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Kedah Mahsuri MATHS T, SEM 3 2015

This document contains a survey about time spent online each day and uses the results to create a box-and-whisker plot. It also contains several probability problems, including finding probabilities of independent and mutually exclusive events. Additional problems involve hypothesis testing using confidence intervals to test claims about populations based on sample data from flower pot production, car speeds, telephone call connections, accident rates on a motorway, and a survey on common fears.

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144 views3 pages

Kedah Mahsuri MATHS T, SEM 3 2015

This document contains a survey about time spent online each day and uses the results to create a box-and-whisker plot. It also contains several probability problems, including finding probabilities of independent and mutually exclusive events. Additional problems involve hypothesis testing using confidence intervals to test claims about populations based on sample data from flower pot production, car speeds, telephone call connections, accident rates on a motorway, and a survey on common fears.

Uploaded by

lingboo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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2015-3-KED-MAHSURI

Section A [ 45 marks ]

Answer all questions in this section.

1. In a survey , people were asked how long they spent on surfing the internet in
a day ,on average. The median time was 3 hours 36 minutes , the upper quartile
was 4 hours 42 minutes and the interquartile range was 3 hours 12 minutes .
The longest time taken was 5 hours 12 minutes and the shortest time taken was
30 minutes .

(a) Represent the information by a box- and-whisker plot , using a scale of


2 cm to represent 60 minutes [4 marks]

(b) State the shape of the distribution. [1 mark ]

1 1 1
2. Events A and B are such that P(A) = , P(B│A) = 4 and P(A  B ) = .
3 6
Find P(B) . [4 marks]

1
A third event C is such that A and C are independent with P(A C) =
36
2
and P(BC) = .
3

Find P(C) and show that B and C are mutually exclusive. [3 marks]

3. At a flower pot kiln , 20 % of the pots produced are cracked .

(a) Find the smallest value of n if there is a probability of at least 0.85


that a random sample of n flower pots produced by the kiln , will
contain at least one cracked pot . [5 marks]

(b) Using a suitable approximation , estimate the probability that there will be
at most 349 cracked pots out of 2000 pots produced by the kiln . [4 marks]
4. The distribution of the speed of a car, X , has mean μ km per hour and standard
deviation  km per hour . A random sample of 120 car is taken from the
population. The mean speed of the sample is denoted by X .
State the approximate distribution of X and the theorem used . [ 3 marks]

The sample values are summarised by

∑(𝑥 − 100) = −221 , ∑(𝑥 − 100)2 = 4708 .

(a) Find unbiased estimates of μ and  2 . [3 marks]

(b) Explain why X is an unbiased estimator of μ . [1 marks]

(c) Determine an approximate symmetric 96 % confidence interval for μ . [3 marks]

Give your numerical answers correct to 2 decimal places .

5. A telephone enquiry service is so busy that only 80 % of calls to it are

successfully connected. It may be assumed that all calls are independent .

After improving the facilities , the management arranges for a random sample

of 150 calls to be made to the service and it is found that 132 of these calls

are successfully connected. Test at the 5 % significance level , whether the

successful connection rate has improved. [5 marks]

6. The number of accidents per day on a stretch of motorway was recorded for
100 days and the following results obtained.

Number of accidents 0 1 2 3 4
Frequency 44 32 9 10 5

Carry out a χ2 goodness of fit test at 1 % significance level , to determine


whether the Poisson distribution with mean 1 is an appropriate model for
these data . [9 marks]
Section B [ 15 marks]
Answer any one question in this section.

7. When a certain type of cell is subjected to radiation, the cell may die , survive as
1 1 1
a single cell or divide into two cells with probabilities , , respectively .
2 3 6
Two cells are independently subjected to radiation . The random variable X
represents the total number of cells in existence after this experiment.

(a) Find the probability distribution of X . [4 marks]

(b) Evaluate E(X) and standard deviation of X . [4 marks]

(c) Find the cumulative distribution function of X . [3 marks]

(d) Ten independent observations of X are taken and the random variable T
is the number of times that X = 0 is obtained .
Find P(T 3) . [4 marks]

8. (a) A random variable Y is known to have a normal distribution with


variance 2.82. The mean of the distribution of Y is denoted by μ .
A random sample of 64 observations of Y has mean 4.74 .
Test at 10% significance level , the null hypothesis μ = 5 against
the alternative hypothesis μ < 5 . [5 marks]

Find the largest level of significance at which the test would result in
rejection of the null hypothesis . [3 marks]

(b) In a survey into things that people most commonly fear, 43 people out
of a random sample of 200 people said they are afraid of flying.

(i) Given that a symmetric 90 % confidence interval of the proportion


of the population , p ,who are afraid of flying is ( 0.167 , 0.263 ) ,
and if the testing of H0 : p = 0.25 against H1 : p  0.25 at 10%
significance level is carried out , explain how this confidence
interval can be used to test the hypothesis. [3 marks]

(ii) Estimate the sample size that will be needed if it is intended that
the resulting 90% confidence interval for p should have a
width of 0.05 . [4 marks]

“Start where you are. Use what you have. Do what you can” ~ Arthur Ashe

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