Conceptpaper. Benedicto
Conceptpaper. Benedicto
Cybercrime has become a significant threat in the digital age, affecting individuals,
businesses, and local government units. Midsayap, a developing municipality in North
Cotabato, is not exempt from these threats. As more residents and businesses engage in
online transactions and digital communication, the risks of cybercrime, such as hacking,
identity theft, phishing, and online fraud, have increased (Smith et al., 2022).
According to reports from local authorities and cybersecurity agencies, cases of online
scams, unauthorized access to personal data, and financial fraud have been reported in
Midsayap (Philippine Cybersecurity Report, 2023). Similar trends have been observed in
other municipalities where cybercrime incidents have been linked to increasing digital
dependency and insufficient cybersecurity awareness (Brown, 2020).
With the increasing reliance on digital platforms, there is a growing need to assess the
vulnerabilities in the town’s cybersecurity infrastructure and the awareness level of its
residents regarding cyber threats. Addressing these challenges through research and policy
intervention can enhance Midsayap’s overall digital security framework (Jones & Lee,
2021).
This study aims to identify the most common cyber threats in Midsayap, evaluate the
current cybersecurity strategies, and propose localized solutions to enhance digital safety.
Objectives of the Study
Theoretical Framework
This study will be guided by the Routine Activity Theory (RAT) and the General Deterrence
Theory (GDT). The Routine Activity Theory explains that cybercrime occurs when a
motivated offender encounters a suitable target without sufficient protection. The General
Deterrence Theory emphasizes the role of legal and technological deterrents in preventing
cybercrime. These theories will help analyze the factors contributing to cybercrime in
Midsayap and the effectiveness of cybersecurity measures.
Purpose Methods/Procedures
This research will employ a mixed-methods approach, integrating both qualitative and
quantitative data to analyze cybercrime trends in Midsayap.
Data Collection
Applying time series models to predict future cybercrime trends and utilizing models such
as ARIMA, SARIMA, and Prophet to analyze cybercrime patterns.
The study will focus on Midsayap, North Cotabato, and will involve respondents from
various sectors, including local government units (LGUs), law enforcement agencies,
businesses, and internet users. Data will be gathered through surveys, interviews, and
analysis of cybercrime reports from local authorities.
Literature Review
1. Caba-ong et al. (2015) conducted a study on the spatiotemporal patterns of index crimes
in Ozamiz City, Philippines. They collected data on reported and docketed crimes from the
Ozamiz City Police Station and verified the information by interviewing case investigators.
The study revealed a decrease in crime rate from 2010 to 2011, with the most significant
decline observed in 2012 and a sharp increase in 2013. Among the index crimes, physical
injuries had the highest number of occurrences, followed by theft and robbery. Crimes
against property consistently outnumbered crimes against a person.
2. Tadjoeddin et al. (2021) focused on investigating the connection between inequality and
violent conflict in selected provinces in Indonesia. The study provided empirical evidence
supporting the notion that higher inequality in districts within 'high conflict regions'
contributes to an increase in violence. The econometric results remained robust even after
accounting for various factors such as province and time effects, ethnic and religious
fractionalizations, and other determinants of violence.
4. Saravanan (2013) delved into data mining methods to predict crime patterns, considering
various factors such as spatial-temporal, socioeconomic, and demographic aspects. These
methods aimed to provide valuable insights into crime prediction for improved law
enforcement strategies. Butt et al. (2020) introduced a novel approach that combined data
mining and deep learning methodologies to predict spatial-temporal crime hotspots. Their
study focused on identifying areas with a higher likelihood of criminal activities, enabling
proactive measures to curb crime.
5. Umair et al. (2020) explored the use of several classifiers, including K-Nearest Neighbor
(KNN) and the Random Forest algorithm, to effectively identify and predict crimes. Their
findings demonstrated that the KNN classifier outperformed other classifiers in terms of
accuracy, making it a promising tool for crime prediction. Crime rates exhibit significant
variations from one country to another, with notable examples in the year 2022. Venezuela
held the unfortunate distinction of having the highest crime rate at 83.58%, followed by
Papua New Guinea at 81.19% and South Africa at 77.01%. The Philippines ranked in the
80th position with a crime index of 42.33% (Balmori de la Miyar, Hoehn-Velasco).
References
Jones, K., & Lee, R. (2021). Artificial Intelligence in Cybercrime Detection: Opportunities and
Challenges. Journal of Digital Security, 18(4), 256-278.
Smith, J., et al. (2022). Localized Cybercrime Trends and Responses: Case Studies in Small
Municipalities. International Journal of Cybersecurity, 22(3), 45-67.
Caba-ong et al. (2015). Spatiotemporal Patterns of Index Crimes in Ozamiz City, Philippines.
Mark & Sarcena (2021). Police Operational Activities and Crime Rates in Pagadian City,
Zamboanga del Sur, Philippines.
Butt et al. (2020). Predicting Crime Hotspots Using Data Mining and Deep Learning
Methodologies.
Umair et al. (2020). Crime Prediction Using K-Nearest Neighbor and Random Forest
Algorithm.
Balmori de la Miyar, Hoehn-Velasco (2022). Global Crime Rate Analysis and Forecasting.
Martinez, R. (2020). Digital Security and Public Awareness: The Role of Local Governments.
Gonzalez, P. & Cruz, M. (2021). The Evolution of Phishing Attacks: Trends and Prevention
Strategies.
National Cybercrime Prevention Bureau (2023). Annual Cybersecurity Report and Policy
Recommendations.