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DECISION MAKING AND
PROBLEM SOLVING GENERAL OBJECTIVE At the end of this lecture/discussion, students should express an understanding on problem solving and decision making. SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES
• At the end of this lecture/discussion,
students should be able to; Define decision making. State the types of decision making. Outline the steps involved in decision making process. Cont’d State the factors influencing decision making. Define problem solving. Outline the problem solving process. State the obstacles in problem solving. INTRODUCTION • Decision making is a daily activity for any human being. • There is no exception about that. When it comes to business organizations, decision making is a habit and a process as well. Cont’d Effective and successful decisions make profit to the company and unsuccessful ones losses. Therefore, corporate decision making process is the most critical process in any organization. Cont’d In decision making process, we choose course of action from a few possible alternatives. In the process of decision making, we may use many tools, techniques and perceptions. Cont’d • On the other hand, Problem solving is an art and there are no universal approaches one can take to solving problems. Definition Decision making is the cognitive process resulting in the selection of a course of action among several alternatives. Types of decision making • Mechanistic decision; • This one is routine and repetitive in nature. • Occurs in a situation with a limited number of decision variables, where the outcome of each alternative is known. Cont’d Solve problems by habitual response, standard operating procedures or lyrical routines. • Tools used for this type are: •Charts ,lists, matrices, decision and trees. •Useful in daily routine and scheduled activities. Cont’d •Analytical decision; • Involves a problem with a large number of decision variables, where the outcomes of each decision’s alternative can be computed. •Computation techniques used include linear programming, network analysis, inventory recorder model, queuing theory, statistical analysis and so forth. Cont’d •Judgemental decision; involves a problem with a limited number of decision variables, but the outcomes of decision alternatives are known. Good judgement is needed to increase the possibility of desired outcomes. These types are of decision are useful in in marketing, investment and to solve personnel problems. Cont’d •Adaptive decisions; • Involve a problem with a large number of decision variables, where outcomes are not predictable. Because of uncertainty of such problems, decision makers are not able to agree on their nature or on decision strategies. Cont’d Such ill structured problems usually require the contributions of many people with diverse technical backgrounds. Strategies have to be modified to accommodate new development in technology and environment e.g research findings. Cont’d • Involves a problem with a limited number of decision variables, but the outcomes of decision alternatives are known. Good judgement is needed to increase the possibility of desired outcomes. These types are of decision are useful in in marketing, investment and to solve personnel problems. Another classification of managerial decision making Strategic decisions made by top executives that commit valuable agency resources to achieve major long term goals. Administrative decisions are those made by middle level managers to resolve unusual problem and develop innovative methods for improving agency function. Cont’d Operational decisions are routine decisions governing day to day events that have been delegated to first level managers and are made according to prescribed rules, regulations and instructions. Steps involved in decision making Identifying and Diagnosing Problems: The first step in the decision-making process is the clear identification of opportunities or the diagnosis of problems that require a decision. Cont’d • Discrepancies between actual and desired conditions alert a manager to a potential opportunity or problem. Cont’d Identifying Objectives: Objectives reflect the results the organization wants to attain. Objectives are often referred to as targets or standards. Cont’d • Objectives can be expressed for long spans of time (years or decades) or for short spans of time (hours, days or months). Cont’d Long-range objectives usually direct much of the strategic decision making of the organization, while short-range objectives usually guide operational decision-making. Regardless of the time frame, objectives will guide the ensuing decision-making process. Cont’d • Generating Alternatives: Once an opportunity has been identified or a problem diagnosed correctly, a manager develops various ways to achieve objectives and solve the problem. Cont’d This step requires creativity and imagination. In generating alternatives, the manager must keep in mind the goals and objectives that he or she is trying to achieve. Cont’d Ideally several different alternatives will emerge. In this way, the manager increases the likelihood that many good alternative courses of action will be considered and evaluated. Cont’d Ideally several different alternatives will emerge. In this way, the manager increases the likelihood that many good alternative courses of action will be considered and evaluated. Cont’d • Evaluating Alternatives The fourth step in the process involves determining the value or adequacy of the alternatives generated. Cont’d Which solution is the best? Fundamental to this step is the ability to assess the value or relative advantages and disadvantages of each alternative under consideration. The result should be a ranking of the alternatives Cont’d The Act of Choice Decision making is commonly associated with making the final choice. Although choosing an alternative would seem to be a straight forward proposition, simply consider all the alternatives and select the one that best solves the problem. Cont’d Because the best decisions are often based on careful judgments, making a good decision involves carefully examining all the facts, determining whether sufficient information is available, and finally selecting the best alternative. Cont’d • Implementing; When decisions involve taking action or making changes, choosing ways to put these actions or changes into effect becomes an essential managerial task. The keys to effective implementation are: Cont’d • Sensitivity to those who will be affected by the decision and Proper planning consideration of the resources necessary to carry out the decision. Cont’d • Those who will be affected by the decision must understand the choice and why it was made, that is, the decision must be accepted and supported by the people who are responsible for its implementation. Cont’d These needs can be met by involving employees in the early stages of the decision process so that they will be motivated and committed to its successful implementation. Cont’d • Monitoring and Evaluating; No decision-making process is complete until the impact of the decision has been evaluated. Managers must observe the impact of the decision as objectively as possible and take further corrective action if it becomes necessary. Cont’d Monitoring the decision is useful whether the feedback is positive or negative. Positive feedback indicates that the decision is working and that it should be continued and perhaps applied elsewhere in the organization. Cont’d Negative feedback indicates either that the implementation requires more time, resources, effort, or planning than originally thought or that the decision was a poor one and needs to be re-examined. Factors influencing decision making
• Personal factors like interpersonal
relationships and conscious of what people want Organizational factors such as events in the organization, knowledge from research and development and expectations of individuals or supervisors. Cont’d Command or authority in fear of offending the people in authority hence complying. Information wrong information may lead to wrong decision making. Advice and communication lack of communication and wrong advice may lead to poor decision. PROBLEM SOLVING Definition Problem-solving is a mental process that involves discovering, analyzing and solving problems. Steps involved in problem solving • Identifying the Problem: While it may seem like an obvious step, identifying the problem is not always as simple as it sounds. Cont’d • In some cases, people might mistakenly identify the wrong source of a problem, which will make attempts to solve it inefficient or even useless. Cont’d • Defining the Problem; • After the problem has been identified, it is important to fully define the problem so that it can be solved. Cont’d • Forming a Strategy; The next step is to develop a strategy to solve the problem. The approach used will vary depending upon the situation and the individual's unique preferences. Cont’d Organizing Information; Before coming up with a solution, we need to first organize the available information. What do we know about the problem? What do we not know? Cont’d The more information that is available, the better prepared we will be to come up with an accurate solution. Allocating Resources: Of course, we don't always have unlimited money, time and other resources to solve a problem. Cont’d Before you begin to solve a problem, you need to determine how high priority it is. If it is an important problem, it is probably worth allocating more resources to solving it. Cont’d If, however, it is a fairly unimportant problem, then you do not want to spend too much of your available resources into coming up with a solution. Cont’d Monitoring Progress; Effective problem-solvers tend to monitor their progress as they work towards a solution. If they are not making good progress toward reaching their goal, they will re- evaluate their approach or look for new strategies. Cont’d Evaluating the Results; After a solution has been reached, it is important to evaluate the results to determine if it is the best possible solution to the problem. This evaluation might be immediate, or it can be delayed. Obstacles in problem solving; Lack of resources Limited time Scarce information sources Inadequate data Personality or attitude of supervisors to solve problem Stress ASSIGNMENT • Discuss five (5) challenges faced by decision makers in an organization.