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A-Husted Intlecon9 PPT 02 PDF

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
73 views39 pages

A-Husted Intlecon9 PPT 02 PDF

Uploaded by

YAHIA ADEL
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 39

Chapter 2

Tools of Analysis
for International
Trade Models
Topics to be Covered

• Some Methodological Preliminaries


• The Basic Model Assumptions and Solutions
• Measuring National Welfare
• National Supply and Demand

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-2


Important Trade Questions

• Why does international trade occur?


• What are the benefits gained, and cost
incurred from trade?
• What goods will a country export/import?
• What will be the volume of trade?
• What will be the prices at which trade
occurs?

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-3


Economic Methodology

• Model—an abstraction of reality; uses


assumptions about environment and
behavior of economic agents
• The test of the validity and usefulness of a
model is how well its predictions match with
experiences.
• Geometric model vs. algebraic model

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-4


Examples of the Geometric
and Algebraic Analysis

• Advantages of both framework


- Geometric framework: visualizes how
shifts in demand and supply curve affect
equilibrium price and quantity

- Algebraic framework: simplifies computing


the numerical values of equilibrium price
and quantity

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-5


An Example of the Geometric
Framework for Demand and Supply

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-6


An Example of the Algebraic
Framework for Demand and Supply
• Equation of a straight-line demand curve:

P=a+bQd

P: price of the product


Qd: quantity demanded at that price
a: vertical intercept of the demand curve
b: slope of the demand curve

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-7


An Example of the Algebraic
Framework for Demand and Supply
• Equation of a straight-line supply curve

P=c+dQs

P: price of the product


Qs: quantity supplied at that price
c : vertical intercept of the supply curve
d : slope of the supply curve

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-8


Supply and Demand in the
Algebraic Framework

P = 16 – 2Qd (1)
P = 4 + 4Qs (2)

In equilibrium, Qs = Qd = Q*
4 + 4Q* = 16 – 2Q* (3)

Q* = 2 ⇒ Qs = Qd=2,

Substitute Q* back into


the eq’n to get P*=12

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-9


The Basic General
Equilibrium Model

• In this model, production, consumption,


prices, and international trade are all
determined simultaneously for all goods.
• Beginning seven assumptions
• Three tools of analysis – price line,
production possibilities frontier, and
indifference curves

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-10


Assumption 1: Rational Behavior

• Economic agents are rational and goal-


oriented.
• Consumers want to maximize satisfaction
(subject to budget constraints).
• Firms want to maximize profit (subject to
factor price constraints).

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-11


Assumption 2:
Two-country, Two-good World

• Two countries: America (A) and Britain (B)


• Two goods: Soybeans (S) and Textiles (T)
• Goods are identical in both countries.
• Both goods are always consumed in both
countries.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-12


Assumption 3: No Money Illusion

• No money illusion means that economic


agents make decisions based on changes
in all prices.
ü Money illusion: individuals make decisions based on
changes in some prices without considering changes in
others

• Nominal price—a price expressed in


terms of money.
• Relative price—a ratio of two product
prices.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-13


Relative Price Rule

• If Ps / PT = k ,
then 1 unit of S = k units of T (in value)
or
1 unit of T = 1/ k units of S (in value)

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-14


Tool of Analysis: Price Line

• Price Line (PL)—shows combinations of


two goods that can be purchased with a
fixed amount of money.
• Money (M) = Ps ´ S + PT ´ T
• Slope of PL = relative price (PS/PT)
• Shift of PL—caused by a change in income
or a change in both product prices.
• Rotation of PL—caused by a change in one
product price, other things constant.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-15


FIGURE 2.1 Example of a Price Line

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-16


Assumption 4:
Fixed Resources and Technology

• Each country has fixed factor endowments


and constant level of technology.
• Tool of analysis: Production Possibility
Frontier (PPF)
• PPF—shows maximum amount of one good
that can be produced given the country’s
fixed resources and technology and the
level of output of the other good.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-17


Characteristics of a Production
Possibility Frontier

• Assumes full and efficient employment of


resources
• Slope of PPF = opportunity (social) cost
= DT / DS
• Shape of PPF: constant cost (linear PPF)
vs. increasing cost (bowed out PPF)
• See Figure 2.2

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-18


FIGURE 2.2 Examples of Production Possibility
Frontiers: (a) Increasing Opportunity Costs; (b)
Constant Opportunity Costs

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-19


Assumption 5: Perfect Competition in
Both Industries in Both Countries

• Price (=relative price ratio) equals marginal cost


(=slope of the PPF) or

slope of PPF (DT / DS) = slope of PL (PS / PT )


• Remember that a firm in a competitive market
maximizes its profit when price (=MR) equals
marginal cost.

• Assumption 5 guarantees that market price reflects


the true social cost (=opportunity cost) of
production. See Figure 2.3.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-20


FIGURE 2.3 Relationship Between
Price Line and Production Point

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-21


Assumption 6: Resources Perfectly
Mobile Between Industries

• This assumption guarantees that factors


earn the same payments in both industries
within a country.
• Factors will move freely to the industries
that pay more.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-22


Assumption 7: Community
Indifference Curves

• Community Indifference Curves (CIC)


represent the consumption preferences of
the community.
• Problem: group preferences may not be
consistent
ü To guarantee the consistency of group decisions, assume
: one-person economy (Robinson Crusoe type)
: identical tastes and identical incomes of every person
: strict one-person dictatorship

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-23


Tool of Analysis: Indifference
Curve

• Indifference Curve—shows combinations


of two goods that yield the same level of
satisfaction to a consumer.
ü Individual-specific
ü Downward-sloping
ü Diminishing MRS (convex to the origin) means that
consumers like variety
ü Higher curves indicate higher levels of satisfaction
ü Non-intersecting

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-24


FIGURE 2.4 Indifference Curves
and Individual Utility Maximization

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-25


Consumer Utility Maximization

• Consumer maximizes utility subject to an


income or budget constraint (=price line)
• Consumer equilibrium solution occurs
at the tangency point of an indifference
curve and the price line (refer to Figure
2.4(d)).

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-26


General Equilibrium Model
for a Closed Economy (Autarky)

• Autarky—self-sufficient country before trade.


• Equilibrium—tangency point of the PPF and CIC
(at point Z).
• The equilibrium point is also the closed economy’s
optimal production and consumption points.
• Under constant opportunity costs, demand plays
no role in determining relative prices but picking
out the precise quantity of the two goods.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-27


FIGURE 2.5 General Equilibrium for a
Closed Economy: Constant Opportunity
Costs

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-28


Closed Economy Equilibrium
under Increasing Opportunity Costs

• Refer to Figure 2.6


• Optimal production and consumption points
are determined by the tangency of PPF and
a CIC (point X).
• At U, pressure from higher consumer
demand (since marginal benefit is greater
than marginal cost represented by the slope
of PPF) will tend to drive the relative price of
S up, encouraging producers to expand
output S.
©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-29
FIGURE 2.6 General Equilibrium for a
Closed Increasing Opportunity Costs

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-30


Measures of National Welfare

• Nominal and Real Gross Domestic Product


• Nominal GDP

ü Nominal GDP can change due to a change in output and a


change in prices.

• Real GDP

ü (PS/PT)ⅹS denotes the value of S good measured in units


of T good.
ü A change in real GDP reflects real (output) change rather
than nominal (price) change → Real GDP implies the
standard of living
©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-31
FIGURE 2.7 Determination of Real
GDP Level

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-32


Another Way of Showing General
Equilibrium for an Economy

• National Supply Curve—shows the


amounts of a good produced in a nation at
various relative prices for that good.
• National Demand Curve—shows the
amounts of national consumption of a good
at various relative prices
• Equilibrium autarky price— at the
intersection of National Demand curve and
National Supply curve. See Figure 2.8.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-33


FIGURE 2.8 Alternative Derivation
of the Autarky Price

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-34


Trade Based on Differences in
Autarky Prices

• Refer to Figure 2.9


• If country A has a lower autarky relative
price of S, then it has a comparative
advantage in S and a comparative
disadvantage in T.
• International trade can occur based on
comparative advantage. How do countries
achieve comparative advantage? Answer
lies with international differences in demand
and supply.
©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-35
FIGURE 2.9 International
Differences in Autarky Prices

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-36


Derivation of National Supply
Curve

• Refer to Figure A2.1


• The top diagram of panel a shows country A’s
production possibilities frontier and three different
price lines tangent to the PPF.
• The rightward movement of the tangency points
indicates that as the relative price of good S rises,
firms produce more S.
• This information is transferred to the lower diagram
where A’s national supply of S curve shows the
various output levels at corresponding prices.
• The national supply curve is upward-sloping
reflecting increasing opportunity costs.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-37


FIGURE A2.1 Derivation of
National Supply and Demand Curves

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-38


Derivation of the National
Demand Curve
• See panel b of Figure A2.1
• The top diagram is similar to that in panel a but
with community indifference curves tangent with
the price lines.
• These tangency points show the desired
consumption levels at the different prices. As the
price rises, consumption falls.
• The lower diagram plots the various consumption
levels at each relative price resulting in country A’s
downward-sloping national demand curve.

©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2-39

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