Revision Question A231 (Answer)
Revision Question A231 (Answer)
Chapter 4:
1. The manager of UNICONS company is examining the number of days (𝑋) in the monsoon
season that a construction worker cannot work because of the bad weather during monsoon
season. Table below shows the probability distribution of X.
X 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
P(X = x) 0.03 0.08 0.15 0.20 0.19 0.16 0.10 0.07 0.02
a) Prove that the above distribution is a valid probability distribution of the random variable
X.
Answer:
∑ 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 1 → prove (valid probability distribution)
c) Find the probability that a construction worker is unable to work for not more than 10 days
during monsoon season.
Answer:
P(X ≤ 10) = P(X = 6) + P(X = 7) + P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X =10) = 0.65
d) Is it possible for the construction worker to be unable to work for more than 14 days during
the monsoon season? Justify your answer.
Answer:
Not possible, because of the maximum day unable to work is 14 days → P(X > 14) = 0
e) Calculate the expected number of days that a construction worker is unable to work in any
monsoon season. Interpret your answer.
Answer:
E(X), = ∑ 𝑥. 𝑝(𝑥) = 9.79 10 days
On average, the number of days that a construction worker is unable to work in any
monsoon season is 10 days
f) Compute the standard deviation that construction worker is unable to work in any monsoon
season.
Answer:
E(X2) =∑ 𝑋 2 . 𝑃(𝑥) = 99.31
Standard deviation, = 1.8617
2. A random variable Y represents the number of calls received by Emergency Call Centre in a
hospital on a certain day. Table below shows the probability distribution of Y.
Find m = 0.1
b) Find the probability that the number of calls received are between 12 and 15.
Answer:
P(12 < Y < 15) = P(Y = 13) + P(Y = 14) = 3(0.1) + 0.2 = 0.5
c) A call operator at the Emergency Call Centre expects that he will receive 14 calls on
average per day. Is his expectation true? Justify your answer.
Answer:
Find E(Y) first → E(Y) = 13.8 14 calls
Justify your answer → if E(Y) = 14, the claim is true.
3. A consumer agency surveyed 50 families living in the small town to collect data on the number
of television (TV) sets own by them. Table below lists the frequency distribution of the data.
a) Let X denote the number of TV sets owned by these families. Construct a probability
distribution of X.
Answer:
X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X = x) 0.10 0.30 0.40 0.16 0.04
4. The probabilities that a patient will have 0, 1, 2, or 3 medical tests performed before being
admitted to a hospital are 1%, 4%. 10% and 85% respectively. Let 𝑋 denote the number of
medical tests performed.
X 0 1 2 3 Total
P(X = x) 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.85 1
b) Find the probability that less than two medical tests were performed.
Answer:
P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.05
On average, there are 3 medical tests performed before being admitted to a hospital.
5. The cumulative distribution for the number of ice cream sold, (𝑋) at Sally Ice Cream shop,
on a randomly selected day is given in table below.
X 10 11 12 13 14
𝑭(𝑿) 0.5 0.7 0.7+a 0.7+2a 0.7+3a
a) The manager of Sally Ice Cream shop claims that on average, they manage to sell 13 ice
creams in a day. Is the claim true? Justify your answer.
Answer:
1. Find a.
0.7+3a = 1 a = 0.1
2. Find E(X)
E(X) = 11.1
E(X) 13 thus, the claim is not true
b) Calculate the standard deviation of number of ice cream sold at Sally Ice Cream shop on
any given day.
Answer:
= 1.3748
Chapter 5:
6. In a housing area, 20 residents were chosen randomly and asked whether they own Netflix
account. It is found that 40% of them own Netflix account. (binomial distribution)
a) Find the probability that:
b) Based on your answers in part (a), which event is most likely to occur? Justify your answer.
Answer:
Based on probability values → if it is closed to 1, most likely to occur
Event a(i) is most likely to occur because it has the highest probability 0.9984 1
7. The effectiveness of a vaccine for a certain disease is about 45%. This means that 45% of the
vaccinated person will not get the disease when exposed. Assume that each person’s response
to the disease is independent of another person’s response. (binomial distribution)
a) Find the probability that less than 5 persons will not get the disease if 12 people are
exposed. (p = 0.45, n = 12)
Answer:
P(X < 5) = P(X ≤ 4) = 0.3044
b) Find the probability that more than 6 persons will not get the disease if 10 people are
exposed. (p = 0.45, n = 10)
Answer:
P(X > 6) = 1 – P(X ≤ 6) = 0.1020
c) Suppose a new vaccine has been introduced for the disease. The experimental study shows
that the probability of NONE out of 12 (n) people exposed will not get the disease is 0.05.
Find the probability of effectiveness of the new vaccine.
Answer:
P(X = 0) = 0.05 Find p
12
𝐶0 . 𝑝0 (1 − 𝑝)12 = 0.05
Solve to get p p = 0.2209
8. In a primary school, the passing rate for Mathematics test is 55%. A sample of SEVEN (7)
students is randomly selected. Find the probability of (binomial distribution)
9. The number of staff arrivals at School of Quantitative Sciences between 7.30 a.m. and 9.30
a.m. follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 14. Find the probability that:
a) the number of staff arrivals between 7.30 a.m. and 9.30 a.m. is at least 4. ( in 2 hours =14)
Answer:
P(X ≥ 4) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3) = 0.9995
b) the number of staff arrivals between 8.00 a.m. and 8.30 a.m. is at most 3.
Answer:
30
( in 30 minutes = 120 x 14 =3.5)
P(X ≤ 3) = 0.5366
c) exactly one staff arrives between 8.30 a.m. and 9.30 a.m. Interpret.
Answer:
( in 1 hour = 7)
P(X = 3) = 0.0064
10. In the manufacturing of a commercial carpet, several defects occur at random on the carpet
design at an average of 0.6 per 20m2 area. Find the probability that there are, (Poisson
distribution)
11. Based on data obtained from Fire & Rescue Department in Damai City, on average there are
SIX (6) reports per week received related to extinguishing, fighting, preventing and controlling
fire. (Poisson distribution)
a) State the parameter for this probability distribution and its value.
Answer:
Average number of reports
Answer:
=6
P(X = 1) = 0.0149
c) Find the probability that from six to nine reports will be made in two weeks.
Answer:
in 2 weeks = 6 x 2 = 12
𝑃(6 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 9) = 0.2221
12. The time taken to assemble a car in a certain plant is a random variable having a normal
distribution with a mean of 20 () hours and a standard deviation () of 2 hours. Find the
probability that a car can be assembled at this plant in a period of:
𝑋−𝜇
Normal distribution: X to Z = 𝜎
13. A beverage factory machine fills can with chocolate drink follows the normal distribution with
a mean weight of 155 grams and a standard deviation of 5 grams.
a) A can is selected at random. Find the probability that the can’s weight less than 165 grams.
Answer:
P(X < 165) = P(Z < 2) = 0.9772
b) The company of this chocolate beverage decided to replace the filling machine if 12.3% of
the can is filled the minimum of x grams of chocolate drink. Find the value of x.
Answer:
P(X > x) = 0.1230
Find x
P(X < x) = 1- 0.1230 = 0.8770
𝑥−155
𝑃 (𝑍 < 5 ) = 0.8770 from table, Z = 1.16
14. The weight, X grams of soup filled in a tin by machine RST is normally distributed with a
mean of 190 grams and a standard deviation of 21 grams.
a) Find the probability that a randomly selected tin contains more than 197 grams.
Answer:
P(X > 197) = P(Z > 0.33) = 0.3707
b) Find the probability that a randomly selected tin will have a weight between 205 grams
and 245 grams.
Answer:
P(205 < X < 245) = P(0.71 < Z < 2.62) = 0.2345
c) If 125 tins are selected at random, how many tins will have a weight between 205 grams
and 245 grams?
Answer:
No. of tins = P(205 < X < 245= 0.2345(answer from b) x 125 = 29.3 29
d) If the weight stated on a randomly selected tin is w gram, find the value of w such that
P (X < w) = 0.01.
Answer:
Find w = ?
w = 141.07
15. Fresh Agro Farm produces dragon fruit. Dragon fruit with at least 𝑘 cm diameter is graded
and marketed. Table below shows the diameter for each grade of the dragon fruit.
Grade C B A
Diameter, 𝒙 cm 𝒌≤𝒙≤𝟓 𝟓<𝒙≤𝟕 𝒙>𝟕
Given that the diameter of dragon fruits is Normally distributed with mean, 5.8 cm and standard
deviation, 1.5 cm.
a) In a random sample of 500 dragon fruits, estimate the number of grade B dragon fruit.
Answer:
Grade B cm is between
P(5 < x ≤ 7) = P(-0.53 < Z ≤ 0.80) = 0.49
Estimate number of grade B dragon fruits
= 0.49 x 500 = 245
c) Is the sampling distribution of this sample mean approximately normal? Justify your answer.
Answer:
Yes, according to Central Limit Theorem (CLT) when n = 100 ≥ 30, the distribution of the
sample mean is approximately normal
d) What sample size of car tire is required to provide a 0.96 probability that the average lifetime
in the sample will be less than 20,500 km?
Answer:
𝑥̅ −𝜇
𝑥̅ 𝑡𝑜 𝑍 = 𝜎𝑥̅
17. The scores on the English test for all first year students have a normal distribution with mean
of 18.6 and standard deviation of 5.9. Find the probability that: (sample mean, 𝑥̅ )
a) 10 randomly selected students have a mean score less than 18.
Answer:
n = 10, 𝜇𝑥̅ = 𝜇 = 18.6
𝜎
𝜎𝑥̅ = = 1.8657
√𝑛
P(𝑥̅ < 18) = P(Z < -0.32) = 0.3745
b) 20 randomly selected students have a sum score greater than 380.
Answer:
n = 20, 𝜇𝑥̅ = 𝜇 = 18.6
𝜎
𝜎𝑥̅ = = 1.3193
√𝑛
380
𝑥̅ = = 19
20
18. A manufacturer of a lightbulb claimed that its lightbulbs have a mean lifetime of 700 hours
with a standard deviation of 120 hours. You purchased 144 of these lightbulbs with the idea
that you would purchase more if the mean lifetime of your sample were more than 680 hours.
What is the probability that you will not buy again from this manufacturer? (sample mean, 𝑥̅ )
Answer:
n = 144 ≥ 30 approximately normal, 𝜇𝑥̅ = 𝜇 = 700
𝜎
𝜎𝑥̅ = = 10
√𝑛
19. For a certain type of computer chip, the proportion of chips that are defective is 0.10. A random
sample of 100 chips are inspected for quality. (sample proportion, 𝑝̂ )
a) Identify the sampling distribution of proportion sample (𝑝̂ ) of chips are defective. State the
parameters. Justify your answer.
Answer:
np = 100(0.10) = 10 > 5
nq = 100(0.90) = 90 > 5 approximately normal
b) What is the probability that fewer than 15 percent of chips will be defect?
Answer:
𝑝̂−𝑝
𝑝̂ 𝑡𝑜 𝑍 = 𝜎𝑝
̂
𝑝𝑞 𝑁−𝑛
𝜎𝑝̂ = √ 𝑛 √ 𝑁−1 = 0.0544
c) What is the probability that fewer than 15% of the sample employees prefer to work in the
office?
Answer:
𝑃(𝑝̂ < 0.15) = 𝑃(𝑍 < −0.81) = 0.2090
21. An electrical appliance made by Company A has an average life of 2500 hours, with a standard
deviation of 500 hours. Another Company, B, makes this appliance with an average life of
2300 hours, and a standard deviation of 800 hours. We take 300 Company A devices and 200
Company B devices. Calculate the probability that the average life of the sample from
Company A isn’t 100 hours more than the average life of the sample from Company B.
(Sampling Distribution for difference between means with two independent population) – tak
perlu buat
22. A company has two offices, one in Mumbai, and the other in Delhi. Each office has
about 600 total employees. 85% of the employees at the Mumbai office are younger
than 40 years old. 81% of the employees at the Delhi office are younger than 40 years old. The
company plans on taking separate random samples of 50 employees from each office. They'll
look at the difference between the proportions of employees in each sample that are younger
than 40 years old. The company wonders how likely it is that the difference between the two
samples is greater than 10 percentage points. (Sampling Distribution for difference between
proportions with two independent population) – tak perlu buat
23. Out of 4200 customers who have registered as privilege members of XYZ coffee shop,
45.24% of them are female. In a special event, a sample of 500 privileged members of XYZ
coffee shop were randomly selected to receive souvenirs. (sample proportion, 𝑝̂ )
a) Determine the distribution of the male sample proportion. Compute the mean and standard
deviation of the sample proportion.
Answer:
p(male) = 1 – 0.4534 = 0.5476
np = 500(0.5476) = 273.8 > 5
nq = 500(0.5476) = 226.2 > 5 the sampling distribution is approximately normal
𝜇𝑝̂ = 𝑝 = 0.5476
𝑛 500
= 4200 = 0.1190 > 0.05 need correction factor
𝑁
𝑝𝑞 𝑁−𝑛
𝜎𝑝̂ = √ 𝑛 √ 𝑁−1 = 0.0209
b) Find the probability that the number of male privilege members is between 250 and 275.
Answer:
250 275
P(250 < X < 275) = 𝑃 (500 < 𝑝̂ < 500)