Measuring The Cost of Living (Ch:11 P.O.M.E) : ECO 104 Faculty: Asif Chowdhury
This document discusses measuring the cost of living over time using the Consumer Price Index (CPI). There are three key points:
1. CPI tracks changes in consumer prices and inflation over time. It allows comparison of purchasing power across periods by expressing income levels in terms of a base year.
2. CPI is calculated based on the prices of goods and services in a fixed market basket, though this leads to problems like substitution bias.
3. CPI is preferred over GDP deflator for measuring inflation experienced by consumers, as it focuses on consumer goods while GDP deflator includes all domestic production.
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Measuring The Cost of Living (Ch:11 P.O.M.E) : ECO 104 Faculty: Asif Chowdhury
This document discusses measuring the cost of living over time using the Consumer Price Index (CPI). There are three key points:
1. CPI tracks changes in consumer prices and inflation over time. It allows comparison of purchasing power across periods by expressing income levels in terms of a base year.
2. CPI is calculated based on the prices of goods and services in a fixed market basket, though this leads to problems like substitution bias.
3. CPI is preferred over GDP deflator for measuring inflation experienced by consumers, as it focuses on consumer goods while GDP deflator includes all domestic production.
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Lecture 2
Measuring The Cost of Living
(Ch:11; P.O.M.E) ECO 104 Faculty: Asif Chowdhury
An amount earned 10 years back from now
( present time) is not equal to the same amount earned now. This is because of the difference in the cost of living between the two periods. In order to get a measure of the present equivalent amount of some income level, received in the past, the income level has to be expressed in terms of purchasing power. This process is facilitated by the use of a statistics called CPI ( Consumer Price Index.) CPI can be used to compare between income levels in two different time periods.
CPI traces changes in the cost of living &
hence is linked to movement in the price level. Changes in the general price level is known as inflation. Inflation rate refers to the percentage change in the price level from one period to the next. We have seen previously that GDP Deflator also provides a measure of Inflation rate, however CPI is referred over GDP Deflator for measuring inflation, since CPI is more representative of consumer purchased goods & services.
CPI ( Consumer Price Index)
CPI is defined as the measure of the overall cost of the goods & services bought by a typical consumer. The relevant statistical division of the government prepares the CPI. The CPI is used to compare income from different time periods & to measure inflation rate. The statistical division computes the CPI for thousand of goods & services. Here for simplicity we shall look at two goods scenario- Banana & Orange. There are five steps to compute the CPI: Fix the basket: determine which goods/services are more valued by the consumer. The good/services most valued will mean that the prices of those goods/services are important to
Weights are determined by surveying the
consumers & finding the quantities of those goods/services, bought by the typical consumer. In our case of two goods scenario, if bananas are valued more than bananas would be assigned higher weight. Finding the Prices: finding out the prices of the goods/services included in the basket. The prices are found for different points in time ( reflecting different CPI)
Computing the basket cost: using the prices of
the different goods & services the value of the basket is computed for different points in time. Choosing the base year & computing the index: after selecting the base year the CPI indices are computed relative to the base year value. Computing the Inflation Rate: after obtaining the measure of the different CPI indices, the inflation rate for different periods of time can be computed using those CPI indices.
Producer Price Index: measures the cost of
a basket of goods & services bought by firms. The logic behind computing PPI is that when the producers are facing rising cost, its eventually transferred on as higher price & so eventually raises the CPI. It should be noted that the weight of the goods/services in the CPI basket doesnt change. Only the prices are variable so that changes in the price levels can be captured.
Problems in measuring the
CPI: Three problems are associated with the CPI measurement: Substitution Bias: the weights of the goods/ services are fixed in the basket & doesnt take into account of consumers switching/ substituting towards another alternative (e.g.. a cheaper good) Introduction of new goods: new goods can offer consumers the option of maintaining the same standard of living at a relatively lower cost. However since CPI is based on a fixed basket, these new goods dont usually show up in the basket.
Unmeasured Quality Change: If a
certain good offers better quality at the same price, at a later time period, then the relative price of the good will be lower. However since quality is not easy to quantify, the CPI cant account for quality properly & hence will be overstated. Overstating of CPI has implications in terms of government programs-
Difference between the CPI & GDP
Deflator: o CPI takes into account of goods & services bought by consumers. GDP Deflator includes everybody like the government. CPI takes into account of imported goods whereas GDP Deflator only includes items produced domestically. This difference becomes prominent in case of countries importing oil. o CPI compares the value of a fixed basket of goods/ services to the same basket at some benchmark year value. GDP Deflator compares the price of currently produced goods & services to the benchmark price of those same goods & services. When price doesnt change proportionately, weights attached to different goods/ services matter. Sometimes these two measures diverge, but in general, GDP Deflator & CPI tends to move closely.
Comparing Currency figures across
different times: Amount in todays currency = Amount in year T currency X (Price level today/Price level in year T) o Indexation: The automatic correction by law or contract of a certain amount for the effects of inflation. Complete or partial indexation of wages Indexation of government program like Social Security Payment.
Real & Nominal Interest
Rate: Adjusting for effects of inflation has implications for lending to or borrowing from the bank. In the case of lending we receive the return in the future & in case of borrowing we have to return the money in the future. In either cases the future value of money can be different from the present value of money. o Nominal Interest Rate: reported interest rate without being corrected for effects of Inflation. o Real Interest Rate: interest rate corrected for effects of Inflation.