Multiple Regression: Click To Edit Master Subtitle Style
Multiple Regression: Click To Edit Master Subtitle Style
Click to edit Master subtitle style HIRAN H L FUS 100608 M2, TECH.MANAGEMENT DEPT.OF FUTURES STUDIES
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Multiple Regression is :
statistical technique for estimating the relationship between a continuous dependent variable and two or more continuous or discrete independent, or predictor variables.
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more than one variable can be used to explain or forecast a certain dependant variable
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The value of the multiple regression approach lies in its capacity to:
estimate the relative importance of several hypothesized predictors and its ability to assess the contribution of the combined variables to change
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Example:
CPG California plate glass, a glass business co.
net sales CPG= f (automobile production, building contracts awarded) Relation between variables can be expressed as: y^= a+b1x1+b2x2
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Method:
method of least squares can be used to estimate best fit values for a, b1,b2. but need three axis and 3-dimensional graph try to fit a plane to the data points available
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Assumptio ns:
first assumption is existence of linear relationship (individual graph on each pair can help) homoscedasticity- constant variace of regression errors (no outliers) residuals are independent of each other (random, no autocorrelation) D-W test (1.5 to 2.5 , AC present) residuals are normally distributed Multicollineartity does not exist among independent variables (range +0.7 to -0.7)
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Steps:
formulation of the problem choice of the Economic and other relavant indicators Initial test run on multiple regression Studying the matrix of simple correlation Deciding among Individual regressions
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Co-efficient of determination:
dependent and predictors combined correlation are to be calculated Individual correlations are also calculated
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Tests of significance:
to unexplained variance
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THANK YOU
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