Week 2 Lecture Slides
Week 2 Lecture Slides
Cost of Capital
Recap from last week
When putting up a 3-way financial model, what are the three statements?
What are the order? Ie, which one is on top, middle and then bottom?
If the company buys a large equipment, where in the statements would we see this
acquisition?
Some observations:
• Financing schedules
• Create an input for increase or decrease of debt (depending on the cash balance)
• Feed to Financing Activities – Cash Flow statement
• Dynamic - as little hardcoded cells as possible. Any hardcoded cells should be separated
out as input on the top (easier for users to access and change as required) ie, interest rate
(should be every year)
What is Cost of Capital?
What is it?
• A hurdle rate?
• Or something else?
“It is the minimum acceptable rate of return on new investments based on the rate investors
can expect to earn by investing in alternative, identically risk securities”
Cost of Capital from Different Perspectives
Figure 2: The Cost of Capital as Swiss Army Knife
Source:
Aswath Damodaran 2016 –
Swiss Army Knife of
Finance
For investors in companies, the cost of capital is an opportunity cost in the sense that it is the
rate of return that they would expect to make in other investments of equivalent risk. For the
Cost of Capital from Different Perspectives
Figure 2: The Cost of Capital as Swiss Army Knife
Source:
Aswath Damodaran 2016 –
Swiss Army Knife of
Finance
For investors in companies, the cost of capital is an opportunity cost in the sense that it is the
rate of return that they would expect to make in other investments of equivalent risk. For the
Application of Cost of Capital
Reviewing new projects/acquisitions/investments (ie, Capital Budgeting)
• ROIC > CoC; NPV – discounting cash flow by CoC; IRR > CoC
Capital structure
• Optimising financing mix between equity and debt
Dividend policy
• All projects/investments returns < CoC, return cash to investor as Div or Buyback
Managing working capital
• Carrying cost of inventory, receivables or early payment discount on payables
Valuation
• Investors uses CoC as discount rate to value the entire business
How do I find out Cost of Capital,
Cost of Capital
equal
Cost of Equity X Weight of Equity + Cost of Debt X Weight of Debt
• Cost of Equity ?
Estimating Debt & Equity weighting
650 7 194
Wesfarmers (A-) 23-Jun-21
350 10 255
22-Jun-21 200 6 185
NBN Co (A+)
2-Jun-21 350 7 215
Exercise :
Using FactSet and info in previous slides, estimate the cost of debt for a US telco
company with a BBB+ rating
• CAPM
• Re = Rf + MRP x Beta
• Intuitively, the return investors must receive for investing this company is equal to
the return for risk free investment + risk adjusted market risk premium
Component of CAPM
Re = Rf + MRP x Beta
Re = Rf + MRP x Beta
• MRP - Market Risk Premium – a premium investors demand to invest in equities on top
of Risk Free Return
• Historical estimates – long term average of equity market returns vs. Gov’t securities
• Forward view – Implied equity risk premium ie, Expected cash flow (Div + buyback),
current stock price & solve for IRR ie, http://www.market-risk-premia.com/au.html
• Practitioners use 5-6% usually for simplicity
Implied Market Risk Premium
Component of CAPM
Re = Rf + MRP x Beta
• MRP - Market Risk Premium – a premium investors demand to invest in equities on top
of Risk Free Return
• Historical estimates – long term average of equity market returns vs. Gov’t securities
• Forward view – Implied equity risk premium ie, Expected cash flow (Div + buyback),
current stock price & solve for IRR ie, http://www.market-risk-premia.com/au.html
• Practitioners use 5-6% usually for simplicity
• Beta – adjustment to MRP (reflects business & financial risks ie, D/E)
• Q: is Beta levered or unlevered?
• Q: how about private companies?
Beta – if listed
Beta – if unlisted?
Po
• Recall that Expected return of a portfolio = Weighted Average of expected returns of
securities in the portfolio.
or
𝐷 𝐸
𝛽u = 𝛽d + 𝛽e
𝑉 𝑉
β d,
If no debt (D=0),
unlevered beta =
E
unlevered equity beta βu = βe Or 𝛽 u= 𝛽e (Unlevered Beta)
as E=V V
βu = βd + βe
V V
Beta – if unlisted
βd βe 𝐷 𝐸
𝛽u = 𝛽d + 𝛽e
r
• If there is Debt, that means “Levered”
𝑉 𝑉
β d, •
o
In practice, we assume Debt Beta 𝛽d is “0” as it is hardly traded.
E 𝐸
βu = βe 𝛽eis now levered = 𝛽L 𝛽u = 𝛽L
V 𝑉
py
𝐸+𝐷 𝐷
𝛽L = 𝛽u 𝛽L = [1 + ]𝛽u
𝐸 𝐸
• And there is tax shield with debt
𝐷 1−𝑡 𝐷 1−𝑡
𝛽L = [1 +βu ]𝛽u or 𝛽u = 𝛽L/[1 + ] Hamada Equation
β' e = 𝐸 𝐸
⎛E⎞
Beta – Levered vs. Unlevered
• Interesting to note:
• By substituting
𝐷 1−𝑡
𝛽L = [1 + ]𝛽u
𝐸
• Actually,
• Need to churn operating profit before there is tax benefit (Re: Cost of Debt)
• Hybrid securities
• When an Acquiror acquires a Target company, which discount rate should be used to
value the acquisition?
• Example 1: Acquiror is Govt and Target is Afterpay. Whose CoC should be used for the
valuation of the acquisition?
• Implications?
• Example 2: Acquiror and Target are in similar industry. How to estimate the CoC to use
for the acquisition?
Cost of Capital
In essence,
weighted average of the cost of all funds raised for the business, the
investment, the firm, the project… or aka
WACC RWACC = (1–tc)·xD·RD + xE·RE
Cost of Capital
equal
Cost of Equity X Weight of Equity + Cost of Debt X Weight of Debt
Week 2 –
What is the cost of capital for Burton to evaluate the acquisition of the thermowell
machine and EE?
We need to estimate WACC for the industry, Burton and EE before we can
decide
Engage online discussion early so that you can benefit from peer discussion and
learning before tutorial.
https://unsw-
my.sharepoint.com/:x:/g/personal/z9705647_ad_unsw_edu_au/ESjwQ6uJbXJAm75N
MQSopzgBJhhK1FFLHBoPJd4EyZE5rQ