Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives
Currency Derivatives
Chapter Objectives
0 S180($/¥)
If you agree to sell anything
F180($/¥) = .009524 in the future at a set price
and the spot price later rises
then you lose.
Whether the
payoff profile
slopes up or down
depends upon
whether you use
0 S180(¥/$) the direct or
indirect quote:
F180(¥/$) = 105
F180(¥/$) = 105 or
F180($/¥)
= .009524.
-F180(¥/$)
loss
Payoff Profiles
profit
short position
0 S180(¥/$)
F180(¥/$) = 105
15¥
0 S180(¥/$)
120
F180(¥/$) = 105
If, in 180 days, S180(¥/$) = 120, the short will make a
profit by buying ¥ at S180(¥/$) = 120 in the spot market
-F180(¥/$) and delivering ¥ at F180(¥/$) = 105 to fulfill his forward
loss
contract.
Payoff Profiles
profit Since this is a zero-sum game,
F180(¥/$) short position
the long position payoff is the
opposite of the short.
0 S180(¥/$)
F180(¥/$) = 105
$1
$3,333.33 .04 ¥12,500,000
¥150
Daily Resettlement: An Example
Your broker will let you slide until you run through
your maintenance margin. Then you must post
additional funds or your position will be closed out.
Options and forward contracts
+ 1.00
“Out of the money” “In the money”
+ 0.50
Unlimited profit
0 Spot price
57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 (US cents/SF)
Limited loss
- 0.50
Break-even price
- 1.00
Loss
The buyer of a call option on SF, with a strike price of 58.5 cents/SF, has a limited loss of 0.50 cents/SF at spot rates
less than 58.5 (“out of the money”), and an unlimited profit potential at spot rates above 58.5 cents/SF (“in the
money”).
Option Market Speculation
Writer of a call:
What the holder, or buyer of an option loses, the writer gains
The maximum profit that the writer of the call option can
make is limited to the premium
If the writer wrote the option naked, that is without owning
the currency, the writer would now have to buy the currency
at the spot and take the loss delivering at the strike price
The amount of such a loss is unlimited and increases as the
underlying currency rises
Even if the writer already owns the currency, the writer will
experience an opportunity loss
Profit and Loss for the Writer of a Call
Option on Swiss francs
Profit “At the money”
(US cents/SF) Strike price
+ 1.00
0 Spot price
57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 (US cents/SF)
- 0.50 Unlimited loss
- 1.00
Loss
The writer of a call option on SF, with a strike price of 58.5 cents/SF, has a limited profit of 0.50 cents/SF at
spot rates less than 58.5, and an unlimited loss potential at spot rates above (to the right of) 59.0 cents/SF.
Currency Call Options
• Premiums of call options vary due to:
the level of existing spot price relative to strike price,
the length of time before the expiration date, and
the potential variability of the currency.
+ 0.50 Profit up
to 58.0
0 Spot price
57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 (US cents/SF)
Limited loss
- 0.50
Break-even
price
- 1.00
Loss
The buyer of a put option on SF, with a strike price of 58.5 cents/SF, has a limited loss of 0.50 cents/SF at spot
rates greater than 58.5 (“out of the money”), and an unlimited profit potential at spot rates less than 58.5
cents/SF (“in the money”) up to 58.0 cents.
Option Market Speculation
Seller (writer) of a put:
In this case, if the spot price of francs drops below 58.5 cents per
franc, the option will be exercised
Below a price of 58.5 cents per franc, the writer will lose more
than the premium received fro writing the option (falling below
break-even)
If the spot price is above $0.585/SF, the option will not be
exercised and the option writer will pocket the entire premium
Profit and Loss for the Writer of a Put
Option on Swiss francs
“At the money”
Profit
Strike price
(US cents/SF)
+ 1.00
Break-even
+ 0.50 price
Limited profit
0 Spot price
57.5 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 (US cents/SF)
Unlimited loss
- 0.50 up to 58.0
- 1.00
Loss
The writer of a put option on SF, with a strike price of 58.5 cents/SF, has a limited profit of 0.50 cents/SF at spot rates
greater than 58.5, and an unlimited loss potential at spot rates less than 58.5 cents/SF up to 58.0 cents.
Currency Put Options
• Premiums of put options vary due to:
the level of existing spot price relative to strike price,
the length of time before the expiration date, and
the potential variability of the currency.
Linda
Selling price of £ 1,40 43 750
Purchase price of £ 1,41 44 063
Premium received 0,012 375
Net profit 63
Options Contracts: Preliminaries
Intrinsic Value
The difference between the exercise price of the option and
the spot price of the underlying asset.
Time Value
The difference between the option premium and the
intrinsic value of the option.
rf T
Call pricing : C S e N ( d 1 ) X e rT N ( d 2 )
ln( S / X ) ( r r f 2 / 2) T
where : d1
T
d 2 d 1 σ T
Garman - Kohlhagen
d1 0,549789
d2 0,449789
N(d1) 0,708768
N(d2) 0,673569
N(-d1) 0,291232
N(-d2) 0,326431
m
n
j 1
E CFj , t E ER j , t
Value =
t =1 1 kt