Forex Presentation Paritat
Forex Presentation Paritat
Market Overview
Convention and Terminology
Mechanics and Operations
Instruments
, CFA, FRM
9 August 2006
Historical Perspective
1880-1914 : Gold Standards
1918-1939 : The War Periods
1944-1970 : The Gold
Exchange Standard
1971-1973 : The Collapse of
Bretton Woods
1985 : The Plaza Accord
1997 : Floatation of Thai Baht
1999 : Introduction of the Euro
2002 : Continuous Linked
Settlement (CLS)
Settlement
Every trade executed has to be settled.
Settlement risk is the risk that one side to a transaction
pays out its obligation in one time zone but the
counterparty to the transaction fails to make the
corresponding payment in a different time zone.
A number of initiatives : FXNET, the oldest and the most
successful, provides an automated bilateral netting
solution, which is a legally binding agreement between
pairs of counterparties in which transactions are netted
continually throughout the trading day.
Today around 20% of all FX transaction obligations are
netted via FXNET.
2006 , CFA, FRM
Money
Markets
Capital
Markets
Derivatives
Markets
Bond
Markets
Equity
Markets
Basic Definition
A Currency is a medium of exchange, coins or notes,
used to buy goods or services. Most countries have their
own currency, issued by an official agency called a
central bank or a monetary authority.
Foreign Exchange (F/X or Forex) is the transaction that
involves the purchase of one currency against the sale of
another currency for settlement or delivery on a specified
date.
The Exchange Rate is the
price per unit of one of the
currencies expressed in
units of the other currency.
2006 , CFA, FRM
2001
USD
90.4
EUR
37.6
JPY
22.7
GBP
13.2
CHF
6.1
CAD
4.5
AUD
4.2
SEK
2.6
HKD
2.3
SGD
1.1
Emerging Markets
5.2
Other
10.1
TOTAL
200
Market Overview
The Foreign Exchange Market allows market participants
to exchange one currency for another. It is a
communication network linking all participants.
Foreign exchange market is the single
largest market in the world. More
than USD 1.2 trillion is traded in
the FX market each day.
London (38%) is the largest trading
center in the world, followed by
New York (22%), Tokyo (10%), and Singapore (9%).
FX Transactions
Spot FX
FX Derivatives
Forward FX
Forward Outright
FX Swaps
11
Daily Averages
(Billion of USD)
Spot Transactions
387
Outright Forwards
131
Foreign Exchange
Swaps
656
TOTAL Turnover
1,210
12
Spot Transactions
A spot transaction involves the exchange of one
currency for another at an agreed exchange rate to be
settled in cash in two business days between two
counterparties.
Spot transactions account for about 32 percent of all
transactions in the foreign exchange market.
A spot transaction is intended to transfer purchasing
power from one party to another.
ON
1M
TN
6M
1Y
Time
Today
Tom
Spot
1M + Spot
6M + Spot
1Y + Spot
13
14
38.620
(offer)
15
USA
$100,000
SPOT
Thai
Company
$100,000
SPOT
Thai
Company
THB 3,860,000
Bank
Bank
Bank
16
Outright Forwards
An outright forward is an over-the-counter transaction
involving the exchange of one currency at the forward
exchange rate determined today for the delivery to take
place for cash settlement in more than two business
days.
About 11 percent of all transactions in the foreign
exchange market are forward contracts.
A forward transaction is intended to transfer risk from
one party to another. Transferring risk is hedging that is
intended to reduce the exposure to foreign exchange
risk.
17
Forward Outright
An outright forward exchange deal is a contract to buy or
sell a given amount of currency for settlement at some
future date, at a rate of exchange which is agreed at the
time of dealing. No money changes hand until the
settlement date.
Generally it is possible to obtain a forward rate of
exchange for up to one year for most traded currencies.
The purpose of obtaining a forward rate of exchange is
simply to establish and fix the cost of exchange for a
known foreign currency commitment at some future
date.
18
19
20
21
Forward-Forwards
When the short leg of the FX swap is more than two
business days, then the swap is called a forward/forward
swap.
A forward-forward swap is a swap deal between two
forward dates rather than from spot to a forward date.
FX forward-forwards are referred to by the beginning
and end dates of the forward period, compared with the
spot value date.
For example, to sell USD 1 month forward and buy them
back 3 months forward. In this case, the swap is for the
2-month period between the 1-month date and the 3month date : 1v3
2006 , CFA, FRM
22