The Foreign Policy of Japan: Number 11 - July 2017
The Foreign Policy of Japan: Number 11 - July 2017
Summary
• In the case of Japan, the following factors influence its foreign policy:
an increasingly sensitive security environment in East Asia; a growing
concern over violent, extremist and international terrorism; global
issues that urgently need a response; and the risks and opportunities
for international economies, namely Japan.
• Japan’s main priorities when drafting foreign policy include: (1) making
proactive contributions to peace; (2) promoting Japan’s national interests;
and (3) working together with other on global issues.
Ideas for peace
www.upeace.org/ideasforpeace
The opinions presented in this academic paper, in addition to the analyses and interpretations herein contained,
constitute the exclusive responsibility of its authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the University
for Peace or the institutions it is affiliated with.
Las opiniones que se presentan en este trabajo, así como los análisis e interpretaciones que en él contienen, son
responsabilidad exclusiva de sus autores y no reflejan necesariamente los puntos de vista de UPAZ ni de las
instituciones a las cuales se encuentran vinculados.
Taking these definitions into consideration, let’s see how foreign policy is
formulated in a general way. First of all, there is a national interest. This might
be one of peace and stability, safety and security, sustainable prosperity, or
territorial integrity, this last one either for its own sake or how they are related
to natural resources like oil or marine resources like fisheries. You can add
any national interest you can think of. There are also ideologies, like peace,
democracy, rule of law, human rights, and the environment. Every country
has its own capabilities, limitations and restrictions. One such example is
power, which can be either military or financial in nature. If you don’t have
money to spend, you cannot effectively interact with other nations. If you don’t
have the money to set up an embassy in another country, you lose influence in
that country. So everything is money; money is power. There are regional and
global entities that nations are a part of, and it is here where they develop much
of their relationship with other nations. And then there are foreign relations
themselves, whereby each country has its own unique relationship with its
neighboring countries.
We also have public expectation. Foreign policy cannot stand alone; foreign
policy should take account of public opinion. Sometimes public reaction may
influence foreign policy in any country, including Japan.
And then, there is the reality, even if it is a perceived reality. Foreign policy
makes people perceive reality differently. Japan’s perception of reality maybe
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be different from the reality perceived by Costa Rica or North Korea of the
same situation. Reality refers to the situation’s prospects for the future: what
will happen or what may happen, risks (such as infectious disease or terrorism)
and opportunities (such as economic opportunities to import or export).
Global and regional issues also have an impact on foreign policy. In the case of
Costa Rica, there is currently an issue with immigrants from Cuba, and now
we have African immigrants trying to get into the U.S.A. and remaining stuck
in transit in Costa Rica. Europe is another example, with millions of refugees
from Middle East and Africa flooding the continent. These are global and
regional issues. Formulating foreign policy will take all of these elements into
account. The process of formulating foreign policy requires those in charge to be
reasonable. Those who formulate foreign policy don’t jump to conclusions out
of the blue, they recognize the seriousness of the situation, and they evaluate
the opportunities and possible options. This is a very serious process.
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UPAZ Mamoru Shinohara
3) There are global issues that urgently need a response. Poverty is one of
them, with millions of people currently living under the poverty line. Also, we
are feeling the effects of climate change and there are urgent issues regarding
environmental protection that need attention. Furthermore, we have the issue
of universal health coverage, as well as other issues pertaining to health,
including infectious diseases like the Zika and Ebola viruses. Another large
issue is that of refugees, considering the mass wave of refugees from the Middle
East currently flooding Europe. All of these are big issues, not only regionally
but globally.
4) There are risks, but at the same time opportunities, for international
economies. There is a phenomenon slowing down the Chinese economy. And I
say this because the Japanese economy is so dependent on the Chinese economy.
We export a lot to China. If the Chinese economy’s performance drops, so does
Japan’s. At the same time, Asia is on the fastest growing economic regions in
the world, which represents a great opportunity for Japan. We can also see
the emergence of protectionism, the idea that “my country is first”. Japan is
currently so dependent on free trade, that it depends on an open and fair trade
system in order to prosper.
Regarding the security environment around Japan, let us examine the military
spending of our neighbors1. First of all, Russia’s defense spending is about
$91,081 million, with 80,000 defense personnel just on the east side, and 7,000
nuclear warheads. We also have North Korea, with defense personnel of more
than US$ 1 million, and 10 nuclear warheads. Then there is China, which exceeds
US$ 214,485 million in military spending, with 1.7 million defense personnel
and 260 nuclear warheads. In the case of South Korea, the military spending is
US$ 38.640 million – modest when compared with the rest of the region – with
524,000 military personnel, and no nuclear warheads. Japan spends about US$
46,346 million, has 140.000 military personnel, and no warheads. This is the
current security and defense situation in East Asia.
1 Sources from SIPRI, Defense White Paper of Japan, and Arms Control Association.
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If we consider the total population of North Korea, which is 25 million, and its
military personnel, which is over 1 million, and we compare it to Japan, which
has a population of 127 million and just 140,000 military personnel, we can see
that North Korea has more disproportionate military capabilities. There is no
real data on North Korea’s military spending.
There is also U.S. military presence in the region. There are approximately 17,00
U.S. military personnel in the Republic of South Korea and 18,000 in Japan.
Japan is also a stronghold of the U.S. military fleet.
Let us turn now to the economic situation of Japan. China is currently Japan’s
biggest trade partner, with the U.S. in second place. Japan also holds excellent
economic relations, including trade and investment, with the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), its third most important economic partner.
The European Union currently holds fourth place, with the Middle East close
behind, since Japan imports a large amount of oil and natural gas from this
region. At the same time, Japan currently has an important trade surplus with
the U.S., If we lose that trade surplus with the U.S., how will we buy that oil
from the Middle East? How do we balance that surplus with the deficit we
have with China? These are important issues for Japan.
If you look at the current economic relations in Japan and military situation
previously mentioned, it is easy realize that Japan is in a very tricky position.
We are afraid of the military build-up of one of our “big brothers”, China,
while depending on the trade with our other “big brother”, the U.S. So how
can Japan manage this relationship with its two “big brothers”? This is at the
crux of Japanese foreign relations.
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UPAZ Mamoru Shinohara
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The Foreign Policy of Japan UPAZ
The Japan-US Alliance has been the linchpin of Japan’s diplomacy, and Japan
and the United States will continue to further strengthen this Alliance in all
areas including technological cooperation of defense innovation and security
cooperation in cyberspace. The two countries agreed and revised the Defense
Cooperation Guidelines for more effective operations of this alliance.
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UPAZ Mamoru Shinohara
Another important key aspect of this pillar involves enhancing relation with its
neighbors. The relationships with neighboring countries such as the Republic
of Korea, China, Australia, ASEAN 10 and Russia are important for a more
stable environment surrounding Japan.
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The Foreign Policy of Japan UPAZ
In addition to this threat of missile and nuclear weapons from North Korea,
Japan is dealing with abduction issues, in which Japanese nationals have been
abducted by North Korea on Japanese territory, forced to live in North Korea
and trained to become spies in Japan. North Korea create a Japanese village in
its own country, where these abducted Japanese citizens live and are trained
as spies.
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UPAZ Mamoru Shinohara
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The Foreign Policy of Japan UPAZ
Foreign policy looks fairly simple only when you look at a single country.
But, there is difficulty in foreign policy-making and its implementation. These
difficulties stem from:
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