Behavioral Finance and Portfolio Management: Review of Theory and Literature
Behavioral Finance and Portfolio Management: Review of Theory and Literature
DOI: 10.1002/pa.1996
PRACTITIONER PAPER
Anu Antony
JEL CLASSIFICATION
G4; G190; G100; G110
Year Author
1895 Gustav Le Bon Gustav Le Bon was the French psychologist
and author of The Crowd: A Study of the
Popular Mind. This book remains the first
ever and greatest material about
traditional behavior written in
psychology. He incorporated the theories
of herd behavior and crowd psychology
in the individual behavior (Gustave,
1895).
1912 GC Selden The Psychology of the Stock Market,
authored by GC Seldon, was a brilliant
piece of literature that presented the idea
that stock price movements were based
on the mental attitude of the investors
and traders in stock market investment
(Selden, 1912).
1951 Burrell “The Possibility of Experimental Approach
to Investment Analysis” (Burrell, 1951).
This was an article published in the
Journal of Finance that postulates the
scientific approach on investment
decisions. The article narrates the human
behavioral pattern in stock market
operations and its reflection.
1957 Festinger Leoan A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (Festinger,
1957). It was a book published under the
discipline of social psychology that
introduces the concept of cognitive
dissonance.
1973 onwards Kahneman and Tversky They together published a series of article
introducing new theories and concepts
that help the Journal of Behavioral Finance
to evolve as a new discipline. Some of
their concepts and their prominent
articles are listed below:
Heuristics:
• (Kahneman & Tversky, “Availability: A
Heuristic for Judging Frequency and
Probability,” 1973, pp. 207–232)
• (Kahneman & Tversky, “Judgement Under
Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,”
1974, pp. 1124–1131)
Prospect theory:
(Kahneman & Tversky, “Prospect Theory:
An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,”
1979, pp. 263–291)
Mental accounting and framing:
(Tversky & Kahneman, “Rational Choice and
the Framing of Decisions,” 1986, pp.
251–278)
(Kahneman & Tversky, “Advances in
Prospect Theory: Cumulative
Representation of Uncertainty,” 1992, pp.
297–323)
Hot hands:
(Tversky & Gilovich, “The Hot Hand:
Statistical Reality or Cognitive Illusion?,”
1989)
(Continues)
4 of 7
4 of 7 ANTONY
ANTONY
TABLE 1 (Continued)
Year Author
1985 WFM De Bondt and Richard Thaler They introduced the concept “over
reaction,” which was explained as the
tendency that can led to disproportionate
reaction to certain news in market (De
Bondt & Thaler, 1985). In this work, they
tried to analyze the market efficiency
because of overreaction.
1985 H Shefrin and M Statsman “The Disposition to Sell Winner Too Early
and Ride Looser Too Long: Theory and
Evidence” (Shefrin & Statsman, 1985).
This article was published in the Journal
of Finance, established that investors
have tendency to hold on to the losers
and sell winner, and thus introduced the
concept “regret aversion.”
1998 R Olsen “Behavioral Finance and Its Implication for
Stock Price Volatility.” In 1998, this
article was published in Finance Analysts
Journal, where a comprehensive depiction
of the foundation and justification
underlying behavioral finance were
presented (Olsen, 1998).
2000 RJ Shiller “Irrational Exuberance,” through which he
introduced the concept of anchoring
(Shiller, 2000).
2000 Shefrin and Statsman “Behavioral Portfolio Theory” was an
extension of capital asset pricing model
and was introduced by Shefrin and
Statsman (2000). Through this, they
introduced the concept of portfolio
theory by incorporating behavioral
factors.
2009 J Fernandes, JI Pena, and T Benjamin Fernandes, Pena, and Benjamin (2009)
classified behavioral bias into cognitive
bias and emotional bias in the work
“Behavioral Finance and Estimation of
Risk in Stochastic Portfolio Optimization.”
crowd psychology and behavioral decisions. BPT explains why the The first aspect of portfolio management is to identify the invest-
investors invest with multiple objectives such as future requirement ment strategy. That is whether an investor prefers fundamental analy-
of family, retirement saving, and fund for meeting emergency. Gra- sis, technical analysis, or personal intuition. Investors using
ham, Harvey, and Huang (2009) found the significance of demo- fundamental analysis examine relevant factors such as balance sheets,
graphic variable while designing the investors' preference in designing profit or loss statements, return on investments, dividends, and indus-
portfolio. From the previous literature review, the following biases are try conditions that affect the future stock price movements. In con-
important in determining the portfolio selection and evaluation: trast, investors relying on technical analysis only study the past stock
price movements, believing that historical data provide indications for
1 probability weighting and anchoring (reference point; Kahneman & future stock price developments. This stage can identify the reference
Tversky, 1979); point set by the investor (anchor; Shleifer & Summers, 1990).
2 mental accounting (Mullainathan & Thaler, 2000); Investment objectives were embedded in the investors' prefer-
3 representative biases; ences. A key implication of BPT is that investors whose goals involve
4 lack of diversification (Goetzmann & Kumar, 2008); and high aspirations act as if they have a high tolerance for risk, implying
5 insufficient savings due to lack of self-control (Benartzi & Thaler, that investors who set high aspiration levels in combination with an
2007). associated high probability of achieving those levels will tend to
ANTONY
ANTONY 5
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7
governance, positioning, image building, goodwill, and industry practitioners, financial planners, and advisors were interested to the
competition factors. It shows the socially responsible characteristic psychological biases of their investors in order to solve persistent
of investing dealing with nonfinancial consideration. The studies of problem faced in the stock market. This will help to reduce the anom-
Ghoul, Guedhami, Kwok, and Mishra (2011) and Godfrey, Merrill, alous evidence of the stock market operations.
and Hansen (2009) state that corporate responsible behavior of Behavioral finance is a complement to standard finance theories.
the firm reduces risk and decreases cost of capital (Bassen, Meyer, BPT was formulated on the basis of underlying principle of capital
& Schlange, 2006). This increases the investors' confidence on asset pricing model. The behavioral portfolio model will give prescrip-
3 Technical analysis is the tool and technique used to study the price Practitioners can comprehend the mistakes generally made by their
and the volume movement of the securities to predict the future clients and to provide insight and self-control in their decisions.
price. When the fundamental analysis deals with the intrinsic value
of the securities based on investors' estimation, technical analysis
deals with price fluctuations. Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000) OR CID
Edwards, R. P., Magee, J., & Bassetti, C. W. (2007). Technical analysis of Ricciardi, V., & Simon, H. K. (2000). What is behavioral finance? The Busi-
stock trends (9th ed.). New York: Routledge. Amacom ness, Education and Technology Journal, 2, 26–34.
Evans, D. A. (2006). Subject perceptions of confidence and predictive Selden, G. C. (1912). The psychology of the stock market. New York: Ticker
validity in financial cues. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(1), 12–28. Publishing Company.
https://doi.org/10.1207/s15427579jpfm0701_3 Shanmugham, R., & Ramya, K. (2012). Impact of social factors on individual
Fernandes, J., Pena, J. I., & Benjamin, T. (2009). Behavior finance and esti- investors' trading behavior. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2,
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sil. Working Paper, No. 184. Shefrin, H., & Statsman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too
Festinger, L. (1957). A theory of cognitive dissonance. Stanford, CA: early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. The Journal of
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AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY
ing factors on analysts' decisions regarding share analysis in Tehran
Stock Exchange: A fundamental analysis approach. European Journal of
Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences, 44, 77–87. Anu Antony
Antony:has
hascompleted
completed Ph.D
Ph.D titled “Risk Model
titled “Risk Model and Portfolio
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of technical anal-
Selection: A Behavioral Approach for Optimization of Returns”
ysis: Computation algorithms, statistical inference and empirical imple-
mentation. Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705–1765. https://doi.org/10. from Mahatma Gandhi University Kottayam in 2016. And MBA
1111/0022-1082.00265 (Finance) from Mahatma Gandhi University, Kottayam. She is
Monit, M., Pelligra, V., Martingnon, L., & Berg, N. (2014). Retail investors presently working as Assistant Professor, Rajagiri College of Social
and financial advisors: New evidence on trust and advice taking heu-
Science, Kakkanad, Kochi, India. Her teaching interests are Behav-
ristics. Journal of Business Research, 76, 1749–1757.
Mullainathan, S., & Thaler, R. H. (2000). Behavioral economics. Working ioral Finance, Financial Management, Financial Accounting, Cost
Paper, National Bureau of Economic Research: 7948 and Management Accounting, and Corporate Finance.
Olsen, R. (1998). Behavioral Finance and its implications for stock-price
volatility. Financial Analysts Journal, 54(2), 10–18.
Pasewark, W. R., & Riley, M. E. (2010). It's a matter of principle: The role
of personal values in investment decisions. Journal of Business Ethics,
93(2), 237–253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-009-0218-6 How
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article:Antony A. Behavioral
Antony finance
A. Behavioral and and
finance
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portfolio
portfoliomanagement:
management:Review
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theory and
theory literature.
and J Public
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Quershi, S. A., & Hunjra, I. A. (2012). Factors affecting investment decision Affairs. 2020;20:e1996.
Public Affairs. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.1996
2019;e1996. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.1996
making of equity fund managers. Wulfenia Journal, 19(10), 280–291.