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Statistics For Business and Economics: Anderson Sweeney Williams

Chap3A f s

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
64 views56 pages

Statistics For Business and Economics: Anderson Sweeney Williams

Chap3A f s

Uploaded by

Deepanjan Sur
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 56

Statistics for Business

and Economics
Anderson Sweeney Williams
Slides by
John Loucks
St. Edwards University

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 1
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 3, Part A
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures
Measures of Location
Measures of Variability

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 2
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Measures of Location

Mean
If the measures are computed
Median
for data from a sample,
Mode they are called sample statistics.
Percentiles
Quartiles If the measures are computed
for data from a population,
they are called population parameters.

A sample statistic is referred to


as the point estimator of the
corresponding population parameter.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 3
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mean

Perhaps the most important measure of location is


the mean.
The mean provides a measure of central location.
The mean of a data set is the average of all the data
values.
The sample mean x is the point estimator of the
population mean m.
Can be affected by extreme values

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 4
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mean

Permissible on nominal scale?

Permissible on ordinal scale?


Permissible on interval scale?

Permissible on ratio scale?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 5
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The sum of squared deviations of scores from
their mean is lower than their squared
deviations
from any other number.

The numbers 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 9, 12 have a mean of 6


and median of 7.
What is sum of squared deviation from mean?
What is squared deviation from median?
What is sum of squared deviation from 2?
What is sum of squared deviation from 9?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 6
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Did you hear about the statistician
who had his head in an oven and his
feet in a bucket of ice?
When asked how he felt, he replied,

"On the average I feel just fine."

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 7
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
"When she told me I was average, she was
just being mean".

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 8
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Sample Mean x

Sum of the values


of the n observations

x i
x
n
Number of
observations
in the sample

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 9
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Population Mean m

Sum of the values


of the N observations

x i
m
N
Number of
observations in
the population

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 10
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Sample Mean

Example: Apartment Rents


Seventy efficiency apartments were randomly
sampled in a small college town. The monthly rent
prices for these apartments are listed below.
445 615 430 590 435 600 460 600 440 615
440 440 440 525 425 445 575 445 450 450
465 450 525 450 450 460 435 460 465 480
450 470 490 472 475 475 500 480 570 465
600 485 580 470 490 500 549 500 500 480
570 515 450 445 525 535 475 550 480 510
510 575 490 435 600 435 445 435 430 440

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 11
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Sample Mean

Example: Apartment Rents

x x

34, 356
i
490.80
n 70
445 615 430 590 435 600 460 600 440 615
440 440 440 525 425 445 575 445 450 450
465 450 525 450 450 460 435 460 465 480
450 470 490 472 475 475 500 480 570 465
600 485 580 470 490 500 549 500 500 480
570 515 450 445 525 535 475 550 480 510
510 575 490 435 600 435 445 435 430 440

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 12
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Weighted Mean
Consider sample of five purchases below:.
What is a representative central cost?
Purchase Cost per Kg, Rs Number of Kgs
Transaction no.
1 3.00 1200
2 3.40 500
3 2.80 2750
4 2.90 1000
5 3.25 800

Do we go for arithmetic mean?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 13
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Weighted Mean

Mean assigns equal weight.


Does not make sense in many situations.

Assign appropriate different weights and go for:


Weighted mean
= sumproduct of weight and value / sum of weights

= (1200*3+500*3.4+2750*2.8+1000*2.9+800*3.25)
/ (1200+500+2750+1000+800)
= 18500/6250
=2.96

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 14
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Median

The median of a data set is the value in the middle


when the data items are arranged in ascending order.
Whenever a data set has extreme values, the median
is the preferred measure of central location.
The median is the measure of location most often
reported for annual income and property value data.
A few extremely large incomes or property values
can inflate the mean.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 15
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Median

For an odd number of observations:

26 18 27 12 14 27 19 7 observations

12 14 18 19 26 27 27 in ascending order

the median is the middle value.

Median = 19

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 16
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Median

For an even number of observations:

26 18 27 12 14 27 30 19 8 observations

12 14 18 19 26 27 27 30 in ascending order

the median is the average of the middle two values.

Median = (19 + 26)/2 = 22.5

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 17
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Median

Example: Apartment Rents


Averaging the 35th and 36th data values:
Median = (475 + 475)/2 = 475
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

Note: Data is in ascending order.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 18
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Median

Permissible on nominal scale?

Permissible on ordinal scale?


Permissible on interval scale?

Permissible on ratio scale?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 19
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The median minimizes sum of absolute
deviations.
The numbers 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 9, 12 have a mean of 6
and median of 7.
What is sum of absolute deviation from mean?
What is sum of absolute deviation from median?
What is sum of absolute deviation from 2?
What is sum of absolute deviation from 9?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 20
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mode

The mode of a data set is the value that occurs with


greatest frequency.
The greatest frequency can occur at two or more
different values.
If the data have exactly two modes, the data are
bimodal.
If the data have more than two modes, the data are
multimodal.
Caution: If the data are bimodal or multimodal,
Excels MODE function will incorrectly identify a
single mode.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 21
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mode

Example: Apartment Rents


450 occurred most frequently (7 times)
Mode = 450
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

Note: Data is in ascending order.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 22
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mode

Permissible on nominal scale?

Permissible on ordinal scale?


Permissible on interval scale?

Permissible on ratio scale?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 23
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The mode (cont.)

It does not necessarily indicate the centre of a


distribution

The mode may in fact be a class interval rather than


an actual data value

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 24
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Mode examples
'Bi-Modal' Distribution
Skewed to the right
16
14 14
12 12
Frequency

Frequency
10 10
8 8
6
6
4
4 2
2 0

0-4
>4-8
>8-12
>12-16
>16-20
>20-24
>24-28
>28-32

>32-36
>36-40
0
1

11

13

15

17

19

Age Class Intervals (years) Age Class Intervals (years)


modes = 5 and 16 mode = >8 - 12

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 25
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Comparison of Mean, median and Mode

When data are skewed, the mean and median will


not be equal. The mean will be pulled towards the
skew

IE, for a +ve skew, the mean will be greater than the
median

for a -ve skew, the mean will be less than the median

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 26
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Comparison of Mean, median and Mode
The mode tends to act similarly, (but not always)

Skewed to the right

14
12
Frequency

10
8
6
4
2
0
0-4
>4-8
>8-12
>12-16
>16-20
>20-24
>24-28
>28-32
>32-36
>36-40

Age Class Intervals (years)

Mean > Median > Mode


2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 27
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Comparison of Mean, median and Mode
Skewed to the left

16
14
12
Frequency
10
8
6
4
2
0
0-4
>4-8
>8-12
>12-16
>16-20
>20-24
>24-28
>28-32
>32-36
>36-40
Age Class Intervals (years)

Mean < Median < Mode

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 28
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE TRIMMED MEAN:

A trimmed mean is calculated by


discarding a certain percentage of the lowest
and the highest scores and then computing
the mean of the remaining scores.

For example, a mean trimmed 50% is


computed by discarding the lower and
higher 25% of the scores and taking the
mean of the remaining scores.
2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 29
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE TRIMMED MEAN:

The median is the mean trimmed 100% and


the arithmetic mean is the mean trimmed 0%.

A trimmed mean is obviously less


susceptible to the effects of extreme scores than
is the arithmetic mean. It is therefore less
susceptible to sampling fluctuation than the
mean for extremely skewed distributions.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 30
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE TRIMMED MEAN:

Trimmed means are often used in


Olympic scoring to minimize the effects of
extreme ratings possibly caused by biased
judges.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 31
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE GEOMETRIC MEAN:

Some quantities change over time, at a


rate.
Sometimes we need to know the average
rate of growth over several periods, say
several years.
In this case, the arithmetic mean is
inappropriate, because it gives wrong
answers.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 32
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Geometric mean: Example
Year Interest Growth Savings at end of
Rate, % Factor Year, $

1 10 1.10 110

2 30 1.30 =110*1.3 = 143

3 20 1.2 =143*1.2 = 171.6

Take arithmetic average of growth factor and work out


value at end of third year

Does the value match?

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 33
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Geometric mean: Example

172.8 vs 171.6

We go for geometric mean


Geometric Mean for n periods is simply the nth root of the
product of all the values

Thus, when the initial value is multiplied by the GM


n times, the final value should be obtained

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 34
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE HARMONIC MEAN

The harmonic mean is used to take the mean of


sample sizes. If there are k samples each of
varying size n1, n2nk, the harmonic mean is
defined as:

nh = k / ( (1/n1 ) + ( 1/n2 ) +..( 1/nk ))

Also relevant when calculating average speed


over different distances.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 35
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE HARMONIC MEAN

If you travel 100 km at 40 km/hr and 100


km at 50 km per hour, what is average
speed?
Is it (40+50)/2 = 45 km/hr?

First 100 km is over in 100/40 =2.5 hours


Next 100 km is over in 100/50 = 2 hours
Average = 200/4.5 = 44.44
This is harmonic mean.
2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 36
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
THE HARMONIC MEAN

For 40 and 50, the harmonic mean is


= 2 / ( (1/40) + (1/50)) = =44.44

Arithmetic mean greater than Geometric mean


greater than Harmonic mean
AM > GM > HM
Check for 40,50,60

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 37
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Percentiles

A percentile provides information about how the


data are spread over the interval from the smallest
value to the largest value.
Admission test scores for colleges and universities
are frequently reported in terms of percentiles.
The pth percentile of a data set is a value such that at
least p percent of the items take on this value or less
and at least (100 - p) percent of the items take on this
value or more.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 38
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Percentiles

Arrange the data in ascending order.

Compute index i, the position of the pth percentile.


i = (p/100)n

If i is not an integer, round up. The pth percentile


is the value in the ith position.

If i is an integer, the pth percentile is the average


of the values in positions i and i+1.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 39
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
80th Percentile

Example: Apartment Rents


i = (p/100)n = (80/100)70 = 56
Averaging the 56th and 57th data values:
80th Percentile = (535 + 549)/2 = 542
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Note: Data is in ascending order.
2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 40
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
80th Percentile

Example: Apartment Rents


At least 80% of the At least 20% of the
items take on a items take on a
value of 542 or less. value of 542 or more.
56/70 = .8 or 80% 14/70 = .2 or 20%

425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 41
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Quartiles

Quartiles are specific percentiles.


First Quartile = 25th Percentile
Second Quartile = 50th Percentile = Median
Third Quartile = 75th Percentile

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 42
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Third Quartile

Example: Apartment Rents


Third quartile = 75th percentile
i = (p/100)n = (75/100)70 = 52.5 = 53
Third quartile = 525
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Note: Data is in ascending order.
2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 43
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Measures of Variability

It is often desirable to consider measures of variability


(dispersion), as well as measures of location.
For example, in choosing supplier A or supplier B we
might consider not only the average delivery time for
each, but also the variability in delivery time for each.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 44
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Measures of Variability

Range
Interquartile Range
Variance
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 45
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Range

The range of a data set is the difference between the


largest and smallest data values.
It is the simplest measure of variability.
It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data
values.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 46
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Range

Example: Apartment Rents


Range = largest value - smallest value
Range = 615 - 425 = 190
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

Note: Data is in ascending order.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 47
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Interquartile Range

The interquartile range of a data set is the difference


between the third quartile and the first quartile.
It is the range for the middle 50% of the data.
It overcomes the sensitivity to extreme data values.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 48
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Interquartile Range

Example: Apartment Rents


3rd Quartile (Q3) = 525
1st Quartile (Q1) = 445
Interquartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 525 - 445 = 80
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

Note: Data is in ascending order.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 49
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Variance

The variance is a measure of variability that utilizes


all the data.

It is based on the difference between the value of


each observation (xi) and the mean ( x for a sample,
m for a population).

The variance is useful in comparing the variability


of two or more variables.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 50
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Variance

The variance is the average of the squared


differences between each data value and the mean.

The variance is computed as follows:

( x x ) 2
( xi m ) 2
s2 i
2
n 1 N
for a for a
sample population

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 51
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Standard Deviation

The standard deviation of a data set is the positive


square root of the variance.

It is measured in the same units as the data, making


it more easily interpreted than the variance.

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 52
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Standard Deviation

The standard deviation is computed as follows:

s s2 2

for a for a
sample population

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 53
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Coefficient of Variation

The coefficient of variation indicates how large the


standard deviation is in relation to the mean.

The coefficient of variation is computed as follows:

s
100 % 100 %
x m
for a for a
sample population

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 54
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Sample Variance, Standard Deviation,
And Coefficient of Variation
Example: Apartment Rents
Variance
s2 i
( x x ) 2
2, 996.16
n1

Standard Deviation the standard


deviation is
s s 2 2996.16 54.74
about 11%
of the mean
Coefficient of Variation
s 54.74
100 % 100 % 11.15%
x 490.80

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 55
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
End of Chapter 3, Part A

2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied
Slide 56
or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

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