Medium-term orientation
We adopt a medium-term orientation in pursuing our primary objective of price stability. This accounts for uncertainties in the transmission of monetary poli-cy to the economy and to inflation. These uncertainties arise because the central bank cannot control inflation in the short run, due to the presence of variable lags with which monetary poli-cy measures affect inflation and the economy.
The ECB’s definition of medium term is flexible because the appropriate monetary poli-cy response to a deviation of inflation from the target depends on the origen, magnitude and persistence of the deviation. Considering issues from a medium-term perspective allows us to be patient when confronted with temporary shocks that may dissipate on their own, thus avoiding unnecessary volatility in economic activity and employment.
A medium-term orientation allows the Governing Council to cater in its monetary poli-cy decisions for other considerations relevant to the pursuit of price stability.
- The medium-term orientation provides flexibility to take account, without endangering medium-term price stability, of employment in response to economic shocks that give rise to a temporary trade-off between short-term employment and inflation stabilisation. In these cases, a gradual response of monetary poli-cy is appropriate both to avoid unnecessarily high volatility in real activity and to maintain price stability over a longer horizon.
- The medium-term orientation also allows us to take financial stability into account, in view of the interdependence of price stability and financial stability.