ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

2021-2022 through 2030-2031

February 16, 2021

 TABLE OF CONTENTS

Preface.......................................................................................................................................................... 1

Five-Year Historical Enrollment (2016-17 through 2020-21) ................................................................ 2

Five-Year Enrollment Projection (2021-22 through 2025-26) ............................................................... 3

Ten-Year History of Special Populations (2011-12 through 2020-21) ................................................. 4

Ethnicity Report (2016-17 through 2020-21) ........................................................................................... 5

Relationship of Olmsted County Births and Kindergarten Enrollments 5-Years Later................... 6

Ten-Year Enrollment Projection by Grade (2021-22 through 2030-31) ............................................... 7

Enrollment (2000-2020 Actual/2021-2030 Projected) ............................................................................ 8

Comparison of Projected Enrollments with Actual Enrollments (2000-01 through 2020-21) ......... 9

2020-21 Public School Enrollment by School and Grade .................................................................... 10

2020-21 Nonpublic School Enrollment by School and Grade ............................................................ 11

Public, Nonpublic, Home School Enrollments (25-Year Comparison) ............................................ 12

Nonpublic, Charter, Home School Enrollment History ..................................................................... 13

End of Year District ADM Report – Enrollment Options................................................................... 14

Top 5 Districts for Enrollment Options................................................................................................. 15

Average Daily Membership Enrollment Projection ............................................................................ 16

Percentage of End-of-Year Adjusted Average Daily Membership to Fall Enrollment .................. 17

 PREFACE

Rochester Public Schools approaches enrollment projections in a serious manner. Accurate enrollment
projections are the cornerstone of planning for all public school districts. The majority of student funding
is based on enrollment numbers. Additionally, appropriate facilities space is expensive but necessary to
provide education services.

Prior to 2020-2021, Rochester Public Schools had been experiencing growth in total student population in
each of the last five years, to 18,296 students in October 2019. In the 2020-2021 school year, the District
declined in numbers of students, primarily because of the COVID-19 global pandemic. Enrollment was
projected to be 18,446 students, an increase of 150 students from the previous year. The actual enrollment
was 17,635, a decrease of 661 students and 881 students short of projections.

Using the data the Registration & Records department collected, 46% of the students that left in the
summer of 2020 were reported as moved away from the area. About 13% stated leaving for private
school and 11% stated leaving for home schooling. Around 8% left for another version of online
schooling and 6% maintained their home within the District’s boundaries but open enrolled into a
surrounding district.

The budget for the 2021-2022 school year will be developed using the enrollment projection from this
book. It is assumed that 25% of the students that withdrew for 2020-2021 will return. If enrollment is
more than projected, it may require hiring staff at the last minute, making it more difficult to hire
qualified staff. If enrollment is less than projected, too many staff may be hired.

In general, enrollment projections for future years are significantly influenced by the kindergarten
projection, which is the most difficult to project. The kindergarten projections in this report are based on
enrolling approximately 60-62%, plus or minus, of Olmsted County births five-years prior. This
percentage was arrived at using statistical regression analysis based on fifteen years of historical
enrollment data. What remains to be seen is if some parents withheld their student from kindergarten in
2020-2021 and if this will create a “bubble” kindergarten class for 2021-2022.

Enrollment projections change from year-to-year, as does the budget. Each year, the enrollment
projection for the upcoming school year changes a little from the last enrollment projection book. This is
because there is an additional year of actual enrollments, a new year of actual birth data, and more
information about the community that might warrant an adjustment to the formula. Staying on top of
these changes provides for better, more accurate planning.

Questions about this document, and any of the assumptions concerning enrollment projections, can be
directed to the Business Services office at Rochester Public Schools.

Sincerely,

John Carlson
Executive Director of Finance
(507) 328-4210
 FIVE-YEAR HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT
2016-17 THROUGH 2020-21
(Based on October 1st Enrollment )

Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct.

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Early Childhood 437 450 451 488 385
School Readiness 0 26 73 66 45
Kindergarten 1,346 1,328 1,327 1,365 1,259
Grade 1 1,345 1,361 1,337 1,290 1,254
Grade 2 1,319 1,329 1,368 1,328 1,243
Grade 3 1,386 1,334 1,316 1,351 1,259
Grade 4 1,351 1,401 1,338 1,298 1,277
Grade 5 1,329 1,338 1,407 1,315 1,271
English Learner - New Comers 106 77 68 71 32

TOTAL 8,619 8,644 8,685 8,572 8,025

Grade 6 1,268 1,325 1,315 1,371 1,263

Grade 7 1,212 1,273 1,328 1,303 1,324
Grade 8 1,286 1,214 1,268 1,319 1,265
English Learner - New Comers 43 31 25 19 16

TOTAL 3,809 3,843 3,936 4,012 3,868

Grade 9 1,267 1,400 1,330 1,383 1,400

Grade 10 1,272 1,298 1,391 1,384 1,368
Grade 11 1,291 1,311 1,338 1,425 1,373
Grade 12 1,355 1,405 1,458 1,494 1,584
English Learner - New Comers 33 31 24 26 17

TOTAL 5,218 5,445 5,541 5,712 5,742

GRAND TOTAL 17,646 17,932 18,162 18,296 17,635

10,000
8,619
8,025
8,000
5,742
6,000 5,218
3,809 3,868
4,000

2,000

0
EC‐5 6‐8 9‐12
Oct. 2016 Oct. 2017 Oct. 2018 Oct. 2019 Oct. 2020
 FIVE-YEAR ENROLLMENT PROJECTION
2021-2022 THROUGH 2025-2026
(Based on October 1st Enrollment )

Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct. Oct.

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Early Childhood 410 436 464 464 464
School Readiness 50 56 62 69 77
Kindergarten 1,295 1,293 1,267 1,290 1,242
Grade 1 1,251 1,287 1,285 1,259 1,282
Grade 2 1,276 1,245 1,280 1,279 1,253
Grade 3 1,260 1,309 1,250 1,285 1,284
Grade 4 1,286 1,282 1,347 1,259 1,295
Grade 5 1,307 1,313 1,304 1,385 1,269
English Learner - New Comers 29 27 25 23 21

TOTAL 8,164 8,248 8,284 8,313 8,187

Grade 6 1,291 1,341 1,344 1,330 1,400

Grade 7 1,292 1,314 1,378 1,378 1,347
Grade 8 1,352 1,320 1,336 1,414 1,394
English Learner - New Comers 15 14 13 12 11

TOTAL 3,950 3,989 4,071 4,134 4,152

Grade 9 1,291 1,383 1,350 1,360 1,432

Grade 10 1,441 1,315 1,411 1,377 1,374
Grade 11 1,408 1,490 1,354 1,455 1,407
Grade 12 1,474 1,471 1,563 1,415 1,510
English Learner - New Comers 15 13 11 10 9

TOTAL 5,629 5,672 5,689 5,617 5,732

GRAND TOTAL 17,743 17,909 18,044 18,064 18,071

10,000
8,164 8,187
8,000

5,629 5,732
6,000
3,950 4,152
4,000

2,000

0
EC ‐ 5 6 ‐ 8 9 ‐ 12
Oct. 2021 Oct. 2022 Oct. 2023 Oct. 2024 Oct. 2025
 SPECIAL POPULATION ENROLLMENTS
10-Year Comparison

English Special In Transition

Learners Education (Homeless) TOTAL
YEAR Enroll. % Enroll. % Enroll. % STUDENTS
2011 1,696 10% 2,239 14% 261 2% 16,443
2012 1,733 10% 2,297 14% 300 2% 16,734
2013 1,920 11% 2,466 15% 279 2% 16,889
2014 1,881 11% 2,605 15% 267 2% 17,144
2015 2,040 12% 2,747 16% 335 2% 17,445
2016 1,828 10% 2,944 17% 323 2% 17,646
2017 1,821 10% 3,091 17% 231 1% 17,932
2018 1,789 10% 3,250 18% 172 1% 18,162
2019 1,760 10% 3,365 18% 224 1% 18,296
2020 1,591 9% 3,264 19% 244 1% 17,635

4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

English Learners Special Education In Transition (Homeless)

 ETHNICITY REPORT
October 1st Counts

% of % of % of % of % of
Oct-16 Total Oct-17 Total Oct-18 Total Oct-19 Total Oct-20 Total

Hawaiian 0 0% 0 0% 5 0% 11 0% 13 0%
Multi 0 0% 0 0% 1,068 6% 1,236 7% 1,293 7%
Native American 148 1% 143 1% 86 0% 69 0% 64 0%
Asian 2,049 12% 2,102 12% 1,785 10% 1,745 10% 1,680 10%
Hispanic 1,727 10% 1,738 10% 1,838 10% 1,995 11% 1,992 11%
Black 2,617 15% 2,912 16% 2,602 14% 2,633 14% 2,635 15%
White 11,105 63% 11,037 62% 10,778 59% 10,607 58% 9,958 56%

TOTAL 17,646 17,932 18,162 18,296 17,635

12,000

11,000

10,000

9,000
Number of Children

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

Oct‐16 Oct‐17 Oct‐18 Oct‐19 Oct‐20

 RELATIONSHIP OF OLMSTED COUNTY BIRTHS
AND KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS 5-YEARS LATER
2001-2020
OLMSTED ENROLLMENT KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT
BIRTH YEAR COUNTY YEAR ENROLLMENT TO BIRTHS
2001 1,871 2006 1,250 66.8%
2002 2,002 2007 1,227 61.3%
2003 2,082 2008 1,297 62.3%
2004 2,150 2009 1,322 61.5%
2005 2,179 2010 1,315 60.3%
2006 2,210 2011 1,262 57.1%
2007 2,347 2012 1,326 56.5%
2008 2,289 2013 1,380 60.3%
2009 2,191 2014 1,321 60.3%
2010 2,138 2015 1,352 63.2%
2011 2,217 2016 1,334 60.2%
2012 2,080 2017 1,323 63.6%
2013 2,163 2018 1,325 61.3%
2014 2,261 2019 1,359 60.1%
2015 2,152 2020 1,250 58.1%
2016 2,113 2021 1,295 (est) 61.3%
2017 2,107 2022 1,293 (est) 61.4%
2018 2,026 2023 1,267 (est) 62.5%
2019 2,096 2024 1,290 (est) 61.5%
2020 1,948 2025 1,242 (est) 63.7%

* 2020 Olmsted County Births are preliminary as of January 2021. Final data released summer 2021.

2,500
2,250
Number of Children

2,000
1,750
1,500
1,250
1,000

Enrollment Year
BIRTHS IN OLMSTED COUNTY
PUBLIC SCHOOL KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT
PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENT
 TEN-YEAR ENROLLMENT PROJECTION BY GRADE
2021-2022 Through 2030-2031

OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT. OCT.
ACTUAL PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ. PROJ.
YEAR 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 2030-31

ECSE 385 410 436 464 464 464 464 464 464 464 464
SCHOOL READINESS 45 50 56 62 69 77 77 77 77 77 77
KINDERGARTEN 1,259 1,295 1,293 1,267 1,290 1,242 1,242 1,242 1,242 1,242 1,242
GRADE 1 1,254 1,251 1,287 1,285 1,259 1,282 1,234 1,234 1,234 1,234 1,234
GRADE 2 1,243 1,276 1,245 1,280 1,279 1,253 1,276 1,228 1,228 1,228 1,228
GRADE 3 1,259 1,260 1,309 1,250 1,285 1,284 1,258 1,281 1,233 1,233 1,233
GRADE 4 1,277 1,286 1,282 1,347 1,259 1,295 1,294 1,268 1,291 1,242 1,242
GRADE 5 1,271 1,307 1,313 1,304 1,385 1,269 1,305 1,304 1,278 1,301 1,252
EL - New Comers 32 29 27 25 23 21 19 17 16 15 14

TOTAL GRADES EC-5 8,025 8,164 8,248 8,284 8,313 8,187 8,169 8,115 8,063 8,036 7,986

GRADE 6 1,263 1,291 1,341 1,344 1,330 1,400 1,282 1,319 1,318 1,291 1,315
GRADE 7 1,324 1,292 1,314 1,378 1,378 1,347 1,418 1,298 1,336 1,335 1,307
GRADE 8 1,265 1,352 0 1,320 0 1,336 0 1,414 0 1,394 0 1,363 1,435 1,313 1,352 1,351
EL - New Comers 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6

TOTAL GRADES 6-8 3,868 3,950 3,989 4,071 4,134 4,152 4,073 4,061 3,975 3,985 3,979

GRADE 9 1,400 1,291 0 1,383 0 1,350 0 1,360 0 1,432 0 1,412 1,381 1,454 1,330 1,370
GRADE 10 1,368 1,441 0 1,315 0 1,411 0 1,377 0 1,374 0 1,447 1,427 1,396 1,469 1,344
GRADE 11 1,373 1,408 0 1,490 0 1,354 0 1,455 0 1,407 0 1,404 1,479 1,458 1,427 1,501
GRADE 12 1,584 1,474 0 1,471 0 1,563 0 1,415 0 1,510 0 1,460 1,457 1,535 1,513 1,481
EL - New Comers 17 15 13 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4

TOTAL GRADES 9-12 5,742 5,629 5,672 5,689 5,617 5,732 5,731 5,751 5,849 5,744 5,700

TOTAL GRADES EC-12 17,635 17,743 17,909 18,044 18,064 18,071 17,973 17,927 17,887 17,765 17,665
 Elementary Enrollment Actual Enrollment
2001-2020 Actual Projected Enrollment
2021-2030 Projected
Number of Students 9,000

8,500

8,000

7,500

7,000

6,500

6,000

Middle School Enrollment Actual Enrollment

2001-2020 Actual Projected Enrollment
2021-2030 Projected
5,000
Number of Students

4,500

4,000

3,500

3,000

High School Enrollment Actual Enrollment

Projected Enrollment
2000-2020 Actual
2021-2030 Projected
7,000
Number of Students

6,500

6,000

5,500

5,000

4,500

4,000
 COMPARISON OF PROJECTED ENROLLMENTS
WITH ACTUAL ENROLLMENTS

PROJECTED PROJECTED PROJECTED PROJECTED

YEAR OF 1-YEAR 5-YEARS 1-YEAR DIFF 5-YEAR DIFF
ACTUAL ACTUAL EARLIER EARLIER EARLIER EARLIER
2001-02 16,123 15,970 15,556 1.0% 3.5%
2002-03 16,387 16,134 15,726 1.5% 4.0%
2003-04 16,447 16,313 15,586 0.8% 5.2%
2004-05 16,310 16,388 16,518 -0.5% -1.3%
2005-06 16,109 16,275 15,691 -1.0% 2.6%
2006-07 16,381 16,249 15,638 0.8% 4.5%
2007-08 16,296 16,555 16,405 -1.6% -0.7%
2008-09 16,296 16,400 16,945 -0.6% -4.0%
2009-10 16,312 16,327 16,735 -0.1% -2.6%
2010-11 16,384 16,425 16,636 -0.3% -1.5%
2011-12 16,395 16,401 17,449 0.0% -6.4%
2012-13 16,734 16,373 17,564 2.2% -5.0%
2013-14 16,889 16,758 17,378 0.8% -2.9%
2014-15 17,144 16,984 17,439 0.9% -1.7%
2015-16 17,445 17,163 16,954 1.6% 2.8%
2016-17 17,646 17,687 16,380 -0.2% 7.2%
2017-18 17,932 17,886 16,856 0.3% 6.0%
2018-19 18,162 18,162 17,337 0.0% 4.5%
2019-20 18,296 18,416 17,605 -0.7% 3.8%
2020-21 17,635 18,446 18,298 -4.6% -3.8%

TWENTY YEAR AVERAGE 1.0% 3.7%

Comparison of Projected Enrollments with Actual Enrollments

8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
-2.0%
-4.0%
-6.0%
-8.0%

1-YEAR DIFF 5-YEAR DIFF

 Membership Report
October 1, 2020 (COVID 19 Pandemic)

K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 EC RA RB RF NC TOTAL
BAMBER VALLEY 113 131 115 133 142 132 766
BISHOP 83 67 62 65 78 72 427
CHURCHILL 103 89 97 289
ECSE COMMUNITY 29 29
ELTON HILLS 70 65 67 81 61 61 7 12 424
FOLWELL 50 44 46 42 57 50 1 290
FRANKLIN 83 94 80 95 86 103 2 5 548
MONTESSORI AT FRANKLIN 32 33 33 30 28 26 182
GAGE 81 77 76 86 81 86 7 10 504
GAGE SPANISH IMMERSION 33 34 26 33 27 28 181
GIBBS 119 120 135 139 131 138 782
HOOVER 82 97 72 251
HOOVER EARLY LEARNING SCHOOL 145 145
JEFFERSON 89 94 92 93 109 107 584
LINCOLN 56 57 58 50 56 48 49 50 47 471
LONGFELLOW 46 54 52 53 46 52 303
MIGHTY OAKS 60 60
PINEWOOD 69 61 59 49 64 52 6 360
RIVERSIDE CENTRAL 54 69 58 59 44 67 1 7 2 32 393
RIVERSIDE RIGHT FIT 4 2 4 8 18
SUNSET TERRACE 116 102 123 102 101 96 10 650
WASHINGTON 53 53 55 58 52 56 327
TOTALS 1250 1244 1238 1252 1264 1254 49 50 47 259 16 17 12 32 7984
K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 NC TOTAL
JOHN ADAMS 333 372 352 1057
WILLOW CREEK 332 321 330 983
WILLOW CREEK SPANISH IMMERSION 19 19
KELLOGG 353 399 359 16 1127
FRIEDELL 157 158 147 462
MIDDLE SCHOOL RIGHT FIT 3 3 8 14
CENTURY 420 376 368 427 17 1608
JOHN MARSHALL 404 424 407 396 1631
LEAP - LAUNCHING EMERING ADULTS 1 8 9
MAYO 535 501 491 420 1947
ROCH AREA LEARNING CENTER 7 39 73 228 347
ROCH ALC RECOVERY PROGRAM 4 2 5 11
ROCHESTER PHOENIX ACADEMY 2 1 3 5 4 6 6 15 6 11 14 73
MAYO CLINIC PROJECT SEARCH 9 9
RAIL 1 67 68
TOTALS 0 2 1 0 3 5 1201 1259 1202 1381 1350 1354 1574 33 9365 Grade Level Key
Special Schools: DISTRICT SUMMARY EC=Early Childhood
EARLY CHILDHOOD 119 Elementary Total 7984 NC=Newcomer Classes
CARE & TREATMENT 35 Secondary Total 9365 RF=School Readiness + All Day
SPECIAL ED (Out of District) 132 Special Schools 286 RA=School Readiness + (AM)
TOTALS 286 TOTALS 17635 RB=School Readiness + (PM)
 2020-2021 NONPUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT BY SCHOOL AND GRADE
(Based on October 1st Enrollment)

Non-Public Schools K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total

Ambassador Academy 0 0 3 2 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Faith Christian 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 7
Holy Spirit 22 28 24 18 24 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 134
Lourdes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 81 80 83 95 339
Pentecostal 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 0 0 1 11
Primrose 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
RCLS 46 36 30 37 17 22 37 36 20 0 0 0 0 281
Resurrection 15 15 14 11 12 19 9 12 15 0 0 0 0 122
Rochester Arts & Sciences Academy 23 15 12 15 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 78
Rochester Montessori 19 12 6 12 7 11 6 11 8 0 0 0 0 92
Schaeffer 18 26 22 19 19 22 19 19 22 16 14 19 13 248
Seeds of Wisdom 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 9
St Francis 25 31 41 25 37 34 39 44 39 0 0 0 0 315
St Johns 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 67 68 0 0 0 0 181
St Pius 21 31 23 21 20 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 137
Victory 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 3 0 2 15
TOTALS 212 198 177 162 151 151 161 195 177 102 98 102 112 1,998
Home School 51 66 87 74 92 66 77 85 61 48 52 45 37 841
Beacon Academy 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 22 22 13 15 17 11 110
Rochester Math & Science Academy 38 44 48 46 51 50 51 39 47 0 0 0 0 414
Rosa Parks Charter High School** 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 16 19 32 71
Rochester STEM Academy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 34 30 27 127
TOTALS 89 110 135 120 143 116 138 146 130 101 117 111 107 1,563
Grand Total 301 308 312 282 294 267 299 341 307 203 215 213 219 3,561

*Note: In 2012-2013 Rochester Montessori was removed due to the school being in the Byron Public School District. In 2016-2017
Rochester Montessori has been moved back into the Rochester Public School District.
**Note: In 2017-2018 Rochester Off Campus changed their name to Rosa Parks Charter High School.
 PUBLIC, NONPUBLIC, HOME SCHOOL ENROLLMENTS
25-Year Comparison

HOME
PUBLIC NONPUBLIC CHARTER SCHOOL TOTAL
YEAR Enroll. % Enroll. % Enroll. % Enroll. % STUDENTS
1996 15,529 83% 2,906 16% 215 1% 18,650
1997 15,845 83% 2,941 15% 250 1% 19,036
1998 15,934 83% 3,034 16% 255 1% 19,223
1999 16,182 83% 3,064 16% 88 0% 273 1% 19,607
2000 16,087 82% 3,142 16% 182 1% 300 2% 19,711
2001 16,123 81% 3,141 16% 199 1% 362 2% 19,825
2002 16,387 82% 3,102 16% 157 1% 370 2% 20,016
2003 16,447 82% 3,014 15% 209 1% 381 2% 20,051
2004 16,310 82% 2,989 15% 237 1% 398 2% 19,934
2005 16,109 81% 2,899 15% 382 2% 395 2% 19,785
2006 16,381 83% 2,750 14% 321 2% 389 2% 19,841
2007 16,330 82% 2,710 14% 357 2% 424 2% 19,821
2008 16,352 83% 2,651 13% 404 2% 412 2% 19,819
2009 16,385 82% 2,612 13% 425 2% 457 2% 19,879
2010 16,427 82% 2,656 13% 401 2% 453 2% 19,937
2011 16,443 82% 2,716 14% 393 2% 496 3% 20,048
2012 16,734 83% 2,653 13% 383 2% 486 2% 20,256
2013 16,889 82% 2,646 13% 424 2% 545 3% 20,504
2014 17,144 83% 2,501 12% 430 2% 546 3% 20,621
2015 17,445 83% 2,338 11% 567 3% 581 3% 20,931
2016 17,646 83% 2,355 11% 678 3% 582 3% 21,261
2017 17,932 84% 2,220 10% 635 3% 558 3% 21,345
2018 18,162 84% 2,175 10% 697 3% 547 3% 21,581
2019 18,296 84% 2,096 10% 736 3% 642 3% 21,770
2020 17,635 83% 1,998 9% 722 3% 841 4% 21,196

Note: Charter schools include: Beacon Academy, Rochester Math & Science Academy, Rosa Parks
Charter High School, and Rochester STEM Academy.

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

NONPUBLIC CHARTER HOME SCHOOL

 NON-PUBLIC, CHARTER, AND HOME SCHOOL ENROLLMENT HISTORY
(Based on October 1st Enrollment)

Non-Public Schools

1
-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-2

-2
11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20
Ambassador Academy 15 14 17 15 10 13 11 10 10 10
Faith Christian 15 10 4 6 3 2 4 0 0 7
Greene Valley 12 10 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Holy Spirit 312 341 350 328 292 269 254 237 141 134
Kingdom Kids 22 22 22 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lourdes 474 468 477 443 429 431 416 431 375 339
Pentecostal 16 19 17 13 11 17 12 12 7 11
Primrose 15 16 16 9 10 10 10 6 8 19
RCLS 276 250 265 247 225 239 243 251 243 281
Resurrection 120 131 136 133 121 123 126 124 124 122
Rochester Arts & Sciences 33 38 44 51 55 64 58 62 72 78
Rochester Montessori 107 ** ** ** ** 106 108 113 114 92
Schaeffer Academy 377 372 367 361 353 309 276 268 283 248
Seeds of Wisdom 14 18 23 21 22 9 8 12 6 9
St Francis 443 469 455 434 409 382 364 341 334 315
St Johns 181 186 168 182 176 191 163 162 211 181
St Pius 246 251 248 228 196 172 148 125 148 137
TransformED 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
Victory 38 38 29 22 16 18 19 21 20 15
SUBTOTAL Non-Public Schools 2,716 2,653 2,646 2,501 2,338 2,355 2,220 2,175 2,096 1,998

Home School 496 486 545 546 581 582 558 547 642 841

Beacon Academy 0 0 0 0 69 107 119 146 123 110

Rochester Math & Science 225 230 273 272 317 364 325 345 414 414
Rochester Off Campus* 102 94 70 91 100 101 0 0 0 0
Rosa Parks Charter High School* 0 0 0 0 0 0 74 62 69 71
Rochester STEM Academy 66 59 81 67 81 106 117 144 130 127
Studio Academy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SUBTOTAL Charter Schools 393 383 424 430 567 678 635 697 736 722

GRAND TOTAL 3,605 3,522 3,615 3,477 3,486 3,615 3,413 3,419 3,474 3,561

*Note: In 2017-2018 Rochester Off Campus changed their name to Rosa Parks Charter High School.
**Note: In 2012-2013 Rochester Montessori was removed due to the school being in the Byron
Public School District. In 2016-2017 Rochester Montessori has been moved back into the
 End of Year District ADM Report - Enrollment Options
Data from MDE Web Site / Minnesota Funding Report System
Out of District
Year Options Elsewhere *Options to On-line In-District Charter Enrollment / Charter Other Options In Net Loss
ADM APU ADM APU ADM APU ADM APU ADM APU ADM APU ADM APU
2005-2006 1,142 1,321 6 7 318 369 784 901 34 44 196 232 947 1,089
2006-2007 1,101 1,285 18 22 301 358 752 865 31 39 177 208 924 1,076
2007-2008 1,204 1,391 39 49 320 377 818 930 27 35 203 234 1,001 1,156
2008-2009 1,364 1,579 81 100 378 440 875 1,000 30 39 219 255 1,145 1,323
2009-2010 1,420 1,650 116 143 372 437 899 1,027 33 42 220 261 1,200 1,389
2010-2011 1,527 1,765 98 122 401 471 987 1,119 42 53 231 273 1,296 1,492
2011-2012 1,556 1,792 99 123 388 452 1,032 1,170 38 48 237 283 1,320 1,509
2012-2013 1,560 1,784 108 132 385 442 1,025 857 42 353 255 296 1,305 1,488
2013-2014 1,614 1,856 103 128 443 513 1,040 1,180 29 36 261 311 1,353 1,546
2014-2015 1,612 1,763 102 117 435 476 1,040 1,129 36 41 265 293 1,347 1,470
2015-2016 1,766 1,928 91 105 461 503 1,183 1,285 31 35 290 322 1,476 1,606
2016-2017 1,869 2,050 111 127 585 647 1,150 1,248 23 27 322 355 1,548 1,695
2017-2018 1,936 2,123 127 145 569 631 1,214 1,317 25 30 371 413 1,565 1,710
2018-2019 2,054 2,258 155 178 609 676 1,267 1,378 22 26 384 426 1,670 1,832
2019-2020 2,176 2,390 180 207 683 752 1,292 1,407 21 24 392 433 1,784 1,957

End of Year District ADM Report - Enrollment Options

2500

2000

1500
ADM

1000

500

School Year

Options Elsewhere *Options to On-line In-District Charter Out of District Enrollment / Charter Other Options In Net Loss
 Top 5 Districts for Enrollment Options
Residents Attending Report for 2019-20
Grade Level 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EC PK HK KG Total (%)
ROCHESTER 535 1,265 1,315 1,323 1,279 1,296 1,327 1,257 1,283 1,335 1,318 1,351 1,308 256 38 214 1,126 17,290 88.9%
Residents Attending Other Districts 146 151 159 169 140 188 181 181 189 205 141 165 4 0 8 140 2,167 11.1%
Total Resident Students 1,411 1,466 1,482 1,448 1,437 1,515 1,438 1,464 1,523 1,523 1,492 1,473 260 38 221 1,267 19,458 100%

Top 5 Districts Svc Dist. 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EC PK HK KG Grand Total RANK

ROCHESTER MATH AND SCIENCE ACADEMY 4135 48 39 46 53 48 39 44 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 409 (1)
BYRON 531 24 23 15 22 20 29 28 26 24 34 13 24 1 0 3 39 325 (2)
STEWARTVILLE 534 27 23 28 28 20 28 26 25 32 26 16 25 1 0 1 16 322 (3)
DOVER-EYOTA 533 18 19 27 23 20 22 22 13 23 23 15 17 1 0 1 9 253 (4)
PINE ISLAND 255 19 24 21 22 13 18 19 16 20 11 7 10 1 0 1 22 224 (5)

Students Served Report for 2019-20

Grade Level 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EC PK HK KG Total (%)
ROCHESTER 535 1,265 1,315 1,323 1,279 1,296 1,327 1,257 1,283 1,335 1,318 1,351 1,308 256 38 214 1,126 17,290 97.8%
Served from Other Districts 38 22 24 26 20 25 28 18 26 29 39 66 5 0 4 20 392 2.2%
Total Students Served 1,303 1,337 1,347 1,306 1,317 1,352 1,285 1,301 1,361 1,347 1,390 1,374 261 38 218 1,147 17,682 100%

Top 5 Districts Res Dist. 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 EC PK HK KG Grand Total RANK

PINE ISLAND 255 8 6 4 9 7 9 15 7 13 12 12 16 2 0 1 4 126 (1)
STEWARTVILLE 534 9 6 7 8 6 3 4 5 4 3 10 12 2 0 0 5 85 (2)
BYRON 531 5 1 2 0 1 3 3 1 1 1 5 6 0 0 0 1 30 (3)
DOVER-EYOTA 533 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 5 0 0 0 0 18 (4)
PLAINVIEW-ELGIN-MILLVILLE 2899 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 3 4 1 0 1 1 17 (5)
 Average Daily Membership Enrollment Projection
End-of-Year Adjusted

17,600

17,400

17,200

17,000

16,800

16,600

16,400

16,200

16,000

15,800
2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

Ratio 2nd Yr Ratio 3rd Yr Ratio 4th Yr Ratio 5th Yr Ratio 6th Yr
 Percent of End‐of‐Year Adjusted ADM to Fall Enrollment

99.5%
99.21% 99.20% 99.16%
99.02% 98.96%
99.0% 98.88%
98.79%
98.66%
98.58%
98.5%

98.0%

97.50%
97.5%

97.0%

96.5%
2011‐12 2012‐13 2013‐14 2014‐15 2015‐16 2016‐17 2017‐18 2018‐19 2019‐20 2020‐21