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Topic 5 Valuation of Future Cashflows

The document discusses valuation of future cash flows including present value and future value calculations for annuities and perpetuities. It provides examples of using formulas and a financial calculator to solve for various cash flow variables like present value, future value, payment amount, interest rate, and number of periods. Key concepts covered are definitions of interest rate, perpetuity, annuity, and formulas for present and future value of cash flows.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
34 views43 pages

Topic 5 Valuation of Future Cashflows

The document discusses valuation of future cash flows including present value and future value calculations for annuities and perpetuities. It provides examples of using formulas and a financial calculator to solve for various cash flow variables like present value, future value, payment amount, interest rate, and number of periods. Key concepts covered are definitions of interest rate, perpetuity, annuity, and formulas for present and future value of cash flows.

Uploaded by

Qianyii
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 43

Taylor’s University

Dual Degree Program

Introduction
to Finance
Topic 5
Valuation of
Future Cash
Flows
1
Acknowledgement Ross et al, 2011, Essentials of Corporate Finance, 7 th Ed, McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc..
1-2 4-2

Learning Outcomes
At the end of the lesson, students should be
able to:
•compute present value and future value of
annuities;
•calculate perpetuity; and
•calculate APR (annual percentage rate) and
EAR (effective annual rate) on a loan

2
1-3 4-3

Topic Outline

• Valuing Level Cash Flows: Annuities


and Perpetuities
• Comparing Rates: The Effect of
Compounding Periods

3
1-4 4-4

Basic Definitions
• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between
earlier money and later money
– Discount rate
– Cost of capital
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Required return

4
1-5 4-5

Perpetuities and Annuity


Defined
• Perpetuity – infinite series of equal
payments
• Annuity – finite series of equal
payments that occur at regular
intervals
– If the first payment occurs at the end of the
period, it is called an ordinary annuity
– If the first payment occurs at the beginning
of the period, it is called an annuity due
5
1-6 4-6

Perpetuities – Basic Formulas


PV=? PMT PMT PMT …. PMT
|______|_______|_______|____...____|
0 1 2 3 ∞
•Perpetuity fml: PV∞ = C / r or PMT / i
•Current required return:
 $40 = $1 / r
 r = .025 or 2.5% per quarter
•Dividend for new preferred:
 $100 = C / .025
 C = $2.50 per quarter
6
1-7 4-7

Annuities– Basic Formulas


• Annuities:
PVIFA r;t

 1 
1  
(1  r ) t
PV  C  
 r 

 

 (1  r ) t  1 
FV  C  
 r 

FVIFA r;t
7
1-8 4-8

Annuities and the Calculator


• You can use the PMT key on the
calculator for the equal payment
• The sign convention still holds
– Most problems are ordinary
annuities (first payment occur at the
end of each period)
Rule:
Interest(I/Y) and Periods(N) follow the
Payment(PMT)

8
1-9 4-9

Annuity – Example 1
• You plan to pay $632/mth for a new
car. The financing rate is 1%/mth for
48mths. How much can you borrow?
• You borrow money TODAY so you
need to compute the present value
• Using Formula:
 1 
1  (1.01) 48 
PV  632   23,999.54
 .01 
 
9
1-10
4-10

Time Line

PV=? 632 632 632 …. 632


|______|______|______|____...____| I/Y=1%
0 1 2 3 48

Practice
10
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-11
4-11

Annuity – Example 1
• You plan to pay $632/mth for a new
car. The financing rate is 1%/mth for
48mths. How much can you borrow?

• Using financial calculator:


 N = 48; I/Y = 1; PMT = – 632; FV = 0;
CPT PV = 23,999.54 ($24,000)

11
1-12
4-12

Annuity – Example 2
• Suppose you win the Publishers Clearinghouse $10
million sweepstakes. The money is paid in equal
annual installments of $333,333.33 over 30 years. If the
appropriate discount rate is 5%, how much is the
sweepstakes actually worth today?
• Using Formula:
 PV = $333,333.33[1 – 1/1.0530] / .05 =
$5,124,150.29;
• Using financial calculator:
 N = 30; I/Y = 5; PMT = 333,333.33; FV = 0;
CPT PV = -5,124,150.29
Practice
12
1-13
4-13
Finding the Annuity Payment – Example 3
• Suppose you want to borrow $20,000 for a
new car. You can borrow at 8% per year,
compounded monthly (8/12 = .666666667%
per month). If you take a 4-year loan, what is
your monthly payment?
• Using formula:
 $20,000 = C[1 – 1 / 1.006666748] / .0066667
 C = $488.26
• Using financial calculator:
 N = 4(12) = 48; PV = -20,000;
I/Y = 8/12 = 0.6667; CPT PMT = 488.26
13
1-14
4-14

Time Line

PV=20K PMT PMT PMT …. PMT=?


|______|______|______|____...____| I/Y=8/12%
0 1 2 3 N=4x12=48

Practice
14
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-15
4-15

Finding the Number of Payments – Example 4


• You have $1000 on your credit card
outstanding but can afford payment of only
$20 per mth. Card IR is 1.5%per mth. How long
does it take to pay off the $1000?
• Using Formula:
 $1,000 = $20(1 – 1/1.015t) / .015
 t = ln(1/.25) / ln(1.015)
= 93.111 months = 7.75 years
Using financial calculator:
I/Y = 1.5; PV = –1,000; PMT = 20; FV = 0
CPT N = 93.111 MONTHS = 7.75 years
15
1-16
4-16

Time Line

PV=1K 20 20 20 …. 20
|______|______|______|____...____| I/Y=1.5%
0 1 2 3 N=?

Practice
16
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-17
4-17

Finding the Rate


• Suppose you borrow $10,000 from
your parents to buy a car. You
agree to pay $207.58 per month for
60 months. What is the monthly
interest rate?
 Sign convention matters!!!
 N = 60
 PV = – 10,000
 PMT = 207.58
 CPT I/Y = 0.75% per mth
17
1-18
4-18

Quick Quiz: Part 3


Q1. You want to receive $5,000 per month for
the next 5 years. How much would you need to
deposit today if you can earn .75% per month?
•What monthly rate would you need to earn if
you only have $200,000 to deposit?
•Suppose you have $200,000 to deposit and
can earn .75% per month.
– How many months could you receive the
$5,000 payment?
– How much could you receive every month
for 5 years?
18
1-19
4-19

Quick Quiz: Part 3


Q1. You want to receive $5,000 per month
for the next 5 years. How much would you
need to deposit today if you can earn .75%
per month?
Solutions: Using formula
 1 
1 
 (1.0075) 5 x1260 
PV  5000   ??
 .075 
 
Using financial calculator:
N = 5x12=60; PMT = 5000 ;I/Y =0.75;
CPT PV= – 240,867 Practice
19
1-20
4-20

Quick Quiz: Part 3


Q2. You want to receive $5,000 per month
for the next 5 years. What monthly rate
would you need to earn if you only have
$200,000 to deposit?
Solutions:
Using financial calculator:
N =5x12=60; PMT =5000; PV = –200,000
CPT I/Y = 1.44% per month

Practice
20
1-21
4-21

Quick Quiz: Part 3


Q3. You want to receive $5,000 per month.
Suppose you have $200,000 to deposit and
can earn .75% per month. How many months
could you receive the $5,000 payment?
Solutions: Using formula:
PV = C[1 – 1 / (1+r)t] / r
200,000 = 5,000(1 – 1 / 1.0075t) / .0075
.3 = 1 – 1/1.0075t
1.0075t = 1.428571429
t = ln(1.428571429) / ln(1.0075) = 47.73 months
Practice
21
1-22
4-22

Quick Quiz: Part 3


Q3. You want to receive $5,000 per month.
Suppose you have $200,000 to deposit and
can earn .75% per month. How many months
could you receive the $5,000 payment?

Using financial calculator:


PMT =5000 ;I/Y =0.75%; PV = 200000;
CPT N= 47.73 months

Practice
22
1-23
4-23

Future Values for Annuities


• Suppose you begin saving for your retirement
by depositing $2,000 per year in an IRA. If the
interest rate is 7.5%, how much will you have
in 40 years?
• Solutions: Using formula:
 FV = C[(1 + r)t – 1] / r
= $2,000(1.07540 – 1)/.075 = $454,513.04
 Using financial calculator:
 N = 40; I/Y = 7.5; PMT = 2,000;
CPT FV = 454,513.04
23
1-24
4-24
Table 5.2

24
1-25
4-25
Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q1.You want to have $1 million to use
for retirement in 35 years. If you can
earn 1% per month, how much do you
need to deposit on a monthly basis if
the first payment is made in one
month?
Q2. You are considering preferred
stock that pays a quarterly dividend of
$1.50. If your desired return is 3% per
quarter, how much would you be
willing to pay?
Practice
25
1-26
4-26
Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q1. You want to have $1 million to use for
retirement in 35 years. If you can earn 1%
per month, how much do you need to
deposit on a monthly basis if the first
payment is made in one month?
Solutions: Using formula:
1,000,000 = C (1.0135x12= 420 – 1) / .01
C = $155.50
Using financial calculator:
N= 35x12 = 420; FV =1,000,000; I/Y = 1; CPT
PMT = $155.50
Practice
26
1-27
4-27
Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q2. You are considering preferred stock
that pays a quarterly dividend of $1.50. If
your desired return is 3% per quarter,
how much would you be willing to pay?
PV=? 1.50 1.50 1.50 …. 1.50 |
______|_______|_______|____...____| I/Y=3%
0 1 2 3 ∞
Solutions:
Remember Perpetuity formula:
PV = C / r or PV = PMT / i
PV = 1.50 / .03 = $50
Practice
27
1-28
4-28

Effective Annual Rate (EAR)


• This is the actual rate paid (or received)
after accounting for compounding that
occurs during the year
• If you want to compare two alternative
investments with different compounding
periods you need to compute the EAR
and use that for comparison.
**Compounded once a year

28
1-29
4-29

Annual Percentage Rate (APR)


• By definition APR = period rate times
the number of periods per year
• Consequently, to get the period rate we
rearrange the APR equation:
– Period rate = APR / number of periods per
year
• You should NEVER divide the effective
rate by the number of periods per year –
it will NOT give you the period rate
**Usually compounded more than once a
year e.g. monthly or quarterly
29
1-30
4-30
Computing APRs
• What is the APR if the monthly rate
(period rate) is .5%?
 .5%x12 = 6%pa compounded
monthly

• What is the monthly rate if the APR is


12% with monthly compounding?
 12% / 12 = 1% per month

30
1-31
4-31
Things to Remember
• You ALWAYS need to make sure that the
interest rate and the time period match.
– If you are looking at annual periods, you
need an annual rate.
– If you are looking at monthly periods, you
need a monthly rate.
• If you have an APR based on monthly
compounding, you have to use monthly
periods for lump sums, or adjust the interest
rate appropriately if you have payments
other than monthly
31
1-32
4-32
EAR - Formula
m
 APR 
EAR  1    1
 m 

Remember that the APR is the quoted rate


(in decimals), and m is the number of
compounds per year

32
1-33
4-33
Computing EARs - Example
• Suppose you can earn 1% per month on $1
invested today.
– What is the APR? 1%(12) = 12%
– How much are you effectively earning
(EAR)?
• EAR = (1+0.12/12)12 – 1 = 12.68%
• Suppose if you put it in another account,
you earn 3% per quarter.
– What is the APR? 3%(4) = 12%
– How much are you effectively earning
(EAR)?
• EAR = (1+0.12/4)4 – 1 = 12.55%
33
1-34
4-34

Decisions, Decisions II
• You are looking at two savings accounts.
One pays 5.25%, with daily compounding.
The other pays 5.3% with semiannual
compounding. Which account should you
use?
– First account:
• EAR = (1 + .0525/365)365 – 1 = 5.39%
– Second account:
• EAR = (1 + .053/2)2 – 1 = 5.37%
• Which account should you choose and
why?
34
1-35
4-35

Using Calculator
– First account:
2ndF RESET ENTER
2ndF ICONV NOM=5.25 C/Y=365
CPT EFF=5.39%
– Second account:
2ndF RESET ENTER
2ndF ICONV NOM=5.3 C/Y=2
CPT EFF=5.37%
35
1-36
4-36
Computing Payments with APRs
• Suppose you want to buy a new computer
system. The store will allow you to make
monthly payments. The entire computer
system costs $3,500. The loan period is
for 2 years and the interest rate is 16.9%
(annual) with monthly compounding. What
is your monthly payment?
 Monthly rate = .169 / 12 = .01408333333
 Number of months = 2(12) = 24
 $3,500 = C[1 – 1 /
(1.01408333333)24] / .01408333333
 C = $172.88
 N = 2(12) = 24; I/Y = 16.9/12 = 1.4083;
Practice
PV = 3,500; CPT PMT = -172.88 36
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-37
4-37

Time Line

3500 PMT PMT PMT …. PMT=?


|_____|_____|_____|___...___| I/Y=16.9%/12
0 1 2 3 24

Practice
37
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-38
4-38

Future Values with Monthly


Compounding
• Suppose you deposit $50 per month
into an account that has an APR of
9%, based on monthly
compounding. How much will you
have in the account in 35 years?
 Monthly rate = .09 / 12 = .0075
 Number of months = 35(12) = 420
 FV = $50[1.0075420 – 1] / .0075 =
$147,089.22
Practice
38
You are attempting to find the FV of an annuity stream
1-39
4-39

Future Values with Monthly


Compounding
• Suppose you deposit $50 per month
into an account that has an APR of
9%, based on monthly
compounding. How much will you
have in the account in 35 years?
– N = 35(12) = 420
– I/Y = 9 / 12 = 0.75
– PMT = 50
– CPT FV = 147,089.22 Practice
39
You are attempting to find the FV of an annuity stream
1-40
4-40

Time Line

FV=?
50 50 50 …. 50
|_____|_____|_____|___...___| I/Y=9%/12
0 1 2 3 N=35x12

Practice
40
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
1-41
4-41

Quick Quiz: Part 5


• What is the definition of an APR?
Period rate x No. of comp. per year
• What is the EAR? Rate after
accounting for compounding
• Which rate should you use to compare
alternative investments or loans? EAR
• Which rate do you need to use in the
time value of money calculations?
Period rate  Use APR to get it
Practice
41
1-42
4-42

Comprehensive Problem
• An investment will provide you with $100 at
the end of each year for the next 10 years.
What is the present value of that annuity if
the discount rate is 8% annually? – 671
• If you deposit those payments into an
account earning 8%, what will the future
value be in 10 years? 1448.66
• What will the future value be if you open the
account with $1,000 today, and then make
the $100 deposits at the end of each year?
3607.58
Practice
42
1-43
4-43

Reading
• Ross Chapter 6

43

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