CHAPTER 7

Bonds and Their Valuation

 Key features of bonds

 Bond valuation
 Measuring yield
 Assessing risk
7-1
What is the YTM?
 Must find the kd that solves this model.

 It is the rate of return the investor will earn if the bond is held till maturity.

INT INT M
VB  1
 ...  N
 N
(1  k d ) (1  k d ) (1  k d )
90 90 1,000
$887  1
 ...  10
 10
(1  k d ) (1  k d ) (1  k d )

7-2
YTM
YTM= CP + [(V –P)/n]
(Approx) [(V+P)/2]

V = Par Value
P= Market Price
N = # of Years to Maturity

7-3
What is the YTM on a 10-year, 9%
annual coupon, $1,000 par value bond,
selling for $887?
 Must find the kd that solves this model.

INT INT M
VB  1
 ...  N
 N
(1  k d ) (1  k d ) (1  k d )
90 90 1,000
$887  1
 ...  10
 10
(1  k d ) (1  k d ) (1  k d )

7-4
Using a financial calculator to
find YTM
 Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is
10.91%. This bond sells at a discount,
because YTM > coupon rate.

INPUTS 10 - 887 90 1000

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 10.91

7-5
Find YTM, if the bond price was
$1,134.20.
 Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is
7.08%. This bond sells at a premium,
because YTM < coupon rate.

INPUTS 10 -1134.2 90 1000

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 7.08

7-6
 Definitions
Annual coupon payment
Current yi eld (CY) 
Current price

Change in price
Capital gains yield (CGY) 
Beginning price

 Expected   Expected 
Expected total return  YTM      
 CY   CGY 
7-7
An example:
Current and capital gains yield
 Find the current yield and the capital
gains yield for a 10-year, 9% annual
coupon bond that sells for $887, and
has a face value of $1,000.

Current yield = $90 / $887

= 0.1015 = 10.15%
7-8
Calculating capital gains yield
YTM = Current yield + Capital gains yield

CGY = YTM – CY
= 10.91% - 10.15%
= 0.76%

Could also find the expected price one year from

now and divide the change in price by the beginning
price, which gives the same answer.
7-9
 What is interest rate (or price) risk?
 Interest rate risk is the concern that rising kd
will cause the value of a bond to fall.

% change 1 yr kd 10yr % change

+4.8% $1,048 5% $1,386 +38.6%
$1,000 10% $1,000
-4.4% $956 15% $749 -25.1%

The 10-year bond is more sensitive to interest

rate changes, and hence has more interest rate
risk.
7-10
What is reinvestment rate risk?
 Reinvestment rate risk is the concern that kd
will fall, and future CFs will have to be
reinvested at lower rates, hence reducing
income.

EXAMPLE: Suppose you just won

$500,000 playing the lottery. You
intend to invest the money and
live off the interest.
7-11
 Reinvestment rate risk example
 You may invest in either a 10-year bond or a
series of ten 1-year bonds. Both 10-year and 1-
year bonds currently yield 10%.
 If you choose the 1-year bond strategy:
 After Year 1, you receive $50,000 in income

and have $500,000 to reinvest. But, if 1-year

rates fall to 3%, your annual income would
fall to $15,000.
 If you choose the 10-year bond strategy:
 You can lock in a 10% interest rate, and

$50,000 annual income.

7-12
 Conclusions about interest rate and
reinvestment rate risk
Short-term AND/OR Long-term AND/OR
High coupon bonds Low coupon bonds
Interest
Low High
rate risk
Reinvestment
High Low
rate risk

 CONCLUSION: Nothing is riskless!

7-13
Would you prefer to buy a 10-year, 10%
annual coupon bond or a 10-year, 10%
semiannual coupon bond, all else equal?

The semiannual bond’s effective rate is:

m 2
 iNom   0.10 
EFF%  1    1  1    1  10.25%
 m   2 

10.25% > 10% (the annual bond’s

effective rate), so you would prefer the
semiannual bond.
7-14
If the proper price for this semiannual
bond is $1,000, what would be the proper
price for the annual coupon bond?
 The semiannual coupon bond has an effective
rate of 10.25%, and the annual coupon bond
should earn the same EAR. At these prices,
the annual and semiannual coupon bonds are
in equilibrium, as they earn the same effective
return.

INPUTS 10 10.25 100 1000

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT - 984.80
7-15
A 10-year, 10% semiannual coupon bond
selling for $1,135.90 can be called in 4 years
for $1,050, what is its yield to call (YTC)?

 The bond’s yield to maturity can be determined

to be 8%. Solving for the YTC is identical to
solving for YTM, except the time to call is used
for N and the call premium is FV.

INPUTS 8 - 1135.90 50 1050

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 3.568

7-16
Effect of a call provision
 Allows issuer to refund the bond issue
if rates decline (helps the issuer, but
hurts the investor).
 Borrowers are willing to pay more,
and lenders require more, for callable
bonds.
 Most bonds have a deferred call and a
declining call premium.

7-17
YTC = CP + [(Call Price –P)/t]
(Approx) [(Call Price+P)/2]

7-18
What is a sinking fund?
 Provision to pay off a loan over its life
rather than all at maturity.
 Similar to amortization on a term
loan.
 Reduces risk to investor, shortens
average maturity.
 But not good for investors if rates
decline after issuance.
7-19
How are sinking funds executed?
 Call x% of the issue at par, for sinking
fund purposes.
 Likely to be used if kd is below the coupon
rate and the bond sells at a premium.
 Buy bonds in the open market.
 Likely to be used if kd is above the coupon
rate and the bond sells at a discount.

7-20
Yield to call
 3.568% represents the periodic
semiannual yield to call.
 YTCNOM = kNOM = 3.568% x 2 = 7.137%
is the rate that a broker would quote.
 The effective yield to call can be
calculated
 YTCEFF = (1.03568)2 – 1 = 7.26%

7-21
If you bought these callable bonds, would
you be more likely to earn the YTM or YTC?

 The coupon rate = 10% compared to YTC

= 7.137%. The firm could raise money by
selling new bonds which pay 7.137%.
 Could replace bonds paying $100 per year
with bonds paying only $71.37 per year.
 Investors should expect a call, and to earn
the YTC of 7.137%, rather than the YTM
of 8%.

7-22
When is a call more likely to occur?
 In general, if a bond sells at a premium,
then (1) coupon > kd, so (2) a call is
more likely.
 So, expect to earn:
 YTC on premium bonds.
 YTM on par & discount bonds.

7-23
Default risk
 If an issuer defaults, investors receive
less than the promised return.
Therefore, the expected return on
corporate and municipal bonds is less
than the promised return.
 Influenced by the issuer’s financial
strength and the terms of the bond
contract.

7-24
Types of bonds
 Mortgage bonds
 Debentures
 Subordinated debentures
 Investment-grade bonds
 Junk bonds

7-25
Evaluating default risk:
Bond ratings
Investment Grade Junk Bonds

Moody’s Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B Caa C

S&P AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC D

 Bond ratings are designed to reflect the

probability of a bond issue going into
default.

7-26
Factors affecting default risk and
bond ratings
 Financial performance
 Debt ratio
 TIE ratio
 Current ratio
 Bond contract provisions
 Secured vs. Unsecured debt
 Senior vs. subordinated debt
 Guarantee and sinking fund provisions
 Debt maturity
7-27
Other factors affecting default risk
 Earnings stability
 Regulatory environment
 Potential antitrust or product liabilities
 Pension liabilities
 Potential labor problems
 Accounting policies

7-28
Priority of claims in liquidation
1. Secured creditors from sales of
secured assets.
2. Trustee’s costs
3. Wages, subject to limits
4. Taxes
5. Unfunded pension liabilities
6. Unsecured creditors
7. Preferred stock
8. Common stock
7-29
Reorganization
 In a liquidation, unsecured creditors
generally get zero. This makes them more
willing to participate in reorganization even
though their claims are greatly scaled back.
 Various groups of creditors vote on the
reorganization plan. If both the majority of
the creditors and the judge approve,
company “emerges” from bankruptcy with
lower debts, reduced interest charges, and
a chance for success.

7-30