Alternative Version GOS Exam
Alternative Version GOS Exam
2. The Internal and External Factors in the Dissolution of the USSR and its Implications for
World Order
3. The Main Trends in Contemporary International Relations and World Politics (1991-
2023).
4. The Main Trends in Contemporary Global Diplomacy: Traditions vs. New Dimensions.
5. International Negotiations in Contemporary International Relations: Theory and Practice
6. International Security in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
7. Arms Control in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
8. International Armed Conflicts in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
9. International Armed Conflict: Case-study
10. The Main Trends in World Economy: Global Overview
11. Globalization vs. Regionalization as Key Trends in Contemporary International
Economic Relations
12. Regional Economic Integrations Worldwide: Theory and Practice
13.The Main Trends in International Finance: Global Overview
14.The Main Trends in International Law: Global Overview
16. International Organization: Case-study
18. Territorial Integrity vs. the Right for Self-Determination as the Principles of
Contemporary International Law: Case-Study;
19. Non-governmental Organizations in World Politics: Global Overview
20. Global Energy in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
21. National Energy Policy: Case-study
22. I’m -security in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
23. Human Rights in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
24. International Migration in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
25. Heads of States and Governments in the Perspective of Comparative Constitutional Law
26. The Role of Heads of State and Government in a National Political System: Case-study
27. Post-Soviet Space as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations:
Global Overview;
28. Euro-Atlantic Region as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations:
Global Overview;
29. Asia-Pacific Region as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations:
Global Overview;
30. Middle East as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations: Global
Overview;
31. Latin America as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations: Global
Overview;
32. Africa as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations: Global
Overview;
33. The US Grand Strategy (1992-2023): Changes and Continuity;
34. The Grand Strategy of Russia (1991-2023): Changes and Continuity
35. The Grand Strategy of China (1989-2023): Changes and Continuity
36. The Grand Strategy of a Nation: Case-study
37. Theories of International Relations: Global Overview
38. International Conflict in the Light of a Theory of International Relations
40. The Public Diplomacy of a Country: Case-study
1. The Distinguishing Features of the “Cold War” and Bipolar World Order in 1945-
1991.
- The Cold War was an ongoing political rivalry between the United States and the
Soviet Union and their respective allies that developed after World War II.
- Truman speech, doctrine in 1947 as start of cold war (aid free people, support for
democracies)
- Ideological Conflict: The Cold War was defined by a deep ideological divide between
the two superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union. The United States
championed liberal democracy and capitalism, while the Soviet Union promoted
communism and a planned economy. This ideological conflict influenced the
strategies, alliances, and policies of both sides.
- Arms Race and Nuclear Deterrence: The Cold War witnessed an intense arms race
between the United States and the Soviet Union. Both sides developed and stockpiled
nuclear weapons, leading to the concept of mutual assured destruction (MAD). The
possession of nuclear weapons served as a deterrent, as neither side wanted to risk a
full-scale nuclear war due to the catastrophic consequences.
- Bipolar Power Structure: The Cold War era was characterized by a bipolar world
order, with the United States and the Soviet Union as the two dominant global
powers. The world was divided into two ideological and military blocs—the Western
Bloc led by the United States and the Eastern Bloc led by the Soviet Union. This
division led to the formation of alliances such as NATO (North Atlantic Treaty
Organization) and the Warsaw Pact.
- Proxy Wars and Regional Conflicts: The Cold War was marked by numerous proxy
wars and regional conflicts fought between the United States and the Soviet Union, or
their respective allies. These conflicts, such as the Korean War, Vietnam War, and
various conflicts in Africa and Latin America, were fueled by the superpowers' rivalry
and their desire to gain influence and control over strategic regions.
- Economic Competition: The United States and the Soviet Union engaged in economic
competition, with each side promoting its own economic system as superior. The
United States focused on capitalism and free markets, while the Soviet Union pursued
a command economy. This economic competition extended to the realm of
technology, space exploration, and industrial capacity.
- High Level of Tension: The Cold War was characterized by a constant state of tension
and mistrust between the two superpowers. The fear of nuclear war, espionage,
ideological conflicts, and competition for influence created a pervasive atmosphere of
hostility and suspicion. This tension was evident in events such as the Cuban Missile
Crisis and the construction of the Berlin Wall.
- Global Influence and Proxy Control: The United States and the Soviet Union sought
to expand their spheres of influence and gain control over countries around the world.
They supported proxy governments, engaged in covert operations, and provided
military and economic aid to their respective allies. This competition for influence
often resulted in political instability and conflicts in various regions.
—
2. The Internal and External Factors in the Dissolution of the USSR and its Implications
for World Order
The dissolution of the USSR, which took place in 1991, can be attributed to a combination of
internal and external factors. These factors contributed to the economic, political, and social
challenges faced by the Soviet Union, ultimately leading to its breakup. Here are some of the
key factors:
Internal Factors:
- Nationalism and Ethnic Tensions: The USSR was a multiethnic state, and nationalist
sentiments started to emerge among various Soviet republics. Calls for greater
autonomy and independence grew stronger, fueled by ethnic tensions and the desire to
assert cultural and political identities. This led to growing demands for self-
determination from the Baltic states, Ukraine, and other republics.
- Weakening of the Communist Party: The Communist Party of the Soviet Union
(CPSU), which had long held a monopoly on political power, faced internal divisions
and loss of support. Factionalism within the party and disillusionment with its policies
contributed to the erosion of its authority. Internal ideological factionalism especially
during the Gorbachev era between reformists and hardliners. Confrontation between
these primary factions worsened with the August 1991 coup attempt that led to a
weakened Communist Party (The CPSU was declared an illegal organization in the
RSFSR by Yeltsin, the Hardliner faction lost influence as they were removed from
power, and Gorbachev lost the RSFSR to Yeltsin) and a number of republics
declaring independence.
- Despite a country wide referendum to keep the USSR together, the leaders of Belarus,
Russia, and Ukraine met at the Belovezha forest and signed the accords which
dissolved the USSR.
External Factors:
- Economic Challenges and Arms Race: The USSR faced economic pressures from the
escalating arms race with the United States. The substantial resources allocated to
military spending strained the Soviet economy and hindered its ability to address
domestic issues adequately.
- Gorbachev adopted the policy of not intervening in the affairs of the communist bloc
countries breaking away from the Brezhnev doctrine. This led to a wave of protests
within the bloc that overthrew their communist governments, East Germany, Poland,
Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania. This set the standard of expectations within the
USSR for democratisation and disappointment by the hardliners, leading them to
launch the August 1991 coup. -> Revolutions in Eastern Europe: The wave of
political change that swept across Eastern Europe in the late 1980s, particularly the
fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, weakened the Soviet Union's control over its satellite
states. The events in countries like Poland, Hungary, and East Germany inspired pro-
democracy movements in other Soviet republics. Popular Movements for
Independence: Various Soviet republics, including the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia,
Lithuania), Ukraine, and others, witnessed growing movements for independence.
These movements gained momentum, fueled by a desire for self-determination and
greater political and economic autonomy.
- Low oil prices during the 90s massively weakened the Soviet economy’s energy
exporting economy severely impacting its ability to sustain its military expenditure.
- Afghanistan War?
It's important to note that the specific impact of each factor and the complex interplay
between them is a subject of ongoing debate among scholars and experts. The dissolution of
the USSR was a multifaceted process influenced by a combination of internal dynamics and
external developments.
3. The Main Trends in Contemporary International Relations and World Politics (1991-
2023).
From 1991 to 2023, there have been several main trends in contemporary international
relations and world politics. Here are some of the key trends during this period:
Unipolarity and the Rise of the United States: Following the end of the Cold War in 1991, the
United States emerged as the sole superpower in the international system. This period was
characterized by American dominance in various spheres, including military, economic, and
cultural influence.
Regionalism and Regional Integration: Regional organizations and blocs gained prominence
as countries sought to enhance their collective power and address common challenges.
Examples include the European Union (EU), the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN), the African Union (AU), and Mercosur in South America.
Shifts in Power and the Rise of Emerging Economies: The rise of emerging economies,
particularly China, India, Brazil, and Russia, challenged the dominance of traditional powers.
These countries experienced significant economic growth and sought greater political
influence on the global stage.
Terrorism and Transnational Threats: The rise of terrorism, especially after the September 11
attacks in 2001, became a central concern in international relations. Counterterrorism efforts
and the fight against transnational threats, including organized crime, cyber warfare, and
nuclear proliferation, became key priorities for many nations.
Climate Change and Environmental Concerns: Growing recognition of the impact of climate
change and environmental degradation led to increased global attention on sustainability and
efforts to combat these challenges. The Paris Agreement in 2015 marked a significant
milestone in international efforts to address climate change.
What is diplomacy? Activities aimed at preventing wars and conflicts. Peaceful means.
Traditionally: executed by those working at MFA (only they are diplomats). Now there are
other actors. Not only war and peace. Economic business etc. New dimensions (vaccines,
etc.) Now actively working on anti sanctions policies, energy etc. Promote national business
abroad. Cyber security? No longer just about negotiations and working at the embassy.
In contemporary diplomacy, there are both traditional and new dimensions that shape the
practice and trends in diplomatic relations. Here are some main trends in contemporary
diplomacy, highlighting the interplay between tradition and new dimensions:
Internat
Two-level game: 1988 by Robert D. Putnam, in his publication "Diplomacy and Domestic
Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games".
What is it? Procedure where sides are trying to find resolution. Different strategies and
approaches. It is based on a two-level game.
National and supranational level of communication. You need to find a solution with both. At
home and abroad. Foreign Policy Analysis! Example: JCPOA (you have to agree with the
iranians but also with the American public), BREXIT
You need to sell the decisions at home and abroad. Find common ground between both.
Definition: A negotiation is a strategic discussion that resolves an issue in a way that both
parties find acceptable. In a negotiation, each party tries to persuade the other to agree with
his or her point of view. By negotiating, all involved parties try to avoid arguing but agree to
reach some form of compromise.
It is often conducted by putting forward a position and making concessions to achieve an
agreement. à trust between the parties is very important.
● Purposes of negotiations.
Collective Security.
Reaching a consensus without violence.
Deescalating situations.
Protection of universally recognized norms and principles of international law
No force in dealing with crisis situations
Resistance to international terrorism
Development of inter-civilizational dialogue
Manifestation of genocide, crime, poverty, drug trafficking
Protection of human rights
Environmental protection
Disarmament and non-proliferation of nuclear weapons.
Other purposes:
- Concealment
- Breakdown of talks
- Propaganda
- Seeking for information
"Negotiating is both a science, based on theories, concepts and methods, and at the same time
an art, as it were, which requires sensitivity to cultural differences, an ability to maintain a
dialogue and a little bit of psychological skill." © Michael Ambuhl
Russian
- MSU
- SPBGU
- Diplomatic Academy
- MGIMO
The Harvard Negotiation Project is a project created at Harvard University which deals
with issues of negotiations and conflict resolution.
The stated aims and goal of the project, according to the Harvard Law School site is as
follows
The mission of the Harvard Negotiation Project (HNP) is to improve the theory and practice
of conflict resolution and negotiation by working on real world conflict intervention, theory
building, education and training, and writing and disseminating new ideas.
Mild/Rough Approach
Mild (partners, agreement, suggestions)
Rough (enemies, victory, threat)
Four crucial factors for negotiation: people, interests, options and criteria
The activities: theory building, education and training, publications and a conflict clinic.
Negotiations vs subject of negotiations
Interest -> position
(mutual beneficial criteria)
Unexpected solutions
- “Innovation” – giving acceptable a “way out” to negotiation parties
- Contribute to the achievement of agreement by offering solutions rather than
the mutual demands but which satisfy each of the parties.
Balance of interests.
- A way of reaching agreement that takes into account various interests of the
participating countries even those that are directly related to the subject of
negotiations
Advantages: results in a maximum gain of all the participants in the negotiations. There are
no fundamentally unacceptable items.
1. It is slow.
2. It tends to produce vaguely worded agreements. UN Security
Council Resolution 1441 of November 2002 on Iraq, notably in its
reference to the 'serious consequences' that would follow non-
compliance, is an important case in point.
● Pre-negotiation: This is the phase where parties identify the issue, gather information,
and develop strategies.
We can answer the same as in question 8 and implement our case from question 9
Is it feasible?
Is there WW3? WTF
How is conflict managed?
Idea of some regional conflicts etc.
What is an internal conflict?
—--
State-Centric Approach: States remain the primary actors in international security. They
engage in a variety of activities, such as building military capabilities, forming alliances,
negotiating arms control agreements, and participating in international organizations, to
protect their national interests and ensure their security. However, non-state actors,
including terrorist organizations and transnational criminal networks, have also become
significant players, challenging the state-centric approach.
Nuclear Proliferation and Arms Control: The proliferation of nuclear weapons and other
weapons of mass destruction (WMD) poses significant threats to international security.
Efforts to prevent the spread of WMDs, promote disarmament, and strengthen arms control
regimes remain crucial. Treaties like the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
(NPT) and agreements like the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran aim
to prevent nuclear proliferation and ensure non-proliferation commitments.
Cybersecurity and Information Warfare: The increasing reliance on digital technologies has
led to the emergence of cybersecurity as a critical aspect of international security. Cyber
threats, including hacking, espionage, and disruption of critical infrastructure, have the
potential to cause significant harm. States and international organizations are grappling with
the development of norms, rules, and frameworks to address cyber threats and protect
cyberspace.
Definition:
Cooperative and not imposed, between antagonistic/rival pairs, with the goal to further
national/international security by mitigating negative consequences of security dilemma and
to reduce the risk of unintended war (also reduce the cost of preparing for war &
reduce damage should war occur but these goals are debatable)
Concept of arms control came up in the early 1960s, before that there was only the concept of
disarmament.
In times of tension arms control is needed but difficult to get, easier to get it when relations
are good but then no pressure to do so
Strategic stability
All major instruments:
—
1963 partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty only partial because underground tests were still
allowed (a big issue was how to differentiate underground tests from earthquakes)
START was the beginning of reduction (before only limitation) -> only strategic nuclear
weapons, not addressing tactical weapons
START 1 was signed in 1991 but entered into force only in 1994: the nuclear successor states
became weapon free (all four legal successor states should become parties of the agreements)
Most important frameworks were the START 1 and the New Start:
There was no START 3 treaty signed, Bush administration didn’t follow it
The way in which armed conflicts are fought has changed over time. The classic wars of the
industrial age have become outdated and inter state war with two large traditional armies
fighting each other directly on the battlefield has become a thing of the past.
Inter-state wars in general are decreasing and have become a rare event. For example, in
2017, out of 49 state based conflicts, only one conflict, between Pakistan and India, was
fought between states.
Also, in 2018, out of 52 state based conflicts, only 2 of them were between states. One again
involving Pakistan and India and the other involving Iran and Israel.
Further, while territorial and other disputes between countries persist, analysts argue that they
are much less likely to escalate to interstate wars. Other motivations.
Also, with the decline in interstate wars, casualties have been reduced.
However, one can not conclude that the world has become a more peaceful place. Inter-state
conflict lost its dominance but other types of conflict are prevailing and most remaining wars
are not between states.
For example, the number of non-state conflicts has increased (a new peak of 82 active non-
state conflicts was recorded in 2017 and fatalities have increased concurrently) and the intra-
state conflict is absolutely prevailing. Most battle related deaths are occuring in internal
conflicts and especially internal conflicts with foreign intervention are very deadly. There is
also greater internationalisation of intra-state conflict and, as an example, in 2021: 25 out of
52 internal conflicts were internationalised.
The main types of armed conflicts are low-scale peripheral insurgencies in functional states,
large-scale internationalised civil wars in weak/failed states and non-state conflicts.
First, low-scale peripheral insurgencies in functional states is the most widespread type of
state based conflict. It is an internal conflict, geographically contained and of low intensity.
Conflict often taking place in Asia (Thailand, India, Philippines, etc.) and Africa. The state in
these conflicts is usually strong enough to keep the situation in control and the chances of
rebels winning is very low.
Second, large-scale internationalised civil wars in weak/failed states are few but the most
intense (Syria, Yemen) and deadly. They not only harbour problems for the country in which
the conflict is fought but also threaten to bring problems to regional and even transregional
level. They are heavily internationalised and are leading in terms of terrorist activity.
Third, non state-conflicts are part of a larger trend in which the role of non-state actors in
violence is increasing globally. Most of them happen in Africa and there is a growing number
in the Middle East and in the last couple of years also in Latin America (mostly criminal
groups). Although low scale peripheral insurgencies are most widespread state based
conflicts, non-state conflict is the most widespread conflict of all three types. However, this
type of conflict usually lasts shorter and is not as deadly as state-based conflict.
To sum up, the world is not more peaceful. Classical inter state wars are fading away but
other types of conflicts are prevailing: we have three main types of armed conflict in the 21st
century. Non-state conflict is the most widespread and large-scale internationalised civil wars
in weak/failed states are the most intense and deadly conflicts and also harbour more
problems for international security.
Syria: limited political access, leader not ready to go, uses force, no reforms, Shia-Sunni
divide, minority sect ruling, and geopolitical most important element
Astana and Geneva
World Economy –
Ø Worldwide economic activity between various countries that are considered
intertwined and thus can affect other countries negatively or positively;
Main characteristics:
· It is a complicated system, because there is a number of actors in the
world economy;
· There is the common aim in the world economy (it is simple – meeting the
needs);
· There is integrity in the world economy – all parts of the system are
intertwined and interact with each other, although separate from each
other;
1. 1870-1913– this period is the Golden Age of the world economy – first wave of
globalization as some scholars call it; however, globalization appeared fully in 1980 –
factors and resources could flow freely from one country to another – the capital flow!
We cannot say there was free trade, however it existed in different parts (i.e. Great
Britain and its colonies). Germany, the USA and Japan could not trade with British
colonies freely, therefore WW1 broke out;
2. 1914-1950 – the roll back in the world economy’s development. All good results that
were achieved in the first period disappeared – no free trade at all, no free movement of
people (migration), no free movement of capital (people could not move because of the
two wars and the Great Depression);
3. 1950 – 1980 (sometimes 1990) – the period of integration and trans nationalization –
different integration groups appeared i.e. the European Economic Community; ASEAN;
trans nationalization (TNCs started to appear in that period in Europe and America and
started their competitive struggle); the economic growth was quite high in that period
especially after the second period, in some countries such as Japan there was even
economic miracle, Italy, Iran.
D1: Globalization is an increase in the impact on human activities (economic, social, cultural,
political, technological etc.) of forces that span national boundaries.
D2: is a complex of changes produced by the dynamic of capitalist development – and this is
important – as well as the diffusion of cultural practices associated with this development.
D3 (Fischer, 2003): is the ongoing process of greater economic interdependence among
countries reflected in the increasing amount of cross-border trade in goods and services, the
increasing volume of international financial flows and the increasing flows of labor;
Attention: globalization refers to the widening and deepening of the international flows of
trade, capital, labor, technology and information. Integrating the national economy with the
global economy and a single global market.
- Shift in Economic Power: The global economic power is shifting from traditional
Western powers to emerging economies, particularly in Asia. Countries like China,
India, and other emerging markets are experiencing rapid economic growth,
challenging the dominance of established powers. This shift has geopolitical
implications and reshapes global economic governance.
- Income Inequality and Social Discontent: Rising income inequality within and among
countries has become a significant concern. Disparities in wealth distribution can lead
to social and political instability, impacting economic growth and international
relations. Addressing these inequalities and ensuring inclusive economic development
is a key challenge for policymakers.
These trends highlight the complex interplay between economic factors, political dynamics,
and international relations. Understanding these trends is crucial for policymakers, analysts,
and stakeholders to navigate the evolving global economic landscape.
D1: Globalization is an increase in the impact on human activities (economic, social, cultural,
political, technological etc.) of forces that span national boundaries.
D2: is a complex of changes produced by the dynamic of capitalist development – and this is
important – as well as the diffusion of cultural practices associated with this development.
D3 (Fischer, 2003): is the ongoing process of greater economic interdependence among
countries reflected in the increasing amount of cross-border trade in goods and services, the
increasing volume of international financial flows and the increasing flows of labor;
Attention: globalization refers to the widening and deepening of the international flows of
trade, capital, labor, technology and information. Integrating the national economy with the
global economy and a single global market.
bipolarity was hindering globalization to become really global -> after collapse of USSR
globalization energy was released -> 1990s was age of globalisation
Globalization led to increased regionalism
Some argue globalization started in end of 19th c. -> one criteria: international trade was
growing faster than global GDP, benchmark to say this is manifestation of globalization
Many historians argue that economic interdependence within Europe by beginning of WW1
was no less than today.
markets become global, production for entire world and not only regional market
liberalization of movement of trade and capital
TNC can choose their jurisdiction
Instead as assumed, western countries seem to be among the losers in globalization -> some
developing countries profited a lot
Now weak states can be seen as a danger, before only strong states were seen as a danger
Economic integration refers to the process of eliminating trade barriers and integrating
economic policies between two or more countries. It aims to promote economic cooperation,
increase efficiency, and enhance economic growth among participating nations. There are
several theories and stages associated with economic integration. Let's explore them:
Economic integration refers to the process of eliminating trade barriers and integrating
economic policies between two or more countries. It aims to promote economic cooperation,
increase efficiency, and enhance economic growth among participating nations. There are
several theories and stages associated with economic integration. Let's explore them:
- North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), free trade area: NAFTA was an
economic integration agreement between Canada, Mexico, and the United States. It
aimed to eliminate trade barriers, promote investment, and enhance economic
cooperation among the three countries. In 2020, NAFTA was replaced by the United
States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which updated and modernized the
trade and investment provisions.
- African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), free trade area: The AfCFTA is a
landmark initiative in Africa aimed at creating a single market for goods and services,
promoting intra-African trade, and facilitating economic integration across the
continent. It was launched in 2019 and has 54 member countries. The AfCFTA seeks
to boost economic growth, industrialization, and sustainable development in Africa.
Institutions
Places of currencies
Trade and finance interconnected (dollar as reserve currencies)
Crypto currencies
The field of international finance within international relations experiences several main
trends that shape the dynamics and interactions among countries in the global financial
system. Here are some of the key trends in international finance:
The globalisation of the financial market due to reduction of trade barriers, improved
communication, foreign direct investment, etc.
Since the late 1970s globalisation has been rising rapidly. Reasons for this development are:
● Emergence of the newly industrialised countries of East Asia
● Rapid technological progress
● Japan emerged as a new source of FDI
● Since 1990s a new set of developing economies appeared (India, China, Mexico,
Chile, Brazil, Vietnam)
BUT already in late 19th century up to World War I the world economy was very integrated
(rail and ship transportation, telegraph communication)
Advantages:
● Greater flow of FDI and foreign aid increases employment in developing countries
● Acceleration of economic growth
● Spread of science and technologies to all countries of the world
Disadvantages:
● Countries become more vulnerable to shocks
● Increasing income inequality among countries
● Increasing cultural and religious contradictions
● Ecological problems in many countries
Dedollarization? What is it? Why did it appear? Why is it important for other
economies/countries? What are the advantages and disadvantages and for who? Who
profits?
Financialization began with the fall of the Bretton Woods system and the rise of
NEOLIBERALISM
As Bretton Woods came to an end and the US government began printing more money, this
led to greater global liquidity which enabled banks to extend more credit to consumers. This
opened up additional opportunities for profits in the private lending market.
Neoliberalism advocated for deregulation which worked in favor of financial institutions.
Consequences:
● Facilitated capital to promote the growth of other sectors.
● Increased diversity of financial instruments sold - a process known as securitization.
● Disproportionate growth of incomes of those in the financial sector (income
inequality).
● Result of “unproductive capitalism”
● In the wake of the 2007-2010 financial crisis, a number of economists and others
began to argue that financial services had become too large a sector of the US
economy, with no real benefit to society accruing from the activities of increased
financialization.
Impacts:
1) to elevate the significance of the financial sector relative to the real sector,
2) to transfer income from the real sector to the financial sector, and
3) to increase income inequality and contribute to wage stagnation.
4) may put the economy at risk of debt deflation and prolonged recession.
IL has a long history. One of the oldest examples is the stone carved treaty on borders in
Mesopotamia (2100 BC). Or agreement on military alliance between Egyptian Pharaoh and
Hittie king. (Treaty of Kadesh)
Sources of IL:
● International conventions and treaties
● International customs
● General principles
● Judicial decision and teachings of highly qualified lawyers
Treaty: The Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (2018): aims to protect
the rights of migrants. The first-ever intergovernmentally negotiated UN agreement on a
common approach to international migration
Treaty: Paris Agreement (2015): seeks to combat climate change and promote sustainable
development
Teaty: The Kampala Amendments to the Rome Statute (2010): expands jurisdiction of the
International Criminal Court
- Member States: The CSTO currently consists of six member states: Armenia, Belarus,
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan.
- Uzbekistan was a member until 2012 but decided to suspend its participation. ( anew
foreign policy concept -> no to military blocs)
- The organization also has observer states, including Afghanistan and Serbia.
- Collective Security Council: This is the highest decision-making body of the CSTO
and consists of the heads of state or government of the member countries. The
council meets at least once a year and is responsible for setting the organization's
strategic direction and making important decisions.
- Collective Security Council Secretary: The Secretary is appointed by the Council and
serves as the chief executive officer of the organization. They coordinate and
oversee the implementation of the decisions made by the Council and are
responsible for managing the day-to-day operations of the CSTO.
- Collective Rapid Reaction Force (CRRF): The CRRF is the military component of the
CSTO. It is a multinational force designed to respond to various security challenges,
including armed aggression, terrorism, and organized crime. The CRRF is under the
command of a Joint Staff, which coordinates its operational activities.
- Military Committee: The Military Committee consists of the Chiefs of General Staff or
equivalent military representatives of the member states. It plays a crucial role in
developing military cooperation, coordinating joint exercises, and ensuring the
effectiveness of the CRRF.
- Working Groups and Committees: The CSTO has various working groups and
committees that focus on specific areas of cooperation, such as defense policy,
counterterrorism, military-technical cooperation, border security, and information
security. These groups facilitate dialogue and coordination among member states in
their respective domains.
Some are developed to provide a neutral forum for debate or negotiation to resolve disputes
Some are more general (UN) and others may have subject-specific missions (Interpol)
Realism: actors, such as international organizations, may desire a place in the international
system, however, they believe that such actors will not have any significant effect on what
goes on in world affairs.
Liberals believe that international institutions play a key role in cooperation among states via
interdependence. With the proper institutions and diplomacy, Liberals believe that states can
work together to maximize prosperity and minimize conflict. The realist lens magnifies
instances of war and conflict and then uses those to paint a certain picture of the world.
Liberals, when looking at the same world, adjust their lenses to blur out areas of domination
and instead bring areas of cooperation into focus. When looking at International
Organizations through a liberal perspective, it is clear that a function of them is to reduce the
security threat between states in the global arena. The main principles including the rejecting
the idea of power politics, absolute gains and international cooperation are ideas that have
shaped the creation of International organization.
United Nations (UN): The United Nations is the most prominent and comprehensive
intergovernmental organization. It was established in 1945 and has 193 member states. The
UN focuses on maintaining international peace and security, promoting human rights,
fostering economic and social development, and coordinating global cooperation on various
issues. It consists of several specialized agencies, programs, and bodies, including the
General Assembly, Security Council, Economic and Social Council, and the International
Court of Justice.
- World Trade Organization (WTO): The WTO is a global organization that deals with
the rules of international trade and facilitates negotiations among member countries to
promote free and fair trade.
- World Health Organization (WHO): The WHO is a specialized agency of the UN that
focuses on global public health issues, provides guidance, sets standards, and
coordinates responses to health emergencies.
- International Monetary Fund (IMF): The IMF is an organization that promotes
international monetary cooperation, provides financial assistance to member
countries, and facilitates economic stability and growth.
- United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO):
UNESCO is a specialized agency of the UN that promotes international cooperation
in the fields of education, science, culture, and communication.
18. Territorial Integrity vs. the Right for Self-Determination as the Principles of
Contemporary International Law: Case-Study;
IL has a long history. One of the oldest examples is the stone carved treaty on borders in
Mesopotamia (2100 BC). Or agreement on military alliance between Egyptian Pharaoh and
Hittie king. (Treaty of Kadesh)
Sources of IL:
● International conventions and treaties
● International customs
● General principles
● Judicial decision and teachings of highly qualified lawyers
1. Sovereign equality
2. Refraining from threat or use of force
3. inviolability of frontiers
4. territorial integrity
5. peaceful settlement of disputes
6. non-intervention in internal affairs
7. respect for human rights and fundamental freedom
8. equal rights and self determination of peoples
9. cooperation among states
10. fulfilment in good faith of obligations under international law
The Karabakh conflict is a territorial dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the
region of Nagorno-Karabakh.
The conflict began in the late 1980s when Nagorno-Karabakh sought to unify with Armenia,
leading to violent clashes and a war from 1991 to 1994.
Armenia gained control over Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding areas, establishing the
Republic of Artsakh, which is not internationally recognized.
Efforts to resolve the conflict have been ongoing, with the OSCE Minsk Group as the main
mediator.
In September 2020, a new round of heavy fighting broke out, resulting in Azerbaijan
regaining control over some territories.
In November 2020, a ceasefire agreement was signed, with Russian peacekeeping forces
deployed to Nagorno-Karabakh.
The conflict remains unresolved, with challenges in finding a comprehensive and sustainable
solution.
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict raises complex issues related to the principles of territorial
integrity and the right to self-determination within the framework of contemporary
international law. Let's explore these principles:
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict represents the tension between these two principles.
Resolving
19. Non-governmental Organizations in World Politics: Global Overview
IR theories:
● Liberalism/Neo-liberalism: Liberal IR theorists generally view NGOs favorably and
see them as important actors in global governance. They argue that NGOs contribute
to democratization, the protection of human rights, and the promotion of global
cooperation. NGOs are seen as key players in advocating for social and environmental
issues and filling governance gaps left by states.
● Realism: Realist IR theory focuses on the primacy of states and their pursuit of power
and national interests. From a realist perspective, NGOs are often seen as less
significant than states and are perceived as lacking coercive power. Realists argue that
NGOs may have limited influence in the international system, but they can still be
useful in providing humanitarian aid or serving as channels for state interests.
Criticisms and Challenges: Who funds them? Are they independent? Are they biased? Is this
really the broader public interest? They lack democratic accountability?
Examples:
● Doctors without Borders:
Based in France, a medical NGO working in conflict zones, areas affected by natural
disasters, and areas with endemic diseases. Their focuses include antibiotic resistance,
maternal health, HIV/AIDS, malnutrition, vaccinations, mental health, and more.
● Amnesty International
An advocacy NGO based in the UK. It claims to have more than ten million members and
supporters. Its goal is to promote and protect human rights through awareness campaigns and
mobilizing the public. Areas of focus include torture, the death penalty, police brutality, and
climate justices.
Why is it important
International organizations:
- Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC): OPEC is an
intergovernmental organization that consists of 13 major oil-exporting countries. Its
primary goal is to coordinate and unify the petroleum policies of its member countries
to ensure stable oil prices and a steady supply to the market.
- OPEC+: OPEC+ is a coalition formed by OPEC member countries and several non-
OPEC oil-producing countries, most notably Russia. The group was established to
stabilize global oil markets through coordinated production cuts or increases. OPEC+
aims to balance supply and demand to maintain price stability.
Coal Consumption:
● Coal consumption has been declining in many developed countries due to
environmental concerns and a shift towards cleaner energy sources.
Oil Consumption:
● Developing countries, particularly in Asia, have experienced significant growth in oil
consumption due to industrialization and increased transportation needs.
Renewable Energy:
● The use of renewable energy sources, such as solar, wind, hydroelectric, and biomass,
has been increasing globally.
● Countries like China, the United States, Germany, Japan, and India have been leaders
in renewable energy capacity and investment.
Energy Hotspots:
● The Middle East: Known for its abundant oil reserves, the region remains a significant
energy hotspot. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates are major oil
exporters.
● Russia: As a major exporter of both oil and natural gas, Russia plays a crucial role in
the European and Asian energy markets.
Nuclear Energy:
Nuclear energy considered as green energy by some
Major nuclear energy producers include US, France, China, Russia and Japan
Energy markets
Oil -> global
Gas -> regional
Coal, electricity -> domestic
1973: OPEC oil embargo (price rises, countries consider alternatives and by 1986 share of oil
in energy consumption fell below 40%)
1980s: OPEC relaxed extraction quotas for members, price fell abruptly -> low oil price in
1980s and 1990s.
2000s: Price grew dramatically due to global economic growth (China, Asia Pacific)
2008/9: economic crisis, short reversal but prices continued to grow (+ political instability in
North Africa and Middle East)
2011-2014: High oil prices but collapse in second half of 2014 due shale revolution and OPEC
decision not to cut extraction quotas -> price halved
21. National Energy Policy: Case-study
Iranian crude oil and natural gas exports accounted for 18 percent of GDP and about one-
quarter of government revenues. In contrast, oil and gas exports contributed about one-third
to Saudi Arabia’s GDP and constituted two-thirds of all Saudi government revenues in 2018.
Russia in 2021 - 40% of federal budget
Imports:
Iran imports certain refined petroleum products due to its limited refining capacity. It has
imported gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum products, particularly during periods of
domestic supply shortages. The country has imported refined products from various sources,
including the United Arab Emirates, India, and China.
Competition but also cooperation with Russia in energy market
National Policy on Energy:
Iran's national policy in regards to energy is influenced by several factors, including its
domestic energy needs, economic considerations, environmental concerns, and international
dynamics. Key aspects of Iran's energy policy include:
a. Energy Diversification: Iran has recognized the importance of diversifying its energy mix
and reducing dependence on fossil fuels. The country has sought to develop its renewable
energy sector, particularly solar and wind power, as part of its long-term energy strategy.
b. Domestic Energy Consumption: Iran has a large population and growing energy demand.
Managing domestic energy consumption is a priority to ensure reliable supply and meet the
needs of its population. Energy efficiency measures, conservation campaigns, and subsidies
on energy products have been employed to address consumption patterns.
c. Investment in Infrastructure: Iran has aimed to enhance its energy infrastructure, including
oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and transportation facilities. Investment in
infrastructure is crucial for maintaining and increasing its energy production capacity and
facilitating both domestic consumption and export activities.
A new threat and challenge, intertwined with globalisation, not only nation states but also
NSA, cyber pirates etc.
- Privacy vs Security
- Snowden Leaks revealed that the NSA was able to conduct surveillance
without going through public warrants for courts. Justification was to ensure
national security…
- Increase use of technology has led to digitization
- Digitization has left critical services and infrastructure vulnerable to cyber attacks
from state and non-state actors (Colonial Pipeline was hit with ransomware by
Russian NSAs)
- Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections
- Stuxnet was a malicious computer worm developed by the Americans and
Israelis to infect and damage Iran’s nuclear program
- Surveillance technology has made advances and can threaten national security
(Snowden leaks revealed US had ability to spy on state leaders’ devices - Angela
Merkel’s phone was bugged)
- New technologies like the Israeli Pegasus software has allowed states to
access smartphones without users being aware of this.
- Advances in quantum computing allow hackers to generate potential passwords faster
than before, they can also access supposedly protected areas through “brute force”,
forcing their way towards access.
- There are no “rules” between states on how cyberwarfare should be conducted.
Moreover, cyberthreats can also come from non-state actors who are difficult to track
down.
- The “securitization” of the cyberspace can be witnessed with countries beginning to
develop their cybersecurity capabilities as a means to protect national security (the US
Space force also deals with cyber threats, Singapore recently established a new branch
of its armed forces with the “Digital and Intelligence Service)
Disruptive
Strategic stability
Nsa and states
Stuxnet
Pipeline in US
Elections Trump
23. Human Rights in Contemporary International Relations: Global Overview
Definition:
a right which is believed to belong to every person.
A HISTORICAL NOTE:
- One of the first widely known document is the Declaration of the Rights of Man and of
the Citizen (Déclaration des droits de l'homme et du Citoyen), passed by France's
National Constituent Assembly in 1789. It is a important document in the history of
human and civil rights.
- Also widely known are the U.S. Bill of Rights of 1789 - the first ten amendments to
the United States Constitution on specific guarantees of personal freedoms and
rights, clear limitations on the government's power in judicial and other proceedings.
The concepts codified in these amendments are built upon those found in several
earlier documents, including the Virginia Declaration of Rights and the English Bill of
Rights 1689, along with pre-earlier documents such as Magna Carta (1216)
The formation of the United Nations gave human rights international legitimacy, particularly
because many nations signed the United Nations Charter, which specifically mentions
human rights.
Its Preamble and Chapter I reaffirmed faith in fundamental human rights, in the dignity and
worth of human persons, in equal rights of men and women and of nations large and small
and called for promoting and encouraging respect for human rights and for fundamental
freedoms for all without distinction as to race, sex, language, or religion.
In details respect and protection of human rights were fixed as a principle of international law
in the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe in 1975:
- States respect human rights and fundamental freedoms, including the freedom of
thought, conscience, religion or belief, for all without distinction as to race, sex,
language or religion.
- States promote and encourage the effective exercise of civil, political, economic,
social, cultural and other rights and freedoms, all of which derive from the inherent
dignity of the human person and are essential for his free and full development.
- States recognize and respect the freedom of the individual to profess and practice,
alone or in community with others religion or belief acting in accordance with the
dictates of his own conscience.
- States on whose territory national minorities exist will respect the right of persons
belonging to such minorities to equality before the law, will afford them the full
opportunity for the actual enjoyment of human rights and fundamental freedoms and
will, in this manner, protect their legitimate interests in this sphere.
- States constantly respect these rights and freedoms in their mutual relations and
endeavor jointly and separately, including in cooperation with the United Nations, to
promote universal and effective respect for them.
- States confirm the right of the individual to know and act upon his rights and duties in
this field.
- In the field of human rights and fundamental freedoms, States will act in conformity
with the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations and with the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights. They will also fulfill their obligations as set
forth in the international declarations and agreements in this field, including inter alia
the International Covenants on Human Rights.
The UN now serves as the main coordinating body for its agencies which implement and
monitor IHRs.
Since the formation of the United Nations, it has passed many agreements and resolutions
binding the signatories to respect human rights.
Additionally, it has set up tribunals to charge those suspected of violations of human rights.
Several other organizations, created by various treaties, have come into existence.
All three combined are called the International Bill of Human Rights
On the basis of the Bill of Rights a number of other treaties have been adopted at the
international level. These are generally known as human rights instruments.
UDHR is a set of recommendations, it does not contain legally binding obligations. Many
legal scholars cite the UDHR as evidence of customary international law.
However, the moral authority of the document is so high that UDHR is considered as the
"golden standard" of international human rights.
Indeed, its provisions were later incorporated into other international conventions.
It sets out, for the first time in history, fundamental human rights to be universally protected.
General provisions
- All human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights.
- Everyone is entitled to all the rights and freedoms without distinction of any kind,
such as race, color, sex, language,religion, political or other opinion, national or
social origin, property, birth or other status.
- Everyone has the right to life, liberty and security of person.
- No one shall be held in slavery or servitude; slavery and the slave trade shall be
prohibited.
- No one shall be subjected to torture or to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or
punishment.
Judicial issues
- All are equal before the law and are entitled without any discrimination to equal
protection of the law.
- No one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest, detention or exile.
- Everyone charged with a penal offense has the right to be presumed innocent until
proved guilty according to law in a public trial.
- No one shall be subjected to arbitrary interference with his privacy, family, home or
correspondence, nor to attacks upon his honor and reputation.
Freedoms of movement
- Everyone has the right to freedom of movement and residence within the borders of
each state
- Everyone has the right to leave any country, including his own, and to return to his
country.
- Everyone has the right to seek and to enjoy in other countries asylum from
persecution.
Nationality issues
- Everyone has the right to a nationality.
- No one shall be arbitrarily deprived of his nationality nor denied the right to change
his nationality
Property
- International Human Rights Law
- Everyone has the right to own property alone as well as in association with others
- No one shall be arbitrarily deprived of his property.
Religion
- Everyone has the right to freedom of thought, conscience and religion, to manifest
his religion or belief in teaching, practice, worship and observance.
- Freedom of opinion and assembly
- Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes
freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart
information and ideas.
- Everyone has the right to freedom of peaceful assembly and association.
Government, elections
- Everyone has the right to take part in the government of his country, directly or
through freely chosen representatives.
- The will of the people shall be the basis of the authority of government; this will shall
be expressed in periodic and genuine elections which shall be by universal and equal
suffrage and shall be held by secret vote.
Education
- Everyone has the right to education. Education shall be free, at least in the
elementary and fundamental stages.
- Elementary education shall be compulsory. Technical and professional education
shall be made generally available and higher education shall be equally accessible to
all on the basis of merit.
- Education shall be directed to the full development of the human personality and to
the strengthening of respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms
Culture, science
- Everyone has the right freely to participate in the cultural life of the community, to
enjoy the arts and to share in scientific advancement and its benefits.
- liberty and security of the person, in the form of freedom from arbitrary arrest and
detention;
- procedural fairness in law, in the form of rights to due process, a fair and impartial
trial, the presumption of innocence, and recognition as a person before the law;
- individual liberty, in the form of the freedoms of movement, thought, conscience and
religion, speech, association and assembly, family rights, the right to a nationality,
and the right to privacy;
- prohibition of any propaganda for war as well as any advocacy of national or religious
hatred that constitutes incitement to discrimination, hostility or violence by law;
International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights of 1966 provides for:
- work, under "just and favorable conditions", with the right to form and join trade
unions;
- family life, including paid parental leave and the protection of children;
- an adequate standard of living, including adequate food, clothing and housing, and
the "continuous improvement of living conditions";
- health, specifically "the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health";
There are ten human rights treaty bodies that monitor implementation of the core
international human rights treaties:
1. Human Rights Committee (CCPR)
2. Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (CESCR
3. Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination (CERD)
4. Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW)
5. Committee against Torture (CAT)
6. Subcommittee on Prevention of Torture (SPT)
7. Committee on the Rights of the Child (CRC)
8. Committee on Migrant Workers (CMW)
9. Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (CRPD)
10. Committee on Enforced Disappearances (CED)
The High Commissioner for Human Rights is the principal human rights official of the United
Nations.
The High Commissioner heads OHCHR and spearheads the United Nations' human rights
efforts.
It has an office at United Nations headquarters in New York and offices in numerous
countries and regions. OHCHR has four major divisions:
- The Research and Right to Development Division (RRDD) is responsible for thematic
research and policy development, human rights mainstreaming across all work areas
of the United Nations system, development of tools and learning packages and
provision of expertise to a variety of stakeholders on a wide range of human rights
themes.
- The Human Rights Treaties Division (HRTD) is responsible for supporting the work of
the 10 human rights treaty bodies that are mandated to monitor national-level
implementation of international human rights treaties.
- The Field Operations and Technical Cooperation Division (FOTCD) supports the
work of human rights field presences and leads OHCHR engagement with countries
on human rights issues.
- The Human Rights Council and Special Procedures Division (HRCSPD) provides
substantive and organizational support to the Human Rights Council, its Universal
Periodic Review (UPR) mechanism, special procedures and other subsidiary bodies.
They employ 1085 staff based in Geneva, New York and in 13 country offices and 13
regional offices around the world.
The UN also employs the UN Refugee Agency and its High Commissioner who heads the
UNHCR.
Its 9,700 staff members work in 126 countries providing protection and assistance to nearly
60 million refugees, returnees, internally displaced people and stateless persons.
Some 88 per cent of UNHCR staff work in the field, often in difficult and dangerous duty
stations.
The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) is mandated by the United
Nations to lead and coordinate international action for the worldwide protection of refugees
and the resolution of refugee problems.
UNHCR's primary purpose is to safeguard the rights and well-being of refugees. UNHCR
strives to ensure that everyone can exercise the right to seek asylum and find safe refuge in
another state, or to return home voluntarily. By assisting refugees to return to their own
country or to settle in another country, UNHCR also seeks lasting solutions to their plight.
UNHCR's efforts are mandated by the organization's Statute, and guided by the 1951 United
Nations Convention relating to the Status of Refugees and its 1967 Protocol.
The Human Rights Committee is the body of independent experts that monitors
implementation of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights by its State parties.
All States parties are obliged to submit regular reports to the Committee on how the rights
are being implemented.
States must report initially one year after acceding to the Covenant and then whenever the
Committee requests (usually every four years). The Committee examines each report and
addresses its concerns and recommendations to the State party in the form of "concluding
observations”.
In addition to the reporting procedure, article 41 of the Covenant provides for the Committee
to consider inter-state complaints.
Furthermore, the First Optional Protocol to the Covenant gives the Committee competence
to examine individual complaints.
The only international institution where an individual can initiate a legal claim against
a state is the European Court of Human Rights.
It is not a part of the UN system but that of the authority of the European Convention on
Human Rights.
- Any person who feels his rights have been violated under the Convention by a state
party can take a case to the Court.
- Decisions of the Court finding violations are binding on the States concerned and
those States are obliged to execute them.
- The jurisdiction of the Court has been recognized by all 47 member states of the
Council of Europe (including Russia).
- Applications by individuals against states, alleging that the state violates their rights
under the European Convention on Human Rights, can be made by any person, non-
governmental organization or group of individuals.
- After the preliminary finding of admissibility the Court examines the case by hearing
representations from both parties.
- The Court may undertake any investigation it deems necessary on the facts or issues
raised in the application and contracting states are required to provide the Court with
all necessary assistance for this purpose.
- The Court's chamber decides both issues regarding admissibility and merits of the
case.
- The Court's judgments are public and must contain reasons justifying the decision.
Article 46 of the Convention provides that states undertake to abide by the Court's
final decision.
United Nations (UN): The UN is a key institution in the field of human rights. It has
established various bodies and mechanisms to promote and protect human rights, such as:
a. Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR): The OHCHR is the main
UN entity responsible for human rights. It provides leadership, supports states in
implementing human rights obligations, and coordinates the work of UN human rights
mechanisms.
b. Human Rights Council (HRC): The HRC is an intergovernmental body within the UN
system responsible for strengthening the promotion and protection of human rights globally.
It conducts periodic reviews of the human rights records of all UN member states and
addresses human rights situations worldwide.
c. Treaty Bodies: The UN has established several treaty bodies to monitor the
implementation of specific human rights treaties. Examples include the Human Rights
Committee or the Committee against Torture.
International Human Rights Treaties: Several international treaties have been adopted to
safeguard and promote human rights globally. Some of the most significant ones include:
a. Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR): Although not a treaty, the UDHR is a
fundamental document that sets out the basic principles of human rights. It has been widely
recognized as a cornerstone of international human rights law.
b. International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR): The ICCPR protects civil and
political rights, such as the right to life, freedom of speech, and freedom of assembly.
c. International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR): The ICESCR
safeguards economic, social, and cultural rights, such as the right to education, the right to
work, and the right to health.
a. European Court of Human Rights (ECHR): The ECHR is responsible for interpreting and
enforcing the European Convention on Human Rights within the Council of Europe system.
b. Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR): The IACHR promotes and
protects human rights in the Americas, primarily through the American Convention on
Human Rights.
Emerging Trends:
a. Focus on Accountability: There is an increasing emphasis on holding individuals and
states accountable for human rights violations, including through international criminal
tribunals and courts.
b. Technology and Human Rights: The impact of technology on human rights, including
issues related to privacy, freedom of expression, and cybersecurity, has gained significant
attention.
c. Humanitarian interventions
In 2020, an estimated 281 million people were living outside their country of birth, i.e.
3.6 % of total world population. This number – defined as the global stock of
international migrants – is almost twice as high as it was in 1990. (upward trend
since 2000)
Directions of migration:
Nowadays:
1) From developing to developed states (also high-quality labour force):
• Mexico→the USA, Turkey→Germany, China→the USA, India→the
USA;
• This channel weakens due to recession in the developed countries;
• In 2013 the number of migrants amounted to 81,9 million (share of
migrants in population of the developed countries is 11%).
Centers of migration:
1. Western Europe, USA, Canada and Australia (more than 35 million people from
Asia, Africa etc. live there; every year more than 1 million people come there);
2. Middle East countries (after 1973; the number of migrants amounts to 5 million;
Qatar=92%, the UAE=89%, Kuwait=86%);
3. South Africa (every year more than 250 thousand people come there from Lesotho,
Botswana etc.);
4. Latin America (the number of migrants amounts to 8 million)
Pros:
1. Weakening the problem of unemployment;
2. Remittances;
3. After the work abroad the migrants usually come with knowledge, money, operational
experience.
Cons:
1. Brain drain;
2. Deterioration of dependency ratio.
Migrant channels:
• Mexico- USA=11,6 million people;
• Bangladesh-India=3,3 million people;
• Turkey-Germany=2,7 million people;
• Kazakhstan-Russia=2,6 million people;
• India-the UAE=2,2 million people.
Forms of government (form of ruling) differ, depending on whether the power is carried by
one person, or it belongs to a collective body. (2 main forms of government: Monarchy or
Republic)
The form of government is fixed by most of the modern Constitutions
Characteristics:
●The Monarch = Head of State,
●Term of Power ⇒ unlimited(life limit)
●inherited power
- Salic system - only men can inherit, women are not able to inherit at all
- Castilian system - women can inherit but if the relations are direct (ex: the
monarch’s daughter, not the monarch’s nephew)
- Austrian system - women inherit only if there are no men at all (used in Monaco)
- Swedish system - the first born inherits the throne
(1.2) Super Presidential Republic - republic is an extreme form of the Presidential republic
- Practically unlimited powers of the Head of State
- Separation of Powers is fictitious
- Absolute Veto power of the Head of state (it is possible to stop a law, adopted in the
parliament)
- (Ex:Latin American countries with dictatorship regimes, South African countries (Rwanda),
People’s republic of Korea)
Russia:
In Russia, the political system is a semi-presidential republic with a strong executive
presidency, which means power is shared between the President and the Prime Minister.
Head of State (President): The President of Russia is the head of state and represents the
country domestically and internationally. The President is directly elected by the citizens and
serves as the highest-ranking official in the government. The President has significant
executive powers, including the ability to appoint the Prime Minister and members of the
government, propose legislation, and command the armed forces. The President also has the
authority to dissolve the lower house of the parliament (State Duma) under certain
circumstances. (if Duma rejects Prime Minister three times or if Duma votes no confidence
on government a second time within three months)
The President is elected for six years by citizens of the Russian Federation. Any Russian
citizen not younger than 35 years who has resided in the Russian Federation on a permanent
basis for not less than 10 years may be elected President.
The President may be impeached by the Federation Council only on the basis of charges of
high treason or of another grave crime brought by the State Duma.
Head of Government (Prime Minister): The Prime Minister is the head of government in
Russia. They are appointed by the President, subject to confirmation by the State Duma. The
Prime Minister is responsible for implementing the President's policies and managing the
day-to-day operations of the government. They work closely with the President and
coordinate with various ministries and government agencies.
The Government consists of the Chairman of the Government of the Russian Federation,
deputy chairmen and federal ministers. The Government heads the system of federal
executive bodies: ministries, federal services and federal agencies. However, there are
ministries, federal agencies and services that report directly to the President, for example, the
Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Ministry of Emergency Situations, the Ministry of Foreign
Affairs, the Ministry of Defense, etc.
In case of the president's death, resignation or impeachment, the prime minister becomes a
temporary president until new presidential elections which must take place within three
months. The prime minister as acting president may not dissolve the State Duma, announce a
referendum or propose amendments to the Constitution.
States: 12+3
Russia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova,
Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan
(excluding Baltic states)
Conflict:
- Armenia (& Artsakh) - Azerbaijan
- Tajikistan - Kyrgyzstan
- Russia - Ukraine
- Tajik civil war
- Moldova - Transnistria
- Ethnic clashes in Kyrgyzstan
- Chechen wars and insurgencies in Dagestan and Ingushetia
Eurasian integration, consolidation of post-Soviet space (minus Baltic states) is the single
most important project to Russia today. Highest priority of Russia.
In 1990s idea was to become part of the West.
Eurasia as region to be lead by Russia. Eurasia is the definition of status-quo for Russia.
East Central Europe was not that much of an issue, everybody understood that it is gone.
Success or failure to consolidate Eurasia will define if Putin’s foreign policy is a failure or a
success. If it is a failure -> Russia will have to choose between being junior partner of China
or of the USA.
In Russian thinking: West needs some years to “digest” the enlargement -> Russia has a
window of time to consolidate Eurasia -> Bucharest debate showed that was a wrong
assumption
initially based on consensus -> problem because only 7% were actually ratified -> very
fragmented -> dissident states -> rejecting supranational institutions
Because 12 members never agreed -> multi-speed integration -> it would be tried with
smaller members and then others might join -> led to EAEU and CSTO
CIS no longer key project for Russia -> key projects are EAEU and CSTO
Customs unions didn’t lead to more trade
Most trade between Belarus and Russia! Everybody else is exporting natural resources
28. Euro-Atlantic Region as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International
Relations: Global Overview;
Here are the main points regarding the Euro-Atlantic region as a regional subsystem in IR:
5/10
Main Actors:
● United States: As the dominant power in the region, the United States plays a central
role in shaping the dynamics of the Euro-Atlantic region. It has significant military
capabilities, economic influence, and a history of alliances with European countries.
● European Union (EU): The EU is a major actor within the Euro-Atlantic region,
consisting of 27 member states. It aims to promote economic integration, common
policies, and cooperation among its members. Most developed regional integration
project worldwide.
● NATO: The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). NATO serves as a key
security institution in the Euro-Atlantic region, providing collective defense and
cooperation among its members. 31 members.
● United Kingdom:
- The United Kingdom (UK) has historically been a major global power and has
played a crucial role in European affairs. Its departure from the European
Union (EU) through Brexit has impacted the dynamics within the Euro-
Atlantic region.
- The UK possesses significant military capabilities, including its nuclear
deterrent, and has been an active participant in NATO, contributing to
collective defense efforts.
- Economically, the UK has a highly developed financial sector, with London
serving as a global financial hub. Its economic ties with Europe are of
considerable importance, and post-Brexit trade agreements have been a key
focus.
● Germany:
- Germany is the largest economy within the European Union and a driving
force behind European integration. It plays a central role in shaping EU
policies and initiatives.
- Germany has been a key supporter of European economic and political
integration, advocating for closer cooperation among member states.
- It has a strong manufacturing sector and is known for its export-oriented
economy. German industries, such as automotive and machinery, have
significant influence in the global market.
● France:
- France is another major actor in the Euro-Atlantic region, with a rich history
of global influence. It has played a significant role in European integration and
has been a driving force behind initiatives such as the Common Security and
Defense Policy (CSDP) within the EU.
- France possesses substantial military capabilities, including a nuclear
deterrent, and maintains an active role in NATO, contributing to European
security and defense.
- Economically, France has a diverse and developed industrial sector, including
aerospace, defense, automotive, and luxury goods. It is one of the world's
largest economies and a key player in global trade and investment.
- France often advocates for an independent European defense and security
policy, highlighting its commitment to maintaining European sovereignty.
Main Institutions:
● European Union: The EU is a supranational institution that fosters economic
integration, political cooperation, and the development of common policies among its
member states.
● NATO: NATO is a collective defense alliance that aims to safeguard the security and
stability of its member states through mutual defense commitments and military
cooperation.
Economic Power:
● The Euro-Atlantic region is home to some of the world's largest economies, including
the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and France. These countries
contribute significantly to global GDP and trade.
● The EU is the world's largest single market, facilitating trade and economic
integration among its member states. It has a common currency (the euro) used by 19
EU countries.
● Brexit: The departure of the United Kingdom from the EU, commonly known as
Brexit, has posed challenges for both the EU and the UK. It has impacted trade
relations, security cooperation, and the future of the EU project.
● Relative decline
Europe a key region in main US grand strategy schools (Offshore balancing, selective
engagement)
- China -> unipole in region but multipole worldwide and willing to share Pacific but not
letting foreign powers into Asia
- Unlike Europe or Eurasia, the Asia Pacific has remained unchanged since the Cold
War. The Korean peninsula remains divided, the Taiwan issue remains unresolved,
and the United States still acts as a security guarantor to its allies there and is bound
by treaty agreements of mutual defense: South Korea, Philippines, Thailand, Japan,
and to an ambiguous degree, Taiwan.
- However, despite these conflicts, the region has developed rapidly, marked by the rise
of the “Four Asian Tigers”, the Japanese economic miracle, and China’s economic
rise, countries like Vietnam and Indonesia have also been catching up.
- The neo-liberal era and the development of the Asian economies thus spurred the
“redistribution” of economic power and the de-polarization of Western economic
dominance.
- The region has become a faultline of great power confrontation as the United States,
its allies, and partners seek to keep China in check by enhancing their security
cooperation or contesting China’s claims to the South China Sea.
- Regional organizations/institutions:
- ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations), consisting of the South
East Asian States, aims to strengthen the region as a bloc and express
“ASEAN centrality” where the bloc shall balance between China and the US.
However, China’s lucrative investments and influence in the region has
divided ASEAN with countries like Laos, Cambodia, and Myanmar becoming
dependent on Beijing and weakening ASEAN centrality.
- Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). This was an
effort by ASEAN to parallel what was once the Trans Pacific Partnership
agreement (TPP). However, unlike the TPP, the RCEP included China. The
argument by most Asian countries was that China could not be left out as it is
the major trading partner of the Asian countries. The RCEP has been ratified.
The TPP was later reformed to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement
for Trans Pacific Partnership, after the Trump administration withdrew from
the TPP.
- BRI and AIIB
- AUKUS - Australia, UK, US
- The Quad - India, Japan, Australia, US
China vision:
30. Middle East as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations:
Global Overview;
- China is present but does not interfere directy, it avoids getting involved -> acts
through UN
- EU tries as a soft power (civil- and economic aid)
They all rely on export of resources
They would proclaim autonomy in a state and not sovereignty
Not only Saudi vs Iran but also Turkey plays a role
31. Latin America as a Regional Subsystem of Contemporary International Relations:
Global Overview;
China and EU also play a role now, US is not the only relevant power anymore.
Regional frameworks -> not including US
Regional order is not Brazil centric
End of 1990s -> left turn (Hugo Chavez victory in 1998) -> but the trend is exhausting itself
Several projects of economic integration existing in parallel to each other -> ineffective, no
project really successful
After cold war projects don’t include US (except FTAA)
RECs control the Stand-by Force -> in this case AU depends on RECs
Resources vs infrastructure
33. The US Grand Strategy (1992-2023): Changes and Continuity;
The end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union removed the focal point of
U.S. strategy: containing the Soviet Union. A major debate emerged about the future
direction of U.S. foreign policy and in the 1990s four major grand strategic alternatives were
identified. (“Competing Visions for U.S. Grand Strategy”, Barry R. Posen, 1997)
1. neo-isolationism
2. selective engagement
3. cooperative security
4. primacy
Neo-isolationism
Selective engagement
- With similar roots in the realist tradition of international relations, selective
engagement advocates that the United States should intervene in regions of the world
only if they directly affect its security and prosperity.
- Most proponents of this strategy believe Europe, Asia and the Middle East matter
most to the United States. Europe and Asia contain the great powers, which have the
greatest military and economic impact on international politics, and the Middle East is
a primary source of oil for much of the developed world.
- Selective engagement tries to prevent great power war and wants to ensure that the
great powers understand that the United States does not wish to find out how a future
Eurasian great power war might progress, and that it has sufficient military power to
deny victory to the aggressor.
Cooperative security
- the most important distinguishing feature of cooperative security is the proposition
that peace is effectively indivisible
- Unlike the other three alternatives, cooperative security draws upon liberalism as well
as realism
- Stressing the importance of world peace and international cooperation, the view
supposes the growth in democratic governance and the use of international institutions
will hopefully overcome the security dilemma and deter interstate conflict.
- Involve stronger support for international institutions, agreements, and the frequent
use of force for humanitarian purposes
Primacy
- only a preponderance of U.S. power ensures peace
- The United States must pursue ultimate hegemony and dominate the international
system economically, politically and militarily, rejecting any return to bipolarity or
multipolarity and preventing the emergence of any peer competitor. (With this in
mind, some supporters of this strategy argue that the U.S. should work to contain
China and other competitors rather than engage them.)
Posen argues that the four schools of U.S. grand strategy have been replaced by just two:
Liberal hegemony
- favour a world order in which the United States is a hegemon and uses this power
advantage to create a liberal international system and at times use force to enforce or
spread liberal values
- The United States strives to retain overwhelming military power, under a theory that
potential competitors will not even try to compete on the global stage.
- Support for liberal hegemonic strategies among major thinkers in both political parties
helps explain the broad elite support for the 2003 invasion of Iraq and the 2011
intervention in Libya, even though U.S. military involvement in those conflicts had
been initiated by presidents of different parties.
Restraint
- call for the United States to significantly reduce its overseas security commitments
and largely avoid involvement in conflicts abroad.
- America would take advantage of what Posen calls a "remarkably good" strategic
position: "[The United States] is rich, distant from other great powers, and defended
by a powerful nuclear deterrent. Other great powers are at present weaker than the
United States, close to one another, and face the same pressures to defend themselves
as does the United States."
- Restraint is distinct from isolationism: isolationists favour restricting trade and
immigration and tend to believe that events in the outside world have little impact
within the United States. Restraint, however, sees economic dynamism as a key
source of national power and accordingly tends to argue for a relatively open trade
system.
- Restraint proponents also argue that military force is a blunt, expensive, and
unpredictable instrument, and that it accordingly should only be used rarely, for clear
goals.
Difference between offshore balancing and selective engagement is the degree of military
presence: offshore balancing wants to use other regional powers to check an emerging threat
whereas selective engagement is willing to keep stationed troops etc.
—
Nowadays no internationalism or isolationism, it is mixed, but debate still alive
Threat perception:
The United States grand strategy has undergone significant changes since 1992. The end of
the Cold War led to a period of unipolarity, in which the United States was the sole
superpower. This period was marked by a focus on promoting democracy and free markets
around the world, as well as on using military force to intervene in conflicts where American
interests were at stake.
● The September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks led to a new focus on homeland security and
counterterrorism. The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq also marked a significant change
in US grand strategy, as the United States became more involved in long-term nation-
building projects.
● The 2008 financial crisis led to a period of introspection and soul-searching in the
United States. The country's economic dominance was challenged by rising powers
such as China, and its military dominance was increasingly questioned. The United
States also began to withdraw from some of its global commitments, such as the wars
in Afghanistan and Iraq.
● The Trump administration has further challenged the traditional US grand strategy.
President Trump has withdrawn the United States from several international
agreements, such as the Paris Agreement on climate change and the Iran nuclear deal.
He has also imposed tariffs on goods from China and other countries.
● The Biden administration has pledged to restore America's global leadership and to
work with allies to address common challenges. However, it remains to be seen how
the Biden administration will balance the competing demands of domestic and foreign
policy.
● Despite the changes that have taken place, there are also some continuities in US
grand strategy. The United States has remained committed to promoting democracy
and free markets around the world. It has also continued to use military force to
intervene in conflicts where American interests are at stake. The United States
remains the world's leading superpower, and its grand strategy will continue to have a
significant impact on the global order.
Some of the key changes and continuities in US grand strategy since 1992:
Changes:
● The end of the Cold War led to a period of unipolarity, in which the United States was
the sole superpower.
● The September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks led to a new focus on homeland security and
counterterrorism.
● The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq marked a significant change in US grand strategy,
as the United States became more involved in long-term nation-building projects.
● The 2008 financial crisis led to a period of introspection and soul-searching in the
United States.
● The rise of China and other emerging powers has challenged the United States'
economic and military dominance.
● The Trump administration has further challenged the traditional US grand strategy.
Continuities:
● The United States has remained committed to promoting democracy and free markets
around the world.
● It has also continued to use military force to intervene in conflicts where American
interests are at stake.
● The United States remains the world's leading superpower, and its grand strategy will
continue to have a significant impact on the global order.
1. Pro-Western liberals
- Russia is a part of the West
- Globalization; democratic vs authoritarian states
3. Civilizationist
- Distinct civilization apart from West, independency
- Anglo-American sea power vs Russia-led heartland
Despite Kozyrev serving till 1996, by the end of 1993, Moscow had already abandoned
Kozyrev's pro-Western policy.
- Russia could entrust its security and place in the international community only to
itself.
- Moscow should pursue a foreign policy more independent of the United States.
- maintaining exclusive Russian influence over the other Commonwealth countries was
one of Russia's vital interests.
- Moscow's former Warsaw Pact allies must remain either friendly to Moscow or
neutral.
- Fall 1993, President Yeltsin came out in strong opposition to any move by NATO to
incorporate the Central European states.
Putin (statist):
From 2001 to 2004, Russia was committed to the foreign policy of pragmatic statism:
- Putin believed that the most important national interests were Russia’s
modernization and its economic growth instead of the containment of the U.S.
- Cooperate with the West to create a favourable external environment for economic
and social development, while at the same time maintaining opposition on issues such
as Nato eastward expansion and missile defence.
- 911 provided an opportunity for the Putin government to end the cold relations with
the West since the Kosovo War.
- Forming a counter-terrorism partnership with the U.S
- Strengthening cooperation with NATO. In May 2002, the two sides announced the
establishment of the NATO-Russia Council.
- Enhancing relations with the European Union and its key member states. In May
2003, the Russia-European Union (EU) St. Petersburg Summit set long-term goals for
creating four common spaces (Nevertheless, the two were still divided on issues
including Russian democracy, the Chechnya situation and the EU’s New
Neighborhood Policy.)
- Focusing on post-Soviet space. In May 2002, Russia, together with partner countries,
formed the Collective Security Treaty Organization.
- Developing economic cooperation with Asia-Pacific countries and shifting the focus
of Sino-Russian strategic cooperation to the bilateral level and to the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization.
Medvedev (hybrid between pro-west and statist) & Putin for short:
From 2009 to 2013, Russia was committed to the Stability and Cooperation Diplomacy, the
main goals of which include: maintaining Russia’s great power status and keeping stable
relations with the West; safeguarding stability in the CIS region and domestic socio-political
stability; advancing the foreign policy of cooperation and avoiding conflicts with other
countries. Russia joined the WTO during this time.
- Further advancing the integration of the CIS to maintain stability in the region. In
August 2008, Russia’s armed intervention in Georgia’s armed reunification of South
Ossetia led to a feud between the two.
- To promote economic integration within the framework of the Eurasian Economic
Community, Russia established a customs union and a unified economic space with
Belarus and Kazakhstan in 2010 and 2012 respectively.
- Maintaining practical partnership and cooperation with the EU. The armed conflict
between Russia and George had a serious impact on Russian-EU relations and it was
only after the global financial crisis that the EU resumed its partnership with Russia.
In response to the shocks brought about by the global financial crisis, Russia and the
EU have developed practical cooperation on trade, economics and energy, but the two
failed to implement the program of creating four common spaces and to sign a treaty
on strategic partnership.
- Resetting Russian-U.S. relations. In July 2009, President Obama visited Moscow,
marking the reset of Russian-U.S. relations. The results of the reset are shown mainly
in three aspects: 1) the signing of the New Start Treaty, 2) the continuing cooperation
between the two countries on nuclear non-proliferation; 3) the expansion of economic
and trade ties. But at the same time, the two countries are at odds over the European
ABM system, U.S. interference in Russia’s internal affairs and Ukraine’s involvement
in EU integration.
- Deepening all-round strategic coordination with China, and in 2011, together with
China, upgrading the Sino-Russian strategic partnership of coordination to a
comprehensive strategic partnership of coordination.
The reasons for implementing the Stability and Cooperation Diplomacy include: the
modernization of Russia required a cooperative foreign policy; Russia recognized that the
gradual improvement of its international status in the current international system was in its
interests; It was necessary for Russia to carry out economic cooperation with other countries
around the world against the backdrop of economic globalization and the global financial and
economic crisis.
Putin (statist):
Since 2014, Russia has been committed to a Great Power Diplomacy (Liu, 2019), which was
prompted by the Ukraine Crisis in February 2014 and the consequent confrontation between
Moscow and the West.
- Confronting the West and maintaining cooperation only in extremely limited areas
such as nuclear disarmament. From March 2014, the United States and the European
Union imposed economic sanctions on Russia and then extended them to Russian
banks and energy and military companies
- “Turning east”, that is, developing political and economic cooperation with Asia-
Pacific countries and integrating into the Asia-Pacific region. Russia has been actively
deepening its cooperation with China in various fields and in 2019 the two countries
upgraded their relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership of coordination
for a new era. Russia has strengthened its preferential strategic partnership with India,
its comprehensive strategic partnership with Vietnam and its strategic partnership
with ASEAN, while only Russian-Japanese relationship has been progressing slowly.
Since 2016, Russia has been dedicated to building the “Greater Eurasian Partnership”
with the Eurasian Economic Union, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and
ASEAN member states (Путин, 2016b).
- Maintaining Moscow’s dominant role in the CIS region. The Putin government led
partner countries to establish the Eurasian Economic Union in January 2015 to
promote economic integration within the framework of the Union. It has also been
developing political, economic, and anti-epidemic cooperation with CIS countries to
resist U.S. and European expansion in the region.
- Returning to the Middle East. The Putin government’s military involvement in Syria
in September 2015 consolidated Russia’s dominance in Syria and expanded its
influence in the Middle East.
The main reasons for the Putin administration to implement the Great Power Diplomacy
include: the West’s attempts to pull Ukraine into its geostrategic orbit, which crossed
Moscow’s red line; the intensification of geopolitical and military competition between
Russia and the West; the deep-rooted Russian great power mentality. As a result of this
foreign policy, Russia has annexed Crimea and strengthened its relations with Asia-Pacific
countries, but the loss of Ukraine has slowed down its modernization.
Objectives:
- Preventing Western influence in Russian domestic politics and in the post-Soviet
space
- Keeping nuclear parity with the US
- Limit US leadership role elsewhere (Ukraine, Middle East are grounds to push back)
- Stopping regime changes around the world (Syria)
- Breaking US monopoly over military forces to achieve its goals (Syria, Ukraine)
- Consolidating the Euroasian community of states is the single most important project
Russia has initiated and shaped (Collective Security Treaty Organization, Eurasian
Economic Union) -> If Russia fails to integrate Eurasia: either go West, go East or go
nowhere? (junior partner)
35. The Grand Strategy of China (1989-2023): Changes and Continuity
China's grand strategy and foreign policy have evolved significantly since 1989. Here's an
overview of the key phases and shifts in China's approach during this period:
—
China sees itself as a returning power
Dominate region not globe -> seeks regional unipolarity
Globalization was major source for China’s rise
24-character strategy is result of fall of communism and Tiananmen square backlash
(sanctions on arms, technologies, etc)
Economic development most important pillar for Beijing’s policy for at least two decades
Under Hu Tsintao China became more assertive -> under Xi Jinping especially
Win-win -> no-zero-sum game!
They support multipolar world but not expand number of poles indefinitely, they want a
small number of major powers -> concert of powers
modified liberal order: changing position of major powers but don’t change order itself ->
China profited from liberal order -> status quo, jointly managing the system
negotiated order: US would except China is different but it would be no alternative for the
West. US would offer more prestige and China would shoulder more responsibility.
36. The Grand Strategy of a Nation: Case-study
Security + what makes the county a country
Projects of the country?
The following are some of the key goals that have characterized Iran's grand strategy during
this period:
1. Protecting and Safeguarding the Islamic Revolution: Iran's primary goal has been to
protect and safeguard the ideals and principles of the Islamic Revolution, both within
its borders and by supporting like-minded groups and movements abroad.
2. Asserting Regional Influence: Iran seeks to assert its influence in the Middle East and
the wider Islamic world. This includes pursuing policies that increase its political,
military, and economic influence, as well as supporting proxy groups and alliances
that align with its objectives.
3. Countering Western Dominance: Iran aims to counter what it perceives as Western
dominance in the region. This involves challenging and opposing Western policies,
particularly those of the United States and its allies, and supporting groups that resist
Western influence.
4. Ensuring National Security: Iran's grand strategy focuses on ensuring its national
security and protecting itself from external threats. This includes building a robust
defense capability, maintaining a deterrent posture, and countering perceived threats
from regional rivals and foreign powers.
5. Pursuing Nuclear Program: Iran's pursuit of a nuclear program has been a significant
component of its grand strategy. While Iran maintains that its nuclear program is
peaceful and for civilian purposes, it has faced international scrutiny and has sought to
safeguard its right to nuclear technology and capabilities.
6. Economic Development and Self-Sufficiency: Iran aims to achieve economic
development and self-sufficiency to reduce its vulnerabilities and enhance its
geopolitical standing. This includes diversifying its economy, attracting foreign
investment, and developing strategic industries.
7. Building Regional Alliances: Iran seeks to build alliances and partnerships with like-
minded actors in the region. This includes cultivating relationships with other Shia-
majority countries, supporting non-state actors aligned with its goals, and pursuing
cooperation with regional powers that share common interests
Classical Realism
Main thinkers:
- Sun tzu
- Thucydides and the Peloponessian war 5th c. BC (strong do what they will, weak
suffer what they must)
- Machiavelli (it is far better to be feared than loved, there are no
morals in politics)
- Thomas Hobbes (men are equal, leads to war): Leviathan
- Hans Morgenthau (Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace, 1948)
Main characteristics:
- Human beings are inherently egoistic and self-interests to the extent where self
interest overcomes moral principle
- Morality has no place in international politics, only the national interest counts.
- The national interest is guided by the survival and security of the state -> hence
everybody wants to maximise their own power to survive and guarantee security
- Views history as repetitive cyclical (no progress) because human nature is unchanging
- Power is the main currency in international politics
- International politics trumps domestic politics (if you don’t take care of international
politics there might no longer be any domestic politics)
- States are inherently aggressive and are only checked by other states
- The international system is defined by anarchy (no supranational entity will guarantee
your security)
- Sovereign states are the principle and most important actors in international relations
- IOs and IL have no real force as they exist only as long as states accept them
- Primacy of balance of power
- Power is relative, not absolute (not seeking absolute power, but having more power
than your opponent)
Weaknesses:
- Ignores importance of structure of international relations (impact of current
structure of international relations)
- What about non-state actors?
- Metaphysical ideas about the unchanging nature of men (not very scientific)?
Neo-Realism
History:
- after 1970’s classical realism was replaced by structural realism
- associate with Kenneth Waltz “Theory of International Politics” (1979) - proposed the
defensive theory (later, John Mearsheimer proposed the offensive theory)
- Neorealism is often called “structural realism” which signifies that the theory
primarily centres on the effects of the structure of the international system
when it seeks to explain outcomes in international politics
- The aim of neo-realism was to cure the defects of earlier IR theories including
classical realism by applying a more scientific approach -> liberation of realism
from various kinds of metaphysical ideas about the unchanging nature of men
- Structure influences the state and not the state the global system
Main thinkers:
- Defensive: Kenneth Waltz (Theory of International Politics, 1979)
- Offensive: John Mearsheimer (The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, 2001)
Defensive realism:
- Defensive realism asserts that states develop and maintain policies and programs
aimed at promoting security through a defensive approach.
- Defensive realism contends that states navigate through anarchy by balancing their
power through arms race or capability-building. An imbalance resulting from a state
pursuing dominance is counterbalanced by other states seeking to maintain the status
quo. The international system punishes aggressors according to defensive realists.
- The primary purpose of military of a particular state under defensive realism is to
maintain security by having the capacity for defending against aggressors. In addition,
defensive capability is superior over offensive capabilities.
- Defensive realists specifically believe that states are only interested about maintaining
their security through defensive measures
- Defensive realism contends that mistrust is variable and amenable to change through
international cooperation, primarily through mutual security agreements.
- States should have enough power. There is no need for maximizations because
if you do so you take up risk. Search for power has limits -> states really seeks
security.
- If you increase your power too much you fail (Hitler, Napoleon)
Offensive realism:
- Offensive realism asserts that the programs and policies developed and maintained by
states are aimed not only at promoting security but also at increasing their power to
dominate the international system.
- Offensive realism argues that states inherently desire dominance because they are
power-maximizing actors. Furthermore, offensive realists believe that the
international system rewards states that are able to secure and maintain their
dominance.
- Offensive realism argues that the primary purpose of the military is to display the
power of a state through aggression, thus further depressing threats from other states.
- Offensive realists think that states are interested in conquest and that the best way to
survive is to demonstrate their power and prevent others states from attaining similar
level of power.
- Offensive realism specifically argues that mistrust is not only prevalent but also
constant.
- You never know true intention of other states, if you want to survive, you should
maximize your power, otherwise other states will do.
Weaknesses:
Neorealism ignores national attributes, domestic interests, regime type, strength of
institutions, culture, etc., might be too state centric
Classical Liberalism
History:
Period of enlightenment
Main thinkers:
John Lock, Immanuel Kant, Adam Smith, Jean-Jacques Rousseau
Main characteristics:
- Liberalism claims that all states pursue benefit, they want to make profit, and they all
create rules, norms of behaviour, and pursue the common good.
- Positive view of human nature
- Views history as progressive change is possible
- Believe in increased material prosperity through market liberalization, technology and
economic interdependence
- Conflict is not the natural state in IR and harmony is possible
- Pluralism of actors
- World politics is an interdependent global society with international institutions
facilitating cooperation
- Fundamental role for peace, law, justice, human rights, non-state actors
- The “I” terms matter: ideas, institutions, individuals, interdependence, interactions,
ideologies, idealism, integration, etc.
- Question: how to create an international system that encourages cooperation?
- Economic interdependence leads to peace. it causes governments to redefine their
interests in a way that makes war less likely -> the greater the economic
interdependence the less likely is war
- Collective security - the formation of a broad alliance of most major actors in an
international system for the purpose of jointly opposing aggression by any actor
- Rejection of power politics as the only possible outcome of international relations; it
questions security/warfare principles of realism
- It accentuates mutual benefits and international cooperation
- It implements international organizations and nongovernmental actors for shaping
state preferences and policy choices
This school of thought emphasises three factors that encourage more cooperation and less
conflict among states:
- International institutions, such as the United Nations, who provide a forum to resolve
disputes in a non-violent way
- International trade because when countries' economies are interconnected through
trade they are less likely to go to war with each other
- Spread of democracy as well-established democracies do not go to war with one
another, so if there are more democracies, interstate war will be less frequent
Varieties:
- Liberal Internationalism:
- Economic interdependence and prosperity fosters peace
- A law-governed international society can emerge without a world government
- Capitalism is natural and inherently pacifistic
- Natural harmony of interest in IR
- Liberal internationalist assumption that interdependence was associated with
peace was contradicted by World War I
- Liberal Idealism:
- spread of democracy fosters peace (Woodrow Wilson’s “fourteen points” and
the creation of the League of Nations)
- Peace is not natural but must be constructed
- contrary to liberal internationalism, idealism does not defend a natural
harmony between states
- International order should be constructed and managed by an international
organization
- Collective security rather than alliance system (collective defense)
Neo-Liberalism
History:
Main thinkers:
- Robert Keohane, Joseph Nye
Main characteristics:
- States are key actors in international politics, but not the only significant
actors. States are rational (or instrumental), always seeking to maximize their
interests. Rational behavior leads states to see value in cooperative behavior.
- States are mainly concerned with economic gains. Neo-liberalism accounts for the
process of achieving sustained patterns of cooperation under anarchy.
- States cooperate to create international institutions with the goal of avoiding market
failures and creating trust
- international relations are peacefully driven by self-interested, economic behaviour.
(economic gains, economic cooperation, economic behaviour)
- International institutions and organization can build trust among states and facilitate
cooperation by reducing uncertainty, linking issues, monitoring behavior and
enhancing the importance of reputation.
- International institutions should control the states behavior: how states fulfill the
expectations, the states reputation, how they fulfill their efew
- states seek to maximize absolute gains through cooperation rather than trying to
achieve gains relative to other countries
- the international system is characterized by interdependence “a reciprocal relationship
between independent entities”
- democratic peace theories seek to explain the disputed empirical fact that
constitutional democracies have never gone to war with each other in recent history
(1816 onwards)
- Relations between pairings of democratic states are inherently more peaceful than
relations between other regime type pairings (ex: democratic vs non-democratic, non-
democratic vs non-democratic)
- the more states are democratic the more they are peaceful
- Reasons why democracies do not fight each other (cultural and norm-biased
explanations)
- Democracies have domestic political cultures based on the principle of
peaceful conflict resolution
- Democratic governments are controlled by their citizens, who will not
support the idea of war with another democratic country
- Democracies hold common moral values which lead to the formation of a
“zone of peace”
- Peace between democracies if strengthened by economic cooperation
and interdependence
It asserts that democratic states are highly unlikely to go to war with one another. There is a
two-part explanation for this phenomenon. First, democratic states are characterised by
internal restraints on power, as described above. Second, democracies tend to see each other
as legitimate and unthreatening and therefore have a higher capacity for cooperation with
each other than they do with non-democracies. Statistical analysis and historical case studies
provide strong support for democratic peace theory, but several issues continue to be debated.
First, democracy is a relatively recent development in human history. This means there are
few cases of democracies having the opportunity to fight one another. Second, we cannot be
sure whether it is truly a ‘democratic’ peace or whether some other factors correlated with
democracy are the source of peace – such as power, alliances, culture, economics and so on.
A third point is that while democracies are unlikely to go to war with one another, some
scholarship suggests that they are likely to be aggressive toward non-democracies – such as
when the United States went to war with Iraq in 2003. Despite the debate, the possibility of a
democratic peace gradually replacing a world of constant war – as described by realists – is
an enduring and important facet of liberalism.
Varieties:
Marxism:
History:
- building upon the dialectical social philosophy of Marx and Engels
Main thinkers:
- Marx, Engels
Characteristics:
- Not a traditional theory
- Essentially an economic interpretation of history
- Critically interpretation of capitalism
- Focuses on the emancipation of the working class and world equality
- Rejects the liberal worldview of self-interested individuals and the realist view of
sovereign states and anarchy
- World is divided not between political determined nations but between economically
determined classes
- Economy > politics
- sovereignty and nationalism => viewed by many Marxists as tools of the bourgeoisie
leadership to hide class tensions
Strengths:
- the first theory that emphasised issues of inequality and emancipation
- marxism gave basis and systemic foundation to understand unfairness of world
- focuses on the problems of development (the third world)
- Marxism brings out the importance of economics in politics
Weaknesses:
- Utopian
- Ignores conventional struggles for power and security
- Economic determinism
- Underestimates nationalism and overestimates class struggle
Neo-Marxism:
History:
- Flourished in 1970s
Main thinkers:
- Immanuel Wallerstein: The modern World System (1974)
- Paul Prebisch
Characteristics:
- Looked at how the capitalist systems penetrated non-capitalist systems, using
a binary distinction between the core area and the peripheral area
- Argued that world economies linked by exchange relations were largely
impossible before about 1500
- The capitalist world economy which appeared around 1500 coincided with the
expansion of commerce
- The states of Northwestern Europe were able to impose a regional division of
labour and specialisation of production
- And, through increasingly powerful state bureaucracies, to consolidate the
flow of surplus toward the core countries
Dependency theory:
- Paul Prebisch, Samir Amin
- Started around the 1950s and took hold in the 1960s and 1970s partly because of the
revolutionary atmosphere of the period - Classical dependence (1950s)
- Dependency theory: poor countries send their resources to rich countries which are
those who get most benefit
- Poorer countries exported commodities to the richer countries and they sell
manufactured products out of it back to the poorer countries
- Formal political control (colonialism) is not necessary to create dependency =>
political control possible through economic means
- Uneven development and inequalities of capitalist system
- Capitalism leads to uneven development and hindering development of developing
countries.
- The North-South divide is global in scope. Metropoles develop, satellites
underdeveloped.
- Satellites develop when the ties with metropoles are weakest
- Most underdeveloped regions today had closest ties to metropoles in
past
- How metropole subjugate satellites:
- Foreign investment in poor countries is limited to extractive industries
- Westernising domestic elites in poor countries
- The basis of international politics is the transfer of natural resources from
peripheral developing countries to core wealthy states, mostly the Western
industrialised democracies.
- So, dependency theory focuses on the redistribution of raw materials from poor
countries to the wealthier countries of the world.
- This creates benefits for the wealthier, industrialised countries and takes away from
the resources of the underdeveloped countries.
- «third-world» countries were not always «poor» but became impoverished through
colonial domination and forced incorporation into the world economy by expansionist
«first-world» powers
- to combat these systems of inequality, dependency theorists have argued that poor
countries should adopt economic control policies that can break them out of the prison
of international economic controls
- ex: import substitution (government assistance to domestic producers and
barriers to wealthy international corporations attempting to flood the market
with mass-produced imports) rather than the export-based models usually
favoured by international economic organisations such as the World Bank and
International Monetary Fund.
- Weaknesses:
- No direct relationship between states’ reliance on extractive industries and
poverty underdevelopment
- States are dependent because underdeveloped; not vice versa
- Why do some satellite states escape (NICs)?
Theories of imperialism:
Rosa Luxemburg, Rudolf Hilferding and Vladimir Lenin:
They developed the classical theories of imperialism to understand how capitalism expanded
and adapted to a world of inter-imperial rivalry leading to the First World War and the slow
disintegration of the European empires.
Critical Theory
Constructivism
- Onuf, Katzenstein
- Constructivism’s arrival in IR is often associated with the end of the Cold War, an event
that the traditional theories such as realism and liberalism failed to account for.
- Constructivism sees the world, and what we can know about the world, as socially
constructed.
- Constructivism stresses that the reality of international politics is not given, but rather a
construction of the social processes of international relations
- Constructivism takes the focus away from material factors to non-material (ideas, norms)
- A.Wendt proposes that states construct their identities, and hence interests, through a
process of mutual interaction.
- Constructivists argue that agency and structure are mutually constituted, which implies
that structures influence agency and that agency influences structures.
- Realists argue that the anarchic structure of the international system determines the
behaviour of states. Constructivists, on the other hand, argue that ‘anarchy is what states
make of it’ (Wendt 1992). This means that anarchy can be interpreted in different ways
depending on the meaning that actors assign to it.
- They show, for instance, that it is not only the distribution of material power, wealth and
geographical conditions that can explain state behaviour but also ideas, identities and norms.
Furthermore, their focus on ideational factors shows that reality is not fixed, but rather
subject to change.
- Makes us see the world system as dynamic rather than static
- Problems/conflicts are not inherent in the system but in the situation actors find
themselves in (i.e. not anarchy, but mistrust, struggle for resources is the cause of
conflict)
38. International Conflict in the Light of a Theory of International Relations
John J. Mearsheimer, a prominent international relations scholar known for his work on
structural realism, provides insights into how structural dynamics influenced the conflict
between Russia and Ukraine. Mearsheimer's theory of offensive realism posits that great
powers, driven by the anarchic nature of the international system, seek to maximize their own
power and security. According to this perspective, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine
can be understood through the following key points:
- Balancing: Mearsheimer argues that states have two main strategies in response to
threats from other powers: balancing and bandwagoning. Balancing refers to the
formation of alliances and coalitions to counteract a threatening state's power, while
bandwagoning refers to aligning with the stronger power to gain security benefits. In
the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the West's support for Ukraine can be seen
as a form of balancing against Russian power.
- Cultural diplomacy is an important way to connect with different groups and help
people understand the values and culture of a country. Cultural diplomacy includes
the organisation of festivals and exhibitions, the exchange of artists, and support for
film and other art projects. Cultural diplomacy is part of the broader umbrella concept
of public diplomacy.
- Public diplomacy is used to connect with people all over the world and spread a good
image. Public diplomacy is an important part of soft power which is used as an
umbrella concept for cultural diplomacy, educational exchanges, and media outreach.
Through public diplomacy, countries foster relationships, promote their foreign policy
objectives, and increase their influence in the international arena.
- Sports diplomacy is becoming an important part of soft power. It has a wide range of
aspects. The hosting of events such as the FIFA World Cup improved Qatar’s public
image. The relevance of major sports events for soft power is the reason why
countries lobby heavily to host the Olympics, the World Cup, and other sporting
events. The second important aspect is success in sports. Argentina’s victory in Qatar
has increased the visibility and prestige of the country. ;)
- E-diplomacy is an important tool of soft power. It includes using websites, blogs, and
social media to shape public opinion and influence global conversations. During the
Arab Spring, the importance of social media led to the use of Twitter and Facebook
diplomacy. You can learn more about the use of social media and other online tools to
increase soft power.
In practice, countries employ various strategies to project soft power and achieve their
foreign policy objectives. These strategies include cultural exchange programs, educational
scholarships, development assistance, public diplomacy initiatives, and diplomatic
negotiations. Soft power can help build positive perceptions of a country, foster cooperation,
attract investments, and increase influence on the global stage.
However, it is important to note that soft power is not a substitute for hard power. Military
strength, economic capabilities, and other forms of hard power remain crucial in international
relations. Soft power should be seen as a complement to hard power, as both can work
together to achieve a nation's strategic goals.
40. The Public Diplomacy of a Country: Case-study
The United States has a long history of engaging in public diplomacy to influence global
opinion and support its foreign policy objectives. Here are some key aspects of the public
diplomacy of the U.S.:
- Cultural Exchange Programs: The U.S. government, through organizations like the
Department of State and its Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs, sponsors
various cultural exchange programs. These initiatives bring foreign students, scholars,
artists, and professionals to the United States, allowing them to experience American
society and culture firsthand. Examples of such programs include the Fulbright
Program, International Visitor Leadership Program, and the Kennedy-Lugar Youth
Exchange and Study Program (YES).
- International Broadcasting: The U.S. government operates media outlets like Voice of
America (VOA), which provide news, information, and analysis to global audiences.
These outlets aim to provide accurate and unbiased reporting to counter
disinformation and promote democratic values.
- Digital Diplomacy: The U.S. government leverages digital platforms and social media
to engage with global audiences. Platforms like Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, and
Instagram are used to share information, promote policies, and interact with
individuals around the world.
France has a long and rich history of public diplomacy, dating back to the 17th century when
the French government began to establish cultural centers and libraries around the world. In
the 20th century, France's public diplomacy efforts intensified, as the country sought to
promote its culture and values in the wake of World War II.
● Promoting French culture and values: France is a country with a rich and diverse
culture, and its public diplomacy efforts are designed to promote that culture to the
world. This is done through a variety of means, including cultural exchanges,
educational programs, and the promotion of French language and literature.
● Building relationships with other countries: France's public diplomacy also seeks to
build relationships with other countries. This is done through dialogue, cooperation,
and the exchange of ideas. France believes that strong relationships between countries
are essential for peace and stability.
● Influencing international opinion: France's public diplomacy also seeks to influence
international opinion. This is done by promoting French values and ideas on the world
stage. France believes that it has a responsibility to use its influence to promote peace,
justice, and human rights.
France's public diplomacy efforts have been successful in promoting the country's image and
values around the world. France is seen as a leading cultural and intellectual powerhouse, and
its public diplomacy efforts have helped to strengthen France's relationships with other
countries.
Here are some of the specific programs and initiatives that France uses to promote its public
diplomacy:
● The Institut Français: The Institut Français is a network of cultural centers that France
has established around the world. These centers offer a variety of programs and
activities, such as language classes, cultural events, and educational workshops.
● The French Language Abroad Program: This program provides financial assistance to
French language schools around the world. The goal of this program is to promote the
study of French language and culture.
● The French Government Scholarship Program: This program provides scholarships to
students from around the world to study in France. The goal of this program is to
promote cultural exchange and understanding between France and other countries.
● The French Government Cultural Fund: This fund provides financial assistance to
cultural projects around the world. The goal of this fund is to promote French culture
and values.
These are just a few of the programs and initiatives that France uses to promote its public
diplomacy. France's public diplomacy efforts are comprehensive and wide-ranging, and they
have helped to make France a leading player on the world stage.