Arab Business Club Magazine - For Printing
Arab Business Club Magazine - For Printing
economy
Relations with
Arab economies
Increase in
Exports
Economy
15 Relations
economies
with Arab
16 Successful Arab-Hungarian
economic forum
Development
24 Budget Deficit Lower, GDP
Growth Higher
EUROPE
O
ver the last fifteen years Hungary has become a popular target for foreign
direct capital investments (FDI). The country's central geographical location,
the presence of a high number of well-trained workforce and transparent
investment conditions, which are compliant with European Union regulations, are the
most important preconditions that have made it possible.
Favorable living conditions and the cultural values of Hungary are also appealing to
foreigners. The appearance of multinational companies has greatly contributed to the
modernization of the Hungarian economy, the maintenance of its dynamic growth, and
to preserving existing jobs and creating new jobs. The influx of FDI after 1995 has
significantly accelerated, facilitating the steady growth of the Hungarian economy.
Since the change of the political system the volume of foreign direct capital investments
in Hungary has reached 53 billion Euros by the end of 2005. The per capita active
capital continues to be the highest in Hungary in the East-Central European region.
The biggest part of foreign direct capital investments was made into the competitive
processing industry (automotive industry, electric machinery production, chemical
industry) and into the service industry.
OF EUROPE
renowned for their resourcefulness, creativity, nation, foster the success of European integration,
and pride themselves on their hospitality and and good relations with neighboring countries.
openness—values that are also embedded in the Hungary maintains a balanced political, economic
role that Hungary plays in the international arena. and cultural relationship with its neighbors,
At the end of 1980’s the communist regime in where the bonds are partly the common goals and
Hungary collapsed swiftly and without bloodshed. interests of today and tomorrow, and partly the
At the beginning of the 1990’s the country common experience of the past as well. Hungary
successfully created a well-functioning democracy has seven neighbors among European countries.
and market economy. Hungary is committed to the development of
The change of the political regime entailed a democracy and market economy of its Southern
change of values. Hungarian foreign policy also and Eastern non-EU member neighbors, and
underwent fundamental changes, particularly in supports their Euroatlantic integration.
On a
ment is up by some 200,000 year-on-year,” the econo- funding has improved and consumption has also
increased. Exports continue to be competitive and
my ministry boasted. the sector has remained a major economic engine.
Meanwhile, Gyorgy Matolcsy, governor of the central The credit rating agency is prognosticating that over
bank, has been busy lobbying for an upgrade of the the next three years Hungarian GDP growth is set to
country’s credit ratings. Matolcsy said Hungary is average 2.2 percent annually.
currently on a “stable and predictable path as a result At the beginning of November 2014, Moody’s
of the changes in economic policy implemented (in upwardly revised Hungary’s rating outlook from
large part by himself as then economy minister) negative to stable as the Government had been
since 2010, the year the Fidesz government of prime
GROWTH
successful in curbing state debt and igniting economic
minister Viktor Orban regained the reins of power. growth.
The government had succeeded in putting the national The Ministry for National Economy is firmly
economy on a growth path and it was committed to convinced that credit rating agencies will in their next
maintaining this trend in 2015. rating decisions take into account the growth potential
PATH
Bence Tuzson, spokesman of ruling FIDESZ’s of the Hungarian economy. Market participants have
parliamentary group, said that a total of 12,000 billion been reacting in a positive way to the favorable trends
forints (EUR 38.5bn) in European Union funds would
regarding Hungarian economic indicators and credit
be available to Hungary in the next seven years, and rating agencies must follow suit.
those funds, together with the country’s performance,
could ensure that the economy stays on a growth path
and total employment is achieved by 2018.
Hungary’s growth last year (2014) was seen at
around 3.1 percent, the highest ratio in the past eight
years. Tuzson said that the public finance deficit
for 2014 was seen between 2.5 to 2.9 percent, which
necessitates that a strict fiscal policy is maintained
to meet the deficit target. He added that real wages
had increased by two to 2.5 percent, a trend that the
government wants to maintain through a wage hike
program.
Moody’s positive view
In its annual country report, Moody’s Investors
Service formulates a positive view on Hungary’s
European
Commission
forecast
Moody’s positive view I “The greatest achievement of the Hungarian
n its winter economic forecast, the European
Commission acknowledged that the Hungarian economic policy is still the ability to keep the
economic model works, minister of state for gov- budget deficit below 3 percent. The deficit may
ernment communications András Giró-Szász said. decrease to 2.5 percent this year, which is a more
In its annual country report, Moody’s Investors At the beginning of November 2014, Moody’s He recalled that the EC had repeatedly forecasted
Service formulates a positive view on Hungary’s upwardly revised Hungary’s rating outlook from favorable forecast than that of last year,” he added.
lower growth rates for Hungary. However, this year’s
medium-term economic growth. negative to stable as the Government had been figures prove that “the Hungarian economy is on a As for the continuously decreasing ratio of foreign
According to the analysis, results of the successful in curbing state debt and igniting growth path for the long run.” exchange denominated debt, it was considered
Government’s economic policy measures are economic growth. as a positive trend by the Minister of State. This
becoming visible: investment volume is higher, The Ministry for National Economy is firmly Giró-Szász pointed out that “in 2015-16, the
the utilization of EU funding has improved and convinced that credit rating agencies will in their Hungarian economy will continue to grow, and contributes to the further reduction of sovereign
consumption has also increased. Exports continue next rating decisions take into account the growth the growth figure for 2014-15 will again be well debt and country risks related to exchange rate
to be competitive and the sector has remained a potential of the Hungarian economy. Market above the European average.” He underlined that changes, he said. According to his briefing, the
major economic engine. The credit rating agency participants have been reacting in a positive way FX-ratio of the Hungarian sovereign debt at the
is prognosticating that over the next three years to the favorable trends regarding Hungarian according to the forecast, the sovereign debt of
Hungarian GDP growth is set to average 2.2 economic indicators and credit rating agencies Hungary will be over 10 percent lower than the end of 2010 was 47 percent, at the end of 2013 42
percent annually. must follow suit. EU-average. percent and “it will decrease further” by the end
of 2015.
COOPERATION
ECONOMIES
N
ew opportunities with the Gulf countries
are opening up in the context of their
modernization efforts and in the field of
cooperation in cutting edge technology. Hungary’s
E
traditional relations with the Arabic countries of
urope is also aware of the fact that the world politically and economically. Hungary, as a party
is undergoing transformation. Part of this
the South Mediterranean region—built up in the
to EU Common Foreign and Security Policy,
transformation is the increasing importance of has been a participant of the so-called ASEM
last decades—are expanding in new fields, such
the Asia-Pacific Region in world economy and world (Asia-Europe Meeting) process from 2005. This as tourism. Hungary is an active participant of
politics. Hungary also pays ever greater attention to the Barcelona Process, the Euro-Mediterranean
process is an institutional dialogue between the
its relationships with the Asian and Pacific countries.
The aim of the Hungarian-Asia policy is to develop EU and ASEAN dealing with the comprehensive dialogue representing intercultural understanding
and expand cooperation with those Asian and issues, and economic, social, security political between the EU and the region.
Pacific countries that are open to cooperation both challenges of Asia.
asem-
asia- europe meeting to
address global challenges
Successful Arab-Hungarian
and food industry, life sciences and information Credit Insurance Pte Ltd.) and EXIM Bank in addition
technology. The said projects have the potential to HITA as facilitators. He expressed during the
to attract a total investment of 1.97 billion Euros to Forum that keys are trust, finding the right business
On green industries
Second and renewable
Hungarian-Arab confab energies
T
he 2nd Hungarian-Arab Business Forum was Union of Chambers of Commerce, Industry and
held in Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia from Agriculture for Arab Countries (GUCCIAAC) and
23-25 of March 2014, in which 94 Hungarian with the Saudi partner about the establishment of the
companies were represented by 128 businessmen. Saudi-Hungarian Trading House.
Present during the significant gathering were Prime
Minister Viktor Orbán and H.E. Mokrin bin Abdel Issues on the renewable energy sector and energy security were thoroughly discussed
Aziz, Saudi prince and Second Deputy Prime Minister during the Forum. István Bakács, President of the Scientific Association of Energy
who spoke highly of the further cooperation between Management said that energy is an investment sensitive sector that is essentially
Hungary and Arab world. determined by the efforts to ensure the security of energy supply and to fight off the
Péter Szijjártó, State Secretary for Foreign Affairs negative effects of climate change.
and External Economic Relations, emphasized that
The need to find sustainable, clean and economical energy solutions is a common
in 2003 the trade volume between Hungary and the
Arab world was USD800 million, whereas it currently challenge for Hungary and the Arab countries.
exceeds USD2.5 billion. Hungary’s energy policy focuses on are the exploitation of biomass and geothermal
More than 500 businessmen, politicians, diplomats energy, reflecting local characteristics. At the same time, the potentials of solar energy
and directors of Chambers took part where Hungarian are increasingly exploited, and this is an area Hungary can exchange experience and
companies had signed several trade agreements. The cooperate with Arab countries.
HNTH Cls. signed an agreement with the General
On Life
sciences
F
ood industry is of particular importance for
Lebanon, and the sector has long traditions
in the country, said Vrej Sabounjian,
Lebanon’s Minister of Industry. Lebanon’s thriving
Attila Csányi, CEO of the Bonafarm Group
presented his business, which is unique in Hungary
in that it is operated as a family business but uses a
professional, Western-style management system
and ict
D
food processing industry is further strengthened for production, integrating the entire agricultural r. György Kerekes, head of division at the graduation of hundreds of Arab students
by services, the scientific life and the logistics chain from grain production to manufacturing Századvég Gazdaságkutató noted HITA in Hungary. Another area of cooperation is
background. processed food. Over 200 families earn their has already organized two events in the the development of IT systems for hospitals,
Gyula Budai, State Secretary of the Ministry of living in the Group’s integration system through Arab countries in this sector (Arab Health and an activity that requires complex knowledge
Rural Development emphasized that Hungary contract production. The Group already has the Gulf Information Technology Exhibition) of the healthcare industry and ICT. Several
is open to cooperation in the areas of poultry-, working business relationships with the Middle this year which generated major interest Arab countries have expressed their interest
cattle- and sheep-farming, forestry (technologies East in Lebanon and Saudi Arabia, but they plan among Hungarian companies. in the existing Hungarian knowledge and
against desertification), water technologies and further expansions. Miklós Szócska, State Secretary of Health, professional experience in this area.
the related education and scientific fields. who recently returned from his visit in Saudi Zoubeir Chaieb, Chairman of Advanced
Dr. Haitham Al-Jaffan, President of the Arab Arabia, focused on the provision of clinical e-Technologies, Tunisia, who had also
Federation for Food Industries, a 7,500-member medical treatment as an area for potential graduated in Hungary, underlined that plenty
organization founded in 1976, emphasized that cooperation. The insertion of surgical of know-how are based on the knowledge
the sector was able to grow even during the implants, developed and manufactured in of Hungarian engineers, which could be
world economic crisis (the global growth was 5.1 Hungary, is an excellent example of cutting successfully exported to the Arab countries.
percent). The food imports of Arab countries edge technology and of establishing successful Sándor Kürti, CEO of Kürt Zrt. has his own
are forecast to rise to USD60 billion by 2020. relationships in business and healthcare company in the United Arab Emirates. Mr.
Significant increase in demand is expected, which tourism. Kürti shared his personal regional experiences
will lead to higher prices. Al-Jaffan believes that Arab-Hungarian relations can be built with Forum delegates citing the encouraging
Arab countries and Hungary have good potential on a strong foundation, particularly the developments in Hungary’s healthcare
for cooperation in the food industry, which can decades of cooperation between these two industry and ICT sector.
be greatly expanded into both directions. countries in higher education, leading to
20 Arab Business Club Arab Business Club 21
Magazine March 2015 March 2015 Magazine
Optimistic on
economic prospects
More Hungarians believe the country’s economy has
improved, but their number is still under the average
in international comparison, a survey by Ipsos shows.
The percentage of Hungarians who believe the
economy is on the right track rose to 18 percent last
year from 11 percent in 2013 and just 5 percent in 2012.
The percentage was still the fifth lowest among the 25
countries surveyed. Only South Koreans, the French,
the Spanish and the Italians were more pessimistic.
Posting significant
On trade surplus
tourism
I EU countries as well both with respect to
n the tourism section of the Forum, Hungary was
represented by Government Commissioner Dr. incomes and employment. The Hungarian
Balázs Fürjes and Gergely Horváth, Deputy CEO party drew attention to excellent investment
of Magyar Turizmus Zrt., while the Arab partners opportunities in the hotel industry and to
were represented by Saeb Nahas, CEO of the Nahas attractions such as Budapest, its thermal
Enterprises Group, Syria, and Rajab waters, fashion, high quality services, hunting
Elloumi, co-founder of the Tunisian and conference tourism, while the Arab
African Trade Development partners emphasized the heritage of their
Association. 2000 years of history, and attractions such
Tourism represents 5 percent as sunshine and the diversified natural
of global GDP, therefore, it environment including seas and
is obviously a priority area deserts.
for the Arab world and the
Hungary posted a trade surplus in November by 5 percent, faster than in euros. The January-
2014 of 843.1 million euros, the Central Statistical November trade surplus was also revised slightly
Office (KSH) said in a second reading of data. The up to 6.177 billion euros. Exports increased by 3.5
surplus was raised from 831.8 million euros in the percent to 78.032 billion euros. Imports were up
first reading released on January 9. Exports rose 4.0 percent at 71.855 billion euros. Eleven month
by 3.1percent to 7.616 billion euros while imports exports rose by 6.7 percent in volume terms and
were up 2.1percent at 6.773 billion euros. imports rose by 8.2 percent, also at a quicker pace
In volume terms, both exports and imports rose than euro-term trade.
22 Arab Business Club Arab Business Club 23
Magazine March 2015 March 2015 Magazine
Industrial output growth
Output of Hungary’s industrial sector grew by
a year-on-year 4.6 percent in December 2014,
according to workday-adjusted figures gathered
“This year’s budget deficit by the Central Statistics Office (KSH). Industrial
will be lower than previously output was up by 7.6 percent for the whole year.
expected, at 2.6 to 2.7 percent KSH head of department Miklós Schindele said that
vehicle manufacturing output growth was lower
of GDP,” in December than in previous months and that
the output in the sector rose by approximately 10
percent as compared to approximately 20 percent
in earlier months.
According to preliminary data also released by
KSH on January 8, industrial output in November
2014 rose a working-day adjusted 5.8percent
over the same month last year, representing an
improvement compared to the subdued 1.7 percent
increase observed in October. November was the
best reading in four months. The reading exceeded
Budget Deficit Lower, GDP Growth market expectations of a 2.5 percent increase and
marked the 18th consecutive expansion.
Higher
Moreover, forecast panelists expect industrial
production to grow 5.4 percent in 2015, which is
unchanged from last month’s projection. For 2016,
“This year’s budget deficit will be lower than approach should be avoided. “If the situation
the panel expects industrial output to expand 5.7
previously expected, at 2.6 to 2.7 percent of in financial markets is favorable and it is worth
percent.
GDP,” Economy Minister Mihály Varga said in an for Hungary to replace long-term, high-interest
interview published in daily Magyar Hírlap. As securities with the involvement of an FX bond
for the economic growth, it has been higher than
expected this year and this helped the development
of central revenues.
issue, then we will do it,” he added.
Commenting on the bank tax, Varga said “the
government is ready to develop a system in
Increase in exports Hungary’s exports increased in December,
“As a result, the central budget is expected to which current burdens are reduced in exchange growing 9.2 percent year-on-year, while
close with a surplus in December, like it did in for crediting.” Asked whether a new agreement is imports grew 7.8 percent in the same
September, October and November,” Varga said. planned between the government and banks, he period improving from the lackluster
third quarter (2014) figures, according to
He confirmed that there are no plans to issue said “it is time to think about a new framework
the Central Statistics Office (KSH).
FX bonds next year but added that a dogmatic and start the preparation of new agreements.” KSH raised December’s surplus to €322.1
mln, up €97 mln from the same month a
Investor awards
Last week Mihály Varga presented the regular has invested HUF 6bn and created 200 new jobs.
year earlier. Based on the first estimates,
exports reached €6.4 bln, while imports
were at €6.1 bln for the month of December.
KSH also revised the value of exports for
monthly awards for successful enterprises at a With awarding the “SME of the Month” title to the January-December period, raising
ceremony held in the building of the Ministry Hidrofilt Vízkezelést Tervező és Kivitelező Ltd, the figure by 3.9 percent to €84.5 billion,
for National Economy in Budapest. Winner of the jury acknowledged high quality production while imports were up 4.3 percent to €78.0
the “Investor of the Month” award was Nemak through innovative technology, the minister said billion. The balance of the trade surplus
Győr Alumíniumöntöde Ltd, a manufacturer and and added that the enterprise has become one of was €56 million less than during the period
developer of top-tech aluminum cylinder heads and the largest waste water-treatment companies in of January–December 2013
engine blocks. Over the past years, the company Central Europe.
24 Arab Business Club Arab Business Club 25
Magazine March 2015 March 2015 Magazine
CRUDE OIL
PIPELINE
L
ast February 9, the prime ministers of Slovakia
Canadian
firm expands
and Hungary inaugurated a revamped section
of the Friendship I crude oil pipeline which
will enable Hungarian oil and gas company MOL
production
to meet the oil needs of its Bratislava Refinery from
the Adriatic.
Both Robert Fico and Viktor Orbán called the
investment “extremely significant and (the pipeline)
would increase energy security.”
C
Speaking at the Slovakian Transpetrol’s pumping
station located in Tupá (Kistompa) near the Slovak- anadian-owned Linamar Corporation, a pro- if the European-Canadian economic and trade
Hungarian border, Orbán said the renewed pipeline ducer specializing in agricultural machinery agreement is ratified next year. The agreement
between Százhalombatta, just south of Budapest, and car parts, has extended its production could facilitate a 20 percent increase in bilateral
and Sahy (Ipolyság) was “exceptionally important hall in the town of Orosháza, in southeast Hungary, trade and contribute an annual growth of 11.6
not only in terms of the energy security of Hungary using a budget of 5 billion forints (EUR 16m). billion euros in the European economy.
and Slovakia but from the point of view of the whole Linamar Corporation employs more than 2,000 As far as the 2014-2020 EU fiscal period is
region.” people and through some 1,500 Hungarian concerned, the Minister pointed out that the
As part of the 80 million dollar joint investment by suppliers, it has generated several thousands of Hungarian government is determined to maintain
MOL and Transpetrol, the 128 kilometer section was other jobs. the momentum Hungary’s economy has achieved
replaced in just under a year, lifting capacity from The new facility, which will produce agricultural in 2014. Varga also said that EU funds in the
an annual 3.5 million tons to 6 million tons. Orbán “exceptionally important not machinery and car industry components, was current budgeting cycle could facilitate “the largest
added that “cheap energy” was also important. In ceremonially opened by economy minister Mihály program of all times” to boost the Hungarian
only in terms of the energy Varga and Canada’s Ambassador to Hungary Lisa economy. Varga noted that the cohesion funding,
the competition to obtain cheap energy, Europe is
“stuck at the starting line,” and in order to preserve security of Hungary and Helfand. The expansion effort is expected to together with co-financing from the central
and nurture competitiveness a quick decision at the provide 150 new jobs in the region. budget, would amount to 12,000 billion forints
Slovakia but from the point Helfand said that bilateral ties between her country (EUR 39bn).
level of the EU will be necessary, he said.
of view of the whole region.” and Hungary could even be made more closer
A BOOST IN
million kilometers in air routes—resulting in
USD3 million less in fuel cost expenditures
for carriers and a carbon emission cut of over
T
he information, media and mobile subscribers exceeded 450,000 last year
entertainment market in Hungary, as and it had more than 920,000 TV subscribers, For the period 2014-2020 and similar to other EU
well as the integration of fixed line of whom about 450,000 had interactive TV, he member states, Hungary will allocate 5 percent
and mobile networks could be the future of added. Magyar Telekom, a unit of Germany’s of the available rural development funds to its
rural development program. This is aimed to
the telecommunications business. Magyar Deutsche Telekom, supports the government’s
appropriate the largest possible proportion of
Telekom CEO Christopher Mattheisen said aim to bring broadband internet to all the EU rural development subsidies for rural job
the expansion of mobile data transfer, fuelled Hungarian households by 2018, two years before creation, rural investments and for improving the
by video and sharing could be the engine of the deadline in the Digital Agenda for Europe, competitiveness of the Hungarian rural areas.
growth for the sector. More than just handsets Mattheisen said. Magyar Telekom considers Almost 1.5 million hectares of the Hungarian
agricultural area are drought-sensitive and
will connect to mobile networks in the future, the establishment of a regulatory environment
currently approximately 250-300 thousand
he added, citing the examples of wearables and that provides incentives for investment, is hectares are suitable for irrigation. However, only
cars. predictable and ensures equitable conditions one third of this area is actually being irrigated by
Telekom’s 4G network coverage has risen to for market players of prime importance, he the farmers. In terms of size of irrigated areas,
about 80 percent of the population in Hungary said. This would support an improvement in the Hungary is second-to-last among the EU countries.
since it acquired spectrum in a frequency tender country’s competitiveness, spur investments
last year, he said. The company’s number of 4G and create jobs, he added.
CHALLENGES OF THE
CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY
The Hungarian Construction Industry he considered next year’s outlook far more
Association (ÉVOSZ) expects the sector’s uncertain and noted the absence of private
output to have grown an annual 15 percent investors from the building construction
in 2014, due primarily to infrastructural segment.
investments, Tibor Tolnay, head of the Citing official statistics, Tolnay said Hungary’s
association, said. At the same time, he said industry’s output rose 10 percent from a year Hungary’s car market continues to Sales of light commercial vehicles climbed
earlier to 1,774 billion forints (EUR 5.6bn) in recover as sales of new passenger vehicles 32 percent to 1,986. Sales of buses also
2013, though this still remained well behind in Hungary rose 21 percent to 6,093 in rose by 27 percent to 123 and sales of
pre-crisis levels. He attributed this year’s two- December 2014 from the same month a motorcycles were down 33 percent at
digit output growth to the acceleration of year earlier, according to the Hungarian 37, MGE said. This year, new passenger
disbursements of European Union funding Association of Vehicle Importers (MGE). car sales are expected to rise by more
with the end of the last EU budget period, which
Dynamics Skoda led sales of passenger than 15 percent to 75,000, it said. Sales
generated more construction work. Most of
cars in December, invoicing 785 models. of LCVs are set to increase 6 percent to
this is related to infrastructural investments
Runners-up were Ford, selling 728 cars, 17,000 while sales of HCVs fall 7 percent
including road and railway construction and
utilities development projects, he noted.
and Opel in third place with 637 sales. to 4,500.
BEST MAJOR
Netherlands. Sziget was Europe. The awards have
among the finalists in as been presented on an
many as three categories, annual basis during
finally coming first in the European Music
FEST
the category of best Conference and
major European Showcase Festival
festival, as in 2012, Eurosonic Noordeslag
overtaking festivals in the Dutch city of
such as Roskilde, Groningen ever since.