2018-3-PER-SAM TET

1. (a)
Lower boundary Upper boundary Class width Frequency density
0.4 0.8 0.4 25
0.8 1.0 0.2 30
M1 (All frequency
1.0 1.2 0.2 90 density correct)
1.2 1.4 0.2 65
1.4 1.6 0.2 110
1.6 1.8 0.2 45
1.8 2.0 0.2 10

Histogram D1 (At least 3 bars correct) D1 (All correct)

1. (b)
Midpoint, x f fx
0.9 6 5.4
1.1 18 19.8
1.3 13 16.9
1.5 22 33.0
1.7 9 15.3
1.9 2 3.8

Mean, x=
∑ fx
∑f M1
5.4+19.8+16.9+33.0+15.3+ 3.8
=
70
94.2
=
70
= 1.346 A1

d1
Mode = L + ( )xc
d 1+ d 2
9 M1
= 1.4 + ( ) x 0.2
9+13
= 1.482
A1
M1 A1

Since mean < mode, then the distribution of the masses of the marketed durians is negatively skewed.

1
 P (T , ∩ S)
2. P(T’/S) =
P (S)
P ( S ) −P(S ∩T )
P(T’/S) =
P( S)
2
−P( S ∩T ) M1
5 3
=
12 2
3
7 A1
P(S ∩ T) =
18

P(S ∪ T) = P(S) + P(T) −¿ P(S ∩ T)

2 7 7 M1
= + −
3 12 18
31 A1
=
36
2. (a) Since P(S ∩ T) ≠ 0, then S and T are not mutually exclusive.
B1
7 2
P(T) x P(S) = x
12 3
7 M1
=
18

Since P(S ∩ T) = P(T) x P(S), then S and T are independent. B1

2. (b) Since P(S ∪ T) ≠ 1, then S and T are not exhaustive.

B1

1 2 1 2
2k 2k k [ 2 1+[ 2 3 2=1
3.(a)∫ x dx +∫ x ( 2 k −3 x ) dx=1∫ x dx+∫ 2M1
kx−3 x2 dx=1 x ¿0 kx −x ¿1
0 5 1 0 5 1
5
k 1 k 16 k 5
[1−0¿ 0 + [( 4 k−8 )−( k−1 )=1 + 3k – 7 = 1 =8 k=
5 5 5 2

A1 (With working)

1 2 1 2
3.(b) E ( x ) =∫ x( x) dx+∫ x [ x ( 5−3 x )] dx¿ ∫ x dx +∫ 5 xM1
2 2
−3 x3 dx
0 1 0 1
3 3 4
x 1 5x 3x 2
¿[¿ +[ − ¿
3 0 3 4 1
1 40 48 5 3
¿ +(
4)
−¿ −¿ ( −¿ )
3 3 3 4
2
 3
¿ A1
4

3. ( c ) For 0< x ≤ 1 ,
x
F ( x )=∫ x dx
0
x2 x
¿[¿
2 0
x2
¿
2
For 1< x ≤1 ,
1 x
F ( x )=∫ x dx+∫ 5 x−3 x 2 dx
0 1

x2 1 5 x2
¿[ ¿0 + [
3 x
−¿ x ¿ 1 M1 (Either one F(x) correct)
2 2
1 5 x2 5
¿ +( −x 3) −¿ ( −¿1)
2 2 2
2
1 5x 3
¿ + −x 3 −¿
2 2 2
2
5x 3
¿ −x – 1
2
0, x≤0

F (x)=
5x
2{ 2
x2
2
,

−x 3−1
1

P(X > 0.5) = 1 – P(X ≤ 0.5)

0< x ≤1

1< x ≤ 2
x >2
A1

= 1 – F(0.5)
0.52
=1–
2
= 0.875 A1

P(X > 0.5 ∩ X > 0.5 ∩ X > 0.5) = P(X > 0.5) x PX > 0.5) x P(X > 0.5)
= 0.875 x 0.875 x 0.875
= 0.6699
A1
4. (a) Since the sample size is large, n = 50 (≥ 30), then the Central Limit Theorem is used and the sampling
distribution of sample proportion ps can be approximated by the normal distribution.

0.7(0.3)
ps N(0.7, )
50
0.6−0.7
M1
P( ps ≤ 0.6) = P(Z ≤ 0.7( 0.3) )
√
50
= P(Z ≤ −¿1.543)
= 0.0614 A1

3
 42
4. (b) ^p =
50
= 0.84

(1 −¿ α )100% = 95%
1 −¿ α = 0.95
α = 0.05
α
= 0.025
2
P(Z < z α ) = 1 – 0.025
2
= 0.975
z α = 1.96 B1
2

95% symmetric confidence interval for the population proportion

^p−z α ^p (1− ^p ) ^p + z α ^p (1− ^p )
=( 2 n√ ,

0.84(0.16)
2
√ n
)
0.84(0.16)
= (0.84−1.96

= (0.738,0.942)
√50
A1
√
,0.84+ 1.96
50
) M1

95% confident that the interval (0.738,0.942) contains the population proportion. A1

n 2
5. (a) σ^ 2 = s
n−1
2 n ∑ x2
σ^ = ( – x 2)
n−1 n
40 111400 1980 2
=
40−1
( 40
–(
40
)) M1

= 343.33
A1
5. (b) H0 :μ = 55
B1
H1 : μ < 55
343.33
X N(55, )
40
1980
−55
40 M1
Z=
343.33
√
40
z = ‒1.877
A1

4
 P(Z < c) = 0.05
P(Z > –c) = 0.05
P(Z ≤ –c) = 0.95
–c =1.645
c = –1.645

Since ‒1.877< ‒1.645, reject H0. M1

There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the two-months slimming programme is able to reduce
the weight and the programme is effective at the 5% significance level.
A1

6. H0 : There is no relationship between the dropout and the income of the family.
B1
H1 : There is a relationship between the dropout and the income of the family.

Number of dropouts Total

Male student Female student
18(27) 18(23)
Low = 9.72 = 8.28 18
50 50
Income 13(27) 13(23) M1 (All rows are correct)
Medium = 7.02 = 5.98 13
of the family 50 50
19(27) 19(23)
High = 10.26 = 8.74 19
50 50
Total 27 23 50

Oi Ei ¿¿
13 9.72 1.107
5 7.02 0.581
9 10.26 0.155
5 8.28 1.299 A1 (All colums are correct)

8 5.98 0.682
10 8.74 0.182

χ 2 = 1.107 + 0.581 + 0.155B1+ (Either

1.299 one) v = (3 – 1)(2 – 1) χ 20.1 (2)= 4.605 B1
+ 0.682 + 0.182 M1 =2
= 4.006 A1
Since 4.006 < 4.605, do not reject H0.
There is sufficient evidence to conclude there is no relationship between the dropout and the income of the
family at the 10% significance level.

5
7. (a) (i) B = Blue shirt, L = Large shirt
P(B ∪ L' ) = P(B) + P( L' ) −¿ P(B ∩ L' ) B1
14 25 11
=
30
+ 30
−¿
30
M1
14
= A1
15

(ii) S = Small size shirt, M = Medium size shirt

P(≥1S) = 1−¿ P(<1S)
= 1−¿ P(0S)
9C x 21C
= 1−¿
0 M15

30C 5

= 1 – 0.1428
= 0.8572 A1

P( 2 M ∩≥1 S) B1
P(2 M /≥1 S )=
P (≥1 S )

16
C 2 x ❑9C 1 x ❑5C 2 + 16 9
❑ x ❑5C 1+ 16❑C 2 x ❑9C 3 x ❑5C0
❑ C 2 x ❑C 2M1
P ( 2 M 1 S 2 L∨2 M 2 S 1 L∨2 M 3 S 0 L ) 30
❑C 5
¿
P(≥1 S) ¿
0.8572
= 0.3478 A1
M1
7. (b) M = Major service

M
0.15
X
M'
0.30
0.20 M
0.45 Y
M'

0.25 M
0.30
Z
M'

(i) P(X ∩M) = 0.30 + 0.15 A1

= 0.045

(ii) P(M) = 0.30 x 0.15 + 0.45 x 0.20 + 0.25 x 0.30 M1 A1

= 0.21

P [ (Y ∪ Z ) ∩ M ]
(iii) P[(Y ∪ Z)/M] =
P (M)
6
 P ( Y ∩ M ) + P( Z ∩ M ) B1
=
P( M )
0.45 x 0.20+0.25 x 0.30
= 0.21 M1
= 0.7857
A1

8. (a) (i) X = Number of patients in a day

λ
X Po ( ) B1
5
P(X = 0) = 0.1353
λ 0
−λ
e5( )
5 = 0.1353 M1
0!
−λ
e 5 = 0.1353
−λ
In e 5 = In 0.1353
−λ
In e = In 0.1353
5
−λ
= In 0.1353
5
λ = −¿5 In 0.1353
λ = 10 A1 (With working)

(ii) Y = Number of patients in two days

Y Po (4)
P(Y < 3) = P(Y = 0) + P(Y = 1) + P(Y = 2) M1
e−4 (4)0 e−4 (4)1 e−4 (4)2
= + +
0! 1! 2!
A1
= 0.2381

(iii) W = Number of “less than three patients” days

W B(10,0.2381)
P(W ≥ 1) = 1 – P(W < 1)
= 1 – P(W = 0)
= 1 – 10C0 0.23810 (1 – 0.2381)10 M1
= 0.9341 A1

8. (b) (i) X = Number of tins is below the standard quantity

X B(n,0.2)
P(X ≥ 1) > 0.95 B1
1 – P(X < 1) > 0.95
1 – P(X = 0) > 0.95
P(X = 0) < 0.05
n
C0 0.20 0.8n < 0.05
0.8n < 0.05
log10 0.8n < log10 0.05
n log10 0.8 < log10 0.05
n (–0.0969) < –1.3010

7
 −1.3010 M1
n>
−0.0969
n > 13.43
n min = 14 A1

(ii) Y = Number of tins is below the standard quantity

Y B(15,0.2)
P(Y > E(Y)) = P(Y > np)
= P(Y > 15(0.2)) B1 (Value np correct)
= P(Y > 3)
= 1 – P(Y ≤ 3)
= 1 – P(Y = 0) – P(Y = 1) – P(Y = 2) – P(Y = 3)
= 1 – 15C0 0.20 0.815 – 15C1 0.21 0.814 – 15C2 0.22 0.813 – 15C3 0.23 0.812
= 0.3518 A1
(iii) X B(200,0.2)
np = 200(0.2) nq = 200(0.8)
= 40 = 160

Since np > 5 and nq > 5, then binomial distribution can be approximated by the normal distribution
with
B1
μ = np σ 2= npq
= 200(0.2) = 200(0.2)(0.8)
= 40 = 32

X N(40,32)
P(X ≤ 40) = P(X < 40.5) M1 (Continuity correction)
40.5−40
= P(Z < )
√ 32
= P(Z < 0.0884)
= 0.5352 A1