Chapter 8 Financial Plan
Chapter 8 Financial Plan
Assessing a New
Venture’s Financial
Strength and
Viability
Bruce R. Barringer
R. Duane Ireland
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Chapter Objectives
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a) Profitability
– Is the ability to earn a profit.
• Many start-ups are not profitable during their first one to three
years while they are training employees and building their brands.
• However, a firm must become profitable to remain viable and
provide a return to its owners.
b) Liquidity
– Is a company’s ability to meet its short-term financial obligations.
• Even if a firm is profitable, it is often a challenge to keep enough
money in the bank to meet its routine obligations in a timely
manner.
• To do so, a firm must keep a close watch on accounts receivable
and inventories.
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Financial Objectives of a Firm
c) Efficiency
– Is how productively a firm utilizes its assets relative to its revenue
and its profits.
d) Stability
– Is the strength and vigor of the firm’s overall financial posture.
•For a firm to be stable, it must not only earn a profit and remain liquid
but also keep its debt in check.
•If a firm continues to borrow from its lenders and its debt-to-equity ratio,
which is calculated by dividing its long-term debt by its shareholders’
equity, gets too high, it may have trouble meeting its obligations and
securing the level of financing needed to fuel its growth.
• To assess whether its financial objectives are being met, firms rely
heavily on analyses of financial statements, forecasts, and budgets. A
financial statement is a written report that quantitatively describes a
firm’s financial health. The income statement, the balance sheet, and the
statement of cash flows are the financial statements entrepreneurs use
most commonly.
• Forecasts are an estimate of a firm’s future income and expenses, based
on its past performance, its current circumstances, and its future plans.
New ventures typically base their forecasts on an estimate of sales and
then on industry averages or the experiences of similar start-ups
regarding the cost of goods sold (based on a percentage of sales) and on
other expenses.
• Budgets are itemized forecasts of a company’s income, expenses, and
capital needs and are also an important tool for financial planning and
control
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Forecasts
• Forecasts
– The analysis of a firm’s historical financial statements are followed
by the preparation of forecasts.
– Forecasts are predictions of a firm’s future sales, expenses,
income, and capital expenditures.
• A firm’s forecasts provide the basis for its pro forma financial
statements.
• A well-developed set of pro forma financial statements helps a
firm create accurate budgets, build financial plans, and manage
its finances in a proactive rather than a reactive manner.
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Forecasts
• Forecasts
Completely new firms typically base their forecasts on a good-faith
estimate of sales and on industry averages (based on a percentage of
sales) or the experiences of similar start-ups for cost of goods sold and
other expenses. As a result, a completely new firm’s forecast should be
preceded in its business plan by an explanation of the sources of the
numbers for the forecast and the assumptions used to generate them.
This explanation is called an assumptions sheet
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Forecasts
• Sales Forecast
• A sales forecast is a projection of a firm’s sales for a specified
period (such as a year). though most firms forecast their sales
for two to five years into the future.
– It is the first forecast developed and is the basis for most of
the other forecasts.
• A sales forecast for a new firm is based on a good-faith estimate of
sales and on industry averages or the experiences of similar start-ups.
• A sales forecast for an existing firm is based on (1) its record of past
sales, (2) its current production capacity and product demand, and (3)
any factors that will affect its future product capacity and product
demand.
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Pro Forma Financial Statements
Pro Forma Statement Shows the projected flow of cash into and out of a
of Cash flows company for a specific period.