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Negative Binomial Distribution

The negative binomial distribution describes the number of trials needed to achieve a certain number of successes in an experiment with independent trials where each trial has a probability of success p. It is similar to the binomial distribution but with the number of trials not being fixed. The probability mass function of the negative binomial distribution gives the probability of getting r successes after x trials. This can be used to calculate values like the expected number of trials and probability of getting a specific number of trials.

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454 views7 pages

Negative Binomial Distribution

The negative binomial distribution describes the number of trials needed to achieve a certain number of successes in an experiment with independent trials where each trial has a probability of success p. It is similar to the binomial distribution but with the number of trials not being fixed. The probability mass function of the negative binomial distribution gives the probability of getting r successes after x trials. This can be used to calculate values like the expected number of trials and probability of getting a specific number of trials.

Uploaded by

annatasya
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DISCRETE RANDOM

VARIABLES AND
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

Negative Binomial Distribution


by
Group 10 :
1. M. Fadel Veromisa (1810932045)
2. Intan Juwita (1810932006)
3. Annatasya Putri S. (1810933031)
Negative Binomial Distribution
The negative binomial experiment is almost the same
as a binomial experiment with one difference: a
binomial experiment has a fixed number of trials.

If the following five conditions are true the experiment


is binomial:
• Fixed number of n trials.
• Each trial is independent.
• Only two outcomes are possible (Success and Failure).
• Probability of success (p) for each trial is constant.
• A random variable Y= the number of successes.
The negative binomial is similar to the binomial
with two differences (specifically to numbers 1 and 5
in the list above):
• The number of trials, n is not fixed.
• A random variable Y= the number of trials needed
to make r successes.
What is Negative Binomial?
A negative binomial distribution (also called the Pascal
Distribution) is a discrete probability distribution for random
variables in a negative binomial experiment.

The random variable is the number of repeated trials, X, that


produce a certain number of successes, r. In other words, it’s the
number of failures before a success. This is the main difference
from the binomial distribution : with a regular binomial
distribution, you’re looking at the number of successes. With a
negative binomial distribution, it’s the number of failures that
counts.
Why is it call Negative
Binomial?

in a binomial experiments, you count the


number of Successes in a fixed number of
trials; in the above example, you’re counting
how many aces you draw. In a negative
binomial experiment, you’re counting the
Failures
The Negative Binomial Formula
Probability:

b*(x; r, P) = x-1Cr-1 * Pr * (1 – P)x – r

x=number of trials
r = Successes
Mean: Variance

μ=r/P
V (X) = r(1-p)/p2
r = is the number of trials
P = probability of success for any trial
Example
• Suppose that X is a negative binomial random
variable with p=0.2 and r=4. Determine the
following
E(X), P(X = 20), P(X = 19), P(X = 21)
• Solution
• E(X) = r/p =4/0.2 = 20
x 1
 19 


• P(X = 20) = r 1 (1-p) p =  

x-r r ( 0.80)16
0.2 4
 0.0436
 
3
18 
 
• P(X = 19) =  3 ( 0.80)15
0.2 4
 0.0459
 
 20 
• P(X = 21) =    0.0411
17 4
 3  ( 0.80) 0.2
 

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