Prashant Shah - RSI
Prashant Shah - RSI
Devised by J. Welles Wilder, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is one the most popular indicators in
Technical analysis. Let us try to understand the underlying formula and logic behind this indicator.
RSI indicator is calculated on closing price. We can define bullish and bearish price on a closing basis
(Line chart) chart as follows:
Now that we have defined what is bullish and bearish, it is important to find out how much bullish
and bearish. Price went up by 10 points and fell by 15 points is more of a bearish.So, now we know
price trend and the amount of gain or loss.
Below is a chart connecting 10 closing prices. Let us calculate gains and losses on this chart.
Let us calculate the simple average price of the gains & losses:
It just means, over the last 10 days, average gains were 14 points and average losses 14 points.
These are absolute points. How to know how strong the bulls are? Imagine there are 10 people from
Green and Red teams are sitting in a hall. There are 7 people from Green team and 3 from Red.
In the earlier chart example – the average of losing bars plus the average of winning bars was 14+14
= 28.
Average gain was 14. So, RSI will be ((14/28) x 100) = 50%
So, when RSI is at 50, it means Average gain is equal to Average loss.
If total points are 30 and average gain is 18, the RSI would be at 60.
Got it?
14-day is a recommended parameter by Wilder and you will find it as a default parameter in most of
the software. Like ADX, Wilder used his averaging method to calculate average in RSI indicator.
Because of the averaging method, 75 – 25 can be considered as a normal range. It needs very strong
trend without significant correction for indicator to move below 10 or above 90.
Wilder’s method of averaging is slow compared to other methods of averaging such as SMA, EMA,
WMA etc. Remember, when you plot a14-period RSI – it shows the strength of average gains over
last 14 bars.
So, there is a virtual box of last 14 bars on price. If there is a strong bullish or bearish close during the
14 days – it can dominate the RSI reading.
Do this exercise, remove RSI from the chart. Focus on the price action of last 14 bars – try to guess
the RSI number.
There were some gains recorded on a few sessions in that Orange box that did not let the RSI fall
rapidly.
When price makes new low, but RSI doesn’t, it is known as a bullish divergence. It means there were
gains in between while price made new lows but the gains prevented the RSI from making a
corresponding lower low. The logic is reversed for the Bearish divergence.
Clear?
If RSI is at 70, average gains are 70% of total gains and losses. If RSI is at 20, average gains are 20% of
total gains and losses over selected period.
Average of RSI is known as signal line. It helps in smoothing the RSI data. Default parameter is 9
period.
70-30 overbought – oversold levels? RSI above 50 on multiple timeframes? Trading crossovers or
trend lines on RSI etc. Social media and online content is flooded with ideas & trading strategies
using this indicator. But understand what the indicator captures.
Observe the number of bullish and bearish lines in below boxes. Price continued to move up but RSI
remained around same zone.
Why?
There is more to talk about method of averaging. There is one indicator which is on similar lines and
very interesting. I will write about that in the next thread.