Scribd
Upload
117 views26 pages

PCC Fifth Assessment Report

The document summarizes key findings from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. It finds that human influence has extremely likely been the dominant cause of observed warming since the mid-20th century. If greenhouse gas emissions continue at their current rate, warming is expected to surpass 2°C by the late 21st century and cause severe impacts. However, the report also finds that limiting warming to 2°C is possible with ambitious mitigation measures like improving energy efficiency and transitioning to low-carbon energy sources. Delaying mitigation will increase the challenges and costs associated with keeping warming below dangerous levels.

Uploaded by

Anonymous xtxWLcrLJO
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
117 views26 pages

PCC Fifth Assessment Report

The document summarizes key findings from the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. It finds that human influence has extremely likely been the dominant cause of observed warming since the mid-20th century. If greenhouse gas emissions continue at their current rate, warming is expected to surpass 2°C by the late 21st century and cause severe impacts. However, the report also finds that limiting warming to 2°C is possible with ambitious mitigation measures like improving energy efficiency and transitioning to low-carbon energy sources. Delaying mitigation will increase the challenges and costs associated with keeping warming below dangerous levels.

Uploaded by

Anonymous xtxWLcrLJO
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 26

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report

Synthesis Report

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Key Messages

➜  Human influence on the climate system is clear

➜  The more we disrupt our climate, the more we


risk severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts

➜  We have the means to limit climate change and


build a more prosperous, sustainable future

AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM, AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Humans are changing the climate
It is extremely likely that we are the dominant cause of warming
since the mid-20th century

Year
Globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperatures
AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Temperatures continue to rise
Each of the past 3 decades has been successively warmer than
the preceding decades since 1850

Year
Globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperatures
AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Oceans absorb most of the heat

➜  More than 90% of the


energy accumulating
in the climate system
between 1971 and
2010 has
accumulated in the
ocean

➜  Land temperatures
remain at historic
highs while ocean
temperatures
continue to climb AR5 SYR

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


GHG emissions growth between 2000 and 2010 has been
larger than in the previous three decades
GHG Emissions [GtCO2 eq/yr]

AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Sources of emissions
Energy production remains the primary driver of GHG emissions

6.4%
24% 21% 14% Building

35%
Energy Sector
Agriculture,
forests and
other land uses
Industry Transport Sector

2010 GHG emissions


AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Some of the changes in extreme weather and climate events
observed since about 1950 have been linked to human influence

AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Impacts  are  already  underway  

•  Tropics  to  the  poles


•  On  all  continents  and  in  the  ocean
•  Affecting  rich  and  poor  countries

AR5 WGII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Projected climate changes
Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will cause further
warming and changes in the climate system

Oceans  will  continue  to  warm   Global  mean  sea  level  will  
during  the  21st  century   continue  to  rise  during  the  
21st  century  

It  is  very  likely  that  the  Arctic  sea  


ice  cover  will  continue  to  shrink   Global  glacier  volume  will  
and  thin  as  global  mean  surface   further  decrease  
temperature  rises  
AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Potential Impacts of Climate Change

Food  and  water  shortages   Increased  displacement  of  


people  

Increased  poverty   Coastal  flooding  

AR5 WGII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


The window for action is rapidly closing
65% of our carbon budget compatible with a 2°C goal already used

Amount
Remaining:
Total Carbon 275
GtC
Budget:
790 Amount Used
GtC 1870-2011:
515
GtC

AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Climate  Change  Poses  Risk  for  Food  Produc;on  
Percentage of yield projections

AR5 SYR SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Stabiliza;on  of  atmospheric  concentra;ons  requires  moving  away  from  the  
baseline  –  regardless  of  the  mi;ga;on  goal.  

AR5 WGIII SPM

Based  on  Figure  6.7  

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Stabiliza;on  of  atmospheric  concentra;ons  requires  moving  away  from  the  
baseline  –  regardless  of  the  mi;ga;on  goal.  

~3°C  

Based  on  Figure  6.7   AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Figure SPM.10,
A reader’s guide

From climate change


risks to GHG
emissionse

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Limiting Temperature Increase to 2˚C
Measures exist to achieve the substantial emissions
reductions required to limit likely warming to 2°C

A combination of adaptation and substantial, sustained reductions in


greenhouse gas emissions can limit climate change risks

Implementing reductions in greenhouse gas emissions poses


substantial technological, economic, social, and institutional
challenges

But delaying mitigation will substantially increase the


challenges associated with limiting warming to 2°C
AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM,AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Mitigation Measures
More efficient use of energy

Greater use of low-carbon and no-carbon energy


• Many of these technologies exist today

Improved carbon sinks


• Reduced deforestation and improved forest management
and planting of new forests
• Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage

Lifestyle and behavioural changes


AR5 WGIII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


Ambitious Mitigation Is Affordable

➜  Economic growth reduced by ~ 0.06%


(BAU growth 1.6 - 3%)
➜  This translates into delayed and not forgone
growth
➜  Estimated cost does not account for the
benefits of reduced climate change
➜  Unmitigated climate change would create
increasing risks to economic growth
AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


The Choices We Make Will Create Different Outcomes

With substantial Without additional


mitigation mitigation

Change in average surface temperature (1986–2005 to 2081–2100)


AR5 WGI SPM

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report


IPCC Fifth Assessment Report

Synthesis Report

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report

You might also like

pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy