate to heavy rainfall over various localities in the western portion of Luzon from tonight through Saturday (July
27). For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 32 issued at 11:00 PM today.

Severe Winds

The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by CARINA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal
and upland areas exposed to winds):

 Tonight until tomorrow (26 July): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Nueva Vizcaya,
Quirino, the eastern portion of Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas,
Negros Occidental, and Northern Samar
 Saturday (27 July): Batanes, Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Marinduque, Romblon, and Kalayaan Islands.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

 Gale Warning is in effect over the coastal waters of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and northwestern
Cagayan. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas. For more information, refer to Gale
Warning No. 7 issued at 5:00 PM today.
 In the next 24 hours, CARINA and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring rough seas over the western seaboard of Central
Luzon (2.5 to 4.0 m). Moderate to rough seas are also expected over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon outside
Gale Warning areas, the western seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.5 to 4.0 m), and the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon (1.5 to
3.5 m). Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these
conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
 Up to moderate seas are also expected over the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, the southern seaboard of
Southern Luzon (1.0 to 2.5 m), the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao (1.0 to 2.0
m). Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out
to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 Outside PAR region, CARINA will continue to move west northwestward over Southeastern China.
 CARINA will continue to weaken as it further interacts with the landmass.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all
necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings,
thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

Unless re-entry occurs, this is the final bulletin for this tropical cyclone. Succeeding updates will be incorporated in the 24-Hour
Public Weather Forecast issued twice daily at 4:00 AM and 4:00 PM.

DOST-PAGASA

Page 2 of 2

Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RBB

“tracking the sky…helping the country.”

Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines