The document discusses key inventory management concepts including economic order quantity (EOQ), safety stock, and probability distributions. It provides formulas and explanations for calculating EOQ, which determines the optimal order quantity to minimize total costs. Safety stock calculations aim to reduce the risk of stockouts by accounting for demand variability. Probability distributions, like the normal distribution, can model demand patterns and are used to determine safety stock levels based on a desired service level and factors like lead time and demand standard deviation.
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Ordering and Stock: Some Important Calculations
The document discusses key inventory management concepts including economic order quantity (EOQ), safety stock, and probability distributions. It provides formulas and explanations for calculating EOQ, which determines the optimal order quantity to minimize total costs. Safety stock calculations aim to reduce the risk of stockouts by accounting for demand variability. Probability distributions, like the normal distribution, can model demand patterns and are used to determine safety stock levels based on a desired service level and factors like lead time and demand standard deviation.
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Ordering and Stock
Some important calculations
Economic Order Quantity
(Q*)
EOQ specifies the amount you should order to minimise
your cost for that item. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ, or sometimes Q*) is the cheapest way to buy items and store them in inventory. EOQ includes the cost per unit of ordering stock plus the cost per unit of holding stock. Both these must be considered. If you know the rate of usage of that item (which you should), then it also tells you when to purchase. EOQ is critical to efficient purchasing and inventory.
Check out wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_order_quantity
Economic Order Quantity
(Q*) Using the following formula calculate the economic order quantity for a product that has a holding cost of $5 (h), a fixed purchase cost of $120 (K) and demand of 1500 (D) units. Assumes that Lead time = 0, initial inventory = 0, the planning horizon is long (infinite). These are required assumptions for EOQ to be valid using this formula. You will get Q* = 268.33 units per order. This is what you need to order to minimise your ordering+holding costs
Q*
2 KD h
Q*= optimal order quantity (ie. Lowest
overall cost to order and hold this stock) D= annual demand quantity K= fixed cost per order, setup cost (not per unit, typically cost of ordering and shipping and handling. This is not the cost of goods) h = annual holding (carrying) cost per unit,
Safety stock calculations
Calculating safety stock involves taking a chance on not having the right amount of stock. The more safety stock you have, the less likely it is that you will run out. So ---- calculating safety stock requires working out the probability you will not run out at a given level of stock.
Probability (very basic)
Consider a sandwich shop you run. You measure the sales daily. After many days (maybe a year), you take the total number of sandwiches you sold (S). You divide by the days (n), and you get the average (av) sandwich sales per day. You record each days sales and notice that even though the average is a fixed number, sales vary from day to day. A few days are very high, a few days are very low, many days are a bit high and many other days are a bit low. You plot this and get the graph on the next page. Its called the Normal Probability Distribution There is a lot of maths that can be applied to this curve. You can apply standard formulae to it, and obtain many useful facts about sample using it. Go here to see more about probability and normal distributions: http://stattrek.com/probability-distributions/normal.aspx
You can look these
areas up using a Z table Z can be looked up in a table if you know the av and STD of the sample
This is a generalised normal probability distribution plot.
0 is the average, and then then numbers to the right indicate sales above the average, and to the left below the average. The spread (fatness) of this normal curve is indicated by the Standard Deviation (STD). The bigger the STD, the more your sales stray from the average. The spread of the curve is measured in multiples of the STD. You can calculate the STD using statistical formulas (most calculators allow you to calculate Av and STD if you enter a series of data) The vertical axis indicates the number of times (frequency) of samples of a particular size (days with this quantity of sales in this example). You see that many days have the average, and continuously less and less have more and more above and below. Only a very few have extereme high and low sales. If you measure the area under the curve for below-average plus above-average you show the percentage of samples within that range (you calculate Z and look up the area)
Applying this to safety stock
Required safety stock =z STD L L = lead time (usually in days), STD = standard deviation, which is a measure of variability of demand*, z = measure of the area under the normal distribution curve* * You calculate these when entering daily stock levels over many days. Stats calculators do this. Note The Required Safety stock is not an absolute number. It depends on the chance you want to take in not having enough. This is called the Service Level. To work out safety stock In this formula you need to consider the variation in demand and the lead time. You need to assume that demand is normally distributed. Go here to see how the Z value for normal distributions works: http://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-normal-distributiontable.html
Calculation of Safety stock
Using the following formula calculate the safety stock for an organisation that is required to provide a service level of 98% (you go to this entry in a Z-table and from this Service level, look up the Z value), has a lead time of 30 days (L) and a standard deviation in demand of 30 (STD) units. You should get 336.85 units of safety stock required. That is, you would calculate your average demand and hold stock for it, then you would hold an extra 337 units to make sure you had stock in 98% of future z STD days. L