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Amity BScStat 101 2018 Version (I)

This document contains instructions and questions for an end semester examination in Probability Theory I. It is divided into 3 sections. Section A contains 6 short answer questions worth 6 marks each. Section B contains 3 long answer questions worth 10 marks each. Section C contains 1 compulsory question with 4 subparts worth 5 marks each. The exam is worth a total of 70 marks and covers topics from modules I-IV of the course curriculum.

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Sanjoy Brahma
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60 views3 pages

Amity BScStat 101 2018 Version (I)

This document contains instructions and questions for an end semester examination in Probability Theory I. It is divided into 3 sections. Section A contains 6 short answer questions worth 6 marks each. Section B contains 3 long answer questions worth 10 marks each. Section C contains 1 compulsory question with 4 subparts worth 5 marks each. The exam is worth a total of 70 marks and covers topics from modules I-IV of the course curriculum.

Uploaded by

Sanjoy Brahma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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For Use by Moderator only

Accepted Rejected Name:........................... Signature:...........................

(EVEN) END SEMESTER EXAMINATION: MAY, 2018


DOMAIN NAME: Science & Technology PROGRAM NAME: BSC(MATHEMATICS)
COURSE CODE: STAT 101 COURSE TITLE: PROBABILITY THEORY I

Regular Repeaters Both


Time:.......... hrs Maximum Marks: 70
Note: Attempt questions from all sections as directed.

Section-A: Attempt any five questions out of six. Each question carries 06 marks. (30 marks)

1. (i) Define independence of two events (ii) Show that events A and B are independent if and
only if events A and B̄ are independent. (2+4)

2. A bag contains 5 white balls and 4 black balls. Another bag contains 7 white and 9 black
balls. A ball is transferred from the first bag to the second bag and then a ball is drawn from
the second bag. Find the probability that it is white. (6)

3. Three tickets are chosen at random without replacement from 100 tickets numbered
1, 2, 3, . . . , 100. Find the mathematical expectation of the sum of the numbers on the tickets
drawn. (6)

4. Contracts for two construction jobs are randomly assigned to one or more of three firms A, B,
and C. Let X denote the number of contracts assigned to firm A and Y the number of
contracts to firm B. Note that each firm can receive 0, 1, or 2 contracts.

(i) Find the joint pmf of X and Y.

(ii) Find P (X ≤ 1, Y ≤ 1) (4+2)

1
5. If (An )∞
n=1 is a sequence of events such that Ai ⊆ Ai+1 for all i = 1, 2, 3, . . ., then prove that
∞
!
[
P An = lim P (An ). (6)
n→∞
n=1

6. The mean and variance of a certain distribution are 2 and 8. What are the first three terms in
the Maclaurin’s expansion of its moment generating function. (6)

Section-B: Attempt any two questions out of three. Each question carries 10 marks. (20
marks)

7 a. If the probability density function of the random variable X is



1 + |x|, if − 1 < x < 1


f (x) =

0, otherwise.

Find the variance of X. (5)

7 b. Let Y be a random variable with mean 11 and variance 9. Use Tchebysheff’s theorem, to find
a lower bound for P (6 < Y < 16), and the value of C such that P (|Y − 11| ≥ C) ≤ 0.09.
(5)

8 a. A die is loaded in such a manner that for n = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, the probability of the face
marked n landing on top when the die is rolled is proportional to n. Find the probability that
an odd number will appear on tossing the die. (5)

8 b. State and prove Bayes’ theorem. (5)

9 . The joint pdf for the random variables X and Y are given by

k(x + y), 0 < x < 2, 0 < y < 2

fXY (x, y) =

0, otherwise

where k is a constant.

(a) Find the value of k. (3)

(b) Find P (1 < X < 2, Y > 1) (3)

(c) Find the marginal pdf’s of X and Y. (2)

2
(d) Are X and Y independent. (2)

Section-C: Compulsory Question (20 marks)

10 a. What is the chance that a leap year selected at random contains 53 Sundays. (5)

10 b. Given that f (x) = k( 12 )x is the probability distribution of a random variable X that can take
values x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, find k and an expression for the corresponding cumulative
probabilities. (5)

10 c. A continuous random variable X has probability density function f (x) = A + Bx where


13
0 ≤ x ≤ 1. If the mean of the distributuion is 24
. Find the values of A and B. (5)

10 d. What is the moment generating function of the random variable X whose probability density
function is given by 
e−x , if x > 0

f (x) =

0 otherwise

What are the mean and variance of X? (5)

Module number:

Q.No. Module No. Q.No. Module No. Q.No. Module No. Q.No. Module No. Q.No. Module No.

Q1 I Q2 I Q3 III Q4 II Q5 I

Q6 IV Q7 III,IV Q8 I Q9 II Q10 I,II,III,IV

Signature of Paper Setter:........................


Name of Paper Setter: Sanjoy Kumar Brahma.
Employee Code: 14828. Institution: ASAS.
Contact No: 9831810219
Campus: Kolkata.

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