Best BMIA HL Sample 2
Best BMIA HL Sample 2
‘Should Tobaj Ltd invest in repairing or replacing a new roof for the
Liquip Sales Ltd tenanted building?’
1
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Research Proposal
Research Question:
Should Tobaj Ltd invest in repairing or replacing a new roof for the Liquip tenated
building?
Rationale:
Tobaj Ltd a Qualifying Company has invested in an industrial building tenanted by
an engineering company called Liquip Sales Ltd, which is located in Petone, Lower
Hutt, Wellington, New Zealand. Tobaj Ltd is run and owned by two directors;
Trevor Glogau and Craig Allnatt who are both 50% shareholders. An opportunity
exits whereby Tobaj Ltd should consider whether to repair or replace the existing
roof on the building. Tobaj Ltd will need to compare the cost and time frame of the
two options.
Theoretical Framework:
I plan to analyse both financial and non-financial considerations in my evaluation
for management. Focusing on utilising the financial techniques of Investment
Appraisal, Final Accounts, SWOT, Loan Payback Period, Risk Management and
Decision Trees and preparing a relevant Lewis Force Field analysis.
Key Areas of Syllabus
1.6 Decision Trees
1.8 Lewis Force Field
3.2 Investment Appraisals
3.5 Final Accounts
Methodology
Primary Research:
I will conduct primary research by interviewing one of the directors of Tobaj and
the director of Liquip to establish their opinion on the roof investment. I will need
to contact roofing construction companies and compare quotes for roof repair and
replacement prices.
Secondary Research:
Review a range of secondary sources, both hardcopy and online internet sites
related to financial techniques.
I also plan to examine Tobaj’s annual report and financial reports to determine the
company’s financial position.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Problems likely to be encounted and possible solutions:
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Week 9, Term 1 2011 Analyse secondary Started to write
resources i.e. introduction and method.
textbook/internet.
Week 1, Term 2 2011 First draft of report due Edited and refined
report.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Acknowledgements
• Craig Allnatt – Shareholder of Tobaj – for his time and information provided
for my interview
• Trevor Glogau – Shareholder of Tobaj and Owner of Liquip - For allowing
access to Annual Reports and information required.
5
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Contents Page
1. Introduction Page 9
Non-financial analysis
- Lewin’s Force Field for repairing and painting the roof Page 18
- Lewin’s Force Field for replacing the roof Page 18, 19
Financial analysis
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7. Bibliography Page 27, 28
7. Appendices Page 29
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Executive Summary
To begin the research proposal highlights the rationale, theoretical framework and
methodology used for gathering information, as well as possible constraints in
addressing the question. The introduction outlines background information about
Tobaj related to the issue under investigation.
Main results and findings and an analysis were established through an interview
with Craig Allnatt, primary sources, and secondary research that allowed analysis
using financial and non-financial techniques (SWOT analysis, Lewin’s Force Field,
Risk Analysis, Decision Tree, Investment appraisal, and a Depreciation Analysis).
The two roofing investment options were discussed in the conclusion, which
recommends that repairing the roof temporarily would be beneficial for Tobaj at
present due to their negative equity. This was indicated by a lower loan payback
period for roof repair and was highlighted in the discount cash flow.
8
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
1. Introduction
The building was extensively renovated in 2009 but the roof was not replaced. 2 An
opportunity exists for Tobaj to consider a major area of capital expenditure;
repairing or replacing a new roof. Currently the roof is rusting and is beginning to
leak. 3
Therefore this report will focus on the research question; ‘Should Tobaj Ltd
invest in repairing or replacing a new roof for the Liquip Sales Ltd tenanted
building?’
9
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
2. Procedure and Method
To insure that collected data was reliable I had to review all information
validilating it with a second source of data. Financial data collected was based on
actual and estimated figures which needed to be considered. All primary
information gathered was supported with secondary information.
Fletcher construction (Fletcher Construction, 2010) analysed and gave a set quote
for the repair and painting costs of the Liquip building roof.
Aquaheat estimated that the cost to fix the roof at $5,490.00 with a variation of
$384.00. In the addition to this painting the roof would cost $27,345.00 with a
possible $1,914.15 variation. 5
Fletcher construction (Fletcher Construction, 2010) has estimated the cost for new
roof at $75,000.6
3.3 Lease
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
3.4 Tobaj’s recent statement of financial performance
The basic equation for the Profit and Loss account is10:
Less Expenses
Accountancy Fees 1,225 700
Bank Charges 733 38,534
Commissions 1
Insurance 6,008 3,318
Interest - Overdraft 2,938
Interest 85,384 63,272
Legal Expenses 10,815 3,634
Rates & Levies 16,006 6,284
Valuation Fees 909
Total Expenses 124,017 116,743
Net Deficit Before Depreciation (38,677) (86,381)
Less Depreciation
Depreciation as per Schedule 32,126 8,747
Depreciation Recovered (240)
Net Depreciation Adjustment 32,126 8,507
9 The Profit and Loss account is the accumulated sum of retained profits for the
current and previous years. It is equal to the amount carried forward in the Profit
and Loss account.
10 Figures gathered from Tobaj’s 2010 Annual Report
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Balance Sheet Statement for Tobaj:
As at 31st March 2010
The Profit and Loss account will also be shown in the Balance Sheet11 as an
addition to the owners’ equity.12 The basic equation for the balance sheet is:
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
Fixed Assets as per Schedule 1,564,232 1,109,912
TOTAL ASSETS 1,598,938 1,168,021
CURRENT LIABILITIES
National Bank 61,736
Accounts Payable 2,558
Shareholders' Current Accounts 6,000 6,000
Total Current Liabilities 8,558 67,736
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Term Loans as per Schedule 1,889,814 1,328,916
TOTAL LIABILITIES 1,898,372 1,396,652
NET ASSETS ($299,434) ($228,631)
Presented by;
EQUITY
Share Capital
Reserves
Retained Earnings (299,434) (228,631)
TOTAL EQUITY ($299,434) ($228,631)
= ݊݅ݐܽ݅ܿ݁ݎ݁݀ ݈ܽݑ݊݊ܣ$8,208.7515
Straight-line depreciation for repairing and replacing the roof at $8,208.75 per
annum:
20000
10000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Year end
This depreciation graph is showing the value of the option after 4 years. As a result
the depreciation on the roof will be complete. Tobaj’s tax liabilities will have been
maximized due to reduced tax payments through the depression of expenses.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Calculating the depreciation for replacing the roof16.
$75,125.00
= ݊݅ݐܽ݅ܿ݁ݎ݁݀ ݈ܽݑ݊݊ܣ
15 ݏݎܽ݁ݕ
= ݊݅ݐܽ݅ܿ݁ݎ݁݀ ݈ܽݑ݊݊ܣ$5,008.33ሶ17
40000
20000
0
0 5 10 15 20
Year end
Similarly, this depreciation graph is showing that at the end of 15 years the
depreciation on the roof will be completed. Tobaj’s tax liabilities will have also
maximised due to reduced tax payments by the depression of expenses, however
over a longer period of time.
16 Please note: The calculated depreciation is for comparative purposes for this
analysis only, and is not intended year-end depreciation for taxation.
17 Please note: The residual value was not included in this calculation.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
3.7 SWOT analysis
18Appendix 7.3 Interview - This SWOT analysis was derived from the interview
with Craig Allnatt and from this I will mean able to analyse Tobaj’s current position.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
4. Analysis and Discussion
To analyse the two possible options requires further evaluation by using a range of
financial and non-financial factors.
Non-financial Analysis
Through looking at both depreciation graphs19 it is clear that they both serve the
purpose of securing the Liquip tenants. They will be able to do this by increasing
the building value as a result of a new roof, and will also increase Tobaj’s equity
and allow them to be able to pay back the loan more efficiently. However they will
need to also undergo a risk management analysis to insure they are aware of what
risks the organization is upholding before investing in either options20.
The Lewin’s Force Field will analyse the drivers and restraints for Tobaj in terms of
either replacing or repairing the roof.21 This analysis will identify which investment
is more likely to succeed. 22 By investigating how the driving forces can be
strengthened and how the restraining forces can be decreased will help to improve
the investement’s chance of success23.
opposing sets of forces - those seeking to promote change (driving forces) and
those attempting to maintain the status quo (restraining forces)" (Mark Connelly,
2011).
22 3.7 Considered SWOT analysis
23 Forces have been derived from 7.3 interview with Craig Allnatt
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Lewin’s Force Field for repairing and painting the roof:
The forces for and against change will be allocated a weight from one to five depending on the
strength of the force.
Overall, from the Lewin’s Force Field analysis replacing the roof is the favored investment
as there is a more significant difference (of six) between the driving and restraining forces
supporting the investment in replacing the roof. There is still a high force for a change
towards investing in repairingng and painting the roof, although the total for the
restraining forces is a factor of 3 higher than for replacing the roof. It is however important
to consider that the weights of these forces are only subjective.
19
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Financial Analysis
A decision tree represents the different investment options that are available to a
business, showing the probable outcomes through a tree diagram. 24 The decision
tree depicts the possible outcomes of an investment’s value. 25 (Knowledge
Exchange, 1997).
Key:
Option
0.2 $35,133.15 $7,026.63
A 0.7 $32,835.00 $22,984.50
Repair and paint 0.1 $30,536.85 $3,053.69
the roof
= $33,064.82
Roofing
Investment
Options
= $75,125.00
Calculations:
Repair and replace the roof:
(0.2 x $35,133.15) + (0.7 x $32,835.00) + (0.1 x $30,536.85) = $33,064.82
Replace the roof:
(0.1 x $77,125.00) + (0.8 x $75,125.00) + (0.1 x $73,125.00) = $75,125.00
This decision tree has calculated the expected value of each investment. The
expected value for the replacement roof investment is higher by $42,060.18,
however as a quote has been performed for replacing the roof the quoted value is
almost certain. The repair and painting investment option is significantly lower,
however the expected value is slightly higher than its given quote due to painting
and material costs not being fixed. On the whole, an accurate investment cost the
for repairing and painting the roof would be $33,064.82.
24 Note: All decision tree figures are estimates based upon Craig Allnatt’s interview
where he stated how accurately he thought the given quotes were. (Appendix 7.3)
25 ‘Management decisions appear in squares and the uncertainites appear in circles.
Lines show the sequence of choices and results. A probablitly is assigned to each of
the possible outcomes when more than one exists’ (Knowledge Exchange, 1997).
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
4.5 Investment Appraisal
The current New Zealand interest rate is 2.5% (Trading Economics, 2011)
Calculations:
By calculating the discounted factor it is indicating that in 4 years time the value of
the investment will decrease by $3,088.10 from the current value. The discount
factor calculation is indicating that the present value of today’s investment is
estimated to be $7,061.75 less than today’s value.
These figures are signifying that if Tobaj decides to repair the roof temporarily for
4 years, the present value of a roof replacement investment will not decrease
significantly enough to affect the firm’s net cash flow. As a result in order to
maintain a high value of Tobaj’s future net cash flow it is important that Tobaj
decides on an appropriate investment immediately.
21
Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
4.6 Loan Payback Period:
Repairing or replacing the roof will not give Tobaj any profitable return, it will
however allow the continuity of the Tobaj company by retaining the Liquip tenants
and rental income. To calculate the payback period for the roofing investment I will
not be able to include the annual net cash inflow nor the incremental annual net
cash inflow26. Hence I will need to predict the cash inflow needed per year to pay
off the investment. 27. Tobaj will also need to investigate risk management to
ensure that undersirable events such as bankruptcy are prevented from occuring.28
A payback period will be performed to see whether the loan should be paid in off in
three or five years at a 9% interest rate.
Payback period for the loan at an estimate of three years for repairing and painting
the roof:
Total payback monthly for 3 years for repairing and painting the roof:
$82.09 x 36
= $2,955.14
$2,955.14 + 32,835.00
=$35,790.15
26 Appendix 7.3 - A solvency test was applied on Tobaj and they successfully passed
allowing them to receive a loan.
27 Appendix 7.3 Tobaj currently has insufficient reserves, hence they will need to
obtain a loan from a commercial lender. Tobaj has received a quote from the ANZ
National Bank for both roofing options for a three or five year period with an
interest rate of 9% paid monthly.
28 Appendix 7.4 – Risk Management Analysis
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Payback period for the loan at an estimate of five years for repairing and painting
the roof:
ܲܽݐ݊݉ ܾ݇ܿܽݕℎ݈ ݎ݂ ݕ5 ݏݎܽ݁ݕሺ݁ݐ ݃݊݅݀ݑ݈ܿݔℎ݁ ݅݊ܿ ݐݏ݁ݎ݁ݐℎܽ݁݃ݎሻ:
=$547.25 (2dp)
Total payback monthly for 5 years for repairing and painting the roof:
$49.25 x 60
= $2,955.15
$2,955.15 + 32,835.00
=$35,790.15
Payback period for the loan at an estimate of three years for replacing the roof:
ܲܽݐ݊݉ ܾ݇ܿܽݕℎ݈ ݎ݂ ݕ3 ݏݎܽ݁ݕሺ݁ݐ ݃݊݅݀ݑ݈ܿݔℎ݁ ݅݊ܿ ݐݏ݁ݎ݁ݐℎܽ݁݃ݎሻ:
$75,125.00
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=$2,086.81 (2dp)
Payback period for the loan at an estimate of five years for replacing the roof:
ܲܽݐ݊݉ ܾ݇ܿܽݕℎ݈ ݎ݂ ݕ5 ݏݎܽ݁ݕሺ݁ݐ ݃݊݅݀ݑ݈ܿݔℎ݁ ݅݊ܿ ݐݏ݁ݎ݁ݐℎܽ݁݃ݎሻ:
$75,125.00
60
=$1,252.08 (2dp)
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
4.7 Loan Captial Analysis
For the repairing the roof option Tobaj can pay off their $35,790.15 loan at $994.17
per month for three years or $596.50 for a five year time period. Alternatively with
a roof replacement loan it would be possible to pay off the $81,886.25 loan at
$2,274.62 per month for three years or $1,364.77 for a five year time period.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
The decision tree is indicating that the estimated cost for the roof replacement
investment as notably higher by a probability of $42,060.18. Lewin’s Force Field
Analysis is highlighting that there are stronger driving forces for change towards
investing in a new roof replacement because of the long term and quality aspects of
the investment. When examining the loan payback period the loan for the roof
replacement is considerably higher which will result in a higher payback per month
with a 9% interest charge. Owing to Tobaj’s financial position they will not be able
to receive a loan from the bank for either of the investments without a capital
injection from the two shareholders. As Liquip has signed a new 3 plus 3 lease of
the building there will also be a rental increase. Hence, Tobaj will be able to receive
a loan from the bank for a roof investment depending on a successful capital
injection and rental increase.
The option of investing in a replacement roof does not appear as favourable due to
the high monthly costs involved. Currently, Tobaj presently is in a position
whereby they will be finically able to repair the roof to prevent it becoming a
liability. Consequently as this investment is only temporary and has a predicted
lifespan of four years Tobaj will need to invest in a roof replacement subsequently
when they are more financially stable.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Recommendations:
• Invest in repairing and painting a roof. However after 4 years when the
repaired roof will no longer be adequate and reliable, invest in replacing the
roof .
• In terms of paying for the new roof I would suggest obtaining a loan from
the ANZ National Bank with a three year payback period at a 9% interest
rate of $994.17 monthly. This will allow Tobaj to pay off the loan before roof
replacement is needed. In order to pay off the loan a cash injection from
both shareholders will be necessary.
• Increase the rent on the building. This will increase revenue and allow
budgeting for the future roof replacement.
• Although a recent 3 plus 3 year lease has been signed, a future lease for 10
years may be necessary in order to insure that there will be a future rental
increase and therefore maintained income.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
6. Bibliography
(Jae K. Shine, 1994) (Wright, 1970) (Neale, 2003) (Bull, 2008) (Bickey, 1992)
Websites:
NI Direct. (2010). Glossary. Retrieved May 2011 from Finance and Personnel:
http://www.dfpni.gov.uk/eag-glossary
Mark Connelly. (2011). Force Field Analysis - Kurt Lewin. Retrieved June 22, 2011
from Change-Management-Coach.com: http://www.change-management-
coach.com/force-field-analysis.html
Trading Economics. (2011, March). New Zealand Interest Rate. Retrieved April 2011
from Trading Economics: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/new-
zealand/interest-rate
________________________________________________________________________________________________
Liquip's Website:
Liquip Sales. (2011, June). Liquip Sales NZ Limited. Retrieved June 23, 2011 from
About Us: http://www.liquip.co.nz/
________________________________________________________________________________________________
Texts:
Abrams, R. (2000). The Successful Business Plan: Secrets and Strategies. (E. Wait,
Ed.) Canada: Running 'R' Media.
Jae K. Shine, J. G. (1994). Bugeting Basics and Beyond. USA: Prentice-Hall Inc.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
Neale, R. P. (2003). Corporate Finance and Investment. Edinburgh, England: Pearson
Education Limited.
Murphy, D. (2008). Understanding Risk. London, UK: Taylor and Francis Group.
______________________________________________________________________________________________
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7. Appendix:
7.1
.1 Tobaj’s 2010 Depreciation Schedule (Liquip Sales, 2011)
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7.2 Tobaj’s 2010 Schedule of Financial Leases (Liquip Sales, 2011)
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7.3 Interview Transcrip with Craig Allnatt – 50% shareholder of Tobaj
The building that Tobaj owns at 90 Sydney St has a very rusty roof and may begin to
damage newly refurbished offices and warehouse area. The directors need to know
whether it is more economical to repair it and extend its life or to replace it outright.
3) What is wrong with the roof and how will it effect your company?
It is rusting and beginning to leak. It may become a libablity for Tobaj if it damages
the tenants valuable stock.
Yes, I have received a roof repair and replacement cost that I will give to you. These
are the most cost effective quotes.
No are currently not in a postiive cash flow position after recently investing heavily in
the refurbishment of the building.
We have recently entered a new 3 plus 3 leasing agreement with the existing tenant.
This means that liquip has signed for 3 years plus an extra 3 year right of renewal.
We will be willing to pay a cash injection if a loan cannot be secured from the bank.
Tobaj passed a solvencing test which will allow us to be able to get a loan. Tobaj has
received a quote from the ANZ National Bank for both roofing options for a three or
five year period with an interest rate of 9% paid monthly.
10) How long is the lifespan of a roof repair and paint investment?
On the quote it has an estimated 4 year lifespan.
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
12) What is the likelihood that the roof replacement investment quote will be
accurate?
I have talked to Fletcher construction and they said that their quote was fairly
accurate, however it could be slightly higher due to unexpected material or labour
costs.
13) What is the likelihood that the roof replacement investment quote will be
accurate?
I believe that the quoted value for the roof replacement investment it will be fairly
accurate as it was estimated specifically on material costs and the duration for how
long it should take.
Investing in either roof repair or replacement will be a risk for Tobaj due to their
financial position. Tobaj is in negative equity therefore obtaining a loan while still
paying off debt puts them at risk. Risk management is a process to ensure that
undesirable events, such as going into bankruptcy are prevented from occurring.
(Murphy, 2008)
There is a risk involved in both roofing investments therefore Tobaj will need to
have a good risk management strategy. 29 They will need to insure that they have
discovered what risks the organization is upholding, such as perhaps the future
inability to pay off the loan for either investments. To prevent this from happening
that will need to look at proposing an extended lease to Liquip for ten years as well
as increasing the rent on the lease. Furthermore, to minimize this risk it is
important that the shareholders pay a cash injection to pay off the first months of
the loan. There is also a risk in both roof investments being of less of quality than
required.
These risks include:
- Possible future inability to pay loan.
- Possible sub standard roof
- Loss of tenant
This is based on 875 square meters of roof area at $75 per square meter (65,625.00)
plus flashing cost of $9,500.00
Coloursteel has a 15 year warranty.
The analysis stated the ‘metal roof generally is in good shape despite large areas of
surface rust’ (Fletcher Construction, 2010).
2010). Some roof troughts have rusted through
at the gutter line and will need to be patched’ (Fletcher Construction, 2010).
2010) It has
been recommended that the ridge flashing should be re-fixed
re fixed and the condition of the
roof cannot be determined until the ridge flashing is removed (Fletcher Construction,
2010).
Liquip Sales (NZ) Ltd was formed in 1986 by Mr Trevor H Glogau (Managing
Director) of Wellington, New Zealand. Now, over 15 years
years later, the company has
grown and branched into specialised areas and industries .
Liquip Sales (NZ) Ltd is a major supplier of equipment for fluid handling
applications, particularly where the storage, transportation and distribution of
hazardous chemicals
icals is concerned. A strong emphasis has always been placed on
the needs of the petrochemical and related industries, while other industrial
sectors also served with a range of specialist pumping and metering equipment.
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Candidate Number: ddx819
7.9 Tobaj’s 2010 Introduced Funds
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7.11 Article on the newly renovated Liquip building (Liquip Sales, 2011)
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Maxine Glogau
Candidate Number: ddx819
7.12 SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
• Strong links with building tenants, as • Small establishing company.
shareholders are also owners. • Minimal finance, in negative equity.
• Long term tenant who has been in • The company is currently highly
business for 25 years. leveraged. This means that loan
• Shareholders have a worthy business repayments leave little cash for capital
experience. expenditure items.
• Established relationship with
financiers.
• Recently established 3 plus 3 year
leasing contract with Liquip
• The building is well located with good
car parking.
• The building is well constructed
meeting all the earthquake code
requirements and is in a well
maintained condition other than the
roof.
• Replacing or repairing the roof will
protect the value of Tobaj’s assets.
• Create favourable working conditions
for tenants.
Opportunities Threats
• Will increase the value of the building. • Liquip moving buildings.
• Prevent Liquip locating to another • Leaking roof causing damage on Liquip’s
building. stock – liability.
• However if current tenants do • Banks are becoming increasingly
relocate, will aid finding new tenants. stringent on their lending terms to
commercial and industrial property
investors.
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