Wip 2025 Lecture 1 Population and Settle
Wip 2025 Lecture 1 Population and Settle
Settlement
History of settlement
Reference Question - Highlight the underlying geographical factors that influence the distribution of India's population
● Urban pockets
● North Indian plains
● Coastal Plains
Physiological - Better indicator of pressure on agricultural land - Requires accurate arable land data
Density
- Useful for analyzing food security - Not useful for urban-industrial regions
Agricultural - Indicates level of agricultural development - Ignores non-agricultural population, so valid only is
Density the main economy is agriculture
- Useful for development planning - Needs detailed and updated economic data
Urban Density - Useful for urban planning - Requires precise urban area data
Demographic parameters include data ● Death Rate: The total death numbers in a given area
during a time per 1000 population
points such as age distribution, gender ● Birth Rate: The total number of live births in a given
area during a time per 1000 people
ratio, fertility rates, mortality rates, ● Growth Rate: It is determined by the gap between
the birth rate and the death rate
migration patterns, and population ● Infant Mortality Rate: The numeral babies who died
density. before reaching 1 year of age per 1000 live births
● Maternal Mortality: The numeral women who die at
childbirth per 1,00,000 live births
Such demographic parameters are useful ● Life Expectancy: The estimated number of years a
person is expected to live
in policy making related with resource ● Sex Ratio: The total number of females per 1000
allocation and understanding the current males in a specific region
● Total Fertility Rate (TFR) denotes the total number
and future needs of the population. of children a woman is expected to give birth to in
her lifetime
● Literacy rate - Person aged seven and above, who
can both read and write with understanding in any
language, is treated as literate
Demographic transition theory
can be used to describe and
predict the future population of
any area. The theory tells us that
population of any region changes
from high births and high deaths
to low births and low deaths as
society progresses from rural
agrarian and illiterate to urban
industrial and literate society.
These changes occur in stages
which are collectively known as
the demographic cycle.
●The first stage has high fertility and high mortality because people reproduce more to compensate for
the deaths due to epidemics and variable food supply. The population growth is slow and most of the
people are engaged in agriculture where large families are an asset. Life expectancy is low, people are
mostly illiterate and have low levels of technology. Two hundred years ago all the countries of the world
were in this stage.
●Fertility remains high in the beginning of second stage but it declines with time. This is accompanied
by reduced mortality rate. Improvements in sanitation and health conditions lead to decline in mortality.
Because of this gap the net addition to population is high.
●In the last stage, both fertility and mortality decline considerably. The population is either stable or
grows slowly. The population becomes urbanised, literate and has high technical know- how and
deliberately controls the family size.
●This shows that human beings are extremely flexible and are able to adjust their fertility.
India’s Population growth Rate
● Period of Stagnant Population (1901-1921) -
High birth rate counterbalanced by high death
rate. The Census of 1921 recorded a negative
growth rate hence the year 1921 is called the
year of the ‘Demographic Divide’.
● Period of steady growth (1921-1951) - The high
birth rate continued. The mortality rate started
showing a downward trend due to improvements
in health and sanitation conditions along with a
developed distribution system. Hence it was
mortality-induced growth.
● Period of rapid high growth (1951-1981) -
There was a steep fall in the mortality rate but the
fertility rate remained high resulting in a very high
rate of population growth. It is referred to as the
period of population explosion which was the
result of fertility-induced growth.
● Period of high growth with definite signs of
slowing down(1981- 2011) - The highest-ever
growth rate of 22.2 % was recorded in 1971-1981
after the declining trend in population growth
started. The recent Census of 2021 reported
addition of fewer people than its previous decade.
This indicates a positive result of official efforts of
birth control and people’s enhanced awareness
led to an inclination towards smaller families
India’s Population growth Rate
FACTORS RESPONSIBLE FOR STILL HIGH
POPULATION GROWTH IN INDIA -
● High Fertility Rates:
○ High reproductive age population
(Youth bulge refers to a demographic
pattern where a large share of the
population is comprised of children and
young adults),
○ Desire for male child → continue
○ Cultural and Social Factors
● Declining Mortality Rates - due to better
access to medicines
● Limited Access to Family Planning - lack of
access to modern contraceptives
● Poverty and Education → more hands to
feed
● Early marriage + Child Marriage = increased
reproductive span
2. State of the World Population 2025 (11th June 2025)
● Regional inequality
○ Southern states are more developed compared to the High unemployment and skilling
northern states like UP Bihar
● Gender inequality ● Due to high illiteracy and low level of skill
○ According to the World Bank India has one of the lowest development people fail to find well paying
female labour force participation rates
○ Wage disparity in females jobs
● Rural versus urban inequality causing high rural to ● This further causes poor levels of Health And
urban migration literacy resulting in the vicious cycle of
● Inequality Between castes and tribes poverty
Reference Question - Discuss the significance of India's demographic dividend in her economic development.
India's demographic dividend may soon turn to demographic disaster in absence of proper education, skilling and employment opportunities.
Demographic Dividend
What is Demographic Dividend?
Demographic Dividend
How to prevent demographic dividend
from being demographic disaster?
5 main pillars -
1. Good food and nutrition
a. National food Security Act
b. midday meal
2. Good health to increase labour
productivity
a. Ayushmann Bharat
3. Good education and knowledge
based economy
a. Right to education
b. New education policy
4. Good skilling and upskilling
a. Skill India mission
5. Good employment
HW - “Full literacy now includes digital, financial and entrepreneurial skills” . Discuss in the light of national skill development policies.
(Peaceful) (Partnership)
Approaches to Human Development
Approach Description Example Scheme (National/Assam)
Focuses on human development as tied
Orunodoi Scheme (2020): Gives ₹1,250 monthly to 19.1 lakh
Income Approach to income levels, equating higher
families in Assam for essentials like food.
(5th Jan 2024) income with greater freedom and
Minimum Income Schemes like NYAY
development.
Emphasizes government expenditure
Ayushman Bharat Scheme (2018): Offers up to ₹5 lakh per family
on education, health, and social
for healthcare.
Welfare Approach amenities, viewing people as recipients
Atal Amrit Abhiyan (2016, ongoing): Provides ₹2 lakh health
of welfare to maximize human
insurance per family in Assam.
development.
Proposed by the ILO, prioritizes six
Jal Jeevan Mission (2019): Ensures piped water to rural
Basic Needs basic needs—health, education, food,
households, covering over 80% by 2025.
Approach water supply, sanitation, and
Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKAY) - Food for all
housing—over human choice.
National Education Policy (NEP) 2020: Targets 50% Gross
Enrollment Ratio in higher education by 2035.
Associated with Prof. Amartya Sen, Mukhya Mantri Nijut Moina (MMNM) Scheme (2024): Supports
focuses on building human capabilities girls’ education in Assam to reduce child marriage.
Capability Approach
in health, education, and resource Chief Minister’s Atmanirbhar Asom Abhijan (2023): Provides
access to enhance development. ₹2-5 lakh to 2 lakh youth for entrepreneurial ventures in Assam.
Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan (2020, ongoing): Boosts income
through job creation and manufacturing incentives
Initiatives by Government to increase Human Development (OYO)
Orunodoi Scheme: Provides ₹1,250 monthly to impoverished families,
1. Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY) focusing on women's empowerment
- Offers up to ₹5 lakh per family per year for Chief Minister’s Atmanirbhar Asom Abhijan: Offers ₹2-5 lakh to 2 lakh
secondary and tertiary care hospitalization youth for entrepreneurial ventures, with ongoing registration promoting
2. Jal Jeevan Mission - To provide safe and self-reliance.
adequate drinking water to all rural households Mukhya Mantri Nijut Moina (MMNM) Scheme: Supports girls' education
by 2024 (extended efforts ongoing in 2025). to combat child marriage, showing increased school retention.
3. Samagra Shiksha Abhiyan - integrates earlier Pragyan Bharati Scooty Scheme: Awards scooters to meritorious girls,
schemes like Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan and with over 22,000 distributed by 2025 to enhance access to education.
Rashtriya Madhyamik Shiksha Abhiyan. It Atal Amrit Abhiyan: Provides up to ₹2 lakh annual health insurance for
focuses on teacher training, digital education critical illnesses, reducing medical costs for many.
(e.g., DIKSHA platform), and inclusive Sneha Sparsha Scheme: Funds specialized treatments for families below
education for marginalized groups the poverty line, improving health outcomes.
4. Skill India Mission Kanaklata Mahila Sabalikaran Achoni (KMSA): Empowers women
5. Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) through financial support and training to start businesses.
6. National Education Policy (NEP) - to boost Kushal Konwar Briddha Pension Scheme: Offers monthly pensions to
educational attainment and skills senior citizens over 60, enhancing their quality of life.
7. Digital India Initiative Swami Vivekananda Youth Empowerment (SVAYEM) Yojana: Supports
8. Poshan Abhiyan - To eradicate malnutrition youth in income-generating activities, reducing unemployment.
among children, pregnant women, and lactating Assam Punya Tirtha Yojana: Facilitates pilgrimages while preserving
mothers religious heritage, benefiting residents with incomes under ₹2.5 lakh.
What are the factors responsible for the out-migration of rural youths from Assam? Do you think this is a positive and an inevitable process?
Discuss the major factors responsible for migration of population into Assam and state its probable socio-economic consequences.
Migration - Causes
Migration - Consequences
Positive Outcomes Negative Outcomes
1. Migrant laborers are often discriminated against
1. Labour Demand and Supply → cheap and 2. Internal security challenges can increase
efficient labour → Economic growth a. Example influx of Rohingya refugees in
2. Economic Remittances to source region India
3. Illegal occupation of land
3. Skill Development → even the unskilled a. Example encroachment of land by the
migrants help in exchange of skills illegal migrants in Assam
4. Quality of Life due improves due to economic 4. Population Explosion and the Influx of workers in
the place of destination increases competition for
contribution from migrants the job, houses, school facilities etc and a large
5. Social impact → Cosmopolitan culture, population puts too much pressure on natural
pluralism resources, amenities, and services.
5. Illiterate and Under Skilled migrations are not only
6. Migrants get access to food and nutrition in unfit for most jobs, because of a lack of basic
new region → Overall food and nutrition knowledge and life skills but are also prone to the
security increases victimization of exploitation, trafficking,
psychological abuse, and gender-based violence
7. Demographic Advantage → source region in the case of female migration.
experiences low population pressure while 6. Increased Slums Because migrants are not able
to get affordable housing
destination region experiences the 7. Brain Drain
demographic advantage
External Migration
● External migration refers to the movement of people from one country to
another for the purpose of changing their place of residence. It involves
crossing international borders and can be either voluntary or forced. External
migration has a significant impact on both the sending and receiving countries
● Reasons for the external migration – Same as the push-pull factors
● Impacts of External Migration –
○ Positive Impacts - Economic Growth, Cultural Exchange, Skill Acquisition and Knowledge
Transfer, Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Workforce and Skills Enhancement, Global
Connections and Networks
○ Negative Impacts - Brain Drain, Exploitation and Vulnerability, Dependency on Remittances,
Social Tensions, Loss of Human Capital Investment, Social Challenges
Term Meaning How It Differs from
Migration
Refugee A person forced to flee their Not all migrants are refugees;
country due to war, refugees migrate out of
persecution, or disaster compulsion, often across
borders
Asylum Someone who has applied for May migrate, but their status
Seeker protection as a refugee but is based on legal recognition
whose status hasn’t been
confirmed
Diaspora People who live outside their Result of migration, but refers
ancestral homeland but to a settled, often long-term
maintain cultural ties community
Urbanisation - Problems
As per the Census of India 2011, more than 31% of the
population lived in cities, and by 2030, that number is
predicted to rise to 41%
Problems with India’s urbanisation
1. High Population Pressure on existing public
services - due to continuous rural-urban migration
a. slums, crime, unemployment, urban poverty, pollution,
congestion, ill-health
2. Unplanned Development - Urban areas expands
into the adjoining rural areas
3. Overflowing slums
a. Ghettoization on the basis on class,
language, religion, etc. 🡪 'Class
Ghettoization' 7. Nuclear family + Individualistic culture → Generation gap
4. Inadequate housing - People often have to live in 8. Increasing social media + poor work life balance → mental
filthy circumstances in densely populated areas health is deteriorated
5. Welfare programs are non inclusive in nature and 9. Inequality and poor wages → Increase in crime
often exclude the migratory population 10. Deterioration of environment
Urban Areas – Classification and Definition
The following standards are used in India Why Urbanisation in Increasing in
to categorise urban settlements: India?
● According to the 2011 census, there ● Industrialisation
should be more than 5000 people living
there. ● Commercialisation
● At least 75% of working men should be ● Better employment and declining
employed in non-primary industries. agricultural income
● The town area committee should have ● Modernisation
informed the urban area, which should ● Rural-Urban change
have a municipality, corporation, or Not only in India, but across the world it
canton board.
● More than 400 people should live in is expected that 68% of world’s
each square km. population is going to reside in cities by
2050.
Urbanisation – Some common Terms associated with it
Term Definition Example (World) Example (India)
Outlying residential areas surrounding a major city, Suburbs of New York City Gurugram (developed as
Suburbs
often with lower population density. (e.g., Jersey City) a suburb of Delhi)
Two similar cities that are geographically close and
Minneapolis‚ St. Paul Hyderabad,
Twin Cities have grown together while maintaining separate
(USA) Secunderabad
identities.
A large city that forms the core of a metro area and Nearly all the capital
Metro Guwahati
drives economic and social activity. cities
Metropolitan A region comprising a central city and its surrounding Greater London Area
Delhi NCR
Area suburbs and towns, socio-economically linked. (UK)
An extended urban area formed by the merging of
Conurbation The Ruhr (Germany)
multiple towns and cities.
A vast, continuous urban region formed by the
Megalopolis BosWash Corridor (USA)
convergence of multiple metropolitan areas.
Very large cities, typically with populations over 10 Shanghai, New York, Sao
Megacities Mumbai, Delhi
million, often global in influence. Paulo
Cities that are disproportionately larger and more
Primate Cities Paris (France) Mumbai
important than any other city in the country.
Urban Planning Chandigarh - city
Disciplines focused on designing and regulating land Barcelona's Superblocks
and Town planning by Le
use, infrastructure, and urban development. (Spain)
Planning Corbusier
Urbanisation – Problems - Slums
● Any compact housing cluster of 20 households with poor ● Education and Public health: They have to rely on public
infrastructure and inadequate sanitation facilities is referred schools and hospitals which majorly are in an archaic state.
to as a slum as per the 2011 census definition. Whereas others have good convents and private hospitals
24/7 with world-class facilities.
● SOCIAL-CULTURAL IMPLICATIONS:
Smart Villages
Why smart villages are required?
● Almost 70% of the Indian population
lives in villages.
● The lack of job opportunities in villages
coupled with less remunerative farming
(except in the case of large land
holdings) compels village youth to
migrate to cities → Pressure on the city
resources increases
● Due to the continuous unidirectional
migration to cities → In the long term, Government schemes for smart villages
this leads to desertion from villages,
The concept of Smart Village is based on Mahatma
dilution of village culture, reduced land
under cultivation and, consequently, Gandhi's idea of Adarsh Gram and Swaraj
farm output. ● Sansad Adarsh Gram Yojana (SAGY) was
● So in order to maintain good urban launched in addition to Smart Cities and Digital
development it is of utmost importance India, as a development programme for India.
to maintain smart village so that this ● Aspirational Block program and Aspirational
unidirectional migration can be stopped District program
Reference Question - Smart cities in India cannot sustain without smart villages. Discuss this statement in the backdrop of rural urban integration.
Q - Smart cities in India cannot sustain without smart villages. Discuss.