Pilgreen Joshua Model CFI FinMo
Pilgreen Joshua Model CFI FinMo
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NA
Goodwill (% total investment spending) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Definite-lived intangibles (% of total intangibles) 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Deferred Income Tax Assets (% of non-current assets) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!
981 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
981 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
NA NA NA NA NA NA
0 0 0 0 0 0
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. Acquisition Target: Acquirer Scenario:
Acquisition Summary Target Scenario:
Assumptions
Transaction Inputs
Acquirer Name The Coca-Cola Company
Target Name Streamline Efficiency, Inc.
Purchase Price
Target Share Price $ 2.81
Takeover Premium 20.0%
Offer Price $3.37
Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued expenses 9,695 53
loans and notes payable 10,994 -
Current maturities of long-term debt 4,837
Accrued income taxes 414
Liabilities held for sale -
Total current liabilities 25,941 53
Shareholder's Equity
Common stock $0.25 par; Authorized — 11,200 shares; I 1,760 52
Capital surplus 17,154 -
Reinvested earnings 64,898 1,902
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (13,544)
Treasury stock, at cost — 1,207 and 1,201 shares, respect (52,244) -
Total equity atributable to shareholders of the parent 18,024 1,954
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests 2,231
Total Equity 20,255 1,954
Acquirer EPS
Target EPS
Pro Forma EPS
Accretion/ (Dilution)
Acquirer CFPS
Target CFPS
Pro Forma CFPS
Accretion/ (Dilution)
Summary Charts
20.0%
19.7% 20.4%
15.0%
10.0%
10.7%
8.4%
5.0% 6.2%
0.0%
2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Acquirer Scenario: Current Equity Value/ Sh $ 51.49
Pro Forma Equity Value/ Sh $ 56.18 % Change 9.1%
Target Opportunities
Target Number 1 2 3
Streamline Fury Boost Co. Superhot
Target Efficiency, Inc. Water, Inc.
Current Share Price $ 2.81 $ 3.38 $ 2.15
Shares Outstanding (000's) 660 620 1,100
Target Scenarios
Synergies Scenario: 1 <-- Target #
Revenue enhancement 450 450 825 575
COGS savings 750 750 165 205
Selling & Distribution Savings 125 125 15 145
Marketing & Admin Savings 10 10 35 80
R&D Savings 9 9 12 -
Financing Scenarios
Financing Scenario:
Debt Tranche
Senior Debt A 800 800 800 800
Senior Debt B 502 502 502 502
Subordinated Debt 1,254 1,254 1,254 1,254
Interest Rate
Senior Debt A 2.9% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85%
Senior Debt B 3.3% 3.25% 3.25% 32.50%
Subordinated Debt 6.6% 6.55% 6.55% 6.55%
Transaction
Takeover Premium 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Cash Consideration 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Debt Ratios
Total Debt/EBITDA (2021E) 3.9x
EBITDA/Interest (2025E) 14.8x
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Target PF Purchase Financing Financing Financing Total Adj. Consolidated
Transaction Debt+Equity Fees Refi & Debt 10/23/2020
-
53 53 9,748
- - 10,994
- - 4,837
- - 414
- - -
53 25,993
2,608 66,859
52 (52) - - 1,760
- - 17,154
1,902 (1,902) (69) (69) 64,830
- - (13,544)
- - (52,244)
(69) 17,956
2,231
(69) 20,186
2,539 87,045
0.000 0.000
2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Capital Structure
Current Pro Forma % Change
Equity 220,363 240,440 9.1%
Cash 5,692 5,959 4.7%
Debt 43,347 43,347 0.0%
Enterprise Value 258,018 277,828 7.7%
17.5% 18.0%
17.4%
15.0%
12.5%
10.0%
10.1%
7.5% 7.2% 8.4%
5.0%
2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
1
Proposed
All Cash
All Stock
50/50 Cash/Stock
50/50 Debt/Stock
1,302
1,254 2,226
65.3% 13.1%
61.1% 12.2%
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. Acquisition Target:
Pro Forma Model Target Scenario:
(in millions, except per share data) Acquirer Secenario:
Balance Sheet Check
End of Period
Days in Period
Fraction of Year
Assumptions
Depreciation (% of PP&E)
Loans and notes payable (% of total short-term debt)
Current maturities of long-term debt (% of short-term debt)
Long-term debt (% of total debt)
Equity Issuance
Shares Outstanding (000's)
Dividends Paid Per Share
Income Statement
Revenue
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)
Gross Profit
SG&A Expenses
Other operating charges - net
Operating profit
Interest Income
Interest Expense
Equity Income (loss) - net
Other Income (loss) - net
Income before Income Taxes
Taxes
Consolidated Net Income
Less: Net Income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests
Net Income attributable to shareholders of the Coca-Cola
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Total Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Marketable securities
Inventories
Trade and other receivables
Prepaid expenses and other assets
Assets held for sale
Total current assets
Total assets
Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
loans and notes payable
Current maturities of long-term debt
Accrued income taxes
Liabilities held for sale
Total current liabilities
Long-term debt
Other liabilities
Deferred income tax liabilities
Total non-current liabilities
Total liabilities
Shareholder's Equity
Common stock $0.25 par; Authorized — 11,200 shares; Issued — 7,040
Capital surplus
Reinvested earnings
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Treasury stock, at cost — 1,207 and 1,201 shares, respectively
Total equity atributable to shareholders of the parent
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests
Total Equity
Check:
Supporting Schedules
Accounts Payable
Accrued Expenses
Accounts Payable & Accrued Expenses
Depreciation Schedule
Opening PP&E Balance
Capital Expenditures
Depreciation of PP&E
Sale of PP&E
PPE Closing
Retained Earnings
Beginning balance
Net Income
Dividends to shareholders
Ending Reinvested Earnings balance
Debt Schedule
Senior Debt A
Opening Balance
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance
Senior Debt B
Opening Balance
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance
Subordinated Debt
Opening Balance
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance
Target Debt
Opening Balance
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance
Total Debt
Opening Balance
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance
Interest Schedule
Interest Rates
Senior Debt A
Senior Debt B
Subordinated Debt
Target Debt
Acquirer Long Term Debt
Acquirer Short Term Debt
DCF Model
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value 277,828
Plus: Cash 5,959
Less: Debt 43,347
Equity Value 240,440
Merger Integration
Revenue
Acquirer
Target
Synergies
Total
SG&A Expense
Acquirer
Target
Synergies
Total
- - - - - -
4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280
1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
(2,098) (2,192) (2,284) (2,374) (2,460) (2,544)
60 360 401 460 503 408
- - - - - -
(2,038) (1,832) (1,882) (1,914) (1,957) (2,137)
- - - - - -
(200) (300) (300) (300) (100) (1,354)
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
(1,334) (7,190) (7,362) (7,533) (7,704) (7,875)
- - - - - -
(1,534) (7,491) (7,662) (7,833) (7,804) (9,230)
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - - -
4 17 11 6 - -
3 16 13 10 7 3
16 82 82 82 82 82
- - - - - -
157 825 825 825 825 825
50 262 262 262 262 262
180 941 932 923 914 911
0.73%
7.10%
6.4%
0.6
4.3%
2.0%
22.0%
1.6%
10.0%
4.02%
11,505 11,812
2,531 2,599
8,974 9,213
1,679 1,712
13,183 13,524
2,460 2,544
101 117
8,091 8,264 289,211
The Coca-Cola Company 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2004 12/31/2005 12/31/2005 12/31/2006 12/31/2007 12/31/2008 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011
Days in Period 365 365 365 365 365 366 365 365 365
Fraction of Year 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
In $USD millions except per share data
Note: If you choose to modify the valuation/forecasts for Coca-Cola, please ensure to note it down with your rationale.
Assumptions
LIVE SCENARIO
Income Statement
Revenue Growth (% Change) 4.2% 6.3% 4.3% 19.8% 10.7% (3.0%) 13.3% 32.5%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 35.3% 35.5% 33.9% 36.1% 35.6% 35.8% 36.1% 39.1%
SG&A expenses (% of Revenue) 36.3% 37.8% 39.2% 37.9% 36.9% 36.7% 37.5% 37.5%
Other operating charges (% of Revenue) 2.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 2.3% 1.6%
Interest Income (% of cash & short-term investments) 2.3% 5.0% 7.9% 5.8% 7.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5%
Interest expense on short term debt (weighted average interest rate on ST debt) 2.2% 4.2% 5.2% 1.7% 4.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Interest expense on long term debt (weighted average interest rate on LT debt) 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.3%
Equity income (loss) (% of Equity Method Investments) 10.5% 10.4% 1.6% 9.2% (16.4%) 12.6% 14.7% 9.5%
Other income (loss) - net (0.27%) (0.30%) 0.81% 0.60% 0.12% 0.13% 14.76% 1.14%
U.S. Federal Corporate Tax rate 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
Tax paid (% of Pre-tax income) 22.1% 27.2% 22.8% 24.0% 21.7% 22.8% 16.7% 24.5%
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests (% of Consolidated Net Income) NA NA NA NA 1.14% 1.19% 0.42% 0.72%
Balance Sheet
Trade and Other Recievables (Days) 38 36 39 42 35 44 46 39
Inventories (Days) 68 63 73 78 70 77 76 62
Short-Term Investments (% of cash, equivalents, and ST investments) NA NA NA NA NA 12.1% 12.4% 4.3%
Marketable Securities 61 66 150 215 278 62 138 144
Assets held for sale - - - - - - - -
Prepaid Expenses & Other Current Assets (% of total CA) NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Prepaid Expenses & Other CA 1,849 1,778 1,623 2,260 1,920 2,226 3,162 3,450
Investments
Equity Method Investments 5,897 6,562 6,310 7,289 5,316 6,217 6,954 7,233
Other Investment 355 360 473 488 463 538 631 1,141
Other Non-Current Assets 2,981 2,648 2,701 2,675 1,733 1,976 2,121 3,495
Goodwill
Trademarks with indefinite lives
Bottlers' franchise rights with indefinite lives
other intangible assets
Deferred income tax assets
Trade and other payables (days) 106 40 42 48 44 46 54 44
Accrued expenses 2,165 3,591 4,126 5,535 4,835 5,247 6,972 6,837
loans and notes payable (% of total debt) 63.1% 79.3% 70.6% 63.4% 65.1% 56.9% 34.6% 45.1%
loans and notes payable (% of total short-term debt) 75.3% 99.4% 99.0% 97.8% 92.9% 99.3% 86.4% 86.3%
Current maturities of long-term debt (% of short-term debt) 24.7% 0.6% 1.0% 2.2% 7.1% 0.8% 13.6% 13.7%
Current maturities of long-term debt (% of long-term debt) 128.8% 2.4% 2.5% 4.1% 16.7% 1.0% 9.1% 14.9%
Current maturities of long-term debt (% of total debt) 20.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 5.0% 0.4% 5.4% 7.1%
Accrued income taxes 709 797 567 258 252 264 273 362
Liabilities held for sale - - - - - - - -
Long-term debt (% of total debt) 16.1% 20.2% 28.7% 35.1% 29.9% 42.7% 60.0% 47.8%
Other liabilities 2,814 1,730 2,231 3,133 3,401 2,965 4,794 5,420
Deferred income tax liabilities 402 352 608 1,890 877 1,580 4,261 4,694
Common stock 875 877 878 880 880 880 880 880
Capital surplus 4,928 5,492 5,983 7,378 7,966 8,537 10,057 11,212
Reinvested earnings 29,105 31,299 33,468 36,235 38,513 41,537 49,278 53,550
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (1,348) (1,669) (1,291) 626 (2,674) (757) (1,450) (2,703)
Treasury stock, at cost — 1,207 and 1,201 shares, respectively (17,625) (19,644) (22,118) (23,375) (24,213) (25,398) (27,762) (31,304)
Depreciation (% of Revenue) 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6%
Depreciation (% of PP&E) 11.9% 13.2% 11.4% 11.5% 12.2% 10.7% 8.2% 11.2%
Depreciation (% of SG&A) 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.6%
Intangibles (% of Revenue) 20.1% 19.5% 27.5% 50.4% 45.5% 48.1% 76.9% 59.7%
Amortization of Intangibles (% of TTM definte-lived intangibles) 17.4% 4.1% 18.6% 10.9% 7.7% 8.8% 9.9% 20.5%
Capital Expenditures (% of revenue) 3.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3%
Capital Expenditures (% of TTM PP&E) 12.4% 14.8% 24.1% 23.9% 23.2% 23.9% 23.2% 19.8%
Income Statement
Revenue 20,857 21,742 23,104 24,088 28,857 31,944 30,990 35,119 46,542
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 7,776 7,674 8,195 8,164 10,406 11,374 11,088 12,693 18,216
Gross Profit 13,081 14,068 14,909 15,924 18,451 20,570 19,902 22,426 28,326
SG&A Expenses 7,287 7,890 8,739 9,431 10,945 11,774 11,358 13,158 17,440
Other operating charges - net 573 480 85 185 254 350 313 819 732
Operating profit 5,221 5,698 6,085 6,308 7,252 8,446 8,231 8,449 10,154
Interest Income 176 157 235 193 236 333 249 317 483
Interest Expense 178 196 240 220 456 438 355 733 417
Equity Income (loss) - net 406 621 680 102 668 (874) 781 1,025 690
Other Income (loss) - net (130) (58) (70) 195 173 39 40 5,185 529
Income before Income Taxes 5,495 6,222 6,690 6,578 7,873 7,506 8,946 14,243 11,439
Taxes 1,148 1,375 1,818 1,498 1,892 1,632 2,040 2,384 2,805
Consolidated Net Income 4,347 4,847 4,872 5,080 5,981 5,874 6,906 11,859 8,634
Less: Net Income (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests - - - - - (67) (82) (50) (62)
Net Income attributable to shareholders of the Coca-Cola 4,347 4,847 4,872 5,080 5,981 5,807 6,824 11,809 8,572
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 6,707 4,701 2,440 4,093 4,701 7,021 8,517 12,803
Short-term investments - - - - - 2,130 2,682 1,088
Total Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments 6,707 4,701 2,440 4,093 4,701 9,151 11,199 13,891
Marketable securities 61 66 150 215 278 62 138 144
Inventories 1,420 1,424 1,641 2,220 2,187 2,354 2,650 3,092
Trade and other receivables 2,244 2,281 2,587 3,317 3,090 3,758 4,430 4,920
Prepaid expenses and other assets 1,849 1,778 1,623 2,260 1,920 2,226 3,162 3,450
Assets held for sale - - - - - - - -
Total current assets 12,281 10,250 8,441 12,105 12,176 17,551 21,579 25,497
Equity method investments 5,897 6,562 6,310 7,289 5,316 6,217 6,954 7,233
Other investments 355 360 473 488 463 538 631 1,141
Other assets 2,981 2,648 2,701 2,675 1,733 1,976 2,121 3,495
Property, plant & equipment - net 6,091 5,786 6,903 8,493 8,326 9,561 14,727 14,939
Goodwill 1,097 1,047 1,403 4,256 4,029 4,224 11,665 12,219
Trademarks with indefinite lives 2,037 1,946 2,045 5,153 6,059 6,183 6,356 6,430
Bottlers' franchise rights with indefinite lives - - - - - - 7,511 7,770
Deferred income tax assets - - - - - - - -
other intangible assets 702 828 1,687 2,810 2,417 2,421 1,377 1,250
Total non-current assets 19,160 19,177 21,522 31,164 28,343 31,120 51,342 54,477
Total assets 31,441 29,427 29,963 43,269 40,519 48,671 72,921 79,974
Liabilities
Accounts payable and accrued expenses 4,403 4,493 5,055 6,915 6,205 6,657 8,859 9,009
loans and notes payable 4,531 4,518 3,235 5,919 6,066 6,749 8,100 12,871
Current maturities of long-term debt 1,490 28 33 133 465 51 1,276 2,041
Accrued income taxes 709 797 567 258 252 264 273 362
Liabilities held for sale - - - - - - - -
Total current liabilities 11,133 9,836 8,890 13,225 12,988 13,721 18,508 24,283
Long-term debt 1,157 1,154 1,314 3,277 2,781 5,059 14,041 13,656
Other liabilities 2,814 1,730 2,231 3,133 3,401 2,965 4,794 5,420
Deferred income tax liabilities 402 352 608 1,890 877 1,580 4,261 4,694
Total non-current liabilities 4,373 3,236 4,153 8,300 7,059 9,604 23,096 23,770
Total liabilities 15,506 13,072 13,043 21,525 20,047 23,325 41,604 48,053
Shareholder's Equity
Common stock $0.25 par; Authorized — 11,200 shares; Issued — 7,040 875 877 878 880 880 880 880 880
Capital surplus 4,928 5,492 5,983 7,378 7,966 8,537 10,057 11,212
Reinvested earnings 29,105 31,299 33,468 36,235 38,513 41,537 49,278 53,550
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (1,348) (1,669) (1,291) 626 (2,674) (757) (1,450) (2,703)
Treasury stock, at cost — 1,207 and 1,201 shares, respectively (17,625) (19,644) (22,118) (23,375) (24,213) (25,398) (27,762) (31,304)
Total equity atributable to shareholders of the parent 15,935 16,355 16,920 21,744 20,472 24,799 31,003 31,635
Equity attributable to non-controlling interests - - - - - 547 314 286
Total Equity 15,935 16,355 16,920 21,744 20,472 25,346 31,317 31,921
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 31,441 29,427 29,963 43,269 40,519 48,671 72,921 79,974
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash & cash equivalents 183 141 (148) 65 249 (615) 576 (166) (430)
Net Increase (decrease) during the year 1,102 3,345 (2,006) (2,261) 1,653 608 2,320 1,496 4,286
Balance at the beginning of year 2,260 3,362 6,707 4,701 2,440 4,093 4,701 7,021 8,517
Less: Restricted cash and cash equivalents - - - - - - - - -
Balance at end of year 3,362 6,707 4,701 2,440 4,093 4,701 7,021 8,517 12,803
Supporting Schedules
Working Capital Schedule
Trade and other receivables na 2,244 2,281 2,587 3,317 3,090 3,758 4,430 4,920
Inventories na 1,420 1,424 1,641 2,220 2,187 2,354 2,650 3,092
Trade and other payables na 2,238 902 929 1,380 1,370 1,410 1,887 2,172
Net Working Capital (NWC) 4,516 na 1,426 2,803 3,299 4,157 3,907 4,702 5,193 5,840
Change in NWC
Accounts Payable 2,238 902 929 1,380 1,370 1,410 1,887 2,172
Accrued Expenses 2,165 3,591 4,126 5,535 4,835 5,247 6,972 6,837
Accounts Payable & Accrued Expenses 4,403 4,493 5,055 6,915 6,205 6,657 8,859 9,009
PP&E Information
Land 419 479 447 495 731 657 699 1,122 1,141
Buildings and improvements 2,615 2,853 2,692 3,020 3,539 3,408 3,816 4,883 5,240
Machinery & equipment 6,159 6,337 6,271 7,333 8,924 8,936 10,355 13,421 15,504
Containers and construction in progress 429 480 774 1,063 1,250 1,399 1,597 2,280 1,266
PP&E - cost 9,622 10,149 10,184 11,911 14,444 14,400 16,467 21,706 23,151
Accumulated depreciation (3,525) (4,058) (4,353) (5,008) (5,951) (6,074) (6,906) (6,979) (8,212)
PP&E - net 6,097 6,091 5,831 6,903 8,493 8,326 9,561 14,727 14,939
PP&E Schedule
Opening PP&E Balance na 6,097 6,091 5,831 6,903 8,493 8,326 9,561 14,727
Capital Expenditures 812 755 899 1,407 1,648 1,968 1,993 2,215 2,920
Depreciation of PP&E na (722) (769) (784) (979) (1,012) (1,023) (1,204) (1,672)
Sale of PP&E (87) (341) (88) (112) (239) (129) (104) (134) (101)
Closing PP&E Balance 6,097 6,091 5,831 6,903 8,493 8,326 9,561 14,727 14,939
Intangibles Schedule
Total Indefinite-lived intangible assets 3,824 3,672 3,675 4,937 11,726 12,120 12,484 25,645 26,532
Goodwill 1,097 1,047 1,403 4,256 4,029 4,224 11,665 12,219
Definite Lived Intangible Assets
Gross Carrying Value 263 292 314 372 685 560 344 1,264 1,582
Accumulated Amortization (98) (128) (168) (174) (192) (175) (233) (316) (445)
Net Carrying Value 165 164 146 198 493 385 111 948 1,137
Reported amortization expense na 171 29 154 184 216 213 239 282
Opening Definite lived intangibles balance 981 702 828 1,687 2,810 2,417 2,421 1,377
Additions (Reductions) na (108) 155 1,013 1,307 (177) 217 (805) 155
Less: Amortization of intangibles 171 29 154 184 216 213 239 282
Closing DLI balance 981 702 828 1,687 2,810 2,417 2,421 1,377 1,250
Equity method investments na 5,897 6,562 6,310 7,289 5,316 6,217 6,954 7,233
Other investments 355 360 473 488 463 538 631 1,141
Total minority interest na na na na na 390 547 314 286
Identifiable operating assets 21,804 25,189 22,505 23,180 35,492 34,740 41,916 65,336 71,600
Total Debt 2,583 7,178 5,700 4,582 9,329 9,312 11,859 23,417 28,568
Total Interest Expense before extraordinaries 183 260 249 293 452 267 534 344
Total interest paid 180 188 233 212 405 460 346 422 573
Total interest expense reported 178 196 240 220 456 438 355 733 417
Retained Earnings
Beginning balance 26,687 29,105 31,299 33,468 36,235 38,513 41,537 49,278
Add: Net Income 4,847 4,872 5,080 5,981 5,807 6,906 11,859 8,634
Less: Dividends to shareholders 2,429 2,678 2,911 3,149 3,521 3,800 4,068 4,300
Ending Reinvested Earnings balance 29,105 31,299 33,468 36,235 38,513 41,537 49,278 53,550
Earnings per share 2.01 2.06 2.19 2.58 2.51 3.00 2.59 1.91
Dividend per share 1.01 1.13 1.26 1.36 1.52 1.65 0.89 0.95
Common Shares Oustanding 2,409 2,369 2,318 2,318 2,312 2,303 4,583 4,526
DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 21.0%
Discount Rate 4.0%
Perpetual Growth Rate 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 16.2x<- Determined through comps/precedents
Current Price $50.22
Shares Outstanding 4,280
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E Exit Terminal Value
Date 10/18/2020 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2024 EV/EBITDA
Time periods 0 1 2 3 4 5 Perp. Growth
Year frac. 0.20 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Average
IRR FCFF (252,597) 1,130 6,486 6,597 6,700 6,823 6,912 268,397
60,000 14.0x
Revenue EV/Revenue
12.0x
50,000
10.0x
40,000
8.0x
30,000
6.0x
12.3707949028424
20,000 11.8672463 11.1676622788 10.711461 8.9412506 8.0771872 8.3258364 7.3469538 5.5437598 5.373465 5.506844 5.6093237
4.0x
6,767 7,460 7,946 7,840 9,349 9,000 10,423 16,066 13,747 14,050 13,681 11,510
38 35 32 33 28 29 25 16 19 18 19 22
10,000
2.0x
- 0.0x
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
20,000
4.0x
10,000
2.0x
- 0.0x
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Editing this shape or saving this workbook into a different file format will permanently break the
Historical Results Forecast Period
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok
12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023
366 365 365 365 366 365 365 365 366 365 365 365
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
3.2% (2.4%) (1.8%) (3.7%) (5.5%) (13.5%) (5.3%) 8.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
39.7% 39.3% 38.9% 39.5% 39.3% 37.9% 38.1% 39.2% 37.5% 37.5% 37.5% 37.5%
36.9% 36.9% 37.4% 37.1% 36.5% 35.4% 32.1% 32.5% 36.5% 36.5% 36.5% 36.5%
0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.7% 3.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 6.2% 7.1% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
8.9% 5.8% 7.7% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2%
0.29% 1.23% (2.75%) 1.42% (2.95%) (4.87%) (4.88%) 0.09% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 21.0% 21.0% 21.0% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0%
23.1% 24.8% 23.6% 23.3% 19.5% 81.4% 21.3% 16.7% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
0.74% 0.49% 0.36% 0.20% 0.35% 2.73% 0.65% 0.72% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
36 38 35 32 34 37 39 39 38 38 38 38
63 65 63 61 59 71 86 84 70 70 70 70
16.5% 21.4% 27.4% 24.9% 28.2% 25.6% 8.1% 7.2% 1,467 1,467 1,467 1,467
3,092 3,147 3,665 4,269 4,051 5,317 5,013 3,228 3,228 3,228 3,228 3,228
2,973 - 679 3,900 2,797 7,548 - - - - - -
9.8% NA 2.1% 11.7% 8.2% 20.7% NA NA 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
2,781 2,886 3,066 2,752 2,481 2,000 2,059 1,886 2,386 2,386 2,386 2,386
9,216 10,393 9,947 12,318 16,260 20,856 19,412 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025
1,232 1,119 3,678 3,470 989 1,096 867 854 854 854 854 854
3,585 4,661 4,407 4,207 4,248 4,560 4,148 6,075 6,075 6,075 6,075 6,075
45.2% 51.7% 45.7% 64.3% 64.9% 65.4% 57.4% 64.3% 46.2% 46.2% 46.2% 46.2%
5,468 3,498 4,389 4,301 4,081 8,021 7,646 8,510 8,510 8,510 8,510 8,510
4,981 6,152 5,636 4,691 3,753 2,522 2,354 2,284 2,284 2,284 2,284 2,284
1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760
11,379 12,276 13,154 14,016 14,993 15,864 16,520 17,154 17,154 17,154 17,154 17,154
58,045 61,660 63,408 65,018 65,502 60,430 63,234 65,855
(3,385) (3,432) (5,777) (10,174) (11,205) (10,305) (12,814) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544)
(35,009) (39,091) (42,225) (45,066) (47,988) (50,677) (51,719) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244)
3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 13.9% 15.5% 14.5% 10.8% 11.5% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0%
9.7% 10.1% 10.1% 10.7% 10.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5%
57.2% 59.3% 57.7% 54.9% 50.8% 46.2% 63.2% 72.1% 50.6% 50.6% 50.6% 50.6%
20.7% 20.3% 21.1% 20.7% 16.3% 9.4% 13.3% 16.1% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7%
5.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.8% 5.4% 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%
18.6% 17.6% 16.1% 17.4% 18.0% 16.5% 18.9% 21.4% 19.4% 19.4% 19.4% 19.4%
48,017 46,854 45,998 44,294 41,863 36,212 34,300 37,266 38,011 38,772 39,547 40,338
19,053 18,421 17,889 17,482 16,465 13,721 13,067 14,619 14,237 14,522 14,812 15,109
28,964 28,433 28,109 26,812 25,398 22,491 21,233 22,647 23,774 24,250 24,734 25,229
17,738 17,310 17,218 16,427 15,262 12,834 11,002 12,103 13,886 14,164 14,447 14,736
447 895 1,183 1,657 1,510 1,902 1,079 458 775 791 806 822
10,779 10,228 9,708 8,728 8,626 7,755 9,152 10,086 9,113 9,295 9,481 9,671
471 534 594 613 642 679 689 563 359 323 319 314
397 463 483 856 733 853 950 946 1,088 1,088 1,088 1,088
819 602 769 489 835 1,072 1,008 1,049 1,182 1,182 1,182 1,182
137 576 (1,263) 631 (1,234) (1,763) (1,674) 34 114 116 119 121
11,809 11,477 9,325 9,605 8,136 6,890 8,225 10,786 9,680 9,829 10,013 10,200
2,723 2,851 2,201 2,239 1,586 5,607 1,749 1,801 2,130 2,162 2,203 2,244
9,086 8,626 7,124 7,366 6,550 1,283 6,476 8,985 7,551 7,667 7,810 7,956
(67) (42) (26) (15) (23) (35) (42) (65) (60) (61) (62) (64)
9,019 8,584 7,098 7,351 6,527 1,248 6,434 8,920 7,490 7,606 7,748 7,892
- - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - -
4,526 4,469 4,402 4,366 4,324 4,288 4,259 4,268 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280
(121) (121) (98) (86) (86) (82) (39) (21) - - - -
64 54 62 44 50 53 48 33 - - - -
4,469 4,402 4,366 4,324 4,288 4,259 4,268 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280
8,442 10,414 8,958 7,309 8,555 6,006 9,077 6,480 5,692 5,592 5,482 5,368
5,017 6,707 9,052 8,322 9,595 9,352 2,025 1,467 1,467 1,467 1,467 1,467
13,459 17,121 18,010 15,631 18,150 15,358 11,102 7,947 7,159 7,059 6,949 6,835
3,092 3,147 3,665 4,269 4,051 5,317 5,013 3,228 3,228 3,228 3,228 3,228
3,264 3,277 3,100 2,902 2,675 2,655 3,071 3,379 2,723 2,785 2,841 2,897
4,759 4,873 4,466 3,941 3,856 3,667 3,685 3,971 3,960 4,050 4,131 4,214
2,781 2,886 3,066 2,752 2,481 2,000 2,059 1,886 2,386 2,386 2,386 2,386
2,973 - 679 3,900 2,797 7,548 - - - - - -
30,328 31,304 32,986 33,395 34,010 36,545 24,930 20,411 19,456 19,508 19,535 19,561
9,216 10,393 9,947 12,318 16,260 20,856 19,412 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025
1,232 1,119 3,678 3,470 989 1,096 867 854 854 854 854 854
3,585 4,661 4,407 4,207 4,248 4,560 4,148 6,075 6,075 6,075 6,075 6,075
14,476 14,967 14,633 12,571 10,635 8,203 9,598 10,838 11,323 11,798 12,265 12,709
12,255 12,312 12,100 11,289 10,629 9,401 14,109 16,764 16,764 16,764 16,764 16,764
6,527 6,744 6,533 5,989 6,097 6,729 6,682 9,266 9,266 9,266 9,266 9,266
7,405 7,415 6,689 6,000 3,676 138 51 109 109 109 109 109
- - - - - - 2,674 2,412 2,412 2,412 2,412 2,412
1,150 1,140 1,050 854 726 368 745 627 627 627 627 627
55,846 58,751 59,037 56,698 53,260 51,351 58,286 65,970 66,455 66,930 67,397 67,841
86,174 90,055 92,023 90,093 87,270 87,896 83,216 86,381 85,911 86,438 86,932 87,401.73
8,680 9,577 9,234 9,660 9,490 8,748 9,533 11,312 9,726 9,776 9,822 9,868
16,297 16,901 19,130 13,129 12,498 13,205 13,835 10,994 10,994 10,994 10,994 10,994
1,577 1,024 3,552 2,677 3,527 3,298 5,003 4,253 4,837 4,837 4,837 4,837
471 309 400 331 307 410 411 414 414 414 414 414
796 - 58 1,133 710 1,533 - - - - - -
27,821 27,811 32,374 26,930 26,532 27,194 28,782 26,973 25,971 26,022 26,067 26,113
14,736 19,154 19,063 28,407 29,684 31,182 25,376 27,516 27,516 27,516 27,516 27,516
5,468 3,498 4,389 4,301 4,081 8,021 7,646 8,510 8,510 8,510 8,510 8,510
4,981 6,152 5,636 4,691 3,753 2,522 2,354 2,284 2,284 2,284 2,284 2,284
25,185 28,804 29,088 37,399 37,518 41,725 35,376 38,310 38,310 38,310 38,310 38,310
53,006 56,615 61,462 64,329 64,050 68,919 64,158 65,283 64,281 64,332 64,377 64,423
1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760
11,379 12,276 13,154 14,016 14,993 15,864 16,520 17,154 17,154 17,154 17,154 17,154
58,045 61,660 63,408 65,018 65,502 60,430 63,234 65,855 66,326 66,741 67,128 67,487
(3,385) (3,432) (5,777) (10,174) (11,205) (10,305) (12,814) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544) (13,544)
(35,009) (39,091) (42,225) (45,066) (47,988) (50,677) (51,719) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244) (52,244)
32,790 33,173 30,320 25,554 23,062 17,072 16,981 18,981 19,452 19,867 20,254 20,613
378 267 241 210 158 1,905 2,077 2,117 2,177 2,239 2,301 2,365
33,168 33,440 30,561 25,764 23,220 18,977 19,058 21,098 21,630 22,106 22,555 22,978
86,174 90,055 92,023 90,093 87,270 87,896 83,216 86,381 85,911 86,438 86,932 87,401.34
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
9,086 8,626 7,124 7,366 6,550 1,283 6,476 8,985 7,551 7,667 7,810 7,956
1,982 1,977 1,976 1,970 1,787 1,260 1,086 1,365 1,392 1,436 1,482 1,528
259 227 209 236 258 219 225 201 - - - -
632 648 (40) 73 (856) (1,252) (413) (280) - - - -
(426) (201) (371) (122) (449) (628) (457) (421) - - - -
(130) 168 415 (137) 158 292 (50) 91 - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - -
(98) (670) 831 (374) 1,146 1,459 743 (467) - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - -
166 465 761 929 647 1,218 558 127 - - - -
254 234 149 744 (224) (252) 699 504 - - - -
(1,080) (932) (439) (157) (221) 3,442 (1,240) 366 (919) (102) (91) (93)
10,645 10,542 10,615 10,528 8,796 7,041 7,627 10,471 8,023 9,001 9,200 9,391
(255) (611) (934) (878) (6) 241 (262) (72) (265) (79) (67) (57)
(4,361) 1,972 (1,456) (1,649) 1,246 (2,477) 2,945 (2,581) (1,045) (100) (110) (113)
12,803 8,442 10,414 8,958 7,309 8,850 6,373 9,318 6,737 5,692 5,592 5,482
- - - - - 271 241 257
8,442 10,414 8,958 7,309 8,555 6,373 9,318 6,737 5,692 5,592 5,482 5,368
4,759 4,873 4,466 3,941 3,856 3,667 3,685 3,971 3,960 4,050 4,131 4,214
3,264 3,277 3,100 2,902 2,675 2,655 3,071 3,379 2,723 2,785 2,841 2,897
1,969 1,933 2,089 2,795 2,593 3,071 2,719 3,804 2,218 2,268 2,314 2,360
6,054 6,217 5,477 4,048 3,938 3,251 4,037 3,546 4,465 4,567 4,658 4,751
919 102 91 93
1,969 1,933 2,089 2,795 2,593 3,071 2,719 3,804 2,218 2,268 2,314 2,360
6,711 7,644 7,145 6,865 6,897 5,677 6,814 7,508 7,508 7,508 7,508 7,508
8,680 9,577 9,234 9,660 9,490 8,748 9,533 11,312 9,726 9,776 9,822 9,868
997 1,011 972 717 589 334 485 659 na na na na
5,307 5,605 5,539 4,914 4,574 3,917 4,322 4,576 na na na na
16,203 17,551 18,225 16,723 16,093 12,198 12,804 13,686 na na na na
979 865 522 - - - - - na na na na
23,486 25,032 25,258 22,354 21,256 16,449 17,611 18,921 na na na na
(9,010) (10,065) (10,625) (9,783) (10,621) (8,246) (8,013) (8,083) na na na na
14,476 14,967 14,633 12,571 10,635 8,203 9,598 10,838 na na na na
14,939 14,476 14,967 14,633 12,571 10,635 8,203 9,598 10,838 11,323 11,798 12,265
2,780 2,550 2,406 2,553 2,262 1,750 1,548 2,054 2,098 2,192 2,284 2,374
(1,723) (1,743) (1,736) (1,753) (1,648) (1,192) (1,037) (1,245) (1,299) (1,357) (1,414) (1,470)
(143) (111) (223) (85) (150) (108) (248) (978) (314) (360) (401) (460)
14,476 14,967 14,633 12,571 10,635 8,203 9,598 10,838 11,323 11,798 12,265 12,709
26,298 26,642 25,492 23,442 20,530 16,374 20,948 26,249 26,249 26,249 26,249 26,249
12,255 12,312 12,100 11,289 10,629 9,401 14,109 16,764 16,764 16,764 16,764 16,764
1,546 1,597 1,579 1,405 1,286 694 960 917 517 517 517 517
(507) (628) (699) (715) (688) (432) (321) (400) - - - -
1,039 969 880 690 598 262 639 517 517 517 517 517
259 234 240 217 139 68 49 120
1,250 1,150 1,140 1,050 854 726 368 745 627 535 456 389
159 224 150 21 11 (290) 426 2 - - - -
259 234 240 217 139 68 49 120 92 79 67 57
1,150 1,140 1,050 854 726 368 745 627 535 456 389 331
9,216 10,393 9,947 12,318 16,260 20,856 19,412 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025 19,025
1,232 1,119 3,678 3,470 989 1,096 867 854 854 854 854 854
378 267 241 210 158 1,905 2,077 2,177 2,177 2,177 2,177 2,177
75,726 78,543 78,343 74,208 70,021 58,615 62,937 66,502 66,032 66,559 67,053 67,523
12,871 16,297 16,901 19,130 13,129 12,498 13,205 13,835 10,994 10,994 10,994 10,994
3,426 604 2,229 (6,001) (631) 707 630 (2,841) - - - -
16,297 16,901 19,130 13,129 12,498 13,205 13,835 10,994 10,994 10,994 10,994 10,994
1,577 1,024 3,552 2,677 3,527 3,298 5,003 4,253 4,837 4,837 4,837 4,837
17,874 17,925 22,682 15,806 16,025 16,503 18,838 15,247 15,831 15,831 15,831 15,831
0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
54 36 45 79 128 231 490 305 262 262 262 262
13,656 14,736 19,154 19,063 28,407 29,684 31,182 25,376 27,516 27,516 27,516 27,516
2,657 5,442 3,461 12,021 4,804 4,796 (803) 6,393 - - - -
14,736 19,154 19,063 28,407 29,684 31,182 25,376 27,516 27,516 27,516 27,516 27,516
2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
309 421 419 483 505 561 482 523 825 825 825 825
32,610 37,079 41,745 44,213 45,709 47,685 44,214 42,763 43,347 43,347 43,347 43,347
363 457 465 562 633 792 972 828 1,088 1,088 1,088 1,088
574 498 498 515 663 803 903 921 na na na na
397 463 483 856 733 853 950 946 na na na na
53,550 58,045 61,660 63,408 65,018 65,502 60,430 63,234 65,855 66,326 66,741 67,128
9,086 8,626 7,124 7,366 6,550 1,283 6,476 8,985 7,490 7,606 7,748 7,892
4,595 4,969 5,350 5,741 6,043 6,320 6,644 6,845 7,019 7,190 7,362 7,533
58,045 61,660 63,408 65,018 65,502 60,430 63,234 65,855 66,326 66,741 67,128 67,487
2.03 1.96 1.63 1.70 1.53 0.30 1.52 2.10 1.75 1.78 1.81 1.84
1.03 1.13 1.23 1.33 1.41 1.48 1.56 1.60 1.64 1.68 1.72 1.76
4,469 4,402 4,366 4,324 4,288 4,259 4,268 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280 4,280
Discount Rate
10-Year Treasury 0.73%
Expected Market Return 7.10%
Market Risk Premium 6.4%
Beta 0.6
CAPM Cost of Equity 4.3%
Cost of Debt 2.0%
Tax Rate 21.0%
After-Tax Cost of Debt 1.6%
Terminal Value Target Gearing 10.0%
188,731 WACC 4.03%
Perp. Growth 348,063
268,397
Rate of Return
Target Price Upside 3%
5%
18,000 45.0x
EBITDA EV/EBITDA
16,000 40.0x
14,000 35.0x
12,000 30.0x
10,000 25.0x
8,000 20.0x
5.8251156
6,0006.1633822 7.125198 7.5223810288 6.9236749125 6.7879165809 6.6548201773 6.5243335072 6.39640539919
15.0x 6.2709856855 6.1480251818
11,811 10,181 8,369 9,536 12,352 11,072 11,266 11,495 11,728 11,963 12,203
4,000 10.0x
22 25 31 27 21 23 23 22 22 22 21
2,000 5.0x
- 0.0x
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
6,000 15.0x
4,000 10.0x
2,000 5.0x
- 0.0x
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
38 38 38 38
70 70 70 70
1,467 1,467 1,467 1,467
3,228 3,228 3,228 3,228
- - - -
3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
2,386 2,386 2,386 2,386
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
(2,460) (2,544) (1,699) (399)
503 408 314 60
- - - -
(1,957) (2,137) (1,386) (339)
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
(7,704) (7,875) (7,019) (1,334)
- - - -
(7,704) (7,875) (7,019) (1,334)
LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 2.7% 4.1% 4.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 32.1% 31.1% 33.9% 32.7% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3%
Advertising & Marketing Expenses (% of Revenue) 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7%
R&D Costs (% of Revenue) 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 9.5% 9.1% 4.3%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Other Expenses (% of Revenue) 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Interest (% of Debt) 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 38 39 40 42 40 40 40 40
Inventory (Days) 52 57 53 51 53 53 53 53
Accounts Payable (Days) 72 75 72 68 70 70 70 70
Capital Expenditures ($000's) 63 61 49 49 56 - - -
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) (10) (10) (10) - - 300 (60) (60)
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - - - - - - -
Payment of Dividends 20 32 34 26 28 29 30 31
Goodwill 360 360 360 360 360 360 360 360
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash & Cash Equivalents 377 550 737 945 1,152 1,679 1,868 2,112
Inventories 29 31 33 32 37 40 43 45
Trade and Other Receivables 65 68 73 79 81 85 91 97
Total Current Assets 470 649 843 1,056 1,271 1,804 2,002 2,254
PP&E 141 191 224 255 290 270 251 234
Goodwill 360 360 360 360 360 360 360 360
Total Assets 972 1,200 1,427 1,671 1,921 2,435 2,613 2,848
Liabilities
Trade and Other Payables 39 41 44 43 49 53 56 60
Total Current Liabilities 39 41 44 43 49 53 56 60
Financial Debt 102 92 82 82 82 382 322 262
Total Liabilities 141 133 126 125 131 435 378 322
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52
Retained Earnings 1,056 778 1,015 1,249 1,495 1,738 1,948 2,183 2,474
Shareholder's Equity 830 1,067 1,301 1,547 1,790 2,000 2,235 2,526
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 972 1,200 1,427 1,671 1,921 2,435 2,613 2,848
Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 167 174 186 209 207 527 189 243
Opening Cash Balance 210 377 550 737 945 1,152 1,679 1,868
Closing Cash Balance 377 550 737 945 1,152 1,679 1,868 2,112
Supporting Schedules
Depreciation Schedule
PP&E Opening 85 141 191 224 255 290 270 251
Plus Capex 63 61 49 49 56 - - -
Less Depreciation 7 11 15 18 20 20 19 18
PP&E Closing 141 191 224 255 290 270 251 234
Assumptions
Tax Rate 23.5%
Discount Rate 12.2%
Perpetual Growth Rate 1.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 16.4x
Current Price $ 2.81
Shares Outstanding 660
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Exit
Date 10/23/2020 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2024
Time periods 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year frac. 0.19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
WACC
12.2% 12.2%
13.2% 13.2%
14.2% 14.2%
600 300
4.0x
400 200
2.0x
200 100
- 0.0x -
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A
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338 350 352 373 374 333 365 438 452 490 528
54.3% 54.8% 52.9% 53.6% 51.1% 42.7% 43.9% 49.5% 48.1% 49.1% 49.9%
Forecast Results Stub
2023E 2024E 2025E 10/23/2020 12/31/2020
ok ok ok ok ok
12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 10/23/2020 12/31/2020
365 366 365 297 69
1.000 1.000 1.000 0.810 0.190
6.3% 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% Streamline expects revenue growth rate of 6.5%; growth is anticipated to slowly decline relative to the global IT services market
35.3% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Streamline's revenue
7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Streamline's revenue
6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 9.5% 9.5% The company expects to increase its R&D spending to $75 million each year for the next two years. The company expects an additiona
7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Streamline's revenue
8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% Steamline received debt financing of $300 million at yearly rate of 8.2%
23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5%
40 40 40 40 40
53 53 53 53 53
70 70 70 70 70
- - - - -
(60) (60) (60) 300 300 Steamline received debt financing of $300 million. The company is required to make equal payments of the loan until the loan matures
- - - - - Streamline will not purse share buybacks or equity issuance
32 33 34 29 29 The company will be increasing its dividend issuance amount by 2.5% each year
360 360 360 360 360 Streamline has impairment to current levels
72 77 81 49 11
60 60 60 60 14
16 15 14 16 4
8 8 8 5 1
17 12 7 25 6
173 172 171 156 37
436 475 513 253 59
102 112 121 60 14
334 363 393 194 45
64 67 72 53 53
64 67 72 53 53
202 142 82 325 382
266 209 154 378 435
52 52 52 52 52
2,775 3,105 3,463 1,902 1,948
2,827 3,157 3,515 1,954 2,000
3,093 3,366 3,669 2,332 2,435
- - - - -
- - - - -
Rate of Return
Target Price Upside 912.6%
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 104.2%
16.0x
EBITDA EV/EBITDA
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
the chart.
the chart.
the global IT services market
s. The company expects an additional $20 million increase in 2024 & 2025
42.7% 43.9%
800 40.0%
600 30.0%
999 1,058
886 941
400 781 831 20.0%
697 733
622 639 665
200 10.0%
- 0.0%
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
% 49.9%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
9 1,058
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
4A 2025A
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved.
Live Scenario:
Price per Share: $ 7.82 Historical Results Forecast Results
Fury Boost Co. 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022E
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022
Days in Period 365 366 365 365 365 366 365 365
Fraction of Year 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
In $USD millions except per share data
Assumptions
LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 3.1% 2.8% 3.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 2.7%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 59.6% 58.4% 62.2% 64.6% 63.2% 63.2% 63.2% 63.2%
SG&A Expenses (% of Revenue) 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7%
Advertising & Marketing Expenses (% of Revenue) 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
Other Expenses (% of Revenue) 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Interest (% of Debt) 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 28.0% 28.0% 28.0% 28.0% 28.1% 28.0% 28.0% 28.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26
Inventory (Days) 51 52 51 50 51 51 51 51
Accounts Payable (Days) 79 77 79 78 79 79 79 79
Capital Expenditures ($000's) 68 82 71 77 83 115 115 115
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - - - - (32) (32) (32)
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - - - - - - -
Payment of Dividends 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Goodwill - - - - - - - -
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash & Cash Equivalents 1,034 1,187 1,334 1,456 1,589 1,668 1,758 1,857
Inventory 93 95 104 108 110 114 118 121
Trade & Other Receivables 78 80 83 87 91 92 95 98
Total current assets 1,206 1,362 1,521 1,650 1,790 1,875 1,971 2,076
PP&E 789 804 807 815 829 874 916 954
Total Assets 1,995 2,166 2,328 2,465 2,618 2,749 2,887 3,030
Liabilities
Short-Term Debt - - - - - - - -
Accrued Expenses - - - - - - - -
Trade & Other Payables 144 141 160 168 173 177 183 188
Total Current Liabilities 144 141 160 168 173 177 183 188
Financial Debt 486 486 486 486 486 454 422 390
Total Liabilities 630 627 646 654 659 631 605 578
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 104 104 104 104 104 104 104 104
Retained Earnings 1,101 1,261 1,434 1,578 1,707 1,856 2,014 2,178 2,348
Additional Paid-In Capital - - - - - - - -
Treasury Stock - - - - - - - -
Shareholder's Equity 1,365 1,538 1,682 1,811 1,960 2,118 2,282 2,452
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 1,995 2,166 2,328 2,465 2,618 2,749 2,887 3,030
Supporting Schedules
Working Capital Schedule
Accounts Receivable 78 80 83 87 91 92 95 98
Inventory 93 95 104 108 110 114 118 121
Accounts Payable 144 141 160 168 173 177 183 188
Net Working Capital (NWC) 20 28 34 28 26 28 29 30 31
Change in NWC 8 6 (6) (1) 2 1 1 1
Depreciation Schedule
PP&E Opening 788 789 804 807 815 829 874 916
Plus Capex 68 82 71 77 83 115 115 115
Less Depreciation 67 67 68 69 69 70 73 77
PP&E Closing 789 804 807 815 829 874 916 954
Debt & Interest Schedule
Debt Opening 486 486 486 486 486 486 454 422
Issuance (repayment) - - - - - (32) (32) (32)
Debt Closing 486 486 486 486 486 454 422 390
Interest Expense 35 35 35 35 35 33 30 28
DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 28.0%
Discount Rate 7.7%
Perpetual Growth Rate 1.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 16.8x
Current Price $ 3.38
Shares Outstanding 620
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Exit
Date 10/23/2020 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2024
Time periods 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year frac. 0.19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
WACC
7.7% 7.7%
8.7% 8.7%
9.7% 9.7%
1,600 4.0x
400
Revenue EV/Revenue
1,400 EBITDA E
350
1,200
300
1,000
250
600 150
400 100
200 50
- 0.0x -
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2
200 50
- 0.0x -
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2
2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% Fury Boost Co anticpates revenue growth of 3.3% in 2020, slowly declining until 1.8% in 2025
63.2% 63.2% 63.2% 63.2% 63.2% Costs and expenses will increase proportionally to Fury's revenue
4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% Costs and expenses will increase proportionally to Fury's revenue
3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% Costs and expenses will increase proportionally to Fury's revenue
8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% Costs and expenses will increase proportionally to Fury's revenue
7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%
28.0% 28.0% 28.0% 28.0% 28.0%
26 26 26 26 26
51 51 51 51 51
79 79 79 79 79
115 150 150 115 115 Fury expects to spend about $115 million each year for the next 4 years. The company expects to spend an additional $35 million in 20
(32) (358) - (32) (32) Fury is currently required to repay $32 million of debt each year, with the remaining balance to paid in full in 2024
- - - - - Fury Boost will not pursue share buybacks
8 8 8 8 8 The company will maintain its level of divident issuance
- - - - - Fury does not anticipate any impariment to goodwill
66 68 69 49 12
52 53 54 39 9
80 83 89 56 13
26 - - 26 6
224 204 212 171 40
(39) (40) (41) (29) (7)
255 285 286 187 44
71 80 80 52 12
183 205 206 134 32
- - - - -
- - - - -
193 196 200 177 177
193 196 200 177 177
358 - - 460 454
551 196 200 637 631
Terminal Value
EV/EBITDA 6,184
Perp. Growth 2,076
Average 4,130
Rate of Return
Target Price Upside 436.1%
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 55.3%
Exit Multiple
14.8x 16.8x 18.8x 20.8x
16.0x
EBITDA EV/EBITDA
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
7A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
2.0x
0.0x
7A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Assumptions
LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 4.3% 3.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 3.1%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 53.5% 52.2% 54.2% 55.2% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2%
SG&A Expenses (% of Revenue) 20.2% 21.1% 20.8% 21.7% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5%
Advertising & Marketing Expenses (% of Revenue) 5.6% 5.3% 4.8% 4.9% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
Interest (% of Debt) 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 27 26 25 25 24 24 25 25
Inventory (Days) 72 72 72 72 72 72 25 25
Accounts Payable (Days) 65 67 66 68 65 65 25 25
Capital Expenditures ($000's) 102 97 94 108 90 103 103 103
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - - - - - - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - - - - - - -
Payment of Dividends - - - - - - - -
Goodwill - - - - - - - -
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 669 757 839 898 982 1,085 1,208 1,328
Inventories 128 130 140 147 149 154 55 57
Trade & Other Receivables 90 90 90 93 90 95 102 105
Total current assets 886 977 1,069 1,137 1,221 1,334 1,366 1,490
PP&E 1,028 1,038 1,043 1,063 1,062 1,096 1,128 1,158
Goodwill - - - - - - - -
Total Assets 1,914 2,015 2,112 2,200 2,283 2,430 2,494 2,648
Liabilities
Short term debt - - - - - - - -
Trade & Other Payables 115 121 129 139 135 139 55 57
Total current liabilities 115 121 129 139 135 139 55 57
Long term debt 670 670 670 670 670 670 670 670
Total liabilities 785 791 799 809 805 809 725 727
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550
Additional paid-in capital - - - - - - - -
Retained earnings 496 579 674 764 841 929 1,071 1,219 1,371
Shareholder's Equity 1,128 1,224 1,314 1,391 1,479 1,621 1,769 1,921
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 1,914 2,015 2,112 2,200 2,283 2,430 2,494 2,648
Supporting Schedules
Depreciation Schedule
PP&E Opening 1,012 1,028 1,038 1,043 1,063 1,062 1,096 1,128
Plus Capex 102 97 94 108 90 103 103 103
Less Depreciation 86 87 88 89 90 69 71 73
PP&E Closing 1,028 1,038 1,043 1,063 1,062 1,096 1,128 1,158
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Exit
Date 10/23/2020 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2024
Time periods 0 1 2 3 4 5
Year frac. 0.19 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
WACC
9.1% 9.1%
10.1% 10.1%
11.1% 11.1%
600 100
400
50
200
-
- 0.0x 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
203 222 216 199 214 271 280 289 292 300 307
15.0 13.7 14.1 15.3 14.2 11.2 10.8
This chart isn't available in your version of Excel.10.5 10.4 10.1 9.9
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Forecast Results Stub
2023E 2024E 2025E 10/23/2020 12/31/2020
ok ok ok ok ok
12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 10/23/2020 12/31/2020
365 366 365 297 69
1.000 1.000 1.000 0.810 0.190
2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% Superhot is expected to have revenue growth of 3.55% that will gradually decline
54.2% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2% 54.2% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Superhot's revenue
22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Superhot's revenue
4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% Cost and expenses will increase proportionally to Superhot's revenue
6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% No interest payments until 2023, then 7.2%; changes to 6.5% in 2024
29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5%
25 25 25 24 24
25 25 25 72 72
25 25 25 65 65
120 120 120 103 103 Superhot Water is expected to spend about $103 million each year for the next 3 years. From 2023 onwards, CAPEX will increase $120
(600) - - - - Superhot has $600 million of debt retiring in 2023 which the company plans to pay out in full
(300) - - - - Superhot will repurchase $300 million worth of equity in 2023
- - - - - No dividends
- - - - -
- - - - -
59 60 62 139 139
59 60 62 139 139
70 70 70 670 670
129 130 132 809 809
(600) - - - -
(300) - - - -
- - - - -
(900) - - - -
Rate of Return
Target Price Upside 74.3%
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 21.7%
18.0x
EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.0x
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
17A 2018A 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Inventories (Days)
Base 70
Bull 61
Bear 75
Selected Case 70
Depreciation (% of Revenue)
Base 3.5%
Bull 3.5%
Bear 3.5%
Selected Case 3.5%
Depreciation (% of PP&E)
Base 12.0%
Bull 10.0%
Bear 13.0%
Selected Case 12.0%
Depreciation (% of SG&A)
Base 9.5%
Bull 11.0%
Bear 8.5%
Selected Case 9.5%
Synergies
Base
Bull
Bear
Selected Case
Revenue enhancement
Base 450
Bull 465
Bear 435
Selected Case 450
COGS savings
Base 750
Bull 760
Bear 740
Selected Case 750
Distribution Savings
Base 125
Bull 130
Bear 120
Selected Case 125
R&D Savings
Base 8.5
Bull 9
Bear 8
Selected Case 9
Synergies
Base
Bull
Bear
Selected Case
Revenue enhancement
Base 825
Bull 850
Bear 800
Selected Case 825
COGS savings
Base 165
Bull 175
Bear 155
Selected Case 165
Distribution Savings
Base 15
Bull 20
Bear 10
Selected Case 15
R&D Savings
Base 12
Bull 14
Bear 10
Selected Case 12
Synergies
Base
Bull
Bear
Selected Case
Revenue enhancement
Base 575
Bull 595
Bear 555
Selected Case 575
COGS savings
Base 205
Bull 215
Bear 195
Selected Case 205
Distribution Savings
Base 145
Bull 155
Bear 135
Selected Case 145
R&D Savings
Base 0
Bull 0
Bear 0
Selected Case 0
Financing Scenarios
1
Debt Tranche & Transaction Senior Debt A
Proposed 800
All Cash 0
All Stock 0
50/50 Cash/Stock 0
50/50 Debt/Stock 800
Selected Case 800
Forecast Period
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
38 38 38 38 38
33 33 33 33 33
41 41 41 41 41
38 38 38 38 38
70 70 70 70 70
61 61 61 61 61
75 75 75 75 75
70 70 70 70 70
57 57 57 57 57
50 50 50 50 50
65 65 65 65 65
57 57 57 57 57
The company expects to increase its R&D spending to $75 million each year for the next two years. The company expects an
The company expects to increase its R&D spending to $75 million each year for the next two years. The company expects an
The company expects to increase its R&D spending to $75 million each year for the next two years. The company expects an
The company expects to increase its R&D spending to $75 million each year for the next two years. The company expects an
Market Data: Technology - Artificial Intelligence Market (in $USD billions unless specified)
Source: Statista as of 31 August, 2020
Projected Impact by Industry Sector and Adoption Maturity Near Term (0-3 yr)
Retail 54%
Transportation & Logistics 41%
Manufacturing 14%
Predicted Workforces Changes from Adopting AI by Industry (by 2023) Chance of Decrease
Consumer Packaged Goods 45%
Retail 39%
Travel, Transport, and Logistics 44%
200 -1.0%
- -2.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Project Oriented
Support and Training
100
80
60
40
20
-
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
-
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
15.1%
21.7%
18.7%
7.2%
© Corporate Finance Institute®. All rights reserved.
350,000 338,185
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
94,408
100,000
62,642
53,034
50,000 37,114
200,000
150,000
94,408
100,000
62,642
53,034
50,000 37,114
-
United States China Japan Germany United Kingdom
Periods 0 1 2
Non-Alcoholic Drinks Market 2012 2013 2014
Revenue Value Share
At-Home 57.3% 57.7% 58.2%
Out-of-Home 42.7% 42.3% 41.8%
Volume Share
At-Home 89.3% 89.4% 89.4%
Out-of-Home 10.7% 10.6% 10.6%
y Country
Global Non-Alcoholic Drink Revenue
1,600,000
1,441
1,386,261
1,400,000 1,335,285
1,258,755
1,200,000 1,125,177 1,155,205
1,038,054
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
37,114
200,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
37,114
200,000
ny United Kingdom
-
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 202
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 *According to Bloomgberg - Includes: Carbonates, Bottled W
504,159 516,384 524,690 529,076 539,283 549,357
154,791 158,591 162,147 164,375 168,321 171,072
117,286 117,286 124,328 123,377 123,092 125,827
74,643 75,832 76,599 77,218 79,084 80,723
27,004 26,282 26,545 26,737 28,053 28,918
ink Revenue
15.0%
1,441,158
1,386,261
,285
10.0%
Growth Rate (%)
5.0%
(5.0%)
Growth Rat
-
(5.0%)
(10.0%)
23 2024 2025
10 11 12 13
2022 2023 2024 2025 CAGR
o Bloomgberg - Includes: Carbonates, Bottled Water, Juice, RTD Tea and Coffee, Energy Drinks, Sports Drinks, Concentrates, and Asian Specialty
© Corporate Finance Institute®. All rights reserved.
Market Data: Soft Drinks - Energy Drinks Segment (in $USD millions unless specified)
Source: Statista & Bloomberg as of 25 August, 2020
50,000
40,000
30,000
69,820
70,000 65,130
60,760
60,000 56,680
54,583
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 202
s unless specified)
8.0%
80,240 18,076.0
18,000
74,850 7.0%
69,820 16,000
6.0% 14,169.0
14,000
5.0% 12,000
4.0% 10,000
8,000
3.0%
69,820 16,000
6.0% 14,169.0
Gro
14,000
5.0% 12,000
4.0% 10,000
8,000
3.0%
6,000
2.0%
4,000
1.0% 2,000
- -
2023 2024 2025 North America APAC
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
44,755 46,648 48,115 51,043 54,583 56,680 60,760
7.1% 4.2% 3.1% 6.1% 6.9% 3.8% 7.2%
14,169.0
13,476.0
8,707.0
14,169.0
13,476.0
8,707.0
Market Data: Hot Beverages - Tea Segment (in $USD millions unless specified)
Source: Statista, last update: 2020-07
90,000 86,298
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
-
China Brazil India Japan United
Periods 0 1 2 3
Revenue Data 2012 2013 2014 2015
Total, At-Home 53,462 61,266 68,656 76,668
Growth (% change YOY) 13% 14.6% 12.1% 11.7%
Volume Data
Total Volume (Million Kgs) 4,937 5,179 5,400 5,610
At-Home 4,729 4,959 5,169 5,365
Out-of-Home 208 219 232 244
Growth (% change YOY) 4.9% 4.3% 3.9%
Price Data
Average Price per Kg 22.96 24.46 26.08 27.89
At-Home 11.31 12.35 13.28 14.29
Out-of-Home 287.88 298.24 311.75 326.50
Growth (% change YOY) 6.5% 6.6% 6.9%
300,000
250,000 232,
215,148
200,105 199,383
200,000 185,967
171,306
156,433
150,000 140,853
126,665
113,361
100,000
13,777 12,963
50,000
-
Japan United States 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
84,494 91,669 98,162 105,476 110,424 120,256 130,117
10.2% 8.5% 7.1% 7.5% 4.7% 8.9% 8.2%
232,381
215,148 10%
Growth Rate (%)
200,105 199,383
185,967
6
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
11 12 13
2023 2024 2025 CAGR
140,190 146,736 153,859 8.5%
7.7% 4.7% 4.9%
Market Data: Hot Beverages - Coffee Segment (in $USD millions unless specified)
Source: Statista as of 25 August, 2020
70,000
60,000
50,000 47,096
40,000 37,588
30,000
60,000
50,000 47,096
40,000 37,588
30,000
23,311
20,000
10,000
-
United States Brazil Japan Canada G
s specified)
Periods 0 1 2
Segment Data 2012 2013 2014
Revenue Value Share
At-Home 21.6% 21.2% 20.5%
Out-of-Home 78.4% 78.8% 79.5%
Volume Share
At-Home 82.8% 82.5% 82.1%
Out-of-Home 17.2% 17.5% 17.9%
Revenue Data
Total, At-Home 60,486 63,682 65,645
Growth (% change YOY) 5.3% 3.1%
Instant 18,091 19,193 20,135
Roast 42,395 44,489 45,510
Price Data
Average Price per Unit 46.10 47.96 50.00
Instant Coffee 62.13 63.33 65.18
Roast Coffee 41.73 43.91 45.98
Growth (% change YOY) 4.0% 4.3%
y Country
ons) Global Coffee Reve
700,000
600,000
5
493,068
500,000
430,983 436,632
400,000 362,601
300,000
5
493,068
500,000
430,983 436,632
400,000 362,601
300,000
23,311 22,458
200,000
100,000
-
Canada Germany 2019 2020 2021 2022
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
600,321 20%
569,417
535,413
15%
493,068
436,632 10%
rowth Rate (%)
601 5%
-
535,413
15%
493,068
436,632 10%
(5%)
(10%)
(15%)
(20%)
20 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
10 11 12 13
2022 2023 2024 2025 CAGR
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Segmented Comparables
Sparkling Soft Drinks
PepsiCo PEP 12/28/2019 133.53 147.20 101.42
Keurig Dr Pepper KHC 12/28/2019 31.78 34.00 19.99
National Beverage Corp FIZZ 05/02/2020 67.07 68.86 35.71
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Energy/Sports Drinks
RedBull GmbH 37.70% Private
Monster Beverage Corp 42.90% MNST 12/31/2019 71.42 73.43 50.06
PepsiCo Inc 7.10% PEP 12/28/2019 133.53 147.2 101.42
Minimum
Median
Mean
Maximum
Tax Rate 21%
TTM Financial Data
Shares Outstanding Market Capitalization Cash & Equivalents Current Assets PP&E
INVESTMENTS
Equity method investments -
Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Company S.A. 1,067
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. 1,569
Coca-Cola Amatil Limited 792
Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. 736
Other, principally bottling companies and joint ventures 1,733
Other investments, principally bottling companies 355
TOTAL INVESTMENTS 6,252
OTHER ASSETS 2,981
Deferred income tax assets -
PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT — net 6,091
TRADEMARKS WITH INDEFINITE LIVES 2,037
Bottler's franchise rights with indefinite lives -
GOODWILL 1,097
OTHER INTANGIBLE ASSETS 702
TOTAL ASSETS 31,441
SHAREOWNERS' EQUITY
Common stock $0.25 par; Authorized — 11,200 shares; Issued — 7,040 875
Capital surplus 4,928
Reinvested earnings 29,105
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (1,348)
Treasury stock, at cost — 1,207 and 1,201 shares, respectively (17,625)
TOTAL SHAREOWNERS' EQUITY attributable to shareholders 15,935
Non-Controlling Interests -
Total Equity 15,935
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREOWNERS' EQUITY 31,441
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Purchases of investments (177) (46)
Proceeds from disposals of investents - -
Acquisitions of businesses, equity method investments, and non marketable securities (359) (267)
Proceeds from disposal of businesses, equity method investments, and non marketable 147 161
Purchases of property, plant and equipment (812) (755)
Proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment 87 341
Other investing activities 178 63
Net cash used in investing activities (936) (503)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Issuances of debt 1,026 3,030
Payments of debt (1,119) (1,316)
Issuances of stock 98 193
Purchases of stock for treasury (1,440) (1,739)
Dividends (2,166) (2,429)
Other financing activities - -
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (3,601) (2,261)
-
-
© Corporate Finance Institute. All rights reserved. 2018
The Coca-Cola Company 03/30/18 06/29/18
In $USD millions except per share data
PER-SHARE DATA
BASIC NET INCOME PER SHARE 0.32 0.54
DILUTED NET INCOME PER SHARE 0.32 0.54
8,601 7,150
3,371 3,013
5,230 4,137
2,648 1,983
202 173
2,380 1,981
112 100
193 274
167 176
544 214
3,010 2,197
215 438
2,795 1,759
20 (20)
2,775 1,779
2,795 1,759
0.65 0.41
0.64 0.41
4,289 4,295
36 21
4,325 4,316
13,561 10,037
1,713 7,551
15,274 17,588
2,392 2,228
4,430 3,849
3,558 3,501
2,580 2,205
28,234 29,371
18,020 18,189
652 746
6,001 5,875
2,275 2,366
10,993 10,695
10,457 10,172
108 103
16,673 16,617
600 555
94,013 94,689
12,640 11,668
13,657 9,423
5,642 5,181
458 576
32,397 26,848
31,094 37,729
8,832 8,954
1,856 1,969
74,179 75,500
1,760 1,760
17,312 17,367
66,870 66,888
(15,696) (16,460)
(52,088) (52,071)
18,158 17,484
1,676 1,705
19,834 19,189
94,013 94,689
4,554
748
36
(39)
(212)
(67)
na
(901)
na
341
52
(1,726)
2786
(8,294)
2,649
(984)
46
(536)
112
40
(6,967)
19,775
(10,304)
444
(93)
(1,761)
(16)
8045
(172)
3,692
6,737
392
6,345