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Course code: ED215
Module 1: Schools of Macroeconomic
Thoughts Classical System: Say’s law and quantity theory; Friedman’s restatement; classical dichotomy and neutrality of money; Keynesian vs classical system; basic tenets of New Classical and New Keynesian System. • What Is Macroeconomics? • Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that studies the behavior of an overall economy, which encompasses markets, businesses, consumers, and governments. Macroeconomics examines economy-wide phenomena such as inflation, price levels, rate of economic growth, national income, gross domestic product (GDP), and changes in unemployment. • Macroeconomics is the branch of economics that deals with the structure, performance, behavior, and decision-making of the whole, or aggregate, economy. • The two main areas of macroeconomic research are long-term economic growth and shorter-term business cycles. Business cycle • In contrast to macroeconomics, microeconomics is more focused on the influences on and choices made by individual actors—such as people, companies, and industries—in the economy. • As the term implies, macroeconomics is a field of study that analyzes an economy through a wide lens. This includes looking at variables like unemployment, GDP, and inflation • Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. As a broad measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of a given country’s economic health. • Inflation is a rise in prices, which can be translated as the decline of purchasing power over time. The rate at which purchasing power drops can be reflected in the average price increase of a basket of selected goods and services over some period of time. say's law theory • The law is named after Jean-Baptiste Say. Say's law, or the law of markets, is the claim that the production of a product creates demand for another product by providing something of value which can be exchanged for that other product. So, production is the source of demand. • Example of say's law is cash hoarding. • According to Say's Law, the act of producing goods and services generates income for the producer, employees and input suppliers, which can then be used to buy the goods that have been produced. This process creates a self-sustaining cycle of production, factor incomes and consumption that then drives economic activity. • Say's Law suggests that there can be no general overproduction of goods, as any excess production will eventually be absorbed by the increased purchasing power of the producers. Say's Law is often associated with classical economics and the idea of a self- regulating market. The Classical Quantity Theory of Money The Neutrality of Money and Classical Dichotomy! • The classical theory of output and employment is that changes in the quantity of money affect only nominal variables (i.e. money wages, nominal GNP, money balances), and have no influence whatsoever on the real variables of the economy such as real GNP (i.e. output of goods and services produced), level of employment (i.e. number of labour – hours or number of workers employed), real wage rate (i.e. wage rate in terms of its purchasing power). • According to classical theory, the nominal variables move in proportion to changes in the quantity of money, while real variables such as GNP, employment, real wage rate, real rate of interest remain unaffected. • In the classical model based on flexibility of prices and wages, changes in money supply only affect the price level and nominal magnitudes (i.e. money wages, nominal interest rate, while the real variables such as levels of labour employment and output, saving and investment, real wages, real rate of interest remain unaffected. This independence of real variables from changes in money supply and nominal variables is called classical dichotomy. • Changes in Money Supply, Saving-Investment Equilibrium and Neutrality of Money: • According to the classical theory, money performs the function of merely a medium of exchange of goods and services and is therefore demanded only for transaction purposes. This means alternative to holding money is the purchase of goods and services. • Therefore, demand for and supply of money in the classical system does not determine the rate of interest. • When the quantity of money increases, it will leave the real rate of interest unchanged and hence the amount of output saved and allocated to investment (i.e., real saving and investment) will remain the same. • This means the increase in money supply does not disturb the capital market equilibrium or saving-investment equality and consequently the continuation of full-employment equilibrium. • However it may be noted that the higher level of prices of commodities would mean that investment expenditure in money terms will increase in the same proportion as the rise in prices even though the output of commodities allocated for investment purposes remains the same. • Thus, with the increase in quantity of money, the supply curve of nominal saving and investment demand curve will shift to the right as shown by dotted S’S’ and IT curves by the same proportion so that the same real rate of interest is maintained and the same amounts of real saving and investment in terms of commodities are made at the higher price level. keynesian vs classical system theory • Classical thought believes in less government intervention, while Keynesian thought believes in more government intervention. Classical thought prefers a balanced budget, while Keynesian thought allows government debt. • Refer extra notes. Basic tenets of New Classical and New Keynesian System • From the new classical models it takes a variety of modeling tools that shed light on how households and firms make decisions over time. • From the new Keynesian models it takes price rigidities and uses them to explain why monetary policy affects employment and production in the short run. • Imperfect competition is another cause of market inefficiency that New Keynesian Economics explains. • New Keynesian Economics argues that unemployment is caused by the efficiency in wages. • The Classical Theory: is that the economy is self‐regulating. Classical economists maintain that the economy is always capable of achieving the natural level of real GDP or output, which is the level of real GDP that is obtained when the economy's resources are fully employed. • While circumstances arise from time to time that cause the economy to fall below or to exceed the natural level of real GDP, self‐ adjustment mechanisms exist within the market system that work to bring the economy back to the natural level of real GDP. • The classical doctrine—that the economy is always at or near the natural level of real GDP —is based on two firmly held beliefs: Say's Law and the belief that prices, wages, and interest rates are flexible.