Chapter 3 Lecture Note Evaluating A Company's External Environment
Chapter 3 Lecture Note Evaluating A Company's External Environment
Lecture Outline
I. Introduction
2. This chapter presents the concepts and analytical tools for zeroing in on a single-business
company’s external environment.
1. Strictly speaking, a company’s macro-environment includes all relevant factors and influences
outside the company’s boundaries; by relevant, we mean these factors are important enough
that they should shape management’s decisions regarding the company’s long-term direction,
objectives and business model.
CORE CONCEPT
PESTEL analysis can be used to assess the strategic relevance of the six principal components of
the macro-environment: political, economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal
forces.
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
3. The factors and forces in a company’s macro-environment that have the biggest strategy
shaping impact typically pertain to the company’s immediate industry and competitive
environment – competitive pressures, the actions of rival firms, buyer behavior and supplier
related considerations .
1. Thinking strategically about a company’s industry and competitive environment entails using
some well-validated concepts and analytical tools to get clear answers to seven questions:
a. Do the dominant economic characteristics of the industry offer sellers opportunities for
growth and attractive profits?
b. What kinds of competitive forces are industry members facing, and how strong is each force?
c. What forces are driving industry change, and what impact will these changes have on
competitive intensity and industry profitability?
d. What market positions do industry rivals occupy—who is strongly positioned and who is not?
e. What strategic moves are rivals likely to make next?
f. What are the key factors of competitive success?
g. Does the industry outlook offer good prospects for profitability?
2. Table 3.1, The Six Components of the Macro-Environment Included in a PESTEL Analysis,
describes the external factors that shape the company’s macro-environment.
3. Table 3.2, What to Consider in Identifying an Industry’s Dominant Economic Features, provides
a summary of analytical questions that define the industry’s dominant economic features.
4. Getting a handle on an industry’s distinguishing economic features not only provides a broad
overview of the attractiveness of the industry, but also promotes understanding of the kinds of
strategic moves that industry members are likely to employ.
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
1. The nature and subtleties of the competitive forces operating in a company’s industry are never
the same from one industry to another and must be wholly understood to accurately form
answers to the question, “Where are we now?”
2. The most powerful and widely used tool for assessing the strength of the industry’s competitive
forces is the five-forces model of competition.
3. Figure 3.2, The Five-Forces Model of Competition holds that competitive forces affecting
industry attractiveness go beyond rivalry of competing sellers and include pressures stemming
from four co-existing forces:
a. Whether some or many of the buyers have sufficient bargaining leverage to obtain price
concessions and other favorable terms and conditions of sale.
b. The extent and competitive importance of seller-buyer strategic partnerships in the
industry.
2. Factors affecting buyer bargaining power can create competitive pressures: The leverage
that certain types of buyers have in negotiating favorable terms can range from weak to
strong.
3. Even if buyers do not purchase in large quantities or offer a seller important market
exposure or prestige, they gain a degree of bargaining leverage in the following
circumstances:
information buyers have, the better bargaining position they are in.
e. If buyers pose a credible threat of integrating backward into the business of sellers –
companies like Anheuser-Busch, Coors, and Heinz have integrated backward into metal-
can manufacturing to gain bargaining power in obtaining the balance of their can
requirements from otherwise powerful metal-can manufacturers.
4. Not all buyers of an industry’s product have equal degrees of bargaining power with sellers
and some may be less sensitive than others to price, quality, or service differences.
5. Figure 3.3, Factors Affecting the Strength of the Bargaining Power of Buyers, summarizes
the circumstances that make for strong or weak bargaining power on the part of buyers.
1. Companies in one industry are vulnerable to competitive pressure from the actions of
companies in another industry whenever buyers view the products of the two industries as
a good substitute.
2. Just how strong the competitive pressures are from sellers of substitute products depends
on three factors:
3. Figure 3.4, Factors Affecting Competition from Substitute Products, lists factors affecting
the strength of competitive pressures from substitute products and signs that indicate
substitutes are a strong competitive force.
4. As a rule, the lower the price of substitutes, the higher their quality and performance, and
the lower the user’s switching costs, the more intense the competitive pressures posed by
substitute products.
2. How Supplier Bargaining Power Can Create Competitive Pressures: When the major
suppliers to an industry have considerable leverage in determining the terms and
conditions of the item they are supplying, they are in a position to exert competitive
pressures on one or more rival sellers.
3. The factors that determine whether any of the suppliers to an industry are in a position to
exert substantial bargaining power or leverage are fairly clear-cut:
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
a. If the item being supplied is a commodity that is readily available from many suppliers,
b. The ability of industry members to switch their purchases from one supplier to another
or to switch to attractive substitutes,
c. If certain inputs are in short supply,
d. If certain suppliers provide a differentiated input that enhances the performance,
quality, or image of the industry’s product,
e. Whether certain suppliers provide equipment or services that deliver cost-savings to
industry members in conducting their operations,
f. The fraction of costs of the industry’s product accounted for by the cost of a particular
input
g f industry members are major customers of suppliers
h. Whether it makes good economic sense for industry members to vertically integrate
backward.
4. Figure 3.5, Factors Affecting the Strength of Suppliers Bargaining Power, summarizes the
conditions that tend to make supplier bargaining power strong or weak.
1. Several factors affect the strength of the competitive threats of potential entry in a
particular industry.
2. One factor relates to the size of the pool of likely entry candidates and the resources at
their command. As a rule, competitive pressures intensify as the pool of entry candidates
increases in size.
3. Frequently, the strongest competitive pressures associated with potential entry come not
from outsiders but from current industry participants looking for growth opportunities.
4. Existing industry members are often strong candidates to enter market segments or
geographic areas where they currently do not have a market presence.
5. A second factor concerns whether the likely entry candidates face high or low entry
barriers. The most widely encountered barriers that entry candidates must hurdle include:
6. Figure 3.6, Factors Affecting the Strength of Threat of Entry, identifies several factors that
affect how strong the competitive threat of potential entry is in a particular industry.
1. The strongest of the five competitive forces is nearly always the rivalry among competing
sellers – the marketing maneuvering and jockeying for buyer patronage that continually go
on.
2. In effect, a market is a competitive battlefield where it is customary and expected that rival
sellers will employ whatever resources and weapons they have in their business arsenal to
improve their market positions and performance.
3. Figure 3.7, Factors Affecting the Strength of Rivalry, shows a sampling of competitive
weapons that firms can deploy in battling rivals and indicates the factors that influence the
intensity of their rivalry.
4. Some of the factors that influence the tempo of rivalry among industry competitors include:
a. Rivalry intensifies when competing sellers are active in launching fresh actions to boost
their market standing and business performance.
b. Rivalry is stronger in industries where competitors are equal in size and capability.
c. Rivalry is usually stronger in slow-growing markets and weaker in fast-growing markets.
d. Rivalry is usually weaker in industries comprised of so many rivals that the impact of any
one company’s actions is spread thinly across all industry members. Likewise, it is often
weak when there are fewer than five competitors.
e. Rivalry increases when buyer demand falls off and sellers find themselves with excess
capability and/or inventory.
f. Rivalry increases as it becomes less costly for buyers to switch brands.
g. Rivalry increases as the products of rival sellers become more standardized.
h. Rivalry is more intense when industry conditions tempt competitors to use price cuts or
other competitive weapons to boost unit volumes.
i. Rivalry increases when one or more competitors become dissatisfied with their market
position.
j. Rivalry increases when strong companies outside acquire weak firms inside the industry
and launch aggressive, well-funded moves to transform their newly acquired competitors
into major market contenders.
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
1. Scrutinizing each competitive force one by one provides a powerful diagnosis of what
competition is like in a given market.
2. As a rule, the stronger the collective impact of the five competitive forces, the lower the
combined profitability of industry participants.
3. The most extreme case of a “competitively unattractive” industry is when all five forces are
producing strong competitive pressures.
4. In contrast, when the collective impact of the five competitive forces is moderate to weak, an
industry is competitively attractive in the sense that industry members can reasonably expect
to earn good profits and a nice returns on investment.
5. The ideal competitive environment for earning superior profits is one in which both suppliers
and customers are in weak bargaining positions, there are no good substitutes, high barriers
block further entry, and rivalry among present sellers generates only moderate competitive
pressures.
VI. Question 3: What Are the Industry’s Driving Forces of Change and What Impact Will They Have?
1. The intensity of competitive forces and the level of industry attractiveness are almost always
fluid and subject to change.
Driving forces are the major underlying causes of change in industry and competitive conditions.
1. Many developments can affect an industry powerfully enough to qualify as driving forces.
Some are unique and specific to a particular industry situation, but most drivers of change fall
into one of the following categories:
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
2. Table 3.3, Common Driving Forces, summarizes the most common forces.
3. Company strategists must resist the temptation to label every change they see as a driving
force.
1. The second step of driving forces analysis is to determine whether the prevailing driving
forces are acting to make the industry environment more or less attractive.
D. Determining Strategy Changes Needed to Prepare for the Impact of the Driving Forces
1. The third step of driving forces analysis is for managers to draw some conclusions about what
strategy adjustments will be needed to deal with the impact of the driving forces.
3. The real payoff of driving forces analysis is to help managers understand what strategy
changes are needed to prepare for the impacts of the driving forces.
1. The best technique for revealing the market positions of industry competitors is strategic group
mapping. This analytical tool is useful for comparing the market positions of industry
competitors or for grouping industry combatants into like positions.
CORE CONCEPT
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
A. Using Strategic Group Maps to Assess the Market Positions of Key Competitors
1. A strategic group consists of those industry members with similar competitive approaches
and positions in the market.
CORE CONCEPT
A strategic group is a cluster of industry rivals that have similar competitive approaches and
market positions.
3. This procedure is illustrated in Concepts & Connections 3.1, Comparative Market Positions of
Selected Retail Chains.
Concepts & Connections - 1.1 , Comparative Market Positions of Selected Retail Chains: A
Strategic Group Map Application
Discussion: Question 1. According to the diagram, which companies comprise the strategic
group of firms to which Walmart belongs? Why is the circle containing Walmart and Kmart
larger than Target’s circle?
Answer: The diagram reveals Walmart’s strategic group members to be Kmart, Target, and to a
lesser extent, Sears and Kohl’s. The most significant competition is provided by Kmart and
Target with similar overall lower price/quality and large geographic coverage positioning.
Walmart’s circle is larger than Target due to higher a much higher share of overall industry
revenue.
a. The most important has to do with identifying which rivals are similarly positioned and are
thus close rivals and which are distant rivals. Generally speaking, the closer strategic
groups are to each other on the map, the stronger the cross-group competitive rivalry
tends to be.
b. Not all positions on the map are equally attractive. Two reasons account for why some
positions can be more attractive than others; 1) Industry driving forces may favor some
strategic groups and hurt others and 2) Competitive pressures may cause the profit
potential of different strategic groups to vary.
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
VIII. Question 5: What Strategic Moves Are Rivals Likely to Make Next?
1. Having good information to predict the likely moves of key competitors allows a company to
prepare defensive countermoves and to exploit any openings that arise from competitors
mishaps.
a. What executives are saying about where the industry is headed, the firm’s situation, and
their past actions and leadership styles.
b. Identifying trends in the timing of new product launches or marketing promotions.
c. Determining which rivals badly need to increase their unit sales and market share.
d. Considering which rivals have a strong incentive, along with resources, to make major
strategic changes.
e. Knowing which rivals are likely to enter new geographic markets.
f. Deciding which rivals are strong candidates to expand their product offerings and enter new
product segments.
3. Those who gather competitive intelligence on rivals can sometimes cross the fine line between
honest inquiry and unethical or even illegal behavior. This is illustrated in Concepts &
Connectiosn 3.2, Business Ethics and Competitive Intelligence.
Concepts & Connections - 1.1 Concepts & Connections 3.2, Business Ethics and Competitive
Intelligence
Discussion Question 1. In what way were Avon’s efforts to gain information about their largest
rival unethical?
Answer: Just because an activity in business is legal, does not mean it is ethical. Organizations
and individuals sometimes confuse the idea of must vs. must not with should vs. should not.
Must vs. must not deals with legal standards while should vs. should not deals with value based
standards. While going through a competitor’s garbage is not illegal (it does not violate the law),
the action does not represent the values of honesty and fair competition (it does violate
organizational values), making the actions unethical.
IX. Question 6: What are the Key Factors for Future Competitive Success?
1. An industry’s key success factors (KSF) are those competitive factors that most affect industry
members’ ability to prosper in the marketplace.
CORE CONCEPT
Key success factors are the strategy elements, product attributes, competitive capabilities, or
intangible assets with the greatest impact on future competitive success in the marketplace.
2. An industry’s key success factors can usually be deduced through identifying the industry’s
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
dominant characteristics, assessing the five competitive forces, comparing the market positions
of industry members, and forecasting the likely next moves of key rivals.
3. Table 3.4, Common Types of Industry Key Success Factors (KSFs), lists the common types of
KSFs.
4. The answer to three questions helps identify an industry’s key success factors:
a. On what basis do buyers of the industry’s product choose between the competing brands of
sellers? That is, what product attributes are crucial?
b. Given the nature of the competitive forces prevailing in the marketplace, what resources
and competitive capabilities does a company need to have to be competitively successful?
c. What shortcomings are almost certain to put a company at a significant competitive
disadvantage?
5. Only rarely are there more than five or six key factors for future competitive success.
X. Question 7: Does the Industry Offer Good Prospects for Attractive Profits?
1. The final step in evaluating the industry and competitive environment is boiling down the results
in Questions 1-6 to determine if the industry offers a company strong prospects for attractive
profits.
3. As a general proposition, if an industry’s overall profit prospects are above average, the industry
environment is basically attractive; if industry profit prospects are below average, conditions are
unattractive.
Answer:
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
The student should identify sites such as the International Coffee Organization (www.ico.org/).
Here the student can find detail reports about growing, harvesting, and selling coffee as well as
detailed statistical reports on the industry. This site also has many reports including a Strategy
Development Plan (http://dev.ico.org/documents/wp-council-191-r1e-strategy.pdf) that will be
particularly helpful.
The student should draw a five-forces diagram similar to figure 3.2 in the text. The diagram should
show that the five forces are: (1) firms in other industries offering substitute products, (2) buyers,
(3) potential new entrants, (4) suppliers of raw materials, parts, components, or other resource
inputs, and (5) rivalry among competing sellers in the industry. Suggested student responses for
discussing the nature and strength of the five competitive forces in the coffee industry may include
(numbers correspond to the numbered items above): (1) competitive pressures stemming from the
attempts of companies outside the industry to win buyers over to their products – energy drink
suppliers – strength is strong, (2) competitive pressures stemming from buyer bargaining power
and seller-buyer collaboration – different consumers and varying preferences – strength is
moderate to strong, (3) competitive pressures coming from the threat of entry of new rivals – any
established specialty food company or niche-based company – strength is moderate to strong, (4)
competitive pressures coming from supplier bargaining and supplier-seller collaboration – provider
of coffee beans – strength is strong, and (5) competitive pressures created by jockeying for better
market position, increased sales and market share, and competitive advantage – established
competitors such as Starbucks, Caribou Coffee, and McCafe (McDonalds).
2. Based on the strategic group map in Concepts & Connections 3.1, who are Nordstrom’s closest
competitors? Between which two strategic groups is competition the strongest? Why do you think
no retail chains are positioned in the upper right corner of the map? Which company/strategic
group faces the weakest competition from the members of other strategic groups?
Answer:
The student should identify that Nordstrom competes in the higher price/quality end of the industry
spectrum. The closest completion is provided by Macy’s and Dillard’s.
The student should identify that the strongest competition between strategic groups can be found
between the Nordstrom’s – Macy’s – Dillard’s group, and the Gap – Banana Republic group. Both
groups provide products with similar price/quality and differentiate themselves primarily on the
basis of the number of localities. Macy’s and Dillard’s are more similarly competitive with
Nordstrom’s based upon moderate price/quality and relatively few localities. While Gap and Banana
Republic are similar in their price/quality, they differentiate themselves by offering more localities.
The student should identify that the upper right hand corner focuses on a high price/quality with a
large geographic coverage. A firm has difficulty aggressively pursuing a strategy in which it must
operate a large number of retail outlets with products with high price/quality. Certainly some
elements of the value proposition for the companies at the high end of the price/quality spectrum
are based upon limited availability of their products and brand image. It would be difficult to
maintain this type of image cache with dense geographic coverage.
The Student should identify that Gucci, Chanel, and Fendi operate at the highest end of the
price/quality spectrum. While they do face some competition from Neiman Marcus and Saks Fifth
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Chapter 03 - Evaluating a Company’s External Environment
Avenue, they face the weakest competition from members of other strategic groups.
3. The National Restaurant Association publishes an annual industry factbook that can be found at
www.restaurant.org . Based on information in the latest report, does it appear that macro-
environmental factors and the economic characteristics of the industry will present industry
participants with attractive opportunities for growth and profitability? Explain.
Answer:
From publically available news stories and research items, students should identify factors shaping
the competitive arena. These might include:
There are a growing number of restaurants - 980,000: Number of restaurant locations in the
United States.
Restaurants represent a growing percentage of overall food dollars - 47%: Restaurant-industry
share of the food dollar.
Fewer restaurants are purchasing capital equipment due to economic concerns.
The strongest growth in Quickservice market segment rather than the traditional restaurant.
Restaurants are facing wage pressure as workers and government push for increases in
minimum wage.
Most restaurant owners are downgrading future revenue due to economic forecasts.
Economists are predicting the strongest gain in wholesale food prices in three decades.
The student could use a five-forces diagram similar to figure 3.3 in the text in order to conduct this
analysis. The diagram should show that the five forces are: (1) firms in other industries offering
substitute products, (2) buyers, (3) potential new entrants, (4) suppliers of raw materials, parts,
components, or other resource inputs, and (5) rivalry among competing sellers in the industry.
From the perspective of the traditional restaurant, the student might find that 1) the Quickservice
segment offers a strong substitute choice over the traditional restaurant, 2) buyers are in a strong
position with many choices in the industry, 3) there is pressure from new entrants, 4) there is supply
pressure from wages and wholesale food prices, and 5) there is pressure from rivalry among
competing sellers based upon the large number of restaurants in the industry.
Taken together, costs are being forced higher and prices are being forced lower, putting pressure on
profits. While at the same rivalry, new entrants, and substitutes are putting pressure on restaurants
to gain and maintain customers. The student might conclude that overall, the profit outlook for the
traditional restaurant segment is not favorable.
A follow-on analysis of strategic choice might reveal that an effective way to reduce the pressures
from substitutes, buyer power, rivalry, and new entrants might be differentiation. This analysis is
supported by the growth of the Quickservice restaurant segment which differentiates itself from the
traditional restaurant in a meaningful way that resonates with their customer base.
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