SVA Model
SVA Model
CALCULATIONS:
Halfords Group plc
Input data for Profitability Ratios: 2022 2021
Gross Profit 722 656
Operating Income 108 80
Pre Tax Income 97 65
Net Income 78 53
Sales 1,370 1,292
Total Equity 551 418
Total Assets 1,278 1,070
COGS 648 636
PROFITABILITY RATIOS: 2022 2021
Gross Margin 52.69% 50.79%
Gross Profit/Sales
Operating Margin 7.88% 6.15%
Operating Income/Sales
PreTax Margin 7.05% 4.99%
PreTax Income/Sales
Net Profit Margin 5.67% 4.12%
Net Income/Sales
Return on Equity (ROE) 0.14 0.13
Net Income/Tot.Equity
Return on Assets (ROA) 0.06 0.05
Net Income/Tot.Assets
Operating
Income/Sales
Operating Margin7.88%
6.15%
Gross Profit/Sales
% % % % % % %
00 .0
0
.00 .00 .0
0
.00 00
0. 20 40 60 80 0 0 .
10 12
Valuation ratio
Tot.Equity/Tot.SharesOutstanding
Earnings/Tot.SharesOutstanding
73.7 82.8
6.73% 8.11% 6.09%
15 16.3
20.35% 19.69% 16.00%
102.8 107.3
16.5 11.9
58.4 60.7
191.1 157.9
206.2 182.5
60 48
Growth rate 5%
Operating profit % 6%
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sales 1370.0 1439.7 1513.0 1590.0 1671.0 1756.0 1845.4 1939.3
Op profits 87.7 92.1 96.8 101.8 106.9 112.4 118.1
Tax -14.0 -14.7 -15.5 -16.3 -17.1 -18.0 -18.9
Fixed assets -5.8 -6.1 -6.4 -6.7 -7.1 -7.4 -7.8
W. Capital -4.7 -4.9 -5.2 -5.4 -5.7 -6.0 -6.3
OFCF 63.2 66.4 69.8 73.3 77.0 81.0 85.1
Discount factor 1.0000 0.9091 0.8264 0.7513 0.6830 0.6209 0.5645 0.5132
Summary
Sum of planning horizon PVs 393.7
PV of perpetuity, discounted 8 years 486.4
Marketable securities 110.0
41.7
1042.6
Sensitivity or scenario analysis to show the effect of changes in key assum
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
0.07 0.03
0.08 0.04
0.18 0.14
0.1 0.06
0.09 0.05
0.12 0.08
906.8 591
Shareholder Value Analysis (SVA) model for Halfords Plc.
Growth rate 7%
Operating profit % 8%
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sales 1370.0 1465.9 1568.5 1678.3 1795.8 1921.5 2056.0 2199.9
Op profits 117.3 125.5 134.3 143.7 153.7 164.5 176.0
Tax -21.1 -22.6 -24.2 -25.9 -27.7 -29.6 -31.7
Fixed assets -9.6 -10.3 -11.0 -11.7 -12.6 -13.5 -14.4
W. Capital -8.6 -9.2 -9.9 -10.6 -11.3 -12.1 -13.0
OFCF 77.9 83.4 89.2 95.5 102.2 109.3 117.0
Discount factor 1.0000 0.8929 0.7972 0.7118 0.6355 0.5674 0.5066 0.4523
Summary
Sum of planning horizon PVs 477.1
PV of perpetuity, discounted 8 years 519.7
Marketable securities 110.0
50.5
1286.8
Shareholder Value Analysis (SVA) model for Halfords Plc.
Growth rate 3%
Operating profit % 4%
Cost of capital 8%
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sales 1370.0 1411.1 1453.4 1497.0 1541.9 1588.2 1635.9 1684.9
Op profits 56.4 58.1 59.9 61.7 63.5 65.4 67.4
Tax -7.9 -8.1 -8.4 -8.6 -8.9 -9.2 -9.4
Fixed assets -2.5 -2.5 -2.6 -2.7 -2.8 -2.9 -2.9
W. Capital -2.1 -2.1 -2.2 -2.2 -2.3 -2.4 -2.5
OFCF 44.0 45.3 46.7 48.1 49.5 51.0 52.6
Discount factor 1.0000 0.9259 0.8573 0.7938 0.7350 0.6806 0.6302 0.5835
Summary
Sum of planning horizon PVs 277.9
PV of perpetuity, discounted 8 years 403.2
Marketable securities 110.0
29.3
746.3