Modelling the spread and mitigation of an emerging vector-borne pathogen: Citrus greening in the U.S.
Fig 8
Evaluation of HLB epidemic progress in southern California vs survey data and the impact of quarantine radius to epidemic outcome.
(A) Temporal progression of the prevalence of three infection categories (Exposed, Infectious, and Detected) in comparison with the training and testing data. We show means of 1000 simulation realizations as solid lines, and 50%, 75%, 95% credible intervals as shades of decreasing intensities. (B) Comparison of the spatial autocorrelation scores of the HLB Detected categories (red line and shades) in southern California with that of the HLB survey data (purple line) at the end of the testing data (June 2019).