Topic 5 Valuation of Future Cashflows
Topic 5 Valuation of Future Cashflows
Introduction
to Finance
Topic 5
Valuation of
Future Cash
Flows
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Acknowledgement Ross et al, 2011, Essentials of Corporate Finance, 7 th Ed, McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc..
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Learning Outcomes
At the end of the lesson, students should be
able to:
•compute present value and future value of
annuities;
•calculate perpetuity; and
•calculate APR (annual percentage rate) and
EAR (effective annual rate) on a loan
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Topic Outline
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Basic Definitions
• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between
earlier money and later money
– Discount rate
– Cost of capital
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Required return
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1
1
(1 r ) t
PV C
r
(1 r ) t 1
FV C
r
FVIFA r;t
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Annuity – Example 1
• You plan to pay $632/mth for a new
car. The financing rate is 1%/mth for
48mths. How much can you borrow?
• You borrow money TODAY so you
need to compute the present value
• Using Formula:
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1 (1.01) 48
PV 632 23,999.54
.01
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Time Line
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Annuity – Example 1
• You plan to pay $632/mth for a new
car. The financing rate is 1%/mth for
48mths. How much can you borrow?
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Annuity – Example 2
• Suppose you win the Publishers Clearinghouse $10
million sweepstakes. The money is paid in equal
annual installments of $333,333.33 over 30 years. If the
appropriate discount rate is 5%, how much is the
sweepstakes actually worth today?
• Using Formula:
PV = $333,333.33[1 – 1/1.0530] / .05 =
$5,124,150.29;
• Using financial calculator:
N = 30; I/Y = 5; PMT = 333,333.33; FV = 0;
CPT PV = -5,124,150.29
Practice
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Finding the Annuity Payment – Example 3
• Suppose you want to borrow $20,000 for a
new car. You can borrow at 8% per year,
compounded monthly (8/12 = .666666667%
per month). If you take a 4-year loan, what is
your monthly payment?
• Using formula:
$20,000 = C[1 – 1 / 1.006666748] / .0066667
C = $488.26
• Using financial calculator:
N = 4(12) = 48; PV = -20,000;
I/Y = 8/12 = 0.6667; CPT PMT = 488.26
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Time Line
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Time Line
PV=1K 20 20 20 …. 20
|______|______|______|____...____| I/Y=1.5%
0 1 2 3 N=?
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Practice
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Practice
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Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q1.You want to have $1 million to use
for retirement in 35 years. If you can
earn 1% per month, how much do you
need to deposit on a monthly basis if
the first payment is made in one
month?
Q2. You are considering preferred
stock that pays a quarterly dividend of
$1.50. If your desired return is 3% per
quarter, how much would you be
willing to pay?
Practice
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Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q1. You want to have $1 million to use for
retirement in 35 years. If you can earn 1%
per month, how much do you need to
deposit on a monthly basis if the first
payment is made in one month?
Solutions: Using formula:
1,000,000 = C (1.0135x12= 420 – 1) / .01
C = $155.50
Using financial calculator:
N= 35x12 = 420; FV =1,000,000; I/Y = 1; CPT
PMT = $155.50
Practice
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Quick Quiz: Part 4
Q2. You are considering preferred stock
that pays a quarterly dividend of $1.50. If
your desired return is 3% per quarter,
how much would you be willing to pay?
PV=? 1.50 1.50 1.50 …. 1.50 |
______|_______|_______|____...____| I/Y=3%
0 1 2 3 ∞
Solutions:
Remember Perpetuity formula:
PV = C / r or PV = PMT / i
PV = 1.50 / .03 = $50
Practice
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Things to Remember
• You ALWAYS need to make sure that the
interest rate and the time period match.
– If you are looking at annual periods, you
need an annual rate.
– If you are looking at monthly periods, you
need a monthly rate.
• If you have an APR based on monthly
compounding, you have to use monthly
periods for lump sums, or adjust the interest
rate appropriately if you have payments
other than monthly
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EAR - Formula
m
APR
EAR 1 1
m
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Computing EARs - Example
• Suppose you can earn 1% per month on $1
invested today.
– What is the APR? 1%(12) = 12%
– How much are you effectively earning
(EAR)?
• EAR = (1+0.12/12)12 – 1 = 12.68%
• Suppose if you put it in another account,
you earn 3% per quarter.
– What is the APR? 3%(4) = 12%
– How much are you effectively earning
(EAR)?
• EAR = (1+0.12/4)4 – 1 = 12.55%
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Decisions, Decisions II
• You are looking at two savings accounts.
One pays 5.25%, with daily compounding.
The other pays 5.3% with semiannual
compounding. Which account should you
use?
– First account:
• EAR = (1 + .0525/365)365 – 1 = 5.39%
– Second account:
• EAR = (1 + .053/2)2 – 1 = 5.37%
• Which account should you choose and
why?
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Using Calculator
– First account:
2ndF RESET ENTER
2ndF ICONV NOM=5.25 C/Y=365
CPT EFF=5.39%
– Second account:
2ndF RESET ENTER
2ndF ICONV NOM=5.3 C/Y=2
CPT EFF=5.37%
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Computing Payments with APRs
• Suppose you want to buy a new computer
system. The store will allow you to make
monthly payments. The entire computer
system costs $3,500. The loan period is
for 2 years and the interest rate is 16.9%
(annual) with monthly compounding. What
is your monthly payment?
Monthly rate = .169 / 12 = .01408333333
Number of months = 2(12) = 24
$3,500 = C[1 – 1 /
(1.01408333333)24] / .01408333333
C = $172.88
N = 2(12) = 24; I/Y = 16.9/12 = 1.4083;
Practice
PV = 3,500; CPT PMT = -172.88 36
You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Time Line
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Time Line
FV=?
50 50 50 …. 50
|_____|_____|_____|___...___| I/Y=9%/12
0 1 2 3 N=35x12
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Comprehensive Problem
• An investment will provide you with $100 at
the end of each year for the next 10 years.
What is the present value of that annuity if
the discount rate is 8% annually? – 671
• If you deposit those payments into an
account earning 8%, what will the future
value be in 10 years? 1448.66
• What will the future value be if you open the
account with $1,000 today, and then make
the $100 deposits at the end of each year?
3607.58
Practice
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Reading
• Ross Chapter 6
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