Planning techniques like forecasting, contingency planning, scenario planning, benchmarking, and participatory planning allow organizations to effectively plan for dynamic environments. Forecasting predicts the future, contingency planning prepares for unexpected events, and scenario planning considers various potential future states. Benchmarking involves comparing practices with other organizations to identify best practices, while participatory planning includes those affected by the plans in the planning process. Effective decision-making involves identifying problems, criteria, alternatives, analyzing alternatives, selecting an alternative, implementing it, and evaluating the results. Decisions can occur under certainty or risk/uncertainty conditions.
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Planning Technique
Planning techniques like forecasting, contingency planning, scenario planning, benchmarking, and participatory planning allow organizations to effectively plan for dynamic environments. Forecasting predicts the future, contingency planning prepares for unexpected events, and scenario planning considers various potential future states. Benchmarking involves comparing practices with other organizations to identify best practices, while participatory planning includes those affected by the plans in the planning process. Effective decision-making involves identifying problems, criteria, alternatives, analyzing alternatives, selecting an alternative, implementing it, and evaluating the results. Decisions can occur under certainty or risk/uncertainty conditions.
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Planning: Planning
Techniques and Tools and
their Application and Decision-making For effective planning in today’s dynamic environments, different techniques and tools must be used such as forecasting, contingency planning, scenario planning, benchmarking and participatory planning. Forecasting according to Schermerhorn (2008) is an attempt to predict what may happen in the future .All planning types, without exception, make use of forecasting. Business periodicals publish forecasts such as employment and unemployment rates, increase or decrease of interest rates, stock market data, GNP/GDP data, and others. Forecast used either be quantitative or qualitative. Opinions of prominent economist are used in qualitative forecast while mathematical calculations and statistical analyses of surveys /researchers are used in quantitative forecast.
These, however, are just aids to planning and must be
treated with cautions. As the name implies, forecast are predictions and may be inaccurate, at times, due to errors of human judgment. Contingency factors may offer alternatives course of action when the unexpected happen or when things go wrong. Contingency plan must be prepared by managers, ready for implementation when things do not turn out as they should be. Contingency factors called “trigger points” indicate when the prepared alternative plan should be implemented. Trigger point-change in an attribute, condition, factor, parameter, or value that represents crossing a threshold and actuates or initiates a mechanism or reaction that may lead to radically different states of affairs. Meanwhile, planning for future states of affairs is a long-term version of contingency planning and is also known as scenario planning. Several future states of affairs must be identified and alternative plans must be prepared to meet the changes and challenges in the future. This is a big help for organization because it allows them to plan ahead and make necessary adjustments in their strategies and operations. Some examples of changes or challenges that may arise in the future scenario are environmental pollution, human rights violations, climate and weather changes, earthquake damages to communities, and others. Figure 3.4 Some organization use a Gantt chart to properly schedule production process and allocate resources. Benchmarking, another planning technique that generally involves external comparison of a company’s practices and technologies with those of other companies. Its main purpose is to find out what other people and organization as well and then how to incorporate these practices into the company’s operations. • A common benchmarking technique is to search for best practices used by other organizations that enable them to achieve superior performance. This is also known as external benchmarking. • Internal benchmarking is also practiced by some organizations when they encourage all their employees working in their different work of units to learn and improve by sharing one another’s best practices. The final step, continue to monitor and repeat the entire benchmarking process on regular basis. This will insure that the company stays at the foremost and does not lag behind the competition.
Participatory planning which refers to planning process that
includes the people who will be affected by the plans and those who will be asked to implement them in all planning steps. Creativity, increased acceptance and understating of plans, and commitment to the success of plans are the positive results of this planning technique. All managers and the workers /employees in organizations make decision or make choices that affect their jobs and the organization they work for. This lesson’s focus on how they make decision by going through eight steps in decision making process.
Decision–making- is a process which begins with a problem
identification and ends with the evaluation of implemented solution. The Decision-making Process according to Robbins and Coulter Step1: Identify the Problem. The problem may be defined as a puzzling circumstances or a discrepancy between an existing and desired condition.
Step 2: Identify the Decision Criteria.
These are important or relevant to resolving the identified problem.
Step 3: Allocate Weighs to the Criteria.
This is done in order to give the decision maker the correct priority in making the decision. Step 4: Develop Alternatives. This step requires the decision to list down possible alternatives that could help resolve the identified problem.
Step 5: Analyze the Alternatives.
Alternatives must be carefully evaluated by the decision maker using the criteria identified in Step 2.
Step 6: Select an Alternatives.
This is the process of choosing the best alternatives or the one which has the highest total points in Step 5. Step 7: Implement the Chosen Alternative. This step puts the decision into action. Changes in the environment must be observed and assessed, especially in case
Step 8: Evaluate Decision Effectiveness.
This is the last step and involves the evaluation of the outcome or result of the decision to see if the problem still exists, the manager has to assess what went wrong, if needed, repeat a step or the whole process. A decision is a choice among possible alternative actions. Like planning decision- making is a challenge and requires careful consideration for both types of decisions; namely:
• Structured or programmed decision- a decision that is repetitive and
can be handled using a routine approach. Such repetitive decision applies to resolving structured problems which are straightforward, familiar, and easily defined. For example, a restaurant customer complains about the dirty utensils the waiter has given him. This is not an unusual situation, and therefore, standardized solutions to such a problem may be readily available. • Unstructured or nonprogrammed decision- applied to the resolution of the problem that are new or unusual, or which information is incomplete.
Such nonprogrammed decisions are described to be unique,
nonrecurring and need customs-made decision. For example, a hotel manager is asked to make decision regarding the building of a new hotel branch in another city to meet the demands of business there. This is an unstructured problem, and therefore needs unstructured or nonprogrammed decision to resolve it. The Decision-making condition are classified into Certainty and Risk or uncertainty conditions. Let us discuss each type of Decision-making conditions.
• Certainty conditions-ideal conditions in deciding
problems; these are situation in which a manager can make precise decisions because the results of all alternatives are known. For example, bank interest are made to known to clients so it is easier for business managers to decide on the problem of where to deposit their company’s fund. The bank which offers the highest interest rate, therefore, is the obvious choice of the manager when asked to make decision.
• Risk or uncertainty conditions- a common conditions in deciding a problems.
This condition compel the decision maker to do estimates regarding the possible occurrence of certain outcomes that may affect his or her chosen solution to a problem. Historical data from his or her own experiences and other secondary information may be used as bases for decision to be made by the decision under such risk conditions. For example, manager is asked to invest some of their company funds in the money market offered by a financial institution. Risk factors must be considered, because of the uncertainty conditions involved, before making a decision- whether to invest or not in the said money market.