Reimagining Public Transport
Reimagining Public Transport
public transport
in India
October 2017
KPMG.com/in
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Table of contents
Executive summary 01
Background 03
Way forward 13
Action agenda 15
Conclusion 16
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
Executive summary
01
India’s public transport needs 04. Review of Performance of SRTUs 2014-15, Ministry of
as against 30-35 per cent06 in Road Transport and Highways, Government of India,
are likely to grow rapidly February 2016
most countries across the 05. Handbook on civil aviation statistics 2015-16, Directorate
as the country urbanises at General of Civil Aviation, January 2017
world. Clearly there is a
a fast clip. As per Census 06. KPMG in India’s research and analysis 2017 based on
need to provide more public research on public transport share in total trips across
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
02
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
03
Reimagining public transport in India
Background
India is experiencing rapid urbanisation and the However, as indicative estimates depict in Table
trend is expected to continue in the future as well 1, the adoption of public transport is quite low in
Hence, the focus on providing sufficient and quality India compared to a select few other countries. This
public transport in cities is as critical as improving translates into a greater use of personal transport
the inter-city connectivity. In order to sustain this modes, primarily cars and bikes. This has negative
growth, the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs externalities of:
estimates that during the period 2011-31 approximately
• Increased congestion
INR21,75,60001 crore (USD333 billion) needs to be
invested in urban roads and mass transit. • Increased travel times
Source: Sustainable smart cities in India: challenges and future perspectives, Springer, Poonam Sharma, U.S. 9
Swati Rajput, 2017
Singapore 86
Brazil 29
01. Sustainable smart cities in India: challenges and future perspectives, Springer,Poonam Sharma, Swati
Rajput, 2017 Source: KPMG in India’s research and analysis 2017 based on research on public transport share in total
trips across countries
02. Global Cost of road crashes, iRAP,2013 *Note: Indicative number
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
04
Further, as a majority of investment (4403 per cent) is In order to circumvent this challenge/impending
allocated to roads, it inevitably leads to an unending problem, there needs to be a paradigm change in
cycle as depicted in Figure 2: the approach to urban and transport planning which
effectively translates into adopting the Avoid Shift-
Figure 2: Consequences of investment in roads Improve (ASI) framework:
Avoid - need for motorised travel which is possible by
integrated land use transport planning and measures
like tele commuting, work from home, etc.
More
roads Shift from personal modes of transport to public
transport and non-motorised transport
Improve - Make improvements in technology, cleaner
fuels and vehicles, etc.
This ASI framework needs to be at the heart of a public
transit system that needs to be customised to the
Increased needs of the area due to the large variance in India
Traffic urban agglomerations.
private
congestion
modes
03. Sustainable smart cities in India: challenges and future perspectives, Springer,Poonam Sharma, Swati
Rajput, 2017
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
05
Approximately 377 million people live in the 7935 urban centres with population ranging from 50,000 to
urban centres04 of India (population greater than 5,000 1 million people. Most of these (7882) smaller urban
Reimagining public transport in India
is classified as an urban centre). In 2011, there were centres are still dependent on intermediate public
three cities04 with more than 10 million population transport (IPT) modes to satisfy their mobility needs
and 5304 cities with more than 1 million population. viz. shared autorickshaw, jeeps, vans,etc. These
As depicted in Figure 3, 42 per cent of the urban forms of transport typically work in an informal or
population lives in 53 cities (with populations of 1 unorganised manner on a hail-and-ride basis. The
million+) while the balance 58 per cent live in 788204 payment mechanism is primarily cash.
cities
90% 8% Million + cities (1-5 m)
3% 8% 7%
1% 8%
5% 1% 8% 9% Other class I cities (0.1 to 1 m)
80% 8% 1% 8%
8% Class II (50-1,00,000), Class III (20-50,000),
10%
centers villages
1% Class IV (10-20,000)
12% 1% 9% 112 m
17%
Proportion of all India population (%)
30% 19%
19% 537 m
18%
18% Small villages (1-2,000)
20% 17%
15%
12%
10% 22% 10%
17% 8% Hamlets (500-1,000)
13%
10% 7% Small hamlets (<500)
5% 3%
0%
1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011
(estimate)
Source: Urban India 2011: Evidence, Indian Institute of Human Settlements, January 2012
04. Urban India 2011: Evidence, Indian Institute of Human Settlements, January 2012
05. The World Bank Group, 2017
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
06
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
07
Challenges
Reimagining public transport in India
While the current use/adoption of Public Transport Institutional structure and capacity gap
appears lower for India compared to a select few other
The transport sector has a presence of many agencies
countries, there is a an emergent need to enhance the
such as bus operators, metro operators, regional
capabilities and services of public transport to not only
transport authorities, auto-rickshaws, etc. that are
improve the adoption at current volume of passenger
governed by different agencies. In order for all these to
trips but also for the future demand.
work cohesively, an apex body dealing with all matters
The challenges for the Indian public transport sector are: pertaining to the transport sector and especially public
transport does not practically exist which leads to
1. Institutional gaps
the different agencies operating in silos and without
2. Inadequate supply coordination. Moreover, the public agencies may lack
technical expertise with respect to public transport
3. Poor customer experience
which leads to inefficient operations and sub optimal
4. Lack of the use of technology. performance.
With individuals exercising their preference for work-
place mobility, flexible occupations, and choice of
type and nature of places to stay, city traffic patterns
are becoming more dynamic. The concept of Central
Business Districts may be fast disappearing as people
work from home, children spend time in extra-
curricular activities or tuitions after school hours and
start-ups/entrepreneurs travel far and wide to access
business. In summation, point-to-point transits at
certain peak times for various segments of residents
may no longer hold true leading to more dispersed
movements. In such scenarios, fixed circuit systems
may be either unutilised or require even higher degree
of first and last mile connections to provide commuters
the desired level of flexibility akin to personal modes of
transport.
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
08
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
09
Existing cities either do not have space at grade or in various forms that not only provide information for
have load centres of economic activity that have the user, but can go on to provide a seamless user
Reimagining public transport in India
grown around personal transport modes due to a lack experience. Many of these are outside the remit of the
of public transit options. In both cases, it becomes way in which transport services have been hitherto
difficult to plan an alignment for a mass transit mode provided in India, in which the State has played an
that can cater to the maximum demand or it becomes overwhelmingly dominant role.
prohibitively costly to use elevated or underground
Considering the above shifts and the new possibilities
options. Thus, traditional modes of transport need
occurring rapidly it has become imperative to
to be re-looked at with more flexible options that
reimagine public transport as the transportation
can align to the varying demand to avoid expensive
system for public at large and not necessarily being
redundancies and under-utilisation.
provided by public sector enterprises. This change in
Comprehensive transport planning and operations approach would require authorities to consider the
has to go beyond the backbone systems like rail and user and his/her preferences at the centre of the new
road to encompass all modes that permit a seamless age service and design the entire transport ecosystem.
experience for the user from door to door. This involves Accordingly we propose that the definition of public
modes that are not necessarily owned or operated transport should cover the entire door-to-door travel
by public agencies, but nonetheless have to become span of the user involving third party infrastructure or
a part of the integrated transport experience. Further, resources and thus should cover all non-self-owned,
this experience is coming to be enabled by technology motorised or even non-motorised transport means.
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
10
New York 8337 790 4344 1.8 370 4.5 0.52 0.04
Source: Key transport statistics in world cities, Pan Di, September 2013
It is evident from Table 2 that Indian cities appear to system in India. However another 537 km07 are
lag behind in the physical coverage of public transport planned over the next few years. The other cities that
network to most of the cities across the globe. are constructing metros are Hyderabad, Nagpur and
Ahmedabad07 which shall be operational by November
The government has been driving the provision of bus
2017, 2018 and 2020 respectively. By 2019, the total
and rail based mass transit systems through organised
number of cities with Metro Systems is expected to
and well planned models. While the Jawaharlal Nehru
be 12. Other rail-based modes are Tramways or light
Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) sanctioned
rail transit (LRT) as a medium capacity mode of mass
23,00003 buses at a cost of approximately INR11,000
rapid transport and monorail systems. LRT has been
crore04 (USD1.69 bn) in 141 cities, nine05 cities have
planned in Delhi (47 km) at a capital cost of INR100-
adopted BRT system with cumulative length of 17405
16008 crore/km. As depicted in figure 4, there are a
km carrying 340,00005 passengers on a daily basis. The
variety of options in terms of capacity and unit capital
Green Mobility Scheme of the Government of India
costs that India can consider given its large variance of
envisages 1300+ 06 km of BRT in 28 cities across the
urban centres.
country underscoring the importance of BRT. Currently
there are ten07 cities which have an operational metro
01. Review of Performance of SRTUs 2014-15, Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Government of India, 06. Proposed Green urban mobility scheme, Ministry of Urban Development, February 2017
February 2016 07. New metro rail policy in India unveiled to promote private participation, UITP, August 2017
02. KPMG in India’s research and analysis 2017 based on analysis of bus patronage and industry 08. Modern Trams for cities in India, Institute of Urban Transport, September 2013
03. Annual Report 2011-12, Ministry of Urban Development, 2012
04. Letter to Principal Secetaries from Director UT, Ministry of Urban Development, July 2015
05. BRT data, Across Latitude and Cultures, SIBRT,September, 2017
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
11
Figure 4: Cost and capacity of mass transit systems transport technology such as Electric Vehicles (EVs)
and Autonomous Vehicles (AVs).These offer new
Reimagining public transport in India
100
sensors and dedicated lanes for AVs to navigate. Public
Monorail
80 Authorities need to be cognisant to design their public
60 transit systems with these in mind, including planning
LRT for recycling/disposal of batteries as EVs proliferate.
40
While globally there is a movement towards making
20 BRT the transport infrastructure amenable to EVs and
and Tramway High capacity BRT
0 also aligned to the needs of AVs, the planning
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 paradigm in India is yet to evolve. There are a range
Capacity (passengers/hour/direction) of issues from road construction, parking facilities,
Source: International experiences with bus rapid transit,Northwestern University, Gerhard Menckhoff,
traffic management infrastructure, contingency
November 2010 management, etc. that would require the attention of
public authorities.
While much is being done, there is significant creation A persistent issue with transit systems is the relative
of physical infrastructure required. Mass transit rigidity and retro-fitment into existing urban areas
systems are fixed infrastructure with dedicated/ that do not have a clear right-of-way as they were not
committed resources (in terms of space for depots, traditionally designed with a mass transit backbone.
stations, terminals etc.) and rolling stock. Moreover, In fact, this forms an important hindrance while
with fixed routings, the transit capacity also tends to developing modern public transport systems and
get fixed whereas demand is variable, both in terms requires a comprehensive view on providing alternate
of time and locations. Moreover, as cities expand to modes for mobility to customers
the peripherals, residential areas are being developed
in erstwhile suburbs that are self-contained and
characterised in certain cities as new satellite cities Using appropriate technology for a
with mobility requirements restricted to those areas better customer experience
itself with malls, schools, colleges, hospitals etc.
Customer experience of public transport in India is
mushrooming across cities. Overall, trends indicate
largely poor due to i) absence of seamless intermodal
commuting is moving away from peak hour traffic
travel ii) absence of a feeder system for first and last
demand to and from Central Business Districts and
mile connectivity iii) poor quality of modes of public
select regions to more dispersed movements at a city
transport especially feeders iv) absence of integration
level and to extremely localised movements at the
of schedules of mass transit and feeders v) absence of
other end.
integrated ticketing vi) unreliable services.
In such a scenario, fixed capacity systems may
One of the forms in which this manifests itself is in
become expensive and inefficient with rapidly
terms of less reliable operations with public transport
dropping utilisation and risk of non-alignment to
modes being operated at fixed frequencies throughout
commuter needs. The transport sector also has
the day, irrespective of the time and passenger
seen attendant issues of delayed project execution,
demand or poorly-designed routes which are not in
financing issues, improper contractual frameworks
sync with passenger travel patterns.
that typically accompany infrastructure projects.
Undoubtedly, there is a clear need to address these
issues in order to create the physical assets and
capacity to cater to the absolute demand. However,
the nature and models for developing these require
a fresh approach given the recent innovation in
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
12
Consequently, this results in poor customer customer or peer. This has significant implications
experience and patronage of transit. Moreover, the on reducing cost of transport while also reducing job
integration of various public transport services in opportunities for trained drivers/chauffeurs. These first/
operational and financial dimensions is severely last mile options whether through cars/vans or mini-
hampered due to non-application of technology that buses, monorails/LRTs etc. can be carefully planned
can unify different platforms and applications. to develop an ‘amorphous’ transit system that can be
flexible while complementing the backbone Metro or
Technology is transforming public transport. From
BRT. Also, depending on nature of the space and the
increasingly ubiquitous app-based information
population density, such modes can actually go on to
systems to the more advanced ones like Hyperloop,
be the most efficient or principal means of conveyance
technology is set to inevitably change the way we
for a particular set of circumstances (beyond traditional
derive value from transport infrastructure and services.
first/last mile roles).
Development of un-manned vehicles/Autonomous
Vehicles/Pods and rapid growth of ride sharing, peer-
to-peer networks and bus/taxi aggregators provide
options for individualised transport while eliminating
the cost of under-utilised capacity by sharing the
vehicles or re-deploying the same for another
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
13
Way forward
Reimagining public transport in India
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
14
While the role of public authorities in asset creation In summary the role of the public transit authorities
and operation would not conceivably go away in could entail the following:
the foreseeable future (and indeed may not be 1. Take an integrated view of comprehensive mobility
desirable), it should be limited to essential enabling for the city/metropolitan areas and/or national/
the infrastructure on which third parties can bring regional geographies
about service innovation. Indeed, in India, a large
enhancement of fixed infrastructure is required. 2. View the entire eco-system (and not only the transit
However, these need to be designed wherein mass system) as a ‘black-box’ to ascertain overall viability
transit systems can form a backbone complimented by and act as a financial intermediary between different
amorphous first mile/last mile modes as an integrated commercial models
end-to-end system with special focus on the differently 3. Provide inter-operability between transport modes in
abled, senior citizens and other needy persons. terms of quality, schedule alignment and integrated
Similarly, the promotion of Non-Motorised transport ticketing
coupled with Transit Oriented Development can
reduce the demand for vehicular movement and hence 4. Make the public transport system amenable to
pollution. India has had a history of using cycles for technological innovations that can enhance user
commutes that has diminished in cities as distances experience and make transport safe and efficient
have increased and cycling conditions deteriorated. 5. Facilitate the inter-connect between different service
There is a need to create dedicated cycle lanes, bicycle providers and modes
stops etc. so it is safe, secure and allows all weather
commuting even for longer distances. 6. Specify standards and deliverables on each
parameter related to customer experience for any/all
service providers and monitoring the same
7. Provide a mechanism for grievance redressal for both
customers and service providers with options for
modifying in light of changing business conditions
8. Promote research, development and innovation.
Source: 1. Company information. Transport for London. 2013. Retrieved 10 August 2013.
2. Our role. Transport for London. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
15
Action agenda to improve financing for this sector that can be enabled
Reimagining public transport in India
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
16
Conclusion
The Indian public transport sector has significant distance to cover in terms
of provision of quality and affordable services to the public. Currently, it
appears that in addition to the government and organised segment, there
is a proliferation of the unorganised segment and personal modes to cater
to the demand as seen by the significant growth of sales of cars and taxi-
aggregators. However, the opportunity is now available to leap frog the
development of the sector through deployment of new technologies in
transport and IT as well as revenue mobilisation using innovative means.
By providing a deep and sharp shift in policy and perspective on outcomes
of deliverables, the ideas presented herein can be considered to take a
generational leap and transform the public transport services and radically
improve user experience. With the right enabling environment and
proper structuring, private sector investment, innovation and efficiency
can be brought onto a common platform to plug gaps in service delivery.
The opportunity is now to make our cities more mobile, enhance the
infrastructure of our public transport and boost its customer experience.
Acknowledgements
This publication has been prepared by a team comprising:
• Anish De
• Richard Threlfall
• Sameer Bhatnagar
• Rajaji Meshram
• Umang Jain
• Nisha Fernandes
• Shveta Pednekar
• Rasesh Gajjar
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved
KPMG in India contacts:
Mritunjay Kapur
Partner and National Head
Strategy and Markets
Leader – Technology, Media and Telecom
T: +91 124 307 4797
E: mritunjay@kpmg.com
Jaideep Ghosh
Partner
Strategy and Operations, Management Consulting
Leader – Transport, Leisure and Sports
T: +91 124 307 4152
E: jaideepghosh@kpmg.com
Anish De
Partner
Head of Strategy & Operations,
Infrastructure, Government and Healthcare (IGH)
T: +91 124 669 1000
E: anishde@kpmg.com
KPMG.com/in
Follow us on:
kpmg.com/in/socialmedia
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavour to
provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in
the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.
© 2017 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International
Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.