Game Theory and Competitive Strategy
Game Theory and Competitive Strategy
COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
CHAPTER 14
Topics to be Discussed
◻ An Overview of Game Theory.
🞑 Gaming and Strategic Decisions
🞑 Dominant Strategies
🞑 The Nash Equilibrium Revisited
◻ Static Games
◻ Dynamic Games
🞑 Sequential Games
🞑 Threats, Commitments, and Credibility
🞑 Entry Deterrence
What is Game Theory?
◻ Game theory - a set of tools that economists,
political scientists, military analysts and others
use to analyze decision making by players who
use strategies
◻ Game - any competition between players (firms)
in which strategic behavior plays a major role.
🞑 any situation in which players (the participants) make
strategic decisions
🞑 Ex: firms competing with each other by setting
prices, group of consumers bidding against each
other in an auction
Gaming and Strategic Decisions
◻ Game theory tries to determine optimal strategy
for each player
◻ Strategy is a rule or plan of action for playing the
game
◻ Optimal strategy for a player is one that maximizes
the expected payoff
🞑 We consider players who are rational – they think
through their actions
🞑 Players take into account the possible actions of other
players.
An Overview of Game Theory (cont).
Don’t
Advertise 6,8 10,2
Don’t
6,8 20,2
Advertise
Example: The Modified Advertising Game
Firm B, Player 2
Don’t
Advertise Advertise
Firm A, Player 1
Advertise
10,5 15,0
Don’t
Advertise
6,8 20,2
Don’t
Advertise
6,8 20,2
Crispy
-5, -5 10, 10
Firm 1
Crispy
-5, -5 10, 10
Firm 1
Firm 2
Crispy Sweet
Crispy
-5, -5 10, 10
Firm 1
Mixed Strategy
• Player makes a random choice among two or more
possible actions, based on a set of chosen probabilities
– A mixed strategy of a player is a probability distribution
over the player’s strategies.
– The distributions are mutual best responses to one another
in the sense of expected payoffs
• One reason to consider mixed strategies is when there
is a game that does not have any Nash equilibrium in
pure strategy
• When allowing for mixed strategies, every game has a
Nash equilibrium
Matching Pennies
Player 2
Heads Tails
Heads -1, 1 1, -1
ay
Pl
er
1
Tails 1, -1 -1, 1
32
Matching Pennies
Player 2
Head Tail
For any fixed strategy of Player 2 s s
such that Player 1 knows what 2
will play, Player 1 will play the Head -1, 1 1, -1
s
other side of the coin. Likewise,
Player 1
for any fixed strategy of Player 1
such that Player 2 knows what 1
intends to play, Player 2 will play Tail 1, -1 -1, 1
s
the same side of the coin.
1/2 1 q
36
Solving matching pennies
Player 2 Expected
Head Tail payoffs
Head -1 , 1 1 , -1 r 1-2q
Player 1
Tail 1 , -1 -1 , 1
1-r 2q-1
q 1-q
Expected
payoffs 2r-1 1-2r
Edward and Bella only get a positive payoff when they’re doing the
same activity together. However, Bella prefers shopping, and
Edward prefers watching football match.
Battle of the Sexes
Edward- Player 2
Football
Shopping
Match
The game is solved by looking first at period 2, then making decision for period 1. This is
referred to as “backward induction.”
Firm 1 gets a higher payoff from sweet, so firm 1 chooses “sweet” and firm 2 chooses
“crispy.” This is the subgame perfect Nash Equilibrium.
🡪In this game, there is a first mover advantage. The firm that gets to go first does better.
Stackelberg Game Tree
Sequential Game
◻ How should American, the leader, select its output
in the first stage?
🞑 For each possible quantity it can produce, American
predicts what United will do and picks the output level
that maximizes its own profit.
◻ The subgame perfect Nash equilibrium requires
players to believe that their opponents will act
optimally—in their own best interests.
Credibility.
◻ Why doesn’t American announce that it will
produce the Stackelberg leader’s output to induce
United to produce the Stackelberg follower’s
output level?
🞑 when the firms move simultaneously, United doesn’t
believe American’s warning that it will produce a large
quantity, because it is not in American’s best interest
to produce that large a quantity of output.
Credibility.
◻ Credible threat - an announcement that a firm will
use a strategy harmful to its rival and that the rival
believes because the firm’s strategy is rational in
the sense that it is in the firm’s best interest to use
it
🞑 Identical firms that move simultaneously can’t
credibly threaten each other.
🞑 Threats are credible if firms are different such as one
firm's ability to act before the other.
Strategic Moves
• In the game as is, there are two pure strategy Nash Eq’a: Firm 1 Sweet, Firm 2
Crispy, and Firm 2 Sweet, Firm 1 Crispy
• For Firm 1 to make a “strategic move”, it must constrain its behavior to the
extent Firm 2 is convinced that he is committed to “sweet” if he is to get the
payoff of 20.
– This in fact changes the game from the structure presented above, making it into a
dynamic game where the strategic move is taken in the first period, and likely changing
the payoffs from those above.
Strategic Moves
Firm 2
Crispy Sweet
◻ Example:
🞑 If X does not enter, I make a profit of $200 million if
they charge a high price and 130 if they charge a low
price.
🞑 If X enters and charges a high price, I earn a profit of
$100 million and X earns $20 million
🞑 If X enters and charges a low price, I earn a profit of
$70 million and X earns $-10 million
Entry Deterrence
Potential Entrant (X) (Firm 2)
Ente Stay
r out
High price
(accommodation 100, 20 200, 0
)
Incumbent (I)
(Firm 1)
Low
Price 70, -10 130, 0
(warfare)
High price
(accommodation 50, 20 150, 0
)
Incumbent (I)
Low
price
70, -10 130, 0
(warfare)
Entry game
Challenger
◻ Challenger’s strategies
⮚ In In Out
⮚ Out
◻ Incumbent’s strategies Incumbent
⮚ Accommodate A 1, 2
F
⮚ Fight
◻ Payoffs
◻ Normal-form representation 2, 1 0, 0
Incumbent
Accommodate Fight
In 2 , 1 0 , 0
Challenger
Out 1 , 2 1 , 2
Nash equilibria in entry game
Challenger
• Two Nash equilibria
⮚ ( In, Accommodate ) In Out
⮚ ( Out, Fight ) Incumbent
A 1, 2
• Does the second Nash F
◻ Scenario
🞑 Two competitors, Y and C, selling soft drinks
🞑 Beach is 200 yards long
🞑 Sunbathers are spread evenly along the beach
🞑 Price A= Price B
🞑 Customer will buy from the closest vendor
◻ Where will they locate? What is the Nash
equilibrium?
Beach Location Game
100 yds
0 B? A? 200 yards
NO!!!!
Beach Location Game
100 yds
0 B? A? 200 yards
100 yds
0 B? A? 200 yards
100 yds
0 B? A? 200 yards