Chapter1 IntroductiontoSEMinAMOS
Chapter1 IntroductiontoSEMinAMOS
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CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION TO STRUCTURAL
EQUATION MODELING
The Structural Equation Modeling or popularly known as SEM is a second generation statistical
analysis techniques developed for analyzing the inter-relationships among multiple variables in a
model. The inter-relationships among variables could be expressed in a series of single and
multiple regression equations. The Structural Equation Modeling technique employs the
combination of quantitative data and the correlational or causal assumptions into the model.
Throughout the chapter, the readers would find the term variable and construct are used
interchangeably. A variable is the directly measured score, while the construct is meant for an
indirectly measured score. In fact the construct is only a hypothetical concept of something, or
the respondents’ perception concerning certain issue. A construct is measured through the
respondent’s response towards a set of items in a questionnaire.
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As has been said earlier, latent constructs could not be measured directly since it is only a
hypothetical concept of something. Thus, the researcher could not model them using the
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression. The examples of latent constructs measured through a
set of items are in a questionnaire are:
1) Service Quality
2) Customer Satisfaction
3) Job Satisfaction
4) Corporate Image
5) Product Image
6) Customer Loyalty
7) Purchase Intention
8) Consumer Behavior
9) Employee Soft Skills
10) Perceived usefulness
11) Relational bond
12) Financial bond
13) Structural bond
14) Relationship quality
15) Attitudinal loyalty
16) Behavioral loyalty
Those constructs cannot be measured directly like counting the number of kids in a family,
total income of a household, monthly phone bills, daily production, weekly price of chicken, etc.
The variable which could be measured directly is called the observed variable, while the variable
which could not be measured directly is called latent construct. These latent constructs could
only be measured indirectly using a set of items in a questionnaire.
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1) Could run the Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) to reduce measurement errors
2) Could deal with the problem of multi-collinearity among independent constructs
3) Could assess the fitness of measurement model as well as the structural model
4) Could analyze the model with multiple independents as well as multiple dependents
5) Could include the mediating variable in a model and analyze its effects (mediator)
6) Could analyze the effects of moderating variable in certain path of a model(moderator)
7) Could model the error terms and handle the correlated errors among response items
8) Could analyze both First Order and Second Order Constructs in the structural model
9) Could include both observed variables and latent constructs in the structural model
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Observed
Residual
e1
Variable
1
β1
X1 Y
Key: X1 = Independent variable (observed), Y = Dependent variable (observed), e1= error in the
equation or residuals (unobserved).
Note: In Figure 1, the researcher is interested to estimate the causal effect of X1 on Y and
subsequently test the hypothesis to prove of its significance. In Figure 1, both X1 and Y are
observed variables. In Amos, the observed variables are represented using rectangles.
Modeling the Multiple Linear Regression Y = Bo + B1X1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + e1
The researchers could model the above equation using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
regression and analyzed the model using ANOVA. However, the researchers could also employ
AMOS to model the equation as shown in Figure 2 below.
X1 e1
1
X2 Y
X3
Note: X1, X2, X3, and Y are represented by rectangles since they are directly observed variables
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e1 e2 e3 e4 e5 e6 e7 e8 e9 e10
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1
1
X1 Y e11
Figure 3: The structural equation model for analyzing latent constructs in a model
Note: X1 and Y are latent constructs. In Amos syntax, latent constructs are represented by
the ellipses. The latent construct X1 is measured using items X11 to X15, while latent construct Y
is measured using items Y1 to Y5. The measured items are represented by rectangles in the
model. Sometimes (in literature) the measured items are called latent indicators.
Key: X1 = Exogenous construct, while X11 to X15 is a set of 5 items to measure latent construct X1
In the Amos diagram, e1 to e5 are errors in measurement for items X11 to X15
Y = Endogenous construct, while Y1 to Y5 is a set of 5 items to measure latent construct Y
In the Amos diagram, e6 to e10 are errors in measurement for items Y1 to Y5
In the Amos diagram, e11 is an error in the equation or the residual.
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There are endless debates in the literatures as to how many respondents should be obtained in
order to employ SEM. However, there is no clear-cut answers to it since every research differs
(among other things) in term of the population characteristics, and the number of constructs
employed in a model. Hair et al. (2010), offer the following suggestion for minimum sample size
depending on the model complexity and basic measurement model characteristics.
AMOS is an acronym for Analysis of Moments Structure – the software developed for analyzing
the Structure Equation Modeling (SEM). Synonym to SEM is Covariance Structure Analysis or
Covariance Structure Modeling. Other software available to analyze SEM includes LISREL,
SEPATH, PRELIS, SIMPLIS, MPLUS, EQS, and SAS. The advantage of AMOS compared to
other software in its class is its graphics representation of the model. So, instead of writing
instructions through computer program, researchers only need to draw the AMOS graphic
identical to the schematic diagram of a model in the study.
AMOS software could be utilized to explore statistical relationships among the items of
each construct and also between constructs. Using AMOS, the researcher can specify, estimate,
assess, and present the model in a causal path diagram to show the hypothesized relationships
among constructs of interest. The empirical model can be tested against the hypothesized model
for goodness of fit. If the researchers found any path that does not fit with the original model,
they could either modify the path to improve the fitness of the model or remove that particular
path completely from the hypothesized model.
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1. Exogenous construct is the independent variable in the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
regression. In AMOS, the independent variable is drawn as an upstream variable with the
causal arrow pointing out to its corresponding dependent variable.
In Figure 4: X1 and X2 are exogenous construct with five response items. The arrows from
exogenous constructs X1 and X2 are pointing out to their endogenous construct Y to indicate
that X1 and X2 are theorized to have some causal effects on Y.
2. Endogenous construct is the dependent variable in the Ordinary Least Squares regression.
In AMOS, the dependent variable is drawn as a downstream variable with the arrow pointing
in from its corresponding independent variable.
In Figure 4: Y is an endogenous construct with five response items.
3. Mediating construct is the variable which has a double role. This variable acts as a
dependent variable in the first equation, and acts as an independent variable in the second
equation. In theory, the mediator mediates the relationship between an independent variable
and a dependent variable. In Figure 4, M is the mediating construct with five response items.
It has a residual term R2 as a result from arrow pointing in from X1 and X2.
Remember: A mediator can be a variable as well as a construct.
4. Moderating variable is the variable that moderates the relationship between and
independent variable and its corresponding dependent variable. The representation for
moderating variable is not shown in Figure 4 since it is not part of the model.
Remember: Unlike the mediator, the moderator is not part of the model. The researcher only
identifies the relationship path where the moderator is to be tested and the testing procedure
will be carried out accordingly.
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Exogenous
Construct
Residual
Mediator Endogenous
Construct
Measurement Error
Note: X1 and X2 are exogenous constructs while Y is an endogenous construct. All constructs are latent.
Remember: The numbering for measurement errors as well as residuals in the model are
assigned randomly by Amos Graphic. Do not worry of you got different numbers!
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X1
1
Y e1
X2
Figure 5: Modeling the observed variables in AMOS Graphic for multiple regression models
The model in Figure 5 is equivalent to the following model in a multiple regression equation:
Y = Bo + B1X1 + B2X2 + e1
This model in Figure 5 is valid and workable only if the independent variables X1 and X2
do not have a multi-collinearity problem between them. Remember, one of the main assumptions
in the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is no significant multi-collinearity exists between the
independent variables. The Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) technique could deal with the
multi-collinearity problem. In fact, AMOS requires the researcher to estimate the correlation
between independent variables as well as between exogenous constructs.
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e1 e2 e3 e4 e5
Residual
1 1 1 1 1
1
e15
X1 1 1
1 Y1 e11
1
Y Y2 e12
1
Y3 e13
X2
1
Response Item
X21 X22 X23 X24 X25
1 1 1 1 1
As shown in Figure 6, the latent constructs X1 and X2 are measured using five
questionnaire items respectively while the latent variable Y are measured using three
questionnaire items. However, in reality each latent construct could be measured using as many
as ten to twenty questionnaire items.
The modeling in Figure 6 is valid only if the latent variables X1 and X2 do not have
significant multi-collinearity problem between them. Remember, the main assumption for
Ordinary Least Squares Regression (OLS) is no significant multi-collinearity exists among the
independent variables or exogenous constructs in a model.
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However, if the correlation between X1 and X2 is greater than 0.85, then the assumption
of discriminant validity has failed. It means, one variable is like the mirror of the other. Thus, the
researcher needs to drop one of the two variables from the model and continue analysis using a
single variable.
X1
1
Y e1
X2
Figure 7: Modeling the multiple regressions and estimating the correlation between independent
variables in AMOS Graphic
If the reader could still recall, the double-headed arrow is used to estimate the
correlational relationship while the single-headed arrow is used to estimate the causal
relationship. In the model shown in Figure 7, the researchers could test the significance of
covariance between X1 and X2. At the same time, the researchers could also test the significance
of causal effect of X1 on Y, and also the causal effect of X2 on Y. All tests are carried out
simultaneously.
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e1 e2 e3 e4 e5
1 1 1 1 1
1
e15
Exogenous
X1 Construct
1 1
1 Y1 e11
1
Y Y2 e12
1
Y3 e13
X2
1
Endogenous
Construct
e10 e9 e8 e7 e6
Figure 8: Modeling the multiple regressions and estimating the correlation between exogenous
constructs in AMOS Graphic
The analysis of correlational and causal relationship for the model in Figure 8 is
equivalent to the analysis stated in Figure 7. The advantage of analysis as stated in Figure 8 is the
researcher could assess the importance of each item in measuring their underlying latent
construct. In the easier terms, the researcher could assess which item contributes more
information in measuring their respective construct. In SEM, the researchers could even test the
significance of each response item on its respective construct.
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X1
e1
1
X2 Y
X3
Figure 9: The multiple regression models for the observed variables in AMOS Graphic
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e1 e2 e3 e4 e5
1 1 1 1 1
X1
1 1
e6 X21 e21 Y1 e16
1
1 1 1
e7 X22 Y2 e17
1 1
e8 X23 X2 Y Y3 e18
1 1
e9 X24 1 Y4 e19
1 1
e10 X25 Y5 e20
X3
1
Figure 10: The Structural Equation Modeling for the latent constructs in AMOS Graphic
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Mediator
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Using OLS, the researcher needs to analyze the four regression equations separately in
determining the mediating effect of M. The analysis would be quite tedious.
However, in SEM the researcher could include those four regression equations
simultaneously in one model. Even, the researcher could convert the schematic diagram into a
model in AMOS. Furthermore, the output from AMOS and the subsequent analysis is simple,
informative, and presentable. Now let’s discuss in detail the process involved in testing the effect
of mediating variable. Our discussion centers on the schematic diagram showing the mediating
variable in a model, as shown in Figure 12. In the diagram, the researcher is interested to assess
the effects of mediator variable M in linking the relationship between X1 and Y.
0-1
Figure 12: The Diagram Showing B1, B2, and B3 in the Analysis for Mediator Variable
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The partial mediation role of M occurs only if these conditions are met:
Refer to Figure 12:
Question: What if both coefficients B3 and B2 are significant but B3*B2is lower than B1?
In this case, one needs to compare the value of B1 in the single model (X1 alone) with its
value when the mediator M enters the model. If its value is reduced when the mediator is
included, then the partial mediation occurred.
AMOS could also analyze the mediating effects of latent construct in a model. The
theoretical model is illustrated in Figure 13. In the model, construct X1 has five items; the
mediator M also has five response items, while Y has three response items respectively.
In Figure 13, the researcher is modeling the mediating effect of construct M in linking the
relationship between construct X1 and construct Y. So, in this diagram, X1 is an exogenous
construct (arrow pointing out), and Y is an endogenous construct (arrow pointing in) while M is
a mediating construct (two arrows involved - one is pointing in and another one is pointing out).
In this model, the researcher is interested to assess whether construct M is a really a significant
mediator in the X1 to Y relationship.
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Figure 13: Modeling the mediating effect of latent construct M in AMOS Graphic.
The hypothesis testing involved in determining whether construct M has full mediation,
partial mediation, or no mediation role is similar to the explanation given for Figure 12. In Amos
Graphic, one can model more than mediator in a model. The model with more than one mediator
is shown in Figure 13a. In Figure 13a, the independent variable (Leverage) and dependent
variable (Demand) are observed directly while the two mediators are latent constructs.
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Figure 14: The model contain more than one mediators namely RTP and Attitude
Sometimes the researcher is also interested to assess the moderating effects of certain
variable in the model, normally demographic characteristics of the respondents. As its name
implies, the role of a moderator variable is to moderate the relationship between the independent
and its corresponding dependent variable. The position of a moderating variable in a schematic
diagram of a model is presented in Figure 14:
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If you could recall from the earlier explanation, the single headed arrow originating from
the independent variable and pointing to its dependent variable indicates the causal effects of X
on Y is being estimated. Now, the existence of variable M in the path could play a significant
role in altering the effects of independent variable X on its corresponding dependent variable Y.
For example, the effectiveness of certain teaching method in improving the academic
performance of school children could depend on the background of the respondents under study.
Here, teaching method applied is an independent variable, academic performance is a dependent
variable, while background or demographic characteristics of the children is a moderating
variable. Let see how the above theory is presented in a schematic diagram of a model as shown
in Figure 15:
Analyzing the moderation effects using the traditional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is
quite tedious and sometimes can be misleading. However, AMOS could handle this job quite
easily. The researcher needs to draw the AMOS graphic as shown in Figure 17 and Figure 18,
execute the software, analyze the output and interpret the results. Let assume that variable T is
teaching method, variable M is family background of children, and variable P is their academic
performance. The schematic diagram is given in Figure 16:
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Figure 1615: The model showing the independent, dependent and moderating variable
The AMOS Graphic model representing the schematic diagram in Figure 16 is presented
in Figure 17 and Figure 18.
In analyzing the effect of moderator variable B in the observed model, the researcher needs to
compute the interaction effect between independent variable T and moderator variable M. The
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product of T multiply M is termed as TM. Now the model will estimate the effect of T, the effect
of M, and the interaction effect between T and M, termed TM as shown in Figure 18.
Figure 18: Modeling the effects of moderating variable M using AMOS Graphic
In order to prove that the child’s family background (M) is a significant moderator in the
relationship between teaching method (T) and child’s academic performance (P), the study needs
to prove the hypothesis of causal effects as follows:
1) The effect of T on P is reduced when moderator variable M enters the model.
2) At the same time, the effect of interaction TM on P is statistically significant.
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Analyzing the moderator in the latent constructs model is not as straight forward as in the
observed model. The method used in the analysis is called the Multi-Group CFA. The
procedure for analyzing a moderator for latent constructs is explained in chapter 7.
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