The research and trade of

NZD
Members:Rick,George,Frank,Roy David
01 Background information

02 Macroeconomic factors

03 Future Forecast
目录
CONTENTS
04 Trading Balance

05 Trading experience
01 The background information
of NZD
Background information
The New Zealand dollar (currency code:
NZD, currency symbol: NZ$) is a legal
tender issued by the Reserve Bank of New
Zealand, the central bank of New Zealand.
Since 1967, the New Zealand dollar has
been in use, replacing the New Zealand
pound previously in circulation. As the
main currency of New Zealand, the Cook
Islands, and Niue, the New Zealand dollar
has carved out a niche in the international
financial markets.
 Background information
Unique design of Economic and Monetary
History
banknotes and coins Policy
The issuance of the New New Zealand dollar banknotes and The value of the New Zealand dollar is
Zealand dollar marked a coins are unique in their design, each closely related to the state of New
major change in New banknote tells a New Zealand story, Zealand's economy. In recent years, the
Zealand's monetary system. for example, a pattern of eyed New Zealand economy has maintained
Prior to this, New Zealand penguins, scientists and so on.These steady growth, but changes in the
relied mainly on British coins patterns are not only beautiful, but global economic environment and
and banknotes issued by also reflect the history, culture and domestic economic restructuring have
private banks for nature of New Zealand. also had an impact on the New Zealand
transactions. dollar.
 Macroeconomic factors affecting
02 the exchange rate of the NZD
against the United States dollar
 Macroeconomic factors

Interest Rates Inflation Rates Trade Balances

1.Reserve Bank of
New Zealand (RBNZ) The inflation rate in Both exports and
raises interest rates New Zealand is imports, can influence
2.Federal Reserve higher or lower currency values.
increases interest
rates
 Macroeconomic factors

It's important to note that these factors interact with each other and are influenced by
global economic conditions, political events, and market sentiment. Therefore, while
understanding these macroeconomic factors can provide insights into potential trends
in the NZD/USD exchange rate, actual movements can be quite complex and
unpredictable.
 Future Forecast for the New
03 Zealand Dollar (NZD)
Interest Rate Expectations

The market's expectations for future interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
(RBNZ) will also impact the exchange rate of the New Zealand dollar. If the market
anticipates that the central bank will hike interest rates, the New Zealand dollar may
appreciate; conversely, if the market expects the central bank to cut interest rates, the
New Zealand dollar may depreciate..

Employment and inflation

If New Zealand's employment market continues to improve and inflation remains at a
reasonable level, this will help stabilize the exchange rate of the New Zealand dollar.
However, if inflation is too high, the central bank may adopt a tight monetary policy,
leading to an appreciation of the New Zealand dollar; conversely, if inflation is too low, the
central bank may adopt an easing monetary policy, resulting in a depreciation of the New
Zealand dollar.
Summary
The future trajectory of the New Zealand dollar will hinge on the interplay
of multiple complex factors. Therefore, forecasting the future movement
of the New Zealand dollar requires a comprehensive consideration of
various aspects, including the global economic environment, New
Zealand's domestic economic conditions, monetary policy, geopolitical
situations, and market sentiment.
04 Trading Balance
、 Transaction history and analysis
Trading history and strategies

Trading balance
（ example ） brief summary

From these trading

records, we can see that
our trades are more loss-
making.The main reason
may lie in our trading
strategy
Trading history and strategies

Trading strategy

In our initial trading, we would be more

inclined to buy stocks that have risen and sell
stocks that are losing money(Chase the rise
and kill the fall)
However, in short-term forex trading, the rise is
often not sustainable, and the decline often
brings a reversal, so after the loss, we start to
try adverse selection and buy stocks that are at
the bottom and have an upward trend
Trading history and strategies

Trading strategy summary

At the same time, we have traded too We should pay more attention
frequently in the short term, which also brings to the internal logic of
us high fees exchange rate changes rather
than just graphical changes,
and regulate our transactions
and reduce the frequency of
transactions
05 Trading experience
——Experience of trading on margin
——Total experience
Experience of trading on margin

Definition:Margin can be regarded as a kind of guarantee for the position held

by the investor, due to the existence of leverage, the investor only needs to
pay a small amount to control the larger amount of transactions, and this
small amount is the margin.
Experience of trading on margin

General leverage size

Generally, it is 20 to 400 times
leverage, and more than 400 is
illegal Underlying logic
Bullish or bearish currency
exchange rates
Unit of Trade
"Lot":One lot is equal to
100,000 units of the base
Forced liquidation
currency
If the account is lower than the
maintenance margin level and the
margin is not added in time, the position
will be liquidated
The operation we do right

This is the most profitable

trade(GBP/AUD) in our group, we
buy from the early stage of growth
and sell at a high price
The operation we do wrong

This was the most losing

trade （ EUR/CHF) in our group,
with a loss of almost $2,000
The operation we would do differently

The idea that we have always adhered to in trading is to buy the currency that is going up
and sell the currency that is starting to fall. But after this short period of trading, I found
that there are some currencies whose exchange rates will have small fluctuations before
the big changes, so we will set aside time to observe abnormal fluctuations before trading
in the following transactions, rather than rushing to trade, for example, in the transactions
we just mentioned that we are losing money, we sell when the exchange rate fluctuates
very little, resulting in regret in the subsequent rise
What we have learned

In this period of foreign exchange trading, we agree that in any investment transaction
needs to have a stable state of mind, we are very impatient to discuss and operate in the
previous transaction, which is a lot of harm in investment transactions, having a good
attitude can make us more rational to analyze, reasonable speculation after the currency is
appreciated or depreciated, and then to decide whether to close the position or continue
to hold
谢谢观看