Sustainability 14 00358
Sustainability 14 00358
Article
A High-Resolution Wind Farms Suitability Mapping
Using GIS and Fuzzy AHP Approach: A National-Level Case
Study in Sudan
Amr S. Zalhaf 1,2 , Bahaa Elboshy 3, * , Kotb M. Kotb 1 , Yang Han 2 , Abdulrazak H. Almaliki 4 ,
Reda M. H. Aly 4 and M. R. Elkadeem 1
1 Electrical Power and Machines Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Tanta University,
Tanta 31511, Egypt; amr.salah@f-eng.tanta.edu.eg (A.S.Z.); kotb.mohamed@f-eng.tanta.edu.eg (K.M.K.);
mohammad.elkadim@f-eng.tanta.edu.eg (M.R.E.)
2 School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of
China (UESTC), Chengdu 611731, China; hanyang@uestc.edu.cn
3 Department of Architectural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Tanta University, Tanta 31511, Egypt
4 Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Taif University, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia;
a.almaliki@tu.edu.sa (A.H.A.); rmaly@tu.edu.sa (R.M.H.A.)
* Correspondence: bahaa.elboshi@f-eng.tanta.edu.eg
Abstract: Wind energy is one of the most attractive sustainable energy resources since it has low oper-
ation, maintenance, and production costs and a relatively low impact on the environment. Identifying
the optimal sites for installing wind power plants (WPPs) is considered an important challenge of
wind energy development which requires careful and combined analyses of numerous criteria. This
study introduces a high-resolution wind farms suitability mapping based on Fuzzy Analytical Hier-
archy Process (FAHP) and Geographic Information System (GIS) approaches considering technical,
Citation: Zalhaf, A.S.; Elboshy, B.; environmental, social, and spatial aspects, representing eight different criteria. First, a multi-criteria
Kotb, K.M.; Han, Y.; Almaliki, A.H.;
decision-making analysis based on the FAHP method is employed to assign appropriate weights for
Aly, R.M.H.; Elkadeem, M.R. A
the addressed criteria with respect to their relative importance. Since the traditional AHP method,
High-Resolution Wind Farms
which was found employed in the majority of the relative case-studies, is not efficient in dealing with
Suitability Mapping Using GIS and
uncertainty when experts use a basic scale (0 to 1) for their assessments, the FAHP provides more
Fuzzy AHP Approach: A
National-Level Case Study in Sudan.
flexible scales through the utilized fuzzy membership functions and the natural linguistic variables.
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358. https:// Consequently, this helps to facilitate the assessments made by experts and increases the precision of
doi.org/10.3390/su14010358 the obtained results (weights). Next, the high-resolution GIS is used to carry out a spatial analysis
and integrate various factors/criteria throughout the proposed index to produce the final suitability
Academic Editors: Hoseyn Sayyaadi
map and identify the unsuitable areas. The presented study emphasizes investigating the lightning
and Ali Sohani
strike flash rate due to its significant influences on the wind turbine’s safety and operation, yet this
Received: 20 November 2021 crucial factor has been seldomly investigated in previous studies. The obtained findings revealed
Accepted: 27 December 2021 that the wind speed, the land slope, and the elevation had the highest weighted criteria with 33.1%,
Published: 29 December 2021
24.8%, and 12.2%, respectively. Besides, the final-developed suitability map revealed that 23.22% and
Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral 8.31% of the Sudanese territory are of high and very high suitability, respectively, for wind farms
with regard to jurisdictional claims in installation which are considered sufficient to cover the electricity needs. The difficulty of acquiring
published maps and institutional affil- real data and resources for the addressed location was the main challenge of the presented work. The
iations. work outlook addresses the suitability mapping of hybrid photovoltaic-wind turbine energy systems,
which will require addressing new and significant criteria in the applied methodology.
Keywords: wind farms; suitability analysis; Geographic Information System (GIS); Fuzzy Analytical
Copyright: © 2021 by the authors.
Hierarchy Process (FAHP); multi-criteria decision making
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (https://
1. Introduction
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ Sudan is located in the northern part of the Africa continent. It has two tributaries of
4.0/). the River Nile (the White Nile and the Blue Nile), making it a sizeable agricultural area
where millions of people are concentrating. About 54% of Sudan’s population suffers from
electricity shortage, where most of them are supplied by standalone diesel generators [1,2].
The electrical energy supply in Sudan mainly depends on fossil fuels, which negatively im-
pacts the environment and humans. Sudan is facing many energy development challenges
brought about by high electricity subsidy levels and climate-induced impacts on hydroelec-
tric generation, which has been decreasing at a rate of about 4% per year. Improving access
to modern and affordable energy is a development priority for Sudan [3]. Therefore, the
Sudanese government seeks to achieve a clean and reliable electrical energy supply since
Sudan has high wind and solar potential.
Wind energy is one of the newest and fast-developing renewable energy sources since it
is a clean, renewable, and has a low impact on humans and the environment [4]. In addition,
wind turbines (WTs) are easy to install and require low operation and maintenance costs [5].
The newly-installed capacity of wind energy in 2018 have reached 51.3 GW worldwide [6].
For the development of wind energy projects, many factors that affect the wind project’s
outcome must be considered. One of the essential factors is finding a suitable investment
site for a wind power plant (WPP) considering the preliminary assessment for economic,
technical, environmental, and land-use implementation conditions. Additionally, some
essential factors must be considered when selecting wind farm locations, such as the
negative impacts of WTs on birds and wildlife, shadow flickering, visual impacts, and
electromagnetic interference [7]. Hence, the locations with the highest wind speed do not
need to be the best sites, but a trade-off must be made between various economic, physical,
and ecological factors to select the optimal locations [8].
Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques identify suitable locations for
installing wind farms. There are different techniques used for MCDM which can be
combined with the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) environment such as rating
method, weighted sum method (WSM), ranking method, Weighted Linear Combination
(WLC), analytical hierarchy process (AHP), Boolean overlay operation, trade-off analysis
method, analytic network process (ANP), trade-off analysis method, concordance analysis,
Order Weighted Average (OWA), ELimination Et Choice Translating Reality (ELECTRE),
Full Consistency Method (FUCOM), Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal
Solution (TOPSIS), Best-Worst Method (BWM) and Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) [9].
The WSM is commonly used for single-dimensional decision-making problems, but it
is difficult to be applied in multi-dimensional problems [10]. In addition, the ELECTRE
method is mostly suitable when decision-making problems have some criteria with a
large number of alternatives. However, it sometimes cannot identify the most preferred
alternative [11]. The AHP is considered the most commonly used MCDM technique in
the literature for assessing renewable energy location as it is simple, intuitive, and can
check the consistency of the decision. It has the advantage of reducing the complexity of
decision-making problems which need a high level of reliability and flexibility. In addition,
it has the ability to combine quantitative and qualitative criteria in the same framework.
AHP is a mathematical approach used to make a pairwise criteria comparison where it
specifies a weight of relative importance to each criterion according to the experts’ opinions
of decision-makers [12,13]. On the other hand, if the uncertainty between various criteria
is considered, the AHP can be integrated with fuzzy set theory to give more accurate
results [14].
Many researchers widely used GIS-based MCDM to select the optimal location of
WPP s [7,14–20]. A framework was proposed before [7] to select suitable locations for
wind farm installation in Greece at the regional level. The GIS-based MCDM analysis
was implemented in the study, where the fuzzy set approach was used to represent the
evaluation criteria. Moreover, the suitable sites of wind farms in a province in Iran were
assessed using the ANP and decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL)
method in the GIS environment [15]. The ANP was used to calculate the weights of criteria,
where the criteria relationships were determined using the DEMATEL method. Also, the
TOPSIS method combined with an intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) has been used to determine
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358 3 of 21
the suitable location for wind farms [21], and FUCOM was used in another research
for the same goal [22]. Furthermore, BWM has been used to assess the sustainability
performances of existing onshore wind plants [23]. Also, the suitable locations for the wind
farms installation in the province of Vojvodina, Serbia, were identified based on the ANP
technique, the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) technique,
and Multi-Attributive Border Approximation Area Comparison (MABAC) method in the
environment of GIS [16]. The authors considered the economic, social, and environmental
aspects for site assessment, classified into eleven constraints and eleven evaluation criteria.
The criteria weights were calculated using the ANP-DEMATEL, and the selected
viable locations were ranked using the MABAC methodology. Furthermore, the best sites
for wind turbines in Murcia, Spain, were selected and evaluated before [17]. The locations
were assessed using two techniques; the lexicographic order filtering method based on the
chosen criteria, and the ELECTRE-TRI method is used as an MCDM technique. Another
work [18] built a framework to select the best locations for offshore WTs in China using
the ELECTRE-III technique based on the intuitionistic fuzzy set. The AHP methodology
was implemented with GIS to determine the optimal locations of WPPs in an area in
Germany [19]. In the study, nine criteria were used, including techno-economic, socio-
political, and environmental aspects, where several experts were asked to make the pairwise
comparison and derive the relative weights. In addition, the optimal locations of WPPs on
an island in Greece were assessed using the AHP methodology combined with the GIS [20].
Different criteria were used in the study comprising the wind power potential, land cover
type, visual impact, power consumption, the land value, and the distance from the power
grid, then the complete suitability map of the island was created. Additionally, the AHP
method has been used to determine the suitable sites for wind-solar energy plants [24].
In another research, AHP has been combined with the stochastic approach (SMAA-2) to
determine the best location for wind farms [25]. Another work conducted a strategy using
the fuzzy set combined with AHP to identify the best locations of wind farms in Turkey
based on wind speed, slope, building, and vegetation criteria [14]. In addition, the sites
with minimum negative impacts on the rural areas were determined.
In this work, the area of study is in Sudan, where no previous research was conducted
to select the optimal sites of WPPs. In this study, an MCDM framework based on the
fuzzy-AHP method is performed to identify the optimal wind farm installation sites
using GIS software. The best locations are identified considering various criteria such as
wind speed, slope, distance from transmission lines (TLs) and power grids (PG), distance
from urban/major cities, distance from airports, elevation, distance from major roads and
railways, and the lightning strike flash rate. Therefore, the areas with a lower lightning flash
rate must be considered when selecting places for installing WPPs. The main contributions
and novelty of this study can be summarized as follows:
- Proposing a high-resolution wind farms suitability mapping-based Fuzzy Analytical
Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and Geographic Information System (GIS) approaches
considering technical, environmental, social, and spatial aspects in the Sudanese
territory where, as to the best of authors’ knowledge, there no research investigations
were conducted to select optimal locations of constructing WPPs.
- The presented FAHP approach provides more flexible scales through the utilized fuzzy
membership functions and the natural linguistic variables. Consequently, facilitate
the assessments made by experts and increase the precision of the obtained weights.
- The presented study emphasizes investigating the lightning strike flash rate due to its
significant influences on wind turbine’s safety and operation, yet this crucial factor
has been seldomly investigated in previous studies. The main concern of examining
this factor is that when lightning hits WTs, large overvoltages are generated on their
bodies, damaging different parts of the WTs.
The presented research is structured as follows: the materials and methodology of the
study are described in Section 2, Section 3 presents the results and related discussions, and
finally, the study conclusions are stated in Section 4.
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358 4 of 21
Figure 1. Proposed framework for assessment of suitable sites of wind farms in Sudan.
2.2.2. Slope
The slope is a critical technical index for wind farms construction. The accessibility
of maintenance and installation equipment is affected by the high slope and increases the
installation cost. Hence, selecting flat areas and locations with lower slopes for wind farm
installation is highly-recommended. In this work, the areas with slopes greater than 15%
are excluded from the final suitability map [30]. The Sudanese digital elevation model
(DEM) data has been used for the slope factor in this study.
2.2.4. Elevation
The wind direction and speed are greatly affected by the site elevation. WTs are
usually installed on highly elevated areas to capture more wind speeds [32]. However, this
increases the construction cost and the difficulty of installation and maintenance operations.
Therefore, the appropriate site for wind farms should be selected wisely. In this study, the
highest elevation is 1250 m, and the lowest elevation is 0 m, in which the elevation map
was extracted from DEM data of Sudan.
2.3. Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Using Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) Method
In the multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, the AHP is the most wide-
spread criterion weighting technique [38,39]. However, it cannot handle vagueness in
human reasoning. To solve the imprecision in AHP, exact numbers are replaced with fuzzy
linguistic expressions known as FAHP, giving more accurate and adequate judgment [12,40].
Figure 2 demonstrates the phases of the applied FAHP method while the derailed steps of
the FAHP procedure can be summarized as follows [39]:
1. Develop a hierarchical structure with a top-level goal, selecting middle-level criteria
and the different alternatives at the bottom level.
2. Each expert or decision-maker (DM) establishes a fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix
based on his ratings. This matrix exemplifies the relative importance of different
criteria concerning the goal with the help of the scale of relative importance, which is
indicated in Table 1 [39].
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3. Test the consistency of each comparison matrix. The matrix is judged consistent if the
inconsistencies amongst the pairwise comparisons are within a fixed limit known as
consistency ratio (CR = 0.1) [41]. Otherwise, the DMs need to re-assess their ratings.
CR can be calculated from Equation (1), where CI is the consistency index; λm is the
principal eigenvalue of the comparison matrix; RI is the random index which depends
on the matrix size (n), which can be found in [12].
CI λm − n
CR = , CI = (1)
RI n−1
4. Synthesize the ‘DMs’ ratings in a single fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix since the
ratings of various DMs could differ. Their thoughts should be aggregated to generate
a single result. To explain, let (DM1, DM2, . . . , DMn) be the n DMs, (F1, F2, . . . ,
Fx) be the x KPC, and F~ij(n) = (lij(n), mij(n), hij(n)) be a triangular fuzzy number
representing the relative importance of Fi over Fj judged by DMn, be the aggregated
relative importance of Fi over Fj. Using the geometric mean method represented in
Equation (2) [39], the different judgments of DMs can be aggregated.
1 1
n (k) n
(1) (2) (n) n
∏ Fij
Feij = lij , mij , hij = = (Fij ⊗ Fij ⊗ · · · ⊗ Fij )
g g g g
k=1
" 1 1 1 # (2)
n (k) n n (k) n n (k) n
= ∏ lij , ∏ mij , ∏ hij
k=1 k=1 k=1
5. Determine the fuzzy weights of each criterion by accumulating the various fuzzy
sets in the matrix computed in step-4 into a single fuzzy set. The fuzzy weights are
calculated using the Geometric mean method illustrated by Equation (3) [42].
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358 8 of 21
1
Fei = (Ff f f x
i1 ⊗ Fi2 ⊗ · · · ⊗ Fix )
(3)
Wfi = xFei
∑j=1 Fej
6. Defuzzify the fuzzy weights into crisp weights for further comparison since the fuzzy
sets are hard to accurately evaluate as they are partly instructed instead of stringently
arranged crisp values. The center of area (CAO) method shown in Equation (4) [39] is
employed to defuzzify the fuzzy weights.
l+m+h
W∗ = (4)
3
7. Normalize the obtained weights as a final step to ascertain that the totality of all
weights is exactly equal to 1.
Area Ratio
Evaluation Factor Suitability Class Score Range
in Sudan %
Very low 1 3–3.5 12.99
Low 2 3.5–4 14.69
Wind Speed (m/s) Moderate 3 4–5 34.41
High 4 5–6 25.57
Very high 5 >6 4.40
Very low 1 12–15 0.16
Low 2 9–12 0.31
Slope (%) Moderate 3 6–9 0.17
High 4 3–6 0.55
Very high 5 >6 98.60
Very low 1 50–100 78.26
Distance from Low 2 20–50 11.80
transmission lines and Moderate 3 10–20 4.73
power grid (km) High 4 5–10 2.51
Very high 5 0.5–5 2.41
Very low 1 30–50 54.46
Low 2 20–30 12.63
Distance from Urban/
Moderate 3 10–20 16.83
Major cities (km)
High 4 5–10 8.56
Very high 5 1–5 6.09
Very low 1 50–100 85.17
Low 2 20–50 11.90
Distance from airports
Moderate 3 10–20 2.17
(km)
High 4 5–10 0.57
Very high 5 3–5 0.12
Very low 1 1–1.25 2.08
Low 2 0.75–1 9.07
Elevation (km) Moderate 3 0.5–0.75 36.71
High 4 0.25–0.5 49.34
Very high 5 0–0.25 2.36
Very low 1 50–100 21.19
Low 2 20–50 21.93
Distance from major
Moderate 3 10–20 15.77
roads and railways (km)
High 4 5–10 13.13
Very high 5 0.5–5 22.53
Very low 1 80–100 0
Low 2 40–80 0
Lightning Strike flash rate
Moderate 3 10–40 30
(fl.km−2 y−1 )
High 4 2.5–10 30
Very high 5 0.625–2.5 40
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358 10 of 21
cities; C#6: distance from roads and railways; C#7: distance from airports; C#8: lightning
strike flash rate) are obtained using FAHP-based MCDM with the aid of the judgment
of three experts. The pairwise comparison matrices extracted from experts’ judgment
using a (1–9) point scale are given in Tables A1–A3 in the Appendix A. These matrices
define the importance of each factor to others, which is considered the kick start of the
weighting calculations. Before synthesizing the experts’ assessment in the FAHP method,
each expert’s consistency ratio (CR) of each pairwise comparison matrix should be tested,
as illustrated in the FAHP procedure (step 3). Obviously, the CR value of each pair-
wise comparison matrices was found below the critical CR as 0.075, 0.054, and 0.077 for
experts 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Next, based on the linguistic description of each point
scale and its transformation to fuzzy numbers (see Table 5), the assessment of each expert
is then converted into a fuzzy environment as indicated in Tables 6–8. Finally, the three
fuzzy pairwise comparison matrices were aggregated into a single matrix to obtain the
final numerical weights of each factor as indicated in Table 9 and visualized in Figure 3.
Table 5. Description of the (1–9) point scale and their fuzzy transformation.
Table 9. The aggregated fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix of all experts and criteria weights.
Criteria C#1 C#2 C#3 C#4 C#5 C#6 C#7 C#8 Weight
C#1 (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.26,2.289,3.302) (2.884,3.915,4.932) (2.884,3.915,4.932) (5.241,6.257,7.268) (3.826,4.932,6.0) (5.241,6.257,7.268) (7.862,8.277,8.653) 0.331350632
C#2 (0.303,0.437,0.794) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (2.289,3.302,4.309) (2.0,3.107,4.16) (3.107,4.16,5.192) (5.241,6.257,7.268) (6.0,7.0,8.0) (4.579,5.593,6.604) 0.248247216
C#3 (0.203,0.255,0.347) (0.232,0.303,0.437) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.0,1.26,1.442) (1.26,2.289,3.302) (3.107,4.16,5.192) (3.175,4.217,5.241) (3.175,4.217,5.241) 0.122391656
C#4 (0.203,0.255,0.347) (0.24,0.322,0.5) (0.693,0.794,1.0) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.0,2.0,3.0) (2.289,3.302,4.309) (3.175,4.217,5.241) (4.579,5.593,6.604) 0.11661812
C#5 (0.138,0.16,0.191) (0.193,0.24,0.322) (0.303,0.437,0.794) (0.333,0.5,1.0) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.26,1.817,2.289) (2.884,3.915,4.932) (5.241,6.257,7.268) 0.079234519
C#6 (0.167,0.203,0.261) (0.138,0.16,0.191) (0.193,0.24,0.322) (0.232,0.303,0.437) (0.437,0.55,0.794) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (2.289,3.302,4.309) 0.044137266
C#7 (0.138,0.16,0.191) (0.125,0.143,0.167) (0.191,0.237,0.315) (0.191,0.237,0.315) (0.203,0.255,0.347) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.0,1.0,1.0) (1.817,2.884,3.915) 0.036096026
C#8 (0.116,0.121,0.127) (0.151,0.179,0.218) (0.191,0.237,0.315) (0.151,0.179,0.218) (0.138,0.16,0.191) (0.232,0.303,0.437) (0.255,0.347,0.55) (1.0,1.0,1.0) 0.021924565
Figure 3. Priority weights of the eight-evaluation factor for site selection of WT.
From the obtained results, the wind speed factor (C#1) had the highest priority weight
while deciding on the suitable locations for WT development in Sudan, with a weight
percentage of 33.13%. This is followed by the slope (C#2), land elevation (C#3) and distance
from TLs and PPs (C#4). Furthermore, distance from cities (C#5) was fourth, and the
fifth preferred factor following as distance from roads and railways (C#6). On the other
side, distance from airports (C#7) and the lightning strike flash rate (C#8) were the least
important factors with seventh and eighth priority rankings, respectively.
Moreover, the southern parts of the White Nile and Sennar provinces have road buffer
restrictions that prevent the possibility of a wind farms establishment. The land slope
restrictions appear obviously in the northeast of the land since these areas have a slope of
12–15% or above. Finally, following the path of the Nile River and its tributaries, the urban
areas’ buffer restrictions can be easily recognized since these areas are considered the most
populated places.
In the next step, the evaluation factors were implemented to determine the appropri-
ateness degree of the land for hosting wind farms in Sudan. By considering the statistical
data and the frequency distribution of the values, land categories were presented in 6 de-
grees (very high, high, moderate, low, very low, and unsuitable) according to the boundary
values given above in Table 4.
For further demonstration of each layer, Figure 5a describes the wind speed map in
which it can be recognized that about 64% of the land area is suitable for establishing wind
farms. The previous ratio comprises 4.4% of the land area with a very high wind speed,
25.57% with high wind speed, and 34.41% with moderate wind speed (4–5 m/s). Besides,
most unsuitable zones (35.5% of land area) gather south of the country. The land slope is
also considered a crucial factor since it can accelerate the wind speed by the venturi effect.
Figure 5b shows the slope map in which it can be recognized that nearly the entire land of
Sudan (98.6%) is highly suitable for establishing wind farms.
The distance from the TLs map shown in Figure 5c indicates that most of the land area
(90.34%) is far from the national grid TLs since most of the populations are concentrated
on the banks of the Nile River tributaries. Besides, the map shown in Figure 5d displays
the distance from urban areas, which reveal that about 6.09% of the land area is (1–5 km)
away from the major cities or urban areas while 8.56% of the area is (5–10 km) away, which
considered that as the most suitable places to establish the wind farms. Besides, 16.8% of the
land is located (10–20 km) away from the major cities, which is also considered a potential
spot for wind energy investments. Moreover, the map reveals that more than half of the
land is far from major cities or urban areas since it is more than 30 km away.
The distance from the airports’ map is shown in Figure 5e, which reveals that the
majority of the land (85.17%) is very far from the country’s airports with more than 50 km
Sustainability 2022, 14, 358 14 of 21
while only a few land zones (about 2.86%) are far from the airport with less than 20 km.
The distance from airports is seen from different perspectives by researchers; some see that
the distance from airports is essential for the construction and the frequent maintenance of
wind farms which will facilitate these purposes and save money and time. On the other
hand, some researchers believe that wind farms can produce irretrievable obstacles in
navigation, communication, and transmission systems utilized in air travel control and
associated with air shipping security. The proximity to roads and railways map is displayed
in Figure 5f; about 22.53% of the land area is (0.5–5 km) away from the roads and railways,
which is considered a potential spot for establishing wind farms. Besides, about 29% of the
land area is (5–20 km) away from the roads and railways, which can also be suitable for
wind energy investments, while 48.57% of the land is considered less suitable or unsuitable
for establishing wind farms.
Another important factor that has a vital influence on wind farms’ positioning is
displayed in Figure 5g, which is the land elevation or the shape of the land and refers to
the vertical height of a point above the sea level. From Figure 5g, it can be recognized that
more than 50% of the land area is suitable for establishing wind farms since its elevation
is less than 0.5 km. Since the western section of the land has an elevation above 1 km,
this area is considered low suitable or unsuitable for wind farms locations. Since WTs
are considered high installations, they can be directly damaged due to lightning strikes.
Thus, Figure 5h indicated the lightning strikes rate map in which it can be noticed that the
northern section of the whole land, which represents 40% of the land area, is exposed to the
least number of lightning strikes per year while the middle section of the country exposed
to a higher number of lightning strikes than the northern part. The southern part of the
land, representing 30% of the total land, is exposed to (10–40) lightning strikes per year;
thus, the southern section is considered of moderate suitability to establish wind farms.
Figure 5. Cont.
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Figure 5. Cont.
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Figure 5. Maps of the evaluation criteria and suitability percentages (a) wind speed, (b) slope,
(c) distance from TLs, (d) distance from urban, (e) distance from airports, (f) distance from roads,
(g) elevation, and (h) lightning strike flash rate.
The output represents the decisive suitability map for wind farms’ locations, as given
in Figure 6. Furthermore, the numerical results of each suitability class and its percentages
to the total area are tabulated in Table 10.
Table 10. Areas of each suitability class and their percentages to the total land area of Sudan.
The outcomes reveal that 8.31% (154,076.12 km2 ) of the investigated land has very
high suitability, 23.22% (430,523.18 km2 ) has high suitability, 17.28% (320,389.34 km2 ) with
moderate suitability, 2.37% (43,942.28 km2 ) with low suitability, 0.62% (11,495.45 km2 ) with
very low suitability, against 48.20% (893,678.61 km2 ) unsuitable for wind farms placement.
The high and suitable areas, which represent 31.53% of the total land, would be appraised
as contender zones for wind energy projects; thus, investing development and policies
should be established for these zones. The suitability map shows that the most suitable
zones are located in the northern middle areas of the land, particularly in the Northern and
Nile provinces. Additionally, the eastern section of the Red Sea province is considered very
suitable for wind farms establishment. Moreover, the capital province (Khartoum) and
the Northern Kordofan province contain small suitable areas for wind energy investments.
These areas have high suitability since they share a set of considerations that allow the
establishment of wind farms such as a perfect land slope and elevation, high wind activity,
proximity to the grid TLs, and northern airports, their distant location from the urban and
rural settlements, and the low exposure of lightning strikes.
The utilization of the FAHP approach has several advantages over the traditional
AHP approach, which was found not efficient in dealing with uncertainty when decision-
makers/experts select a scale from a particular basic scale (1 to 9), known as crisp values,
for accomplishing their assessments. To signify the uncertainty, decision-makers/experts
need more flexible scales by using fuzzy membership functions (represented in the type
of the utilized fuzzy numbers) and linguistic variables (e.g., good, very good, poor, very
poor) rather than crisp values. Despite that, the traditional AHP method considers data
validity with inconsistency limits, the considerable uncertainty, and skepticism in providing
an assessment/decision will influence the precision and correctness of the data and the
achieved findings. Based on this, the FAHP is utilized. The FAHP procedure sets the
AHP scale into the fuzzy triangle scale (or the selected fuzzy numbers) to access priority.
Besides, the fuzzy-based methods are used due to the inaccuracy in evaluating the relative
importance of criteria and the ratings of alternatives regarding criteria. This inaccuracy
may occur due to unquantifiable information, incomplete data, unattainable information,
and subjective ignorance. The proposed methodology considers the lightning strikes flash
rate, which is a critical criterion that greatly influences the operation and safety of WTs.
According to the relevant literature, most studies have seldomly examined the lightning
strike flash rate, which exposes wind turbine projects to different kinds of risk. Based
on the above, the proposed methodology, which uses the FAHP approach in the GIS
environment, offers an efficient and precise way to identify the suitable locations of WTs
construction projects.
should be targeted to raise their awareness regarding the importance of clean energy. The
economic feasibility study for renewable energy projects is based mainly on the amount of
energy produced, and the methodology used in this research allows to select the optimum
areas that will be economically feasible through a balance between the construction cost,
the cost of energy transfer, the maintenance cost by considering the expected risks and the
quantity of energy produced as best as possible. Moreover, the methodology can be further
enlarged to assess the suitability mapping for establishing hybrid PV-wind energy projects.
4. Conclusions
The main goal of this work is identifying the suitable locations for wind farms in-
stallation in Sudan where no previous research was reported in the existing literature to
cover this research gap. This target was achieved by integrating the implementation of
the FAHP analysis and the GIS system. Eight criteria were used to assess the optimal sites
of wind farms combining economic, social, environmental, and technical aspects. The
lightning strike flash rate was considered in the criteria selection, which was seldomly
investigated in previous studies despite its significant influences on WT’s safety and oper-
ation. The addressed criteria used in the study includes the wind speed, slope, distance
from transmission lines and power plants, distance from urban/major cities, distance from
airports, elevation, distance from major roads and railways, and lightning strike flash rate.
Based on the experts’ opinions and the criteria prioritization, the assessment provided a
comprehensive analysis of wind farms’ site suitability.
The spatial analysis indicated that 48.2% of the country areas are unsuitable for wind
farms construction. The majority of these sites belonged to the southern part of the country
and are unsuitable because of the low potential of wind resources and agriculture areas’
restrictions. On the other side, a total of 51.8% of the country area was found feasible
(0.62% a very low, 2.37% is low, 17.28% is moderate, 23.22% is high, and 23.78.314% is very
high suitable) for installation of wind farms. Additionally, the results revealed that both
the Northern and the Nile’s provinces enjoy an excellent capacity to invest in wind energy
projects to cover the current and future electricity needs in Sudan. The obtained findings
are expected to reduce the investments, construction time, and resources for developing
and implementing wind energy projects in Sudan.
This research faces some limitations, such as using free available data on the internet,
some of which have low resolution and cannot be verified due to the lack of field mea-
surements which requires a high cost. In addition, some factors can affect the construction
of such projects, such as soil investigations and the paths of migratory birds, for which
data could not be obtained. Likewise, a number of points need to be studied, such as the
economic feasibility study and its impact on choosing the most appropriate locations. This
study is considered a preliminary study for the distribution of renewable energy projects to
assist decision-makers in setting future urban development and renewable energy projects
plans. Implementing such studies on a smaller scale, such as governorates and cities, can
also provide detailed plans for the construction of wind turbine projects. It would be
interesting to integrate other renewable energy sources as well, such as photovoltaics with
wind energy towards addressing the suitability mapping of hybrid energy systems, which
requires addressing new and significant criteria in the applied methodology.
Appendix A
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