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Runoff 10

A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.

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412 views2 pages

Runoff 10

A poll of 466 likely voters in Chicago's 10th Ward conducted on March 18, 2015 showed incumbent Alderman John Pope leading with 41.8% compared to 30% for Susan Sadlowski Garza. 28.1% of respondents remained undecided. The analysis indicates Pope has an 11-point lead and only needs to gain 1 out of 3 undecided voters to win on April 7. The methodology describes the polling firm's process of selecting likely voters based on voting history from the past 3 elections to increase accuracy.

Uploaded by

The Daily Line
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
March 18, 2015

10th Ward: Pope +11


28% of ward still undecided
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-question poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, March 18, 2015
for 10th Ward Alderman with 466 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
John Pope
Susan Sadlowski Garza
Undecided

195
140
131

41.8%
30.0%
28.1%

Margin of Error +/- 4.63% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
Alderman John Pope has an 11-point lead with 28% of the ward still undecided. Pope will only need to
pick up 1 out of 3 undecided voters to be successful on April 7, 2015.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

217
249

46.6%
53.4%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

64
154
148
100

13.7%
33.0%
31.8%
21.5%

Respondents by Zipcode
60617 Count
60633 Count

372
94

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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